Community Projection: Jack Wilson
by Charlie on Jan 23, 2009 8:05 PM EST
33 comments
Next up in our Community Projections is Jack Wilson. Guess how he'll do in 2009 in the comments by predicting his 2009 batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage, in that order. As a bonus, you can guess the date of Wilson's last game with the Pirates in the 2009 season. (If you think it'll be the last game of the season, you can just write "last game.")
Here are Wilson's career numbers. If you've been lurking here at Bucs Dugout, the Community Projections are a great way to get started commenting.
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Here are the results of the Community Projections so far, including the Freddy Sanchez projection, which is now closed:
| NAME | POS. | COMMUNITY | BONUS | ZiPS |
| Ryan Doumit | C | .289/.346/.477 | 115 games played | .287/.343/.463 |
| Adam LaRoche | 1B | .279/.350/.508 | 10th HR on June 11 | .268/.343/.485 |
| Freddy Sanchez | 2B | .300/.332/.419 | 548 PAs | .285/.324/.398 |
Unfortunately, I'm with ZiPS on this one. Several people guessed that Sanchez would hit .320 or .330, but nobody guessed he would hit .240 or .260, which frankly seems almost as likely, given Sanchez's age, position and injury history.
0 recs |
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It's all downhill for Jack from here...
.261/.307/.363
Last game: 8/9/09 vs. STL
by shayborg on Jan 23, 2009 8:44 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
.269/.312/.360
Right around his career averages, and his career averages are awful. He’s gonna be 31, I’m sorely tempted to apply the 10% rose-colored glasses deduction, but that (.243/.281/.324) would just about be replacement level …
Whoa, he’s pretty darn close to replacement level, isn’t he?
by bucdaddy on Jan 23, 2009 9:00 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
278/312/345
My favorite player…but he will be gone by July 30th
by J King on Jan 23, 2009 9:57 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Nah,
he’ll be traded July 31st.
.280/.330/.370 to be generous
by patthatt on Jan 23, 2009 10:30 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
270/310/370
Jack’s last game with the Pirates will be July 31st…2011. At that time, one of the SS in A ball will be ready…and Jack will get traded to a team in a pennant race for either peanuts or a pitcher.
by Thunder on Jan 23, 2009 10:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
.268/.310/.358
Stays to the end: October 4.
by Chad Bahamas on Jan 23, 2009 11:36 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I think he hits...
for some power this year. 278/316/405
by joegonzo on Jan 23, 2009 11:58 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Contract Year.
.302/.335/.360
All year…. I feel like Jack won’t be traded.
JayTea
by Jaytea1124 on Jan 24, 2009 12:29 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
.290/.340/.390
Last game July 4th.
by RDV across the sea on Jan 24, 2009 3:35 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
.242/.294/.326
Last game April 1 v. Boston. The line above is what he’ll hit whether he’s traded or not.
by azibuck on Jan 24, 2009 9:58 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
.268/.315/.350
Won’t be traded because nobody’s going to offer much.
by Jeffasaurus on Jan 24, 2009 11:44 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
.271/.313/.340
I made most of my life decisions at a Foghat concert... I stand by them.
by Chester J Lampwick on Jan 24, 2009 12:23 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
.268/.318/.375
Jack will remain a Pirate. No one else will want him if they have to give up anything of value. That and he will be hurt in the 1st half after getting off too a slow start which will kill his trade valure. He’ll pick it up at the end of the year to get his #s closer to his career averages.
by Slick1 on Jan 24, 2009 12:51 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
.262/.309/.333
I think he’ll be a Bucco at the end of the year. With his salary, they wont get much of a prospect unless they eat most, if not all of it. He certainly won’t fetch a Jurrjens. I think they’ll buyout his 2010 and try to sign him at a lower price. Sometime in 2010, I’d imagine he would cede his role to one of the current minor leaguers – barring a trade for a near ML ready prospect.
by EndlessMike on Jan 24, 2009 4:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
.260 / .303 / .390
All year – or however many games he play before getting hurt again.
I like Jack, but he’s on the downside now.
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro. -- HST
by cocktailsfor2 on Jan 24, 2009 4:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Wilson
.276/.309/.354
Most likely, Jack is gone by the trade dealine.
by Justin84 on Jan 24, 2009 7:22 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
My Wife's Favorite Pirate
.269/.302/.367
Dealt July 22 to the A’s for an “A” ball pitcher.
by God Loves on Jan 24, 2009 10:21 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
.265/.305/.360
last game as a bucco: august 29, dealt after the non-wavier deadline
by johnnycuff on Jan 25, 2009 11:25 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
.285/.330/.380
Last game
Pittsburgh Lumber Co.
http://mvn.com/pittsburghlumberco
by MBandi on Jan 25, 2009 5:17 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
.280/.315/.335
Last game: August 15th, but due to injury not trade.
http://www.whygavs.com
http://mlb.fanhouse.com
by whygavs on Jan 26, 2009 10:38 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Jack's lineup splits from last year were very odd...
source: http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=wilsoja02&year=2008
batting 2nd, he was a .300 hitter with no power, but batting 8th/9th he was a .250 hitter with no power. (ironically, in 2007 he was a .270 hitter with no power batting 2nd, but a .300 hitter with surprising power from the 8-spot.)
I expect the ‘no power’ part to continue due to reality and a hangover from his thumb injury last fall, but am unsure where he will bat. obviously, he should bat 8th, not 2nd, but it’s possible Russell will bat him 2nd anyway to ‘burnish’ his perceived trade value.
so what does all this mean? I have no idea, but guessing he bats 8th this year, I’ll be optimistic and predict he’ll hit 275/320/340 with no power. Jack’s career in black and gold ends on Aug. 31 with a trade to L.A., for a book of discount coupons to Disneyland.
by humbucker on Jan 26, 2009 12:51 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
The Great Jack Wilson
.246/.282/.323 – Jack was a stud in his day, but we held on to him too long. He finishes his career in a Pirate uniform. Sept 12.
by meandterry on Jan 27, 2009 12:44 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
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