Coming Up: Milwaukee Brewers
With the Bucs playing the Brewers for the first time of the year tomorrow, I did a brief Q+A with Jeff Sackmann, who runs Brew Crew Ball. (I answered some questions for him, too, and I'll link to those as soon as they're posted.) It's been a strange year for the Brewers, who find themselves in last place. I wanted to know what's gone wrong.
Bucs Dugout: Why has the Brewers' hitting been so bad so far? Specifically, what's wrong with Rickie Weeks and Bill Hall? Do you buy Ned Yost's argument that Weeks has been hitting the ball well but just hasn't had much luck, and could that argument apply to Hall as well?
Brew Crew Ball: Weeks has been somewhat unlucky, but that doesn't mean he's going to hit .300 the rest of the way. He hits an awful lot of popups, and his pitch selection is...odd, to say the least. He's not as bad as his numbers suggest right now, but he's going to remain a guy whose value is mostly his walk rate--something like a batting average of .240 and an OBP of .350 is within reach. It's not as dramatic with Hall, but his hits haven't been finding holes, either. He also isn't going to hit .300 (or even .270) anytime soon; his pitch selection is just bad. I can pretty much guarantee that, over the course of this series, he's going to make a Pittsburgh middle reliever look like Johan Santana. At least he's hitting for power, so when he does make contact, he does a bit of damage.
Bucs Dugout: How has Ryan Braun taken to the outfield?
Brew Crew Ball: Pretty well, I think. He's made a handful of nice plays, though that might just mean he's diving for balls that a good outfielder would have camped under. The most encouraging thing I've seen so far was a ball he played off the Green Monster on Sunday to hold a Red Sox to a single. He's showing signs of getting smarter at the position, and there's no question he's got the tools to be successful.
Bucs Dugout: Why did the Brewers move Eric Gagne back to the closer spot after removing him a week or so ago? I know Gagne said he changed his mind and was ready to close again after initially saying he couldn't do it anymore, but why didn't the Brewers just say, "No thanks"?
Brew Crew Ball: I've long since quit trying to make sense out of Yost's bullpen-related moves and utterances. The biggest problem is that there's no obvious replacement for Gagne. David Riske is now hurt, Guillermo Mota has been iffy, and Salomon Torres isn't a much better option. Making matters worse, Ned started a meme among the team's press that a bullpen-by-committee is horribly taxing on the relievers. You see, everyone has to be ready to pitch at all times, and LaRussa--oops, I mean Yost--might use three, four, even two pitchers in the ninth alone. This is the catchall excuse/call-out/warning for the 2007-08 Brewers--we must stop overworking the bullpen! (Never mind that, last I checked, relative to league average, the bullpen is not overworked.)
Bucs Dugout: How is Torres working out for you? There were questions about his work ethic and conditioning floating around right before he left Pittsburgh; have either of those things been problems?
Brew Crew Ball: He's been fine, as far as I know. Maybe that's just because we have bigger problems. Between Torres and Brian Shouse, our LOOGY, Ned as a couple of late-inning decisions made for him. It seems like those two have been in the 7th or 8th inning of every single game this year.
Bucs Dugout: The Brewers have a couple of prospects at Class AA Huntsville, Matt LaPorta and Mat Gamel, who are destroying the ball and look close to being ready, at least with the bat. LaPorta is already a corner outfielder and Gamel--correct me if I'm wrong--currently plays third but looks like he'll move to first base or corner outfield eventually. With all the talent the Brewers already have at those positions, how do you think LaPorta and Gamel will fit in?
Brew Crew Ball: That's a good question. The Brewers certainly have a knack for stockpiling guys who ought to DH. One thought for LaPorta is that he'd play a corner while Corey Hart or Braun would shift to center. (Or Braun would go back to third--Melvin has hinted Braun's future could still be at the hot corner.) You're right, they are mashing, and LaPorta will probably be ready by September; the only decision for the Crew is whether to hold him back until mid-May to keep his arbitration clock from starting.
Gamel's a tougher question. He hasn't even switched positions yet, suggesting that there's hope he'll stick at third. Hall is hardly cementing himself as a long-term option there, so it wouldn't take much improvement in the field for Gamel to earn himself a shot. But Gamel's future may be elsewhere; outside of LaPorta and maybe Alcides Escobar, he's the shiniest nearly-ready prospect in the system right now, and if the Brewers fight back into contention, he could be the guy we trade away to pick up a starter at the deadline.
