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Drama Llama vs Pollyanna

At the risk of incurring the wrath of ElliotBayBucco,  I must ask the question as to whether this current roster really has any talent.  Doumit and McLouth are fine ballplers but Wilson and Sanchez are adequate at best and then only on pennant contenders because neither player has the ability to get on base, hit with any power, or show any speed on the bases.  All these two guys bring to the table is defense and the ability to get a single once out of every four at-bats.  The LaRoche brothers are both busts and Moss and Pearce are hitting under .200.  Added to that, our two best starters from last year (Snell and Gorzo) are among the 5 worst pitchers in all of baseball when you compare ERAs.  Then, combine the fact that not one player acquired from Boston and New York has performed acceptably to the general consensus that we have the least amount of minor league talent in all of baseball and one doesn't see a pretty picture.

In summary, we have a lot more to worry about than when Alvarez reports to practice.  Bill James demonstrated that a player like Hank Aaron was only personally responsible for about 7 wins per year and so Alvarez alone isn't even going to elevate us to a .500 team.  We need much more.  We must ask ourselves why many players on the other teams in our division have all improved but yet ours have diminished in production (other than Doumit/McLouth).  I don't have the anwer  to this question but I'm smart enough to know that we have a problem and that is the first step in improving the team.  Sitting back and believing that this years draft and trades are going to make us a .500 team is really a stretch and will not occur until we can solve the riddle of the Sphinx and determine why only two players are performing up to expectations.

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Thank you

You articulate your point better than I could. I must agree 100% with your assessment. I still am not sold on Doumit and McClouth though. We have had too much history of one hit wonders (Freddy, Snell) to think that they are keystones to building the franchise around.

To say what we have acquired has performed terribly is an understatment. I still want to see the Big O in September, but as far as the rest of the acquisitions (sans Tabata) I am dissapointed. Could Moss be McClouthlike next year? Can we even guarantee that McClouth will be McClouthlike next year? McClouths numbers have wanned over the second half (Snell anybody) and its not like he is going to have a Bay or Nady in the lineup during next year’s first half.

As far as Doumit is concerned, he still has not been healthy an entire year. All his injuries seem to be flukes, but the flukes continue. I do not see building around someone not proven to stay healthy as a viable a strategy.

IMHO, the people to build around are still in the minors which is a scary position to be in as a franchise. This means there is no one proven at the major league level. That is what we are facing as a franchise. We can lay all the ground work we want, but we are dealing with one hit wonders, minor league journeymen and vet bench players today and in the near future. Heaven forbid we hit a few snags with our development of the few prospects we have. If a some “cant miss” misses, we could be looking at another protracted amount of losing seasons.

Is this all doom and gloom – no . The positive: The Bucs front office is doing the right things now. You dont correct 16 losing seasons with a few deadline trades and a good draft. We are in a 3-4 year process of turning into a contender – that is the bottom line.

It wouldnt be so hard to take this third rebuild if we havent already been promised this by two other regimes (remember when PNC Park would usher in World Series titles). Of course the Bucs management is getting it right now, but there will be hiccups and we all know about the “best laid plans of mice and men….”. Sorry – I have to be Missouri on this topic. I have been overpromised and under delivered too many times.

by vanslyke on Aug 27, 2008 10:56 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

IPF

“At the risk of incurring the wrath of ElliotBayBucco, I must ask the question as to whether this current roster really has any talent.”

Well, you and your boy Gunner wanted the team dismantled-i.e. your TRADE, TRADE, TRADE! tirades-so you got what you wanted. I think most of the rest of us knew that once big pieces of the drive for #75 team were traded away, that it would be rough going for a good while. The team isn`t any good now. So what? The most important thing is to watch how certain individuals progress or regress during September.

“The LaRoche brothers are both busts.”

Adam is doing pretty much what we know he is capable of at the plate and in the field. He is not as good as we had hoped, but he is still better than anything else at present.
Do you wish we could go back and trade Gonzalez for Melky Cabrera? Yeah, that would have been better.

I don`t see any reason to pass any sort of judgment on Andy LaRoche til he`s had an extended period of injury-free playing time with the Bucs. Come back to this issue at the All-Star break next year. Calling him a “bust” now is way too soon.

