Now that I've climbed down off the ledge...
I have had time to formulate a plan to infuse some talent and excitement into the Bucs and feel it would bring excitement to the team as well as win more than 80 games.
1B-sign Adam Dunne for some much needed left-handed power. He'll go crazy in PNC with the short porch in RF. Then, trade LaRoche, the elder, and pocket his salary. Besides, he's gone after next season, anyway.
2B-Sanchez...Trade him for whatever you can get, play Cruz, and pocket the salary.
SS-it doesn't matter. Just sign a slick fielder. That's all you need at SS. Eckstein will do or sign the first warm body we see swimming off the coast of Venezuela if Ekstein wants too much. Trade Wilson and get whatever you can for him and save the $7 million.
3B-forget Alvarez. We're going to lose him. Give LaRoche a full season and pray lots of Rosaries. Save the $6 million.
C-Doumit is good and Paulino is a capable backup
OF-Bring up McCutcheon and Tabata and give them a chance along with McLouth and then play them every day. Stop wasting valuable A/B on aging players who are hanging on to increase their pensions like Michaels, Rivas, Gomez, and Minky.
SP-Sign Kyle Lohse and Oliver Perez (Brad Penny/Jon Garland if neither is available), give Ohlendorf and Dumatrait a fair chance, keep pitching Snell and Maholm because they are going to improve, and reduce the starts of both Gorzelanny and Duke. Enough is enough. Geesh! Oh, yeah, dump Karstens, he stinks and brings nothing to the table.
Part of the FA signings can be funded from the money we saved by not paying Morris next year plus the bonus we won't have to give to Alvarez because we'll lose him to the arbiter. Additional available funding will come from the savings from having traded Sanchez, Wilson, and LaRoche. It's a terrible idea to have the bulk of your money tied up in middle infielders who can't hit for power and don't have any speed on the bases. The rest of the money, God forbid, might have to come out of the owner's pockets but it can easily be made up next year in attendance and concession revenues. Besides, if either McCutcheon or Tabata is as good as advertised then we'll make a fortune in jersey sales and endorsements. This team would neither lose 90 games nor be boring and that would put butts in the seats which would translate into money. Finally, using the draft choices we received for LaRoche, Wilson, and Sanchez so we can draft more talent and continue the pipeline. If management is as good at evaluating talent as everybody says then they should have no trouble in doing so.
0 recs |
60 comments
Comments
Why are you so convinced that we're going to lose Alvarez?
From where I’m sitting, it seems much more likely that he’ll end up with us than not. Though we shouldn’t be counting on him to play in the majors in ’09 anyway…
Dumping Karstens seems very premature to me. Even if you don’t think he’s one of our best five starters, we need some SP depth.
I remain unconvinced that McCutchen or Tabata will be ready to play every day next year. It’s possible that McCutchen will be, but Tabata seemed rushed even playing at AA in the early part of this year, and right now there’s no way I’d jump him over AAA.
At best, Cruz is a UT IF. He’s not a starting-caliber 2B in any circumstances other than an emergency.
If we’re trading LaRoche, Sanchez, and Wilson, then we aren’t going to get any draft picks for them.
by Vlad on
Sep 12, 2008 11:10 AM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
Vlad
I just don’t see anything in Karstens when he pitches and we’ve got enough innings-eaters to replace him (Duke/Gorzelanny).
I realize that neither McCutcheon or Tabata might not be ready yet but I don’t see any harm in giving them an opportunity. I’d rather lose 95 games by playing them instead of Minky and Michaels.
I have no problem with Cruz being a UT. That’s all we need out of 2B. Sanchez and his 48 RBIs don’t add that much more to the lineup and so we’d remove the temptation on the part of Russell to waste Sanchez in one of the top 3 spots in the lineup.
When I trade LaRoche, Sanchez, and Wilson it will be for draft picks and not retreads. We have enough of them, now.
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 12, 2008 11:25 AM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
Draft Picks
Teams can’t trade draft picks.
Pittsburgh Lumber Co.
http://mvn.com/mlb-pirates
by MBandi on
Sep 12, 2008 11:32 AM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Outfield
The problem, IMO, is that it isn’t a choice between McCutchen/Tabata and Minky/Michaels… it’s a choice between McCutchen/Tabata and at least one of Moss/Pearce (and possibly both, depending on the 1B situation). The latter two need to get as much PT as possible, right now , so we can tell whether they’ve got a future role on the team or not.
I’m pretty sure that Sanchez will rebound at least a bit once he’s able to take some time off and let his shoulder finally heal (and get his eyes checked, too). He’s been playing hurt all season.
by Vlad on
Sep 12, 2008 12:01 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
So many flaws in that plan
Honestly, I think you are actually Dave Littlefield writing incognito.
