Community Projection: Paul Maholm
by Charlie on Feb 26, 2009 9:08 PM EST
22 comments
Now on to the pitchers, the first of whom is the Pirates' nominal ace, Paul Maholm. Predict his 2009 innings pitched, strikeouts, walks and ERA, in that order, in the comments. As a bonus, you can guess the number of victories Maholm will post (he only had nine in 2009 despite pitching very well most of the year). If you're new to Bucs Dugout, community projections are a quick, easy way to start getting involved.
Here are the results of all the projections so far, including the projection for Nyjer Morgan, which is now closed:
| NAME | POS. | COMMUNITY | BONUS | ZiPS |
| Ryan Doumit | C | .289/.346/.477 | 115 games played | .287/.343/.463 |
| Adam LaRoche | 1B | .279/.350/.508 | 10th HR on June 11 | .268/.343/.485 |
| Freddy Sanchez | 2B | .300/.332/.419 | 548 PAs | .285/.324/.398 |
| Jack Wilson | SS | .271/.313/.360 | Last 2009 game w/Bucs: August 13 |
.267/.317/.358 |
| Andy LaRoche | 3B | .264/.361/.436 | 124 starts | .232/.325/.363 |
| Brandon Moss | OF | .260/.333/.460 | 48 extra-base hits | .251/.312/.403 |
| Nate McLouth | CF | .276/.355/.480 | First CS on May 21 | .261/.342/.459 |
| Nyjer Morgan | OF | .274/.318/.348 | 43 games at leadoff | .262/.315/.318 |
I'd say the community was very kind, actually, and BD readers probably aren't known to be big Nyjer fans. He's totally worthless if he can't beat the BD community's projection by a large margin, and neither ZiPS nor PECOTA think he'll do it. PECOTