Community Projection: Jose Bautista
UPDATE: The Bautista projections are now closed.
I suspect there will be broad agreement about Bautista's overall value, but not about what form that value will take. Bautista hit .293 with only three walks and no power last April. That may not mean anything, but it's such a weird line that it's worth wondering about - was it a result of adjustments he made last spring? And will he make similar adjustments to increase his batting average this year, perhaps at the expense of his power?
Let me know in the comments by guessing Bautista's 2008 average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.
Here are Bautista's career numbers.
The Jack Wilson projections are still open. Freddy Sanchez is closed, and here are the results:
| NAME | POS. | COMMUNITY | ZiPS |
| Adam LaRoche | 1B | .280/.351/.509 | .272/.348/.492 |
| Freddy Sanchez | 2B | .313/.355/.454 | .298/.340/.415 |
We're a lot more optimistic than ZiPS, especially with the power. Personally, I agree with ZiPS on the average and OBP, but I probably agree more with the community on the slugging. Sanchez nearly doubled his career high in homers last year and has slugged at least .442 in each of the last two years; I don't see him moving too far backwards in that area.
0 recs |
28 comments
Comments
not bad...but pretty optimistic
by thegetupkids on Feb 7, 2008 9:12 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Jose
Without looking at splits or month-by-month, I note his past two seasons' BA/OBP/SLUG in 900-plus ABs are remarkably similar. I'm going to say that's the actual level of his ability. I wouldn't be surprised, tho, since he's going to be 28, smack in his prime, if he jacked up his power a bit. But I think 20 HRs is about the max he's capable of.
by bucdaddy on Feb 7, 2008 10:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Won't be 28
by azibuck on Feb 7, 2008 10:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Nothing out of the ordinary
by DANNDANN on Feb 8, 2008 4:19 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

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