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Around SBN: Bracketology 2012: Duke Finally Steps Up To The No. 1 Line

Community Projection: Ian Snell

UPDATE: The Snell projections are now closed.

How will Ian Snell fare in 2008? Will he drop his homer rate a little bit further and take another step toward stardom? Will he wind up injured? Or will he succumb to gopher-itis? Let me know in the comments by predicting Snell's 2008 innings pitched, strikeouts, walks and ERA (preferably in that order or with labels, so I don't have to guess).

Here are Snell's career stats.

Ronny Paulino is still open. Xavier Nady is closed. Here are the results.

NAME POS. COMMUNITY ZiPS
Adam LaRoche 1B .280/.351/.509 .272/.348/.492
Freddy Sanchez 2B .313/.355/.454 .298/.340/.415
Jack Wilson SS .272/.324/.392 .261/.313/.361
Jose Bautista 3B .261/.342/.433 .249/.329/.415
Jason Bay LF .278/.368/.491 .265/.361/.478
Xavier Nady RF .272/.331/.454 .259/.319/.449

Those are some sorry numbers. Most of the projections suggest that Nady's 2008 season is going to be pretty mediocre - only one person thought he'd slug .500 - and we're still more optimistic than ZiPS, which probably sees his atrocious K:BB ratio last year and concludes that he's just not any good at all. Think Juan Encarnacion, or Derek Bell a couple years before he joined the Pirates, or Todd Hollandsworth, or Craig Monroe, or Jacque Jones, or... or... well, any number of players who aren't very interesting. Or, better yet, stop thinking about those players and start Steve Pearce.

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211/175/70/3.85
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro. -- HST

by cocktailsfor2 on Feb 20, 2008 8:33 AM EST reply actions  

Snell
208 IP, 68 BB, 177 K, 3.76 ERA

Same as last year, cause I'd be very happy if he could duplicate '07 and just not get shut down with a "tired arm" in September. All his numbers went in a positive direction (does Colbourn get any credit for this?), and he's the real deal. I don't know that he has another big step forward in him, I just hope he can maintain this.

BTW, few things should point to the futility of using Wins as a gauge for pitchers than the fact Snell lopped a full run off his ERA and went from 14 wins to 9.

by bucdaddy on Feb 20, 2008 9:07 AM EST reply actions  

221/225/87/2.97
Snell is a stud
http://raisethejollyroger21.blogspot.com/

by Brian M on Feb 20, 2008 3:04 PM EST reply actions  

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