Link Roundup: Yoslan Herrera and the State College Spikes are Still Terrible
-P- Yoslan Herrera was sent back to Altoona after yesterday's debacle. That's where he belongs. We might be inclined to look at his one good start--the one on July 24, against the Padres--and think he's just an adjustment or two away from figuring things out, but we've got to keep our eyes on the prize. Remember how closely people used to watch Ryan Vogelsong and Jimmy Anderson for signs of progress? Even they could turn in decent starts now and again, but that didn't mean they were any good or ever would be any good. Herrera wasn't that good against Class AA pitching and he probably isn't ever going to be a good big-league starter.
-P- I swear, I opened this column accidentally.
The really, really annoying aspect of the trades was the insistence of some -- both pundits and apologists -- that since the team wasn't winning with Bay and Nady trading them was the right thing to do. That's the height of convoluted thinking. Such reasoning suggests Bay and Nady were the reason the Pirates were losing. The exact opposite is true. The team was almost winning because of Nady and Bay. They are not losing ballplayers, they are winning ballplayers and the fact that they now play for two of the most successful franchises in baseball is the ultimate proof of that.
The Pirates gave up two middle-of-the-lineup bats and one of the top left-handed specialists in the game for prospects. While they increased depth -- whoopee -- they lowered payroll and hope.
I love the dismissal of anyone who liked the trades as an "apologist." And the idea that the Pirates were "almost winning" with Nady and Bay, despite the fact that on the day the Bay trade took place, the Pirates were 14.5 games out of first and in last place.
Did anyone with a clue have "hope" for the Pirates team that included Nady and Bay? The team that had peak-age players at every spot in the lineup and no pitching staff or minor-league depth, and that won 68 games last year and was in last place at the end of July? Really?
-P- Wow, the State College paper sure is mad. A week or two ago, I blamed the Spikes' terrible season on a bunch of Dave Littlefield-acquired pitchers, but now there's even more blame to go around. No one is really hitting well, and the pitching has been a complete debacle. The Pirates really need to sign their good draft picks. I can't emphasize this enough. It's not just Pedro Alvarez, it's the fact that they drafted a bunch of high-upside guys and a bunch of filler guys, and so far they've mostly signed the filler guys. Matt Hague has been excellent for Hickory and Jarek Cunningham has been good for Bradenton, but other than that the Pirates have absolutely nothing to show for their draft so far. Obviously, it's early, but if they want to generate any momentum from the trades they just made, they need to get cracking on those draft picks.
42 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
And evidently
Andy (Luigi) LaRoche sprained his thumb (the previously injured one) on his last AB last night. No fracture…but it sounds like we may be short a corner infielder for a few days. Mostly from PG’s page and DK’s blog.
farrell
jeremy farrell hadn’t been doing too bad until he got hit in the head a few times…he is killing lefties though…
I haven't read Charlie's comments on the Smizik column yet...
... but here is I wrote to Smizik this morning:
Bob,
With all due respect, you are considerably off base with your 8/5/08 column.
1. You are suggesting that the Pirates should sign Alvarez no matter the cost. I strongly disagree. The team’s stated approach is correct: Assign a fair value to Alvarez (and any player), budget that much money and perhaps a bit more, and be willing to negotiate up to that number. In certain situations (and Alvarez is one of them), you can stretch the budget a bit, but otherwise you do not overpay unless it is the final piece to the puzzle and it won’t cripple you for the foreseeable future (the exception does not apply here). Overpaying makes no sense and doing so is the hallmark of a bad organization. Perhaps one could argue with the value the Pirates placed on Alvarez or that the team’s budget is insufficient, but those would be entirely different issues (and there isn’t enough information at this point – at least as far as I am aware – to reach relevant conclusions).