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it’s amazing to me how the fortunes of the brewers’ starting staff have changed since spring training. at one point there was rampant speculation that they would trade one or potentially several of their starters due to excess depth, which i consider an oxymoron. lucky for brewers fans, it looks like melvin made the right call on that one. for all of the talk of depth, the starting staff now contains two pitchers with an era under 5.
wasn’t dave bush supposed to put it together last year? he’s not doing it this year either.
when will the brewers start developing their own relief pitchers instead of signing veterans who are past their prime? scott linebrink, torres, riske, gagne, mota, elmer dessens, ray king, etc, etc
do brewers fans regret not resigning francisco cordero? i’m not a fan of big contracts for closers but they’d sure look a lot better with a star at the back of that bullpen.
and what about mike cameron? nobody’s talking about what a bomb of a signing that’s been. i don’t know how his defense has been, but he’s hitting .200/.282/.429 with 24 strikeouts in 70 at bats, with 4 homeruns keeping his slugging reasonable.
on a side note, i really like these types of discussions charlie because they allow actual experts to discuss serious issues about their baseball teams rather than the painful dialogues between say buck showalter and john kruk that purport to qualify as serious sports journalism these days. it would be easier for blogs (especially sports blogs) to accept the ugly media stepchild label if it were possible to respect those doing the labeling.
by johnnycuff on May 19, 2008 4:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It's easy to say the Brewers made a mistake not signing Cordero
after a couple months of shaky bullpen work, but in the long term it was probably the right move to let him walk. He’s 33 and got a four year deal.
by DITO on May 19, 2008 7:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Buzz Bissinger thinks you're full of shit
by azibuck on May 19, 2008 9:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and i think he's an elitist of the worst sort
the kind that thinks that it’s the medium and not message that dictate the value of a conversation.
by johnnycuff on May 19, 2008 11:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks, I’m glad you like them, because I certainly like doing them. I always wonder if people like them because there are never many comments. Maybe that’s just because Pirates fans don’t feel qualified to opine on other teams. But yeah, it’s definitely neat to get to pick Jeff’s brain.
by Charlie on May 19, 2008 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like them alot
I’m not sure they lend themselves to comments much. I don’t know about the Brewers outside of headlines, so what Jeff provided is all interesting news to me. I’d love to read one of these a day, then start with the Brewers again in 30 days.
by azibuck on May 20, 2008 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
In a way, Milwaukee didn’t have an opportunity to sign Cordero. He never gave the opportunity to match the Reds offer and in various interviews hinted at unhappiness with the Brewers. How high do you think they should have gone? 50? 55 million for four years?
I wouldn’t say the story of Gagne has been written either. He lost a couple saves after defensive miscues and others with weak grounders finding holes.
Cameron is a great defender. As a hitter, he hasn’t been with the team long. If he had a few more singles which would significantly elevate his average would he be the opposite of a “bomb?”
by ol Pete on May 20, 2008 12:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i agree with you and i think the brewers made the right move in not signing cordero. i hadn’t heard of his unwillingness to consider re-upping with the brewers which is why these discussions are good and why i didn’t make a statement, i asked a question. do brewers fans regret not resigning francisco cordero?
you’re right, it’s probably premature of me to declare mike cameron’s demise. he’s not getting any younger (or any more steroids) and as of now, his offensive numbers compare closely to former pirate brad eldred’s 2005 campaign where he hit .221/.279/.458 with 77 ks in 190 appearances. eldred however played first base, not center field and he played it average at best. cameron’s value is in his defense, which had better be nothing but stellar to support his hitting.
by johnnycuff on May 20, 2008 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
As a Brewer fan visiting Buc’s Dugout (seems kinda nice here btw, I like the site) I can tell you that I don’t regret not signing Cordero for some of the reasons discussed (contract would seem okay today but in 2010 or 2011 his 10+mil a year might kill us, age, the fact that he has been a great closer and bottomed out previously in his career, etc). That doesn’t mean I like the Gagne signing at all. Hated that one from day one. At least its only one year (at least thats what I keep telling myself when I’m not banging my head on the desk thinking about him)
Cameron is another interesting situation. I like his defense and think that he needs more time this season to improve his hitting. It is pretty much what we expected so far though (minus the low BA), we knew he struck out a bunch and could provide some pop and play good D. That is what we’ve gotten so far. Hall and Weeks are the ones I’m worried about. Weeks is about at put up or shut up time. He has had a few years where he he was supposed to break out and we are still waiting. As Jeff said, Hall can be flat out painful to watch at the plate sometimes and then hit one out and look good for a game or two.