You can’t trade for draft picks. You can’t dump both starting middle infielders (one a former batting champ and the other a gold glove SS) and play career utility guys and expect to compete. You can’t sign Dunn for $15 million when the rest of the team isn’t ready to compete for a title. You can’t write off Pedro Alvarez when all reports say that he is likely to stay with the Pirates. You listed six starting pitchers, plus just “reduced starts” for two more. (Huh?) And you can’t set the goal of just avoiding 90 losses — that is not the benchmark for success.
And while you say you “don’t see any harm” in starting McCutchen and Tabata, remember that it would require adding them to the 40-man roster and starting their arbitration clock. Not to mention that they both actually have to be READY to play. If you bring them up to early, you risk blowing up the whole development process.
by Alleghenys on
Sep 12, 2008 12:12 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
Alleghenys
What you failed to recognize is the possibility that maybe McCutchen and Tabata are ready in which case you have wasted another year in the minor leagues when they could be helping us. That’s what spring training is for. So what if the clock starts running? How are you going to build a team if you’re always worried about the clock running? If they play well and we win attendance will improve and maybe we can afford to re-sign them.
You have totally missed my point about middle-infielders. Successful teams do not build around these type of guys they add them to a strong base comprised of good hitting corner men, both outfield and infield. We have the most money tied up in WIlson and Sanchez and that was a very poor decision on the part of management because their money could be better spent elsewhere. Finally, both men’s best years are behind them and it’s always better to trade them while they still have value.
Finally, you can sign Dunn and improve a team. Just look at what happened after Bay and Nady were traded? You can’t tell me that did not negatively impact the team’s performance.
My SP pitching rotation would consist of:
1. Lohse or Oliver Perez
2. Snell
3. Maholm
4. Ohlendorf/Dumatrait
5. Gorzo/Duke
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 12, 2008 12:29 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
Successful teams don't have good-hitting MIFs?
What? There are lots of good-hitting MIFs on playoff caliber teams… Pedroia for Boston, Reyes for the Mets, Rollins and Utley for the Phillies, etc. I also don’t see any playoff contenders with starting middle infielders who hit as badly as Cruz/Bixler would likely hit as full-timers.
I think it’s unlikely that Tabata and McCutchen will be ready in spring training, since they haven’t played like they’re ready for the majors this year. They’d both have to make some kind of huge leap forward over the offseason, and while possible, that’s pretty unlikely. Hence my reluctance to aggressively push them to the majors when we already have some perfectly decent alternatives in place.
by Vlad on
Sep 12, 2008 1:50 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
What was that SS's name that used to play for Seattle & Texas?
I think he is a third baseman now for the Yankees? Someone recently was telling me he could break Bonds* home run record. If I remember correctly, he could hit.
by ElliottBayBucco on
Sep 12, 2008 2:39 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Mario Mendoza?
You’re mistaken, he’s not on the Yankees now.
by azibuck on
Sep 12, 2008 2:51 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
See below
ElliottBayBucco has it right — the Pirates are not going to sign a free agent (or even 2-3) next year that will turn them into a playoff team.
The reality is that the Pirates: 1) don’t have a good foundation of major-league players; and 2) don’t have the money to spend on free agents. The latter can’t be ignored, no matter how much Nutting says that money isn’t an issue. This is not a big market team. The Pirates are a low-to-middle revenue organization and have to operate within those constraints.
As such, signing Adam Dunn, Kyle Lohse, Oliver Perez and whoever else is an exercise in futility. First, those players will not turn us into contenders. Second, they will sap money from the long-term solution, which is developing a steady stream of productive players for the major league roster. Adam Dunn equals an untold number of draft picks, international signings and developmental instructors. And — it is worth saying it again — he and other free agents that we can afford will not make us contenders. We might be better, of course, but not enough to contend. Which is what the game is all about.
There are a lot of fans who cheered many of Dave Littlefield’s moves, from signing Jeromy Burnitz to acquiring Brant Brown to drafting Bryan Bullington. I wouldn’t be surprised if you were among them, IPF. I’m all for being optimistic and supporting the organization, but those fans were part of the problem. Short-sighted, short-term improvement was a hallmark of Dave Littlefield’s tenure, emboldened in part by fans who shouted out loud that signing Free Agent X would solve all that ails us. Littlefield took that message and turned the team into a laughingstock. Signing Kyle Lohse, as suggested above, would follow Littlefield’s mantra of signing marginal players for more than necessary without taking significant steps toward really competing for a title. But guys like Burnitz, Randa, Santiago, Mulholland, Fetters, Reese — mediocre players who, collectively, contributed to mediocre teams — made Littlefield look like he was trying to bring in “name” players and turn the team into a contender. It placated far too many fans. But the appearance of progress meant nothing on the field because the foundation of the organization was so poor. That goes for both the players in the minors and the organizational philosophy for improvement (OBP dropped as many young players progressed, for example).