“Added to that, our two best starters from last year (Snell and Gorzo) are among the 5 worst pitchers in all of baseball when you compare ERAs.”

Tell us something we don`t know, IPF. Let`s see how they finish this year, and then what kind of start they get off to next year, especially paying attention to their velocity and command in the spring, before calling for their heads.

“Then, combine the fact that not one player acquired from Boston and New York has performed acceptably to the general consensus that we have the least amount of minor league talent in all of baseball and one doesn’t see a pretty picture.”

But you and Herrera-lovin` Gunner called for TRADES!!! and now you`re whining and cryin` cause we didn`t get Cy Young or Hank Aaron.

IPF: riddles, riddles, riddles….

by patthatt on Aug 27, 2008 10:58 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Oh, good grief.

Can we please have a moratorium on calling young players “busts” until they’ve spent at least a full season in our lineup?

Overlooking for a moment the fact that as a Pirate Brandon Moss has a .247/.337/.457 batting line, good for a 109 OPS+ and better than any non-2008 line on Nady’s ledger, you can’t tell anything about a player’s abilities in 50-100 AB. It just doesn’t work that way. Honest.

Don’t believe me? Here’s how a few Pirates of the past started their ML careers:

Bobby Bonilla, first 136 AB: .243/.329/.316
Dick Groat, first 71 AB: .239/.308/.254
Al Oliver, first 71 AB: .183/.284/.282
Johnny Ray, first 102 AB: .245/.284/.353
Manny Sanguillen, first 96 AB: .271/.300/.313
Andy Van Slyke, first 91 AB: .209/.318/.396

Hell, some guys play their whole rookie year without hitting a lick, and still go on to be stars:

Roberto Clemente: .255/.284/.382
Bill Mazeroski: .243/.293/.318

Just once, I’d like to see my fellow Pirate fans show at least a modicum of patience. Prospects generally don’t just burst into the majors fully formed. They’re works in progress, and if you freak out over a month’s worth of ABs, you’re going to toss out a hell of a lot of good players.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:02 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Vlad

Of course you are right, but remember the source of this diary.

The moratorium should be placed on IPF`s access to posting new diaries.

by patthatt on Aug 27, 2008 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

patthat

If you don’t like them then don’t read them. I thought this board existed for people to share their feelings and not just to sit around the camp fire singing Kumbaya,and congratulating each other for agreeing that the sky is not falling. If you don’t like what I say then ignore me. I don’t care. I joined this board to share my thoughts and read those of others even if I didn’t agree with them. If you want a friend, buy a dog because I’m getting tired of your Nazi-like approach just because you don’t agree with me.

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think that is a bit harsh, Patthatt.

IPF has as much right as anyone to post new diaries. His opinion has the right to be heard just as much as the next person. As much as IPF & I disagree about topics far and wide, I can relate with his desire to see the Pirates turn the corner. I would be said when I can’t turn to the BD blog and not see a diary post from the IPF.

by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 27, 2008 6:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well,

Bill Mazeroski never did hit a lick then – his rookie numbers of .243/.293/.318 aren’t too far off his career numbers of .260/.299/.367.

by wickethewok on Aug 27, 2008 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maz's offense

His rookie year, he had an OPS+ of 66. That was the lowest full-season OPS+ of his 17-year ML career (he did post a 33 in 64 AB the year he retired). Over most seasons, he was generally in the 80-90 OPS+ range, with a career high of 98 as a 21-year-old in 1958. He wasn’t an offensive juggernaut by any means, but he showed tremendous improvement from his rookie performance.

Maz’s career numbers are held down relative to his rookie year numbers because the league’s offensive environment collapsed. His prime, age 27-30, came between 1964 and 1967, probably the most extreme pitcher’s era of modern ball.

If you normalize Maz’s numbers to a neutral park/league/era context, he’s a .249/.299/.325 hitter as a rookie… and a .263/.303/.370 hitter for his career.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Talent?

There is plenty of talent on this team. Is there enough? Of course not. But you can’t look at one year’s (or one MONTH’s) worth of stats and say a guy lacks talent based off that.

Doumit, McLouth = talent.