Bottom line, the Brewers need to start hitting and get some better pitching real soon or this season will go downhill fast. Ownership has said the checkbook is open for them to get another top of the rotation starter so we’ll see if they take him up on it.
Can't pitch Gagne in rain. He’s like the B-2 bomber of baseball.--TheJay
by verno329 on May 20, 2008 1:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My point was that they didn’t really have a choice whether to sign Cordero.
Cameron hasn’t had many at bats. Like I said, its premature to assume that his batting average reflects his hitting ability. How often does someone’s average after 70 at bats match his average at the end of the season? To the best of my knowledge he has never been accused of taking steroids.
by ol Pete on May 20, 2008 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah, again probably an overreaction by me about his offense.
you’re right it was a banned stimulant, not steroids. he’s tested positive twice (link) for whatever this unnamed illegality was and has tried to have the record show that it wasn’t steroids. i didn’t see that until i actually looked into it rather than follow whatever rumors i learned it from initially.
by johnnycuff on May 20, 2008 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
love the astute comments
from other team’s fans. you guys know your baseball.
dave bush is still a mystery, my theory is he sucks out of the stretch, hoping one of the pitchfx guys will prove it.
the old bullpen- it’s actually the most expensive in baseball right now. that’s crazy! these things go in cycles though, when your young pitchers are good enough to start (parra, villanueva, gallardo) you fill the pen with veterans. go back a few more years and the brewers have a bullpen full of young nobodies. with relievers you need projectable pieces for those high leverage situations. guys with more history are more reliable.
cameron- i think people are bummed at his production so far, but his marcel projection has him at .336 wOBA, and the contract he signed for that production is a steal. he should get going. if the hits were falling at his career norms he’d be hitting right around his projections. and yeah, it’s early for him.
so questions for you guys:
how’s the infield defense, is jack wilson a good shortstop and is he missed?
what’s up with the rotation? every year i pick the pirates to do better than other people think cause i thought the young pitching was for real, like all of them would be ~4.00 ERA guys? bad luck or not that good?
is matt capps as mean as we think he is?
Bring Back The Old Logo!
by jacob on May 20, 2008 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i should qualify that first statement
you guys clearly know enough about baseball to speak intelligently about other teams, very appreciated. this is the exact opposite of some of the other NL Central fans.
:)
Bring Back The Old Logo!
by jacob on May 20, 2008 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
how’s the infield defense, is jack wilson a good shortstop and is he missed?
Bad, yes, and yes. Rivas has been horrible on defense and Bixler hasn’t been much better. The rest of the infield has been less than spectacular, too—Freddy Sanchez has shoulder trouble and has had a hard time throwing.
what’s up with the rotation? bad luck or not that good?
Some combination of bad luck, terrible defense, and not that good. Duke is not very good and is a terrible fit for this team; Maholm is improving, stuff-wise, but still hasn’t had that improvement manifest itself in a really good season; Gorzelanny’s velocity and command are way off from last year, and he’s pitching like he may be injured. I’m not really sure what Snell’s problem is.
by Charlie on May 20, 2008 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
is matt capps as mean as we think he is?
funny you should mention that. from an article in this morning’s pittsburgh post gazette (link) regarding matt capps and the closers in the nl central:
Could he empathize with Isringhausen? And with Gagne, too, for that matter?“Athletically, no,” Capps said. “You don’t feel bad for them. You don’t feel sorry for them. That sounds pretty bad. It sounds pretty cold.
“Personally, I know Izzy a little bit just from chatting with him. I think he’s a great guy. Personally, I absolutely hate it because I like him a lot. Athletically, if he was on my team, I would feel bad for him. But [Isringhausen] being on a team we play against so many times a year, I don’t.”
so yeah you could say he’s kind of mean but he’s no ty cobb. i think this quote sums up matt capps nicely:
“My business is to go out here and beat the team we’re playing no matter who’s on it.”
kick ass.
by johnnycuff on May 20, 2008 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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