Huntington and Coonelly seem to understand this. They are still in their grace period, but I think we can largely agree that they are going about things correctly. That means infusing the farm system with high-upside talent, shedding major leaguers — with value — for young players while we aren’t contenders, enforcing standards for instruction, saving money by not paying for unnecessary free agents and not listening when fans tell them to pony up for Adam Dunn and trade Freddy Sanchez at his lowest value.
If they followed your plan, we’d have a core that included Luis Cruz at 2B and David Eckstein at SS, 1/3 of our payroll spent on Adam Dunn for the next 5 years, another Jose Guillen situation (rushing Jose Tabata to the majors before he’s ready) and several more losing seasons. I like that you want to go young, for the most part, but this can’t be fixed in a day, or even a year. And when I say “fixed” I don’t mean just getting to .500. This is a big mess that will take time to clean up. We need to stop worrying so much about the major league roster and start focusing — as Huntington as done — on the farm system. That’s the only way back to respectability.
This offseason, I think you’ll see the team do what they did last year, which is to not trade veterans until they have value (only Jack Wilson and John Grabow could go, I would think), sign some low-risk, high-reward guys (like Tyler Yates), pick up one or two Rule V players, and give the young players a fair chance to unseat the starters in spring training. That includes McCutchen.
One thing you won’t see is Jon Garland wearing a Pirates uniform. And thank goodness for that.
by Alleghenys on
Sep 12, 2008 3:36 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Wow!
Slow clap…standing ovation!!! I could have said it any better.
by Slick1 on
Sep 12, 2008 5:36 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
fetters
gets a pass from me because of his ridiculous mound routine of staring down the batter.
and no matter how many stupid things mark grace says he gets a half pass for imitating fetters during his brief appearance as a pitcher during a diamondbacks game.
by johnnycuff on
Sep 12, 2008 9:10 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I'm sorry, I just don't see it.
I wish the ‘sign a Free Agent, save another losing season’ talk would come to a screeching halt because it isn’t going to happen. If the FO was going to give a ton of bucks to anyone, wouldn’t you think they would have given it to Bay and Nady? The cost of one Adam Dunn would bring back so many draft picks, international signings that would reap more benefits than that dud. Has Arizona performed any better since they picked him up? No. What makes you think he will benefit the Bucs?
The 2009 season projects to be pretty bleak and will be very hard for many people to take day in and day out. The young guys need to get their at bats and take their lumps on the field in order for them to get that experience to turn the corner. As long as the FO continues to spend what money they do spend wisely (scouting, player development, draft, international signings) and the farm system progressively grows and develops, I can wait. What’s another two to three years compared to the past sixteen?
by ElliottBayBucco on
Sep 12, 2008 2:36 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
Wow...
There is soooo much wrong with that plan. Since I’m bored, I’m gonna break this one down…
1B – You say to sign Dunn, which requires trading LaRoche and “pocket[ing] his salary”. Dunn is going to make about 5 times what LaRoche will next year and Dunn’s skill set is NOT going to age well.
2B – You suggest playing Cruz. His OBP this year in AA is .303, which is astoundingly above his career minor league numbers. That’s replacement level in AA! Cruz would quite probably be the worst hitter in the worst majors if this happened.
SS – Any plan that has Eckstein playing short isn’t a good one. He’s not even a very good fielder anymore.
3B – Why forget Alvarez? His probable/potential value faaaar exceeds whatever he will cost the Pirates.
C – No gripes here.
OF – No way do you both start McCutchen and Tabata’s FA clocks, waste 40-man roster spots, and possibly hurt their development by promoting them too soon. McCutchen and Tabata are NOT ready to be positive contributors to the big league team. Stats and scouts agree on this one.
SP – Lohse, Penny, Garland, Perez will all be vastly overpaid with contracts that will far outlive their usefulness. Lohse/Penny/Garland are all pretty average and will only get worse throughout their contracts.
I don’t even know how to approach the final paragraph. I don’t think there is a single thing there that is logical.
by wickethewok on
Sep 12, 2008 3:15 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
IPF...
once again I love your passion for this team but your plan is so riddled with inconsistencies. You want to go with a youth movement to the point you want to run our top two prospects to the majors before they are ready and risk severly hindering or ruining their development. Yet you want to bring in two expensive starting pitchers and dump a young one that has shown some good innings since coming to the Burg. How much do you think Perez would cost? And I seem to remember having him already and it didn’t really get us anywhere. If you are going to go young, then go young. Put Pearce at 1st and play Moss who has potential. Frankly, I wish the FO would go all out with the rebuild and trade Doumit, McClouth, Maholm, Wilson and Laroce. I want a championship caliber team back in the Burg. I will get no sense of satisfaction from reaching .500 unless it through an infusion of young players reaching their prime signifying we are on our way to something special. I’m paraphrasing here but I read a pretty good GM once say something in the ballpark of “you either have something special, or you’re building for something special…otherwise you’re just wasting time.”
by Slick1 on
Sep 12, 2008 5:44 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
I know a I took a lot of liberties with that quote.