Snell, Gorzo = talent. Have they played poorly? Absolultely. But that does not make them talentless. They’re having bad years, big difference. They’ve shown what they’re capable of last year, and through the minors. They have a track record. Just as players playing over their head tend to come back down to earth (and their statistical norm), players performing poorly tend to trend upwards the same way.

LaRoche brothers = talent. While Adam is clearly an enigma, he’s shown enough sustained performance in the last 3 months of the past 3 years to prove he has talent. What he lacks is consistency and the ability to resemble a ML hitter the first 2-3 months of the season. Clearly it’s a mental issue, not a talent one.

Everyone is being WAY too hard on Andy LaRoche. Has he played poorly? Yes. But he has been jerked around by the LAD and mishandled (as they tend to do with all their young players). Seems to me like he’s simply pressing and stressing. His test will come next year in spring training, when he’s fully healed and mentally prepared.

Maholm = talent. While I would love it if he could sustain this type of production (unlikely, but not impossible), even if he slips a bit he’s still a solid #3 ML starter. And as we’ve seen this year, having stability and consistency in the rotation makes a huge difference.

Moss = talent. While he’ll likely never be an All-Star, he’s a legitimate 4th OF who can get on base and hit for power.

Wilson, Sanchez = best options we have right now. Developing good MIF never easy, most flame out either with the glove or bat. Take a look around the majors, there are worse players starting for some teams. And those that are better tend to make a lot of money due to the scarcity and value.

Bottom line is what the team looks like TODAY is irrelevant. What matters is that we finally have some depth (still far from enough) in the system to feed the big club. No one player (Alvarez) is going to do it himself, but we have others (Tabata, etc) to pin some hope on.

Everyone just buckle up and survive the end of year. The team will suck, we know this. It’s not about this year, it’s about the future. Just take the lumps like a man (or woman) and understand that there’s a rebuilding process going on… a REAL rebuilding process, not the jokes we’ve experienced in the past under Bonifay and Littlefield.

by JohnnyNez on Aug 27, 2008 11:03 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Touche

Granted – a half doesnt dictate good players (look at Adam LaRoche) or maybe a year for that matter.

My question is how can you say Doumit and McClouth are keystones based on this year, when you have the Snells/Gorzos/Sanchezs last year?

by vanslyke on Aug 27, 2008 11:04 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

There are never guarantees...

But take a look at Doumit and McLouth’s production in the minors.

There is a track record there.

What they lacked under Tracy was CONSISTENT PLAYING TIME.

Take a look at McLouth’s numbers last year when Tracy was forced to run him out there every day. Darn impressive. Then he STILL benched him in September for Nyger freakin’ Morgan.

by JohnnyNez on Aug 27, 2008 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In any given year:

Some players will do better than expected, and some will do worse than expected. That’s just life.

Good teams have enough talent that they can weather worse-than-expected seasons from a few key contributors. Bad teams don’t have much talent, so they assume that everyone will be healthy and productive all year, and then they cry and bitch and whine and moan when it doesn’t happen.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tell me, when was the last time that McLouth & Doumit

played one full season, a season when they were starting?

by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 27, 2008 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is it their fault they're not starting?

It’s the manager. Paulino and Morgan were Tracy guys, pure and simple.

In the minors Doumit and Paulino had to battle for PT, while McLouth took a backseat to Duffy.

Yet their numbers were still good… clearly their lack of PT wasn’t production related, so that argument has little merit.

by JohnnyNez on Aug 27, 2008 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Didn't claim it was their fault for not starting,

just giving a reason for their numbers dropping recently due to their new workload.

by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 28, 2008 3:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

patthat

“Tell us something we don`t know, IPF.”

I live equidistance between St. Louis and Chicago and so I know more about these two franchises than I care to but I can say that despite their occasional down-years they always had some positive news to report to give their fans hope and that is something Pirate fans lack…and for good reason…there isn’t any. After 16 consecutive years of losing people need and deserve some occasional good news upon which they can hang their hopes for next year.

