Community Projection: Ryan Doumit
by Charlie Wilmoth on Jan 11, 2009 6:20 PM EST
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PrintI'm starting these a bit earlier than last year, but I'll spread them over the next couple months. This is the fourth year we've done these, but if you weren't around for any of the other three, here's how it works. We all guess how each player will do for the upcoming season, then review our average projections at the end, with recognition for the most accurate guessers for each player.
We'll begin with Ryan Doumit, who seems assured of plenty of playing time this year. In the comments, post your guesses for Doumit's 2009 batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order. For extra credit, you can also guess Doumit's games played. Here are Doumit's career stats.
So let's hear it! If you haven't commented before, the community projections are a great way to introduce yourself and get started.
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My shot...
.305/.370/.520 with 130 games played (120 behind the plate).
In the ball park.
He draws a few more walks this year. So he doesn’t get the huge spike in SLG.
.297/.363/.506
Let's go with...
.295/.345/.495 in 130 games.
Pittsburgh Lumber Co.
http://mvn.com/pittsburghlumberco
BA regresses, power improves
.280/.335/.490
ack!
sorry vlad, i didn’t see yours before i posted below.
It's all good.
I didn’t look at anyone’s before I posted mine, either, so it could’ve just as easily happened to me. And there are only a finite number of plausible outcomes – it’s not a big deal if two people choose the same line. Particularly since our GPs are different.
125 games
282/350/480, slightly down from last year because there will be fewer other good hitters around him in the line up. So he’ll get fewer pitches to hit and draw more walks.
118 games
.290/.350/.490
http://www.whygavs.com
http://mlb.fanhouse.com
Ok listen Up
Doumit is gonna hit 310/365/480. Hell have about 20 home runs and maybe 80 rbis.
but the real reason im posting is because i wanna know
WHY IS OMAR MORENO NOT ON THE HALL OF FAME BALLOT!?!?!
BRING BACK TIKE REDMAN
Under current voting rules...
…a guy needs to get at least 5% every year that he’s on the ballot, and he can only stay on the ballot for fifteen years.
Moreno wasn’t on the ballot in 1992, the year when he would’ve first been eligible, because the Hall didn’t see him as a serious candidate. He’s remained off the ballot since then because he didn’t get 5% that year or any subsequent one, and is thus ineligible.
Omar Moreno wrote:
“WHY IS OMAR MORENO NOT ON THE HALL OF FAME BALLOT!?!?!”
Why post this here in a thread about Ryan Doumit? Start up a fanpost on the right-include his career numbers-(both at the plate and in the field) and ask people their opinions.
BTW, since you seem so dead set on Moreno being in the HOF, it’s probably a waste of time to tell you that he didn’t have a career worthy of induction to Cooperstown, IMO, but give it a try if you like.
301/361/533
142 games.
for once, i’m more optimistic than you Pirates fans.
125 Games
.288 / .341 / .495
18 HRs
by Blyleven Curve Ball on Jan 12, 2009 3:39 PM EST reply actions
130 games
.330/.380/.525
I think he is gonna have a good year and be in contention for the batting title. I have thought from the beginning of the 2007 season, If the Pirates give him a chance to play, (which they have) and he stays healthy,(MUCH improved in ’08 over ’07) he could do great things. I think this is the year for great things, and in more than just the catcher.
125 games
.285/.342/.549
Brian from Raise the Jolly Roger!
by Raise the Jolly Roger on Jan 13, 2009 12:07 PM EST reply actions
Doumit's projection
a very optimistic 128 games; a not so optimistic .269/.326/.410.
103 games
.293/.359/.484
I made most of my life decisions at a Foghat concert... I stand by them.
by Chester J Lampwick on Jan 13, 2009 4:22 PM EST reply actions
I think Doumit will be even more motivated in '09
with his big contract, and will assume the leadership void since Dougie M departed. now that the Pirates have a competent backup (e.g., not Ronny Paulino) to spell him occasionally, Doumit will hit 290/340/530 in 130 games, and will also play in the All star game.
Here's how I'm doing it this year
Since we always tend to be a tad optimistic with these, I’m going to post what I think every player’s numbers will look like — in Doumit’s case:
.290/337/481
— and then knocking another 10 percent off to make up for the Home-Team Optimist Factor (HTOF). Here is my unsentimental forecast:
.271/303/433
Yeah, a big drop I know, but THT says Doumit was among the luckiest hitters in baseball last year. I bet that’s about right.
Projection
I’m hoping for improvement over 2008, but I’m going to say that with more time, he’ll wear out over the season.
293/350/485 over 125 games
I’d still be happy with this.
Doumit
I expect Doumit to play 120 gms (That’s enough to make two full trips to the DL). As for his line, I think he maintains his power but average and OBP regress.
.277/.337/.497
Doumit Projection
140 games (120 at catcher)
.272/.319/.422
Ends up playing some at first base after Adam trade at deadline.
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