Someone help me out if they heard that one.
by Slick1 on
Sep 12, 2008 5:46 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Yeah, I have a lot of sympathy
with the view that the Pirates ought to trade any of their veterans that have value. Some posters seem to think we are on track to have a winning team by 2010 or 2011 or so, but I am afraid it is likely to be longer than that. By the time the young guys we have now are nearing their prime the veterans you mention will probably either be gone as FAs or in decline themselves.
Another advantage of this approach is that it would pretty much ensure the top pick in the draft for the next several years. With those picks and the prospects we could get for the veterans it should be pretty easy to develop a core of impact players and once a half dozen or so of those are in place it will be easy to fill out the roster with the averageish players needed to compliment that core.
The big downside would be that I doubt that IPF could handle the losing that would ensue in the immediate future if this path were chosen. I am afraid we would have to learn to get by without his posts.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 12, 2008 6:56 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Everyone's comments were overwhelmingly against my suggestions...
and so I must conclude that I was wrong.
-If the group does not believe that adding Lohse and Perez would be an improvement over Duke and Karstens; and
-if the group is content watching Moss, Pearce, and LaRoche struggle believing that even one of them will ever be a quality player; and
-if the group is content paying the bulk of its payroll on middle infielders with no power or speed; and finally,
-if the group believes that Dunn would not seriously improve our offense over LaRoche, the elder, then I’m “pissing into the wind”.
Maybe it’s my lack of patience or maybe it’s my memory which recals what it use to be like to follow a winner, but I do know that it doesn’t have to take years to improve a team’s performance significantly as I watch other lower revenue teams like Milwaukee, Oakland, Minnesota, etc. able to field quality teams. However, if you guys think management is on the right path then I’ll acquiesce. I will say this for you all, you have much more patience than I do and I envy you for that. Perhaps, the success of the Penguins and Steelers has enabled you all to better accept failure in baseball knowing that success is just a few months away, albeit, in other sports.
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 12, 2008 7:09 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
IPF,
-if the group is content watching Moss, Pearce, and LaRoche struggle believing that even one of them will ever be a quality player
You want to run McCutchen and Tabata out there every day. If they struggled like the aforementioned guys, would you be patient or want to throw them under the bus as well?
-if the group is content paying the bulk of its payroll on middle infielders with no power or speed
Wilson and Sanchez could bring some prospects into the system via trade. Cutting bait and walking away from them would be a bad decision, IMO.
-if the group believes that Dunn would not seriously improve our offense over LaRoche
They both strike out quite a bit and I don’t believe his offensive production and ‘offensive’ defense would warrant the large contract he could command in the offseason. IF they could sign Dunn for the same amount of money it would cost for LaRoche, I might look past his faults for his bat but that isn’t going to happen.
I do know that it doesn’t have to take years to improve a team’s performance significantly as I watch other lower revenue teams like Milwaukee, Oakland, Minnesota, etc. able to field quality teams.
How do you think these teams got to where they are today? Oakland is undergoing a massive rebuild and their record in the standings shows it. Milwaukee built a superior farm system, only adding to payroll via free agency when they showed the potential to make the playoffs (that would be this season) and Minnesota has always done things on the cheap, to deny that would signify that one isn’t paying attention to what is going on around MLB. Oakland and Minnesota have been fortunate to have a few star caliber players to bring back multiple prospects, Pittsburgh has been lacking in that regard for quite some time. The new FO is trying to follow the same approach as Oakland, Milwaukee, Minnesota and Cleveland but it is going to take time. Those organizations weren’t built overnight. I think you would give notice to that if they were your favorite team and you followed them like you follow the Pirates. Trust me, their success wasn’t achieved in one season.
I do feel that management is on the right path. Unfortunately, it took ownership such a long time to figure that out and get rid of the Good Ship Littlefield/ McClatchy before they could reek the havoc they did on the entire organization. No, the success of the Steelers and Penguins has only made me upset that the Pirates aren’t right there with them. There is nothing worse than going to a game on the road and having a bunch of guys in Steelers jerseys chanting ‘Here we go Steelers’ while the Pirates are getting their butts kicked in another stadium. I look forward to the day when people say to me that the Bucs are a great team, not that they ‘used to be’ a great team.
by ElliottBayBucco on
Sep 12, 2008 8:11 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
IPF
Answer one question, please:
WHY do you want to bring up McCutchen and Tabata before they are ready to play in the majors?
Cutch is not ready to play is not ready.