Bring up Andrew McCutchen, Pearce, Tabata, Alvarez (if he ever reports) and give us a glimpse of the future. So what if the damn clock starts running? So what if their confidence gets shaken. If they can’t take it now then why would you want them? They’re supposed professionals. Most of the time people live up/down to our expectations of them and if you continue to tell someone he’s not ready yet then eventually he’ll believe it. What if they told that to Mantle, Yount, and the other of hundreds of players who started their careers in MLB before they could legally drink? At least my method would give the fans some hope and show them what their season ticket money for next year will be used for. It’s called salesmanship and we don’t have it. All we have to sell is 16 years of losing and the continued promise that things will improve. Like the poster of the vulture looking down on a flock of birds says: “Patience my ass. I want to kill something now!”

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 11:16 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If we bring up McCutchen,Tabata, and Alvarez...

…you’ll just complain that they aren’t hitting right out of the box, and therefore they suck and are awful, and we’re all doomed forever. And then they’ll all leave as free agents before they peak, because we rushed them to the majors.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Incidentally:

Robin Yount, rookie year: .250/.276/.346, 344 AB

Hard to know why the Brewers even wasted playing time on a bust like him.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bad idea

Bringing up all of our top prospects long before they are ready, just to appease the fans and to sell tickets in the final month of a lost season, is something Littlfield would have done. All that will do is ruin what little hope we have for the future.

Screw the fans. Let’s concentrate on building a winning team. Then everyone will be happy.

Pittsburgh Lumber Co.
http://mvn.com/mlb-pirates

by MBandi on Aug 27, 2008 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

IPF,

if we bring all of these kids up, how are they going to play everyday? Sitting on the bench does them no good. The reason they are in the minors is to get their reps in to become everyday players. Why do you think McLouth and Doumit have performed below their first half numbers of late? Might it have something to do with less playing time in the past, recovering from injuries or sitting on the bench when AAA Duffy was having one of his many meltdowns? Come on, I want to see these kids succeed but throwing them to the wolves isn’t the answer.

by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 27, 2008 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

IPF

I responded to something you wrote about Snell and Gorzo and you respond with a hazy geography lesson and the fortunes of the St. Louis and Chicago(NL) franchises?

Strange, strange, strange…and that`s before you get into Mickey, Yount, salesmanship and whatever the heck else you want to spout off about.

“Like the poster of the vulture looking down on a flock of birds says: "Patience my ass. I want to kill something now!"”

You are a strange bird, IPF.

by patthatt on Aug 27, 2008 11:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

One of the hardest things for a lot of people to see

is that the truth is not strengthened by exaggeration. The argument you are making is certainly tenable but why make stuff up to support it? Moss is not hitting under .200 as you claim, he is at .247 with an OPS+ of 109 since joining the Pirates – not bad at all for a 24 year old. Or to wave your hands and cliam that Adam Laroche is a bust is just silly. He started poorly again this year but has played very well for quite awhile now, bringing his OPS + up to 115.

by WestCoastBuc on Aug 27, 2008 11:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

WestCoastBuc

I didn’t intentionally exaggerate Moss’ stats…I just didn’t look them up. Either way, my point is still valid…he’s not producing and neither are either of the LaRoche brothers or anybody else other than Doumit/McLouth. If I’m wrong then give me examples of improvement/hope you see either at the MLB level or Minor Leagues because I don’t see it. I’ve watched every inning of every game on MLB Ticket and I can say that Karstens will never become even a decent 5th starter and Michaels will never be a regular. I could go on and list a littany of poor performances. All I ask is that you list a few good ones so that I can have hope. I’ll wait…

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 11:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You might want to try looking up stats next time:

On top of the Moss thing, Karstens has a 3.38 ERA in his five starts with us. And big LaRoche is hitting .329/.394/.624 in the second half.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I guarantee you that Karstens

Will never be better than a 5th starter, if that and I wouldn’t be touting LaRoche’s performances in a given 1/2 year period if I were you. Were you hibernating in the past two Springs and early Summers when he couldn’t hit his weight for the second consecutive year? How about those stats, huh?

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hibernating

They play games all year, you know, and every game counts for just as much in the standings. If he’s twice as productive in the second half, then it’s no big deal if he struggles in the first half.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Pirates need starters,

if Karstens is a 5th starter, then I will be happy.

by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 27, 2008 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vlad

What you say could indeed happen…but then maybe it wouldn’t and that’s something we’ll never know. At least my way gives us some hope and provides some excitement. Would you rather watch Russell run out Gomez, Minky, 0-for-3vas, and Michaels or the 4 I listed?

