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Community Projection: Jose Bautista

UPDATE: The Bautista projections are now closed.

I suspect there will be broad agreement about Bautista's overall value, but not about what form that value will take. Bautista hit .293 with only three walks and no power last April. That may not mean anything, but it's such a weird line that it's worth wondering about - was it a result of adjustments he made last spring? And will he make similar adjustments to increase his batting average this year, perhaps at the expense of his power?

Let me know in the comments by guessing Bautista's 2008 average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.

Here are Bautista's career numbers.

The Jack Wilson projections are still open. Freddy Sanchez is closed, and here are the results:

NAME POS. COMMUNITY ZiPS
Adam LaRoche 1B .280/.351/.509 .272/.348/.492
Freddy Sanchez 2B .313/.355/.454 .298/.340/.415

We're a lot more optimistic than ZiPS, especially with the power. Personally, I agree with ZiPS on the average and OBP, but I probably agree more with the community on the slugging. Sanchez nearly doubled his career high in homers last year and has slugged at least .442 in each of the last two years; I don't see him moving too far backwards in that area.

0 recs  |  Comment 28 comments

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not bad...but pretty optimistic
.280/.345/.439
You're a Pirates fan?

by thegetupkids on Feb 7, 2008 9:12 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

JB
.257/.325/.440

by bolton on Feb 7, 2008 9:54 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Jose
250/340/420

Without looking at splits or month-by-month, I note his past two seasons' BA/OBP/SLUG in 900-plus ABs are remarkably similar. I'm going to say that's the actual level of his ability. I wouldn't be surprised, tho, since he's going to be 28, smack in his prime, if he jacked up his power a bit. But I think 20 HRs is about the max he's capable of.

by bucdaddy on Feb 7, 2008 10:02 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Won't be 28
Until sometime during the World Series.

by azibuck on Feb 7, 2008 10:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Um, OK
Point still stands. (Details, details.)

by bucdaddy on Feb 7, 2008 10:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

260/355/435

by The New Guy on Feb 7, 2008 10:11 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Jose
252/328/418

by buccoben on Feb 7, 2008 10:22 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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