Tabata is nowhere close to being ready for the big leagues.
by patthatt on
Sep 12, 2008 11:53 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
patthat
If Milwaukee took your approach they would have missed out on a lot of productive years from Robin Yount. How do you know these two guys are not ready if we don’t give them a chance? My suggestion was to bring them up now and let them play together for 3 weeks and see what they bring to the table. I’d rather see that then Minky and Michaels. Minor league stats are only a barometer and not a guarantee of how a player will perform when given the opportunity. Just look at the fine numbers LaRoche has created in the minors and see how poorly he has performed for both the Pirates and Dodgers.
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 13, 2008 10:53 AM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
Yount
Yount had an OPS+ over 100 only once in his first six years in the league. It wasn’t until his seventh year, when he was 24, that his career really took off. I think that indicates that he was rushed to the big leagues.
Besides, that’s one player that came up over 30 years ago. It has nothing to do with Tabata or McCutchen right now. Sure, there’s a very small chance that they could perform well in Pittsburgh right now. There’s also a very small chance I could dive off a building and survive. That doesn’t mean it’s a good idea.
Pittsburgh Lumber Co.
http://mvn.com/mlb-pirates
by MBandi on
Sep 13, 2008 11:28 AM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
MBandi
Just to set the record straight: Young hit .271 for his first 5 years. That’s as good or better than both Wilson or Sanchez will hit this year.
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 13, 2008 12:05 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
But we were talking about whether it would be a good idea to rush Tabata and McCutchen to Pittsburgh. Barely outhitting Freddy or Jack would not qualify as a success for our two top prospects.
Pittsburgh Lumber Co.
http://mvn.com/mlb-pirates
by MBandi on
Sep 13, 2008 12:39 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Wow..
What an unrealistic, outlandish proposal for next year.
Following the ridiculous theme of this post, why not scrap all the average players you proposed us sign and just go after CC and Tex?
Pittsburgh’s got bigger problems than a few free agents. We’ll need to do the same thing next year as this year at the trade deadline. Hopefully Big LaRoche gets off to a decent start, then when the deadline comes around he has value, along with hopefully Sanchez & or J Wilson. We always seem to deal an overachieving reliever at the deadline as well, so that’ll bring a prospect or two.
We get some decent guys that can come along for the ride with McCutch and Tabata, build around them with Nate and Doumit. Alvarez won’t win this arbitration, although I’m not sure what’s going to happen for his pirate career with such a terrible start/impression.
We’ll be able to see how things will shape up by the last 2 months of next year’s team. Things should be on the upswing in my opinion. If Huntington’s righting the ship then `10 and beyond is where me make our move for the future.
(I did like the Eckstein suggestion if we can get him cheaper than what we’re paying Wilson. Proven winner, plays harder than almost anyone, great clubhouse addition.)
by jlk9697 on
Sep 13, 2008 12:38 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
Just for the record
Eckstein is terrible.
by bucdaddy on
Sep 14, 2008 5:24 AM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
IPF
Seriously, I love the passion and that you are willing to argue your position. I also appreciate the fact that when people challenge you, you are willing to take it in and occassionally change your point of view. Most posters on any sites aren’t willing to do that. However, I think you have some of your facts wrong and it makes your argument easy to bash. I know you keep pointing out that we need to bring the young guys up and that they won’t be here six years from now. But, the point is they will be here six years from now and if you bring them (A McC) up next May versus for these last 20 games you get him for an extra year. Whether he is here then or not, that is value. Certainly more value than now. So, although you might like to see him, it is a prudent decision by management. That is what Tampa did with Longoria (possibly ROY this year) and Milwaukee did with Braun last year. It is just good management of the team’s talent. Please don’t overlook these things when discussing changes you’d like to see. We have to maximize our assets, whether they are here six years from now or not. The 40 man roster and the arbitration years matter and must be taken into account.
by dtoddwin on
Sep 13, 2008 1:09 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
dtoddwin
I was under the impression that the “clock” is based on games played rather than years played. If so, then playing them for 30 games now isn’t that big of a risk. However, if, as you say bringing them up now would cost us an entire season of their eligibility then I will admit that my suggestion was flawed and should not be implemented. Are you certain about your statement?
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 13, 2008 6:23 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
ML service time is based on
time on the active roster (or DL) measured in days with something like 171 days equal to one year even though the actual season is about 180 days. Players can become FAs after 6 years of ML service time. So to get an extra year out of a player before they become FAs, that player should be called up around 8 weeks after a season begins. In other words if we called up McCuthen now and kept him on the Pirate roster continously he would be eligible for free agency after the 2014 season. If we wait until 8 weeks into the 2009 he will not be eligible until after the 2015 season.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 13, 2008 8:41 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
WCB
Thanx for the info. It is starting to make sense to me. I would agree that we should wait and call him up after the 8-week waiting period so as to maximize his time before he can declare for free-agency. God, I hate it when I’m wrong! Thanx for being gentle with me! LOL
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 13, 2008 9:19 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
IPF
You miss the point. It`s not just about MLB service time, or irrelevant comparisons with Robin Yount. (You tried some of the same arguments before and Vlad shot you down.) Is your memory so compromised that you can`t recall the previous discussion on this point just a short number of weeks ago?