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 11:25 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Huh?

You’re going to toss all three of our infield backups over the side of the boat, and replace them with three outfielders and a guy who projects long-term as a first baseman?

On days when we need to rest Jack and Freddy, I bet McCutchen and Tabata are going to look smooth as silk turning two out there…

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Now you're being ridiculous...

What I want is Pearce at 1B, McCutchen in CF, McLouth in RF, Moss in LF; and Walker being platooned with LaRoche at 3B and Doumit at C when he’s tired. Next, I want Duke out of the rotation and I want someone hired that can explain to me the problems with Snell and Gorzo. Is that plain enough?

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Plain enough, but it doesn't make sense.

You’re benching our hottest hitter, Adam LaRoche, at a time when you’re complaining that we aren’t scoring enough runs. You’re promoting three guys from the minors (Pearce, Walker, and whatever pitcher takes Duke’s rotation spot) without opening three spaces on the 25-man roster. And you’re basically setting Walker up to fail, promoting him into a bunch of playing time that he didn’t earn (.239/.277/.414 at AAA this year) while also forcing him to spend time at a difficult position he hasn’t played in two years.

And I don’t really get how Tabata and Alvarez magically disappeared from your new roster between your earlier post in the thread and this one.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

More questions:

Why bench little LaRoche if you want more promising young players in the lineup? He’s been a better hitter in the minors than any of the guys you mention, and he’s so far ahead of Walker at this point that it’s not even funny.

Why start Pearce at first, if you were complaining about his hitting in the body of the diary?

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vlad

Send down Duke, Gomez, Rivas, Minky, and Morgan because they’re not needed and replace them with McCutchen, Pearce, Walker, and any other pitchers other than Herrera and JVB and we’ll save Tabata and Alvarez for Spring training. There are not many games left and we don’t need this dead weight. Next, use these guys:
Moss LF; McCutchen CF; McLouth RF; Pearce 1B; Sanchez 2B; Wilson SS; Walker/LaRoche 3B; Doumit C.

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No backup infielders?

Who comes in at 2B/SS if Jack or Freddy turn an ankle?

And when you say that you want to “send down” Gomez, Rivas, and Minky, you realize that all three are out of options, right? Minky would almost certainly be claimed on waivers, and Gomez and Rivas would probably opt to become free agents rather than accept an outright assignment (as their levels of service time permit them to do).

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, yes, IPF,

let`s just send your list on one-way plane rides to Indy. Brilliant.

Cutch and Walker are not ready for the bigs, IPF. Everybody else understands this. Why can`t you?

What other pitchers do we have that we can bring up in September? Jesse Chavez is going to join the team, as per Charlie`s post today.

by patthatt on Aug 27, 2008 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You can't send down Gomez, Rivas or Minky,

they would become FA. Your biggest fear of the Cardinals or Cubs picking them up for nothing while the Pirates pay the tab would come to fruition. Your buddies in the office would be laughing out loud at how the Pirates gave up three big leaguers with experience without trying to trade them just so you can have a AAA roster rotating spots on the bench and setting a league record for most losses in a season.

by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 27, 2008 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What you want...

Makes no sense, sorry. McCutchen and Walker are not ready. Why bring them up before they are just to have them struggle at the big league level? It gains nothing, and starts their clock not to mention likely wrecks their confidence.

Walker will likely need to repeat AAA next year, all year. His power #s aren’t bad but his average shows he’s not ready to be dissected by big league pitching. McCutchen is closer but again, why rush him when there’s nothing to gain? Let him keep playing every day at AAA and give him a chance to EARN the CF/LF job in spring training next year. Competition makes everyone better.

Just as I was an advocate of sending Pearce down and letting Nady play every day to establish trade value, it makes no sense to bench LaRoche at 1B. He’s arguably our best hitter right now. Let him continue to rake. And pray next year he starts hot (for once) so you can either move him or determine if he’s your guy. Pearce can play every day in the minors until Sept 1st then give him a fair chance in RF the rest of the year.