2. You further suggest that the Pirates should be willing to spend more money to sign Alvarez because of the savings realized by the trades. Again, I strongly disagree. Experiencing a cash windfall does not justify poor subsequent financial decisions – especially when there is no cause/effect relationship between the windfall and the subsequent decision. I’m shopping for a Chevy Malibu with a $20,000 budget. If I win the lottery tonight and double my budget, I’m either buying two Malibus at $20,000 or upgrading to a $40,000 BMW. I’m not paying $40,000 for the same Malibu just because I can afford to.
3. The best way management can show doubting fans that it is serious about putting a winner on the field is to make a substantial and intelligent financial commitment to winning. Substantial but stupid financial commitments are counter-productive.
4. Finally, while I can understand that some – perhaps many – do not like the trades, a considerable percentage of Pirates fans are enthusiastic about the trade. Check out the blogs, where many of the best versed & devoted fans can be found, and you’ll see opinions ranging from satisfaction to outright jubilation. The team has the difficult task of building a winner while placating the casual fan (as opposed to the more learned fan) that makes up the majority of their income generating fan base. Often, the two missions are diametrically opposed. For example, the team had to choose between continuing to "almost win" with the traded players or significantly increasing their chances of actually winning in the next few years. The first choice (continuing to almost win) pisses off the entire fan base and for longer period of time. The second choice pisses off most of the fan base (casual fans), but for a shorter period of time. Unless there was a huge influx of cash on the way, this was the best way to build a sustainable winner. The fact that the approach has failed in Pittsburgh in the past indicts management, not the game plan. The game plan has worked in other cities and with competent management, there is no reason it won’t work here.
I enjoy your work, but your suggested approach to the Alvarez signing is terribly misguided.
Good day.
Very good response
Very nice job Uncle Nate. I sent him something very similar but used a gallon of milk instead of the Malibu.
The only thing that bothers me about trades like this is that, as fans, we dont know the true financial position of the team. I believe the payroll at the beginning of the season was in the neighborhood of 48M this year. Is that what this organization can afford? I dont care if payroll is 25M next year but I want to know what they are doing with the other 23M. Could it carry over into future years? By that logic we should have a pretty hefty warchest built up by now.
As much as I would like to see them tell Alvarez that they are offering slightly above slot money and if he doesnt like it he and his family can eat dog food for another year, I would rather see the team cave to his demands than to stick that money into the Nutting’s pockets. Or will they use it to “pay down long-term debt”? Like there is a difference between the two.
I like both of these deals from a long-term baseball standpoint but I think that we as fans are entitled to know more. We as a community are paying for that beautiful stadium and they are pulling in profits hand over fist. Why dont we save the tax collectors some work and just pay the Nuttings directly?
I guess what I am trying to say is that if my only choices are seeing either Alvarez or Nutting pocket the extra money, my choice would be Alvarez.
Just some ramblings from an uneducated, diehard Bucco fan.
Another ridiculous article by Bob Smizik:
http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/08218/901899-63.stm
“All of which means the team should be able to come to terms with Pedro Alvarez, their No. 1 draft choice. With this unexpected windfall, there is no reason for the Pirates not to be able to meet the demands of Alvarez’s agent Scott Boras. The Pirates knew going into the draft Boras was the most demanding negotiator in sports, and often asks for the outrageous. Now the Pirates, with the money they cut from payroll in these trades, have the wherewithal to comply with his demands.”
I hate to repeat part of what Uncle Nate says above, but why do they just have to bend over and take it up the you-know-what for Boras` demands?
“The really, really annoying aspect of the trades was the insistence of some - both pundits and apologists - that since the team wasn’t winning with Bay and Nady trading them was the right thing to do. That’s the height of convoluted thinking. Such reasoning suggests Bay and Nady were the reason the Pirates were losing.”
Trading them was the right thing to do in the hope that we could get enough major-league caliber talent in return to help rebuild a team that was going to have a losing record with them this year, and very probably would have had one next year with them in a Pirates` uniform, too.
If we had kept Bay and Nady through next season and ended up with only the compensatory picks in June 2010, how could we have even remotely imagined any winning seasons in the foreseeable future?