What does it take for you to understand the simple fact that McCutchen, and most especially Tabata, are not ready for major league baseball?
You keep harping on minor league numbers. Well, their minor league numbers show them not being ready, and such is the opinion of the more important people in the Pirates` organization who make the personnel decisions. Moreover, there is also the strong possibility that McCutchen needs a good bit more work on his game defensively and on the basepaths, and I`ll guarantee you this is the case with Tabata.
We will see where they are at in terms of their development next spring. As always, IPF, think a little more, and show some patience.
by patthatt on
Sep 13, 2008 10:12 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
paatthatt
After learning of the 2009 salaries of LaRoche (elder) $5 (est); Sanchez $6; Wilson $7; I now re-pose the question to you as to whether we would be stronger by dumping all three of these guys and acquiring Dunn and then playing Bixler at SS and Cruz at 2B? With the short RF porch at PNC he could have an outstanding career for a couple of years. Before you answer my question, consider the extremely poor play of the team since the trading of Bay and Nady and consider whether this could have had a demoralizing effect on the entire team. Otherwise, how can you explain the horrendous post-Bay/Nady record?
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 14, 2008 12:58 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
You act like their play was any good before the trades.
by matskralc on
Sep 14, 2008 9:07 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I don't think it would be a bad idea to trade the guys you suggest
if we can get real prospects for them. But I think our best chance to get players we actually would want will be next season, if one or more of them are healthy and playing well. Also, baseball is not like football; you can’t just dump a player to get rid of his salary; you need to find a team that will take it on.
I don’t think Dunn would be a huge upgrade at first to LaRoche. He’s a better hitter I guess but as I understand it he is terrible on defense, whereas Laroche is actually pretty good. I am not sure how much we would have to commit to him in order to sign him, but I am pretty sure it would be a lot more over the term of the contract than is owed to the three players you mention over the terms of theirs. Commiting that much to Dunn in a long-term deal would likely reduce our ability to resign guys like McClouth, Doumit and Maholm.
I’d like to see the Pirates move Doumit to 1B after LaRoche is gone. I think it would reduce the wear and tear on him over time and we should be able to keep his bat in the lineup more frequently and for longer that way.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 15, 2008 9:39 AM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Dunn (and other FAs)
Even if I thought this was a good idea (I don’t, but I respect your opinion) — Adam Dunn simply would not come to Pittsburgh. Or any other major free agent. Not unless you grossly overpay them. And what does that solve?
I’d rather invest our resources into scouting, the minors, and long-term deals for guys like Doumit and McLouth than to grossly overpay for someone to come to Pittsburgh so we can win 2 or 3 more games. Sorry, I’d rather have patience and a well-executed long term strategy so we can win 20 or 30 more games… consistently.
Yes, I’m tired of the rebuilding and jokes of a team we’ve fielded over the past decade and a half. But I also recognize (and did then) that there was no coherent organizational plan to improve. Just a bunch of band-aid drink-the-kool-aid variety of moves to pacify the impatient fan base.
In years past, Andy LaRoche would never have been on this team, let alone be given the chance to work through his struggles and establish himself. What puzzles me is how you can’t see this as a huge positive? LaRoche’s track record in the minors shows he is ready for the majors, so he needs to be given that chance. Tabata and AM’s track records show they are not ready. But I am confident when they show they are they will be given that opportunity quickly.
And in closing, free agency in all sports has been proven to be a crap shoot. Some players thrive with change, others fail miserably. You just never know. So many people discount the human element in these things, and look at players as chess pieces and inanimate fantasy stats on their rotisserie team. Even if we brought in several good free agents (not going to happen as I stated earlier, but for the sake of argument…) there is absolutely no guarantee they will perform. Especially if they’re used to winning and suddenly start losing. And if they’re used to the spotlight, and find the lukewarm passion here depressing. Or, as was the case with Chad Brown from the Steelers a long time ago, their wife hates it here because she can’t get good sushi.
Successfully signing free agents is as risky a proposition as developing your own players. And look at the dominant teams of the past 15 years — the Yankees, Red Sox, Braves, Angels, and A’s. How did they build their franchises? From within first, then supplemented the roster with signings and trades. There is nothing more valuable in baseball today than a promising young player with a modest salary and club control for multiple seasons. And the more of those guys we develop, the stronger we will be. Because they either make up your nucleus (Jeter, Posada, etc) or get flipped for other assets to make the big league club stronger when it’s ready to compete.
by JohnnyNez on
Sep 15, 2008 4:44 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
WCB
Moving Doumit to 1B is an interesting idea and one I had not thought about previously. It would provide the opportunity to keep his bat in the lineup and not require that we rely upon Pearce to play 1B. However, I would insist that we have some punch behind the plate and not allow someone the caliber of Chavez to start. If the team keeps Alvarez we could always move Walker back behind the plate and get his bat into the lineup. It’s just a thought.
by Illinois Pirate Fan on
Sep 15, 2008 10:24 AM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
Unless Walker starts hitting...