What the Bucs need (and are doing) is to have a long-term vision and plan, not short-term fixes (especially if it involves rushing players before they’re ready) to try and win an extra game or two. Our W/L record this year (and next) is irrelevant to the long term plan.

by JohnnyNez on Aug 27, 2008 11:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

IPF

“I didn’t intentionally exaggerate Moss’ stats…I just didn’t look them up. Either way, my point is still valid…”

Nice work, IPF.

You want Pearce at 1B instead of Adam LaRoche? Why?
McCutchen is NOT READY to play in the majors yet which is the reason he has not been recalled and will probably not be recalled in September. Got it yet?
Walker has not played well enough at Indy to merit a promotion either, IPF. He and Cutch are at Indy to develop. O.K.???
Many of us want Duke out of the rotation. Tell us something we don`t know, IPF.

by patthatt on Aug 27, 2008 11:40 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

And you want Walker

just to mosey on behind the plate and spell Doumit when he is tired? After not even catching in the minors for two years, let alone even being able to perform at the MLB level???

“I want someone hired that can explain to me the problems with Snell and Gorzo.”

What is this supposed to mean?

by patthatt on Aug 27, 2008 11:49 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

patthatt

You have completely missed my point. I understand that management believes our young players are not ready but I don’t care about that because minor league stats are often misleading. I want them brought up now to showcase their talent and give us and indication of how they might perform in the future. What do we have to lose? We can finish last with them or without them. At least my way we have some hope. Without them we are guaranteed of another last-place finish.

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 11:51 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Who cares if we finish last?

I certainly don’t. That should have ZERO bearing on roster decisions. The only thing that matters is the long-term state of the franchise, 2010 being a reasonable target to increase expectations.

by JohnnyNez on Aug 27, 2008 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We ARE guaranteed another last-place finish.

Old guys or new guys, it doesn’t matter. We can’t worry about the standings this year (or next year, or probably even the year after that). If we want to succeed, we need to repair all the damage that Littlefield and Creech did to the organization… and that’s going to take years. If we try and make a last-minute charge for fifth place right now, it’ll only make our task even harder in the future.

by Vlad on Aug 27, 2008 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Have you checked Pearce's minor league stats since his return to Indy?

He sure hasn’t been tearing the ball off of the cover in anger over his demotion.

by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 27, 2008 6:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

IPF

“I understand that management believes our young players are not ready but I don’t care about that because minor league stats are often misleading.”

Huh? You know something they don`t, IPF?

“I want them brought up now to showcase their talent and give us and indication of how they might perform in the future.”

Bring them up too soon and the only thing they`ll showcase is that they are minor league-level players at present, and you risk screwing up their development.

“Without them we are guaranteed of another last-place finish.”

Huh? We are almost already guaranteed a last place finish. So what? You think Cutch and Walker would do something to change this?

by patthatt on Aug 27, 2008 11:56 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

So no hope then

No winning year in 2008 and 2009. All we have to cling to is hope that this plan will work. While it is better than other plans, I still disagree with all of you that we have viable keystones to build around at the MLB level. All we have are one year wonders, projections and track record in the minors. Of course we have to have hope and we have to identify somebody; but it is FALLACY to say we have KEYSTONES.

If McClouth and Doumit have similar numbers this time next year, then OK; but you cant say they are keystones today. They are our best options today and they are not blocking anybody, but remember last year we said that Gorzo and Snell were the keystones of our staff. Yes Gorzo and Snell are having down years, but I would hardly use the term “keystone” for players that had to spend 2 months in the minor leagues and someone who has slumped for 1.5 years.

Bottom line – 2010 is wishful

by vanslyke on Aug 27, 2008 12:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Keystones

Not sure who is throwing around that word, but to me a keystone is an Evan Longoria, Hanley Ramirez, David Wright type of player.

Do we currently have anyone of that mold? No. We can hope that Alvarez and Tabata (who have that type of ability) become that. But there are no guarantees.