Smizik loves to criticize the previous administration of Dave Littlefield and Co., and he knows they left the minor league system in a shambles, so how was the team supposed to get any top-caliber talent without the two big trades in July? No matter who we end up signing from the draft by August 15, and no matter how hard we work at procuring talent in Latin America and elsewhere from this season, we all know our farm system had very few major-league projectible players prior to dealing Bay and Nady.
I think GM Huntington and Mr. Coonelly have done a lot of good so far and they have my support.
Whose thinking is convoluted here?
I think the award should go to Pittsburgh Post-Gazette sportswriter, DiscomBobulated Smizik.
The man truly doesn`t know whether he is coming or going anymore.
Well, at least he had someone spell check his article this time.
It's funny, really,
how Smizik criticizes Littlefield, but then offers up a countless numer of his own, Littlefield-like suggestions. Sign Nady long term-keep the core of a 68 win team intact-drive for .500 now with no eye for the future—etc, etc.
The current state of the Pirate team...
demanded that it be blown up and started over because there were no pitching prospects in the minor league system and very little hitting prospects. In fact, the system was very thin on talent and so the numbers game had to be played in hopes of finding some hidden gems in other more talented systems which is exactly what NH has done. I would have preferred that the team not be dismantled because I love offense and it was producing very well. However, the fact was that Nady’s stock was at its highest peak and the time was right to trade him and get some numbers we can hopefully turn into several quality players. Bay’s stock may continue to rise but we did receive 4 players who in the long run can hopefully produce more than Bay alone would have done.
I’m as frustrated as anyone over the past 16 years and by nature am not a patient man. However, I do believe management did the right thing by trading our existing talent and so they deserve some time to see if their strategy materializes. I do, however, agree with Smizik that we need to sign Alvarez at almost any cost and that NH does have an obligation to the fans to expend all of the salary he saved by trading these players and to reinvest the funds into younger talent. The fans deserve this much for their patience.
by Illinois Pirate Fan on Aug 5, 2008 10:27 AM EDT reply actions
Charlie
Dejan says in his August 5 Q&A about the pitching at State College:
“Finally, regarding State College, a commenter in this forum yesterday did a bit of homework: The four June draftees currently pitching for the Spikes are 15th-rounder Michael Colla, 25th-rounder Brian Leach, 38th-rounder Alan Knotts, 44th-rounder Mike Williams, 45th-rounder Allen Ponder and 48th-rounder Owen Brolsma. Those six are a combined 3-4 with a 4.54 ERA. The rest, which Kyle Stark told me are either from the previous administration or extended spring guys, are 6-30 with a 7.39 ERA.”
I think this shows that maybe the mid/lower-round pitchers signed so far this year haven`t done as poorly as we thought.
well have to hope
they those guys improve. Every class level is a jump and sometimes there’s an adjustment period…i’m hoping. But not all will make it out.
State College.....
I’m a bit surprised at the vitriol now aimed at our State College Spikes. Really? 40 some games and we’re ready to discount everyone? Sample size anyone? How many guys from this team realistically are prospects to begin with? Let’s focus on getting the rest of the top ten signed, follow their progress and evaluate come the fall. Do we care at all what their record is? I hope not. I hope we are focused on developing young players.
Smizik Off Mark
Two things…I like that the PBC put a fair market value on Alvarez. Also, we are taking a chance on Alvarez. He might have gone higher had he not broken the hamate bone in his hand. His power numbers were down this past year.
Is that an aberration? or will he regain his power back? supposedly he should regain his power back, but….what if he doesn’t? We pay big bucks for a singles, doubles? hitter with a little pop. hmmmm sounds like one of the LaRoches.
Also, I’ve never been a big fan of Big contracts for #1 picks especially since they start in the minors. If Anything, if the player makes it big leagues early maybe a bonus, but he’s gotta stick in the big leagues for a period of time for it to kick in. Most Players make it through performance in the MLB.