…there isn’t any need to get his bat into the lineup.
by Vlad on
Sep 15, 2008 2:25 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Why do people always want to shuffle everyone around the field?
Lets move LaRoche to RF, bring Pearce into 1B, have McLouth in LF, possibly move Sanchez out to CF, then we could put McCutchen at SS after Wilson is traded and move Andy LaRoche to 2b. Doumit could go to 3b, given he isn’t in a wheelchair being the borderline cripple he is right now. Walker could go back to catching, unless Alvarez appears to be a better catcher than him. Truth be told, the best hitter on the Bucs would probably be Van Benschoten if only Russell would switch to being the hitting coach and Long would take over the bench coach role and Varsho and Andrews would switch coaching roles, taking turns managing every day. Then Morgan and Pearce could switch spots on the bench and eventually Zach Duke could become a pinch hitter….
Give it up.
by ElliottBayBucco on
Sep 15, 2008 1:11 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs
don't forget
let ronny paulino play shortstop
by johnnycuff on
Sep 15, 2008 1:25 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I thought the reason given was pretty clear
It would have been more interesting and informative if you had explained your objection to it instead of writing a paragraph essentially about nothing.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 15, 2008 2:12 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
One move makes sense.
McCutchen is a better CF defender than Nate, so Nate should go to a corner when McCutchen comes up. Everything else is a bad idea… Doumit has a lot of value to the team precisely because he’s a catcher who hits like a first baseman. It’s a lot easier to find a first baseman who hits like a first baseman – indeed, we already have at least one, and possibly two (depending on how Pearce develops).
If you want a new first baseman, then Alvarez will probably play his way off of third base in a year or two. There’s your new 1B. Problem solved.
by Vlad on
Sep 15, 2008 2:28 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Makes sense I guess when I suggested the move of Doumit
to 1B, I was thinking about how the Pirates are currently constituted only without Adam LaRoche. I’ve noticed how anemic our lineup usually appears without Doumit in there and wished there was a way to have him in there more often. Also, I hear rumors that he is not a very good defensive catcher, but I have no idea if this is true since there are not many Pirate games televised in my area.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 15, 2008 2:44 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
He's not bad.
Within about five runs of average, depending on which system you prefer. He more than makes up for it with his bat.
This year, Adam LaRoche is hitting .269/.341/.476 as our first baseman. For it to make sense for us to move Doumit to first (and jettison LaRoche), we’d have to find a catcher with better defense than Doumit who could put up a line similar to LaRoche’s – otherwise, we’d be giving back as much or more with the bat as we’d be gaining with the glove. (This also assumes that Doumit would be at least as good a 1B defender as LaRoche, not a given.)
If you’re dissatisfied with our 1B situation, it’d be much easier to just find a new 1B and leave Doumit where he is.
by Vlad on
Sep 15, 2008 4:33 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Positional Value
Yes, thank you…
For some reason people always want to move players away from their position of most value to a place where they’re mediocre.
Doumit’s value isn’t that he can hit like a 1B — it’s that he does it playing a position that is often an offensive black hole. Moving him to the OF or 1B drastically decreases his value, period. Because you can find other 1B/OFers that can post Doumit-like numbers, but you can’t find many catchers that can.
I also understand the frustration with Adam LaRoche… he’s Jekyll and Hyde. But I’ll deal with 2-3 months of Hyde to enjoy the 3-4 months of Jekyll. He has an above average glove at 1B and when he’s hot, he’s red hot. As has been pointed out previously by several, his final numbers are good. When/if he ever learns to put a full season together, look out. Since we have no one even close to better (Pearce ain’t it, not even close) I’d be more than happy to keep him around the next 3-5 years.
by JohnnyNez on
Sep 15, 2008 5:02 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Bill James wrote a very interesting article on this topic
20 years ago or so. He indicated that for a long time he had believed as you argued that you should position a player with a big bat in the most difficult one that he can handle defensively. But he noticed that Baltimore, who had been doing quite well was doing it that way at all. I think he mentioned their moving Ripkin to 3rd rather than leaving him at SS and a player who I don’t recall playing a corner OF spot whereas James felt he was capable of handling CF.
He concluded in the article that there was sense to what Baltimore was doing, as there was good evidence that playing the more demanding defensive position detracted from offensive capablity over the long run.