Doumit is as close as it gets on our team to being a keystone. Switch hitting catchers that hit for power and average are rare, indeed. His bat has never been in question, it’s always been about his health. With his bat mediocrity on defense can be tolerated. By all accounts he has started taking better care of himself, so I’d view him as a safe bet to maintain his play, and possibly even improve it.

by JohnnyNez on Aug 27, 2008 1:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

you know, IPF, maybe bullet points will help

I would like to think that, given the at least half dozen times it has happened, you would take your cues from the following scenario:

Step 1: You pose some roster move, player evaluation, etc in the form of a diary or comment.

Step 2: At least a dozen other commenters absolutely rail on you and use very valid evidence, sometimes evidence better than your own, to completely obliterate whatever logic existed in your idea.

You can not simply blow up a roster. The changes you suggest are an attempt to accomplish the following:

1) Improve the apparent talent level of the current 25-man roster
2) Subsequently improve the ability of the current MLB team to win games

Your ideas, while nice, have the following flaws:

1) At least some, if not a large majority of them, are based only loosely in fact (for instance, not bothering to look up Moss’ stats, which would have shown you that he is not hitting for a great average, but he is by no means performing poorly).
2) Your moves are not logical. You cannot simply clear the bench of a bunch of players – most of whom are infielders and who have shown that they are both offensively and defensively competent at those positions in at least limited exposure – and replace them with a nother bunch of players – most of whom are outfielders and have not yet proven that they can consistently be offensively and defensively competent at even the AAA level, let alone the ML level.

Making those changes not only would not in any way improve the odds of the team winning games, but also run the risk of stunting the growth of several prospects (regardless of exactly how good those prospects are) who are clearly not ready for the major leagues yet.

Even if they did, by some absolute miracle, manage to handle regular major league duty (the odds of a player who has never been above AA succeeding at MLB – very low…the odds of a player with a career .220ish average above AA succeeding at MLB – very low) and improve the team’s ability to win games, it is utterly irrelevant whether this team wins 65 games or 75 games – this year, next year, and beyond. There are only two levels of win totals. Good enough to contend, and not. We are in the latter for the forseeable future no matter what roster changes we try to make.

by geeves on Aug 27, 2008 4:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

IPF,

I know you have compared Billy Beane to Neal Huntington many a time prior to the trade deadline. Just out of curiousity, have you seen the record of the Oakland A’s since Beane dumped 2/5ths of his starters, Blanton & Harden? Do you still consider Beane a genius since he took a team with a winning record and dismantled it for prospect city? At least Seattle (with a payroll over $100 million) is stinking it up worse than Oakland so they aren’t wallowing in the basement of the AL West.

Why would Beane do something so outrageous as getting rid of Blanton and Harden during the season and Haren during the offseason? The A’s had a winning record but that wasn’t good enough for Billy Beane. He stated his farm system was in shambles and needed to be revamped. Now the Oakland A’s are a AAA team barely winning. I often wonder if the A’s fans feel betrayed by Beane as much as a large share of Pirates fans feel about Huntington? They have been through this rebuilding phase before and have seen it work more than once. Maybe they have faith that a turn around isn’t that far away, that Beane will guide them back to the playoffs again in the near future?

The A’s young kids aren’t hitting too well, guess Beane should bring up everyone and play them. Maybe Oakland & Pittsburgh can petition the league to allow them to use five DH’s a game so their bench full of prospects can get the AB’s they normally would get playing in AAA, AA or wherever else in the farm system they should be playing because fans want to see these young kids and will buy tickets to watch them play over their heads on an everyday basis.

No wrath for you, IPF. I understand your frustration and want the PBC to win just as much as you. Often times, we remember how good the PBC used to be and long for those days but with the good come the bad. The Pirates of the 70’s were followed by the Pirates of the 80’s and they stunk. The Pirates of the 50’s were just as bad, followed by the 60’s and signs of promise. Let’s hope that the 00’s are our ‘50s and that the ’10’s will be a decade of gloating over the Cardinals, Cubs and everyone else’s fans other than our own fellow Pirates fans.

by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 27, 2008 7:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

EBB

I understand how you can look at the A’s and be tempted to compare their position to ours but I don’t think that’s a fair comparison because of all of the previous success Beane has had prior to this year. Further, I don’t believe he would have traded Harden if he believed him to be healthy. It is my understanding he has had only one injury-free year and has been on the DL many times and that is the reason he was traded.