Yes Boras has been pretty good in identifying premium players, but is his track record 100%? Is he infallible? and He should follow the slotting system imo. If the pirates pay out of proportion to what Boras wants, imagine the following year what will happen. Assuming the pirates get some kind of high pick again in 2009. All Agents gonna say ‘Hey they paid above their slotting last year, lets see if they do it again this year’. Should the pirates overpay the following year? Could they afford that? Considering, the pirates have at least a year or more to get back to the glory years. On top of that…..other baseball teams get ‘suckered’ into this because of this mentality for following years.
It’s either “Take the money we offer Alvarez, or you can go play college ball for nothing” for one more year and prove you are worth that big money by putting up gawdy numbers in college ball and if he doesn’t hit homers next year…his price will fall and he will have lost money at least i think. So will Scott Boras.
As for Spending money no matter what the cost. Look at the Texas Rangers, they spent a ton of money on Alex Rodriguez (i don’t remember how many years ago), but then couldn’t spend any money on anyone else around him and they literally stunk. A Baseball team consists of 9 players on the field, not one player. You might say…look at Manny Ramirez(boston), but they’ve done well so far with the trade.
Long term, a hamate bone is nothin'.
It’s the appendix of the skeletal system. Guys break ‘em and come back fine all the time… you just need to to give it time to heal.
It's not a big deal that...
NH hasn’t been to State College yet. Give the guy a break. If you took over an organization that someone had just recently pipe-bombed, then visiting the half-season A ball team is probably far down on the list of priorities, especially since your predecessor left no prospects there anyway.
I’m sure a visit is coming now that the non-waiver trade deadline is past and once the other picks get signed.
Just to nitpick
The State College guy’s grammar could be better. You do not write “X, Y or Z have …” It’s “X,Y and Z have …” OR “X, Y or Z had …” You don’t get to have it both ways.
There seems to be increasing confusion among young writers about how to construct sentences that contain collective nouns, and increasingly it ticks off old cranks like me. Wish I had a dollar for every time I’ve seen this construction:
Collective noun (say, “family” or “team,” could be singular or plural given the context) + singular verb + plural pronoun
And vice versa.
Does anybody teach this stuff anymore?
End rant, and I’m calling the cops if I catch you egging my house again
Remind me
to stay off your lawn.
;-)
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro. -- HST
by cocktailsfor2 on Aug 5, 2008 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions
bucdaddy
Did you notice the writer thinks the Pirates` GM`s name is spelled, “Huntingdon?”
As a matter of fact,
he describes him as “general Neal Huntingdon” early in the article.
Smizik needs to keep his pen in Latrobe and
leave the baseball coverage/comments to DK. Nothing like throwing more fuel on the fire of team Alvarez/Boras for negotiations. Nothing like stating the obvious, Bob, yes the Pirates need to sign Pedro. I really do not want to see the Pirates throw an excessive amount of cash at Alvarez if it costs us signing three or more high upside draft picks this year.
Smizik&Alvarez
Hard to believe sometimes that Smizik is,I believe,on the Baseball Hall Of Fame Selection Committee…....
However,regarding Alvarez,is anyone else starting to feel that maybe the Pirates selection of Alvarez in the draft was intended to make a big PR splash for the franchise at the time,and then over the next few months “spin” the thing to make it seem as though the contract demands were unreasonable,while never really intending to sign him in the first place? I mean,they had a VERY good idea going in of what kind of offer it was probably going to take to sign him,and it almost seems as though they have been subtly preparing the fan base for an impasse….....
No......
I’m not a big fan of conspiracy theories in general. These guys deserve more credit than you are giving them. That strategy would be idiotic. They need talent and they know it. Alvarez will get signed.
in related news
the brew crew just signed their first round pick, though the signing bonus wasn’t announced.
what’s more interesting is that the brewers have now signed 30 or their first 32 picks while we don’t even have half of our top 10. with the trade deadline passed and the signing deadline approaching, i hope we hear some news out of the front office very soon.
yeah
i don’t mean to say that’s realistic. for all i know, the brewers picked 30 low-upside, high-signability guys. it just surprised me when i saw it because our pick signings from the draft are very bottom heavy.