If Doumit had shown himself to be an iron man, then yeah, it would be a pretty bad idea to move him. Same story if as Vlad has implied above Little LaRoche has established himself at 3B and Alvarez is ready to hit ML pitching then, no. But if we are in need of a corner infielder in 2010, it might be easier and cheaper to find a good defensive catcher than someone with an adequate bat for 1B and meanwhile reduce the wear and tear on Doumit.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 15, 2008 6:10 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I'm not sure I buy...
…Doumit being more durable as a 1B than as a C. From what I remember, a lot of his past injuries have come when he wasn’t behind the plate. He blew his hammy two years ago while running to first base, for example, and he also hurt himself at least once in the outfield.
Now, it’s possible that the accumulated strain of using Doumit as a catcher will ultimately shorten his productive life as a player, give him a ten-year career instead of a twelve-year one, or something like that. But to be totally cold and objective, what Doumit is doing ten years down the road probably doesn’t matter to us at all. We’ve got him for six years, and maybe two or three more if he’ll sign an advantageous extension, but that’s probably it. As such, our best strategy is to try and maximize his on-field value in the near term.
by Vlad on
Sep 16, 2008 9:20 AM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I've been thinking that way for awhile,
But to be totally cold and objective, what Doumit is doing ten years down the road probably doesn’t matter to us at all. We’ve got him for six years, and maybe two or three more if he’ll sign an advantageous extension, but that’s probably it. As such, our best strategy is to try and maximize his on-field value in the near term.
Looking at what Oakland, Minnesota and Florida does, it would serve the PBC best to get the most out of the athlete while you have him. With the likes of NY, Boston and LA teams with deep pockets waiting for free agency and trade deadlines, let them pay the $$$ for damaged goods.
I hate to take an opinion of a human at the value of a product but in today’s MLB that’s how most players are viewed.
by ElliottBayBucco on
Sep 16, 2008 1:15 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I am still not quite convinced
I am sure that part of the Orioles’ and later James’ argument was that players hit better now if they don’t have to put forth as much effort on defense. I wish I still had the article but it is long gone.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 16, 2008 1:35 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I'm sure someone here will be able to find it if you can't locate it.
Do you remember about what year it was published?
by ElliottBayBucco on
Sep 16, 2008 1:43 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I am pretty sure it was in one of those
Baseball Abstracts he used to publish and probably in the late 1980s. Maybe a year or two after the Os moved Ripkin to 3B.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 16, 2008 2:50 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
In general, I agree with the conclusion.
But it’s got more application to the offensive development of catching prospects. Doumit has already established himself as an above-average catcher, so even if remaining as a catcher lowers his offensive ceiling a bit, it’s still worth it for us.
Moving good-hitting catchers to an easier position makes sense if you’re trying to maximize the offensive development of the player, which is fine, but it’s not the sort of mentality toward which we should be approaching a team-building effort.
RC isn’t a perfect metric, but let’s use it for shorthand here. Doumit’s been good for 69 RC so far this year (depressed somewhat by his injury), and Adam LaRoche has been good for 76. Let’s say we move Doumit to 1B, and kick him up 10 runs (a non-trivial increase), and that he stays healthy all year, adding another 5 runs. We still need a catcher who’s good for 61 RC just to break even. Someone on the order of Chris Snyder, assuming Snyder’s improvement this year is real and sustainable as a full-timer.
Would it be easier and less expensive for us to trade for someone like Snyder, or to sign or trade for a different slightly-above-average 1B like LaRoche?
by Vlad on
Sep 16, 2008 3:45 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Yeah, I see what you mean
for an adequate offense, we really should have at least 6 good bats in the lineup and it is a lot easier to see us getting there with Doumit catching rather than at 1B.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 16, 2008 4:27 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Actually in my origianl post
I was suggesting this move for after LaRoche is gone, not for next year. I like LaRoche quite a bit once April and May are behind us. It seems to me that for 2010 if LaRoche goes, it could make some sense to move Doumit to first where hopefully he could play 140 plus games for us.
by WestCoastBuc on
Sep 15, 2008 5:48 PM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
I guess it's possible...
…but I’d rather address 2010 after next season. A lot can change in a year. For example, would anyone have pencilled Doumit in as our 2009 starting catcher at the beginning of 2007?
by Vlad on
Sep 16, 2008 9:21 AM EDT
up
reply
actions
0 recs
Did I miss something in the last 15 years
I’m not sure about you guys, but I don’t remember the Old PBC doing anything but sifting through the sludge from the bottom of the free agent pool. It is all well and good to say lets just go and sign these high price free agents, but they would still have to want to sign here. The Pirates couldn’t sign a backup catcher for more money that he finally accepted from the Nationals, but all of a sudden two of the 10 best pitchers in free agency are going to sign with the Pirates.
by SHOOTFOR2010 on
Sep 15, 2008 2:40 PM EDT
reply
actions
0 recs