As to my desire to promote young players at this late date in the season consider the following:
1. Both Maz and Willie Mays joined their parent clubs at age 20
2. All of the following not only joined their parent clubs while in their early 20’s but they all gathered considerable success:

Joe Mauer; Prince Fielder; Robinson Cano; Miguel Cabrera; Jose Reyes; Grady Sizemore; Jeff Francoeur; and Delmon Young.

I’m sure more exist but these came to mind as I was typing. My point is that early arrival does not guarantee that a player will be permanently scarred because the possibility exists that he could actually succeed and thus help the team earlier than under the more traditional approach. However, I would quickly state that I don’t believe that our players will mature to the level of those previously mentioned but you must admit that the possibility does exist and it would bring some much-needed excitement to the team.

A special thank you for defending me to patthat. Although you and I often disagree I have always respected your opinion and fairness.

by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 27, 2008 8:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

apples and oranges

all over again, IPF.

all of the examples you cite as coming up in their early 20’s and ‘werent permanently scarred’ and ‘helped the team earlier’…

Joe Mauer – considered a super-elite prospect from the day he was drafted. came up at 21 because he was absolutely pounding the ball in the minors (.331 avg .831 ops in only 285 AB’s) and didnt really have anybody blocking him in the system.

Prince Fielder – also considered super-elite from the get go. also smacked the crap out of the ball (.297 avg and .922 ops in 448 AB’s) and was brought up because the only thing in his way was the tradeable lyle overbay.

 Delmon Young – ALSO considered super-elite. ALSO smacked the crap out of the ball (.317 avg and .880 ops in 353 AB’s) and brought up because there was nobody blocking him.

NONE of the players in our system – except He Who Is Holding Out – are even in that ballpark talentwise, so those three are useless comparisons.

 Robinson Cano and Jose Reyes – international undrafted FA’s because of their potential at a young age, moved up through the system despite modest numbers, maybe those are decent comparisons.

Miguel Cabrera – undrafted FA, modest numbers, was promoted in 03 because he was suddenly CRUSHING the ball in AA ball and the Marlins had no better internal options for a 3B/OF upgrade (aka nobody blocking him)

Jeff Francoeur – considered a very good, though perhaps not elite prospect, came up at 21 because he was hitting well in the minors and….because…there was nobody blocking him

Grady Sizemore – wasnt originally considered a top notch prospect, but eventually came up to CLE at 21 because he was hitting well and there wasnt truly anybody blocking him

I KNOW you’re smart enough to see the pattern here. SO what about our own guys? Well, obviously, Nate is the only reasonably entrenched starter, which means there is no blockage going on in the outfield…

McCutchen – NOT smacking the crap out of the ball at AAA
Walker – Ditto.
Pearce – Ditto, but will probably be back up anyway.
Tabata – IS smacking the crap out of the ball at AA, I might actually seriously consider giving him a September callup, but he’ll probably head to Arizona instead.

by geeves on Aug 28, 2008 1:55 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Also...

…the weakest of those prospects was Francoeur, and his career WAS damaged by the premature promotion. He never learned pitch recognition, his offensive numbers declined, and he even lost his job for a time this year and got sent to AAA.

As geeves notes, the only one of our prospects you named who is hitting like he needs a promotion is Tabata, and even for him the sample is too small to draw any real conclusions. If you promoted someone like Walker right now, he’d be totally helpless.

by Vlad on Aug 28, 2008 8:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In a nutshell

It is way to soon to assess any of these guys. More important, many of asked for them to blow it up and start over again, and we got our wish. None of those who asked for that should be under any illusion that this will be fast or pretty. This painful exercise should have been undertaken years ago. We waited far too long, and it is going to hurt like hell for a while. It is what it is. They did the right thing, and they need to keep doing it.

by RichieHebner on Aug 31, 2008 12:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Bright side...

If this happened years ago Littlefield would have been in charge of the blow-up. And we can only imagine how THAT would have went!

The one thing we do owe Dave (and probably the ONLY thing) is that he brought Bay and Nady into the organization to allow NH to flip them. Thank goodness he didn’t dump either last year for nothing.

by JohnnyNez on Aug 31, 2008 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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