Bonus was 1.7million for Lawrie
Here is the link.
Of the remaining eleven 1st rounders unsigned, five are Boras clients. Also, only three of the top ten 1st rounders have signed.
by ElliottBayBucco on Aug 5, 2008 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Honestly
I wish we could petition to get Smizik fired. But, look how much we are talking about his article, why would they let a guy like that go anwhere?
Maybe a poll to decide who is worse?
A. Smizik
B. Cook
C. Collier
D. all of the above
E. none of the above
Personally, I would select D based on the waft of crap that rises from all of their work.
The papers already know this
If Smizik and the others were any good, they’d have been hired by ESPN, Fox Sports, CNN/SI, Yahoo Sports or any other national media outlet (e.g., NY Times or Post, LA Times, Chi Tribune). The days of the local newspaper sports columnist in small markets are over. If you’re lucky you get a DK on his way up, until he’s hired away
When I was a child, now and then the PG and Press had sports cartoonists, like on the editorial page. My dad told me they used to be every day. Now where are they? Only the NY Daily News still has them. Same will happen to the Smiziks of the world.
http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/galleries/gallos_humor/gallos_humor.html
(Latest Daily News cartoon spanks Mets for giving up on X-Man. Yep, that’s the way they see it in NYC.)
Oliver Perez
will be a free agent in 2 months, and the NY papers don’t think the Mets are going to re-sign him. And after 4 days back in NY, they’ve decided that the Mets gave up on an budding superstar in Nady to get 2+ years of .500 pitching from Perez,. (Though to be fair, the NY papers have been on the Mets since the Nady-Perez trade saying that the Mets biggest need was a RH corner outfielder, and should re-aquire Nady.)
Cook is the worst
As much as I agree that this was a terrible column, Smizik is much better than that jackass Ron Cook. The guy said on the nightly sports call earlier this year that “the Pirates are ruined for me”. I wish they would send him and his lousy attitude packing.
Smizik is sometimes right
Cook is just an idiot. I used to work with a guy who, in a previous job, had worked with Cook. He said that Cook was often confused/surprised about really basic sports things, like which player was on which team, or which team was in which city. Stuff that’s well below the minimum standard of competence for a sportswriter.
Collier, I don’t know why he even pretends to write about sports anymore. He’s just so blatantly disinterested in it all.
Romulo
up to replace Herrera…no word on LaRoche’s wrist till late afternoon per PG.
You got it, Smizik
I was in favor of those trades because I believe that Jason Bay and Xavier Nady are losing ballplayers! They lose, when baseball should be about winning! No other factors come into play here, or in any trade ever, for that matter.
Good rehab signs at Bradenton today
Matt Capps…1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 K. 1 runner reached on error by Cunningham.
Jose Tabata 2-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI
Ronny Paulino finally caught 9 innings, went 1-4. Not so good, a SB and a PB while Capps was pitching.
that's cool
I didn’t even realize Tabata was coming back yet. Including today he is 4-9 with 1 2B, 2 HR, 1 BB, 4 R and 6 RBI.
It’s pretty unfair of the State College article to lament the as-of-yet-unsigned Tanner Scheppers, since the whole strategy with him is to wait as long as possible to see if he is going to be good off his injury.
Jason
The Hanging Curve
That's an OPS of 1.722
for Tabata at Bradenton. Somehow, I don’t think he will stay at that level.
Who the hell is "we"?
We believe - although we don’t agree with his strategy - general manager Neil Huntington made these trades to improve the team in the long term.
Who is Smizik speaking for here?
"We" is everone on talk radio...
...he paraphrased the entire article from.
Can we please make a pact to pretend that Smizik doesn’t exist? Maybe that way he’ll go away.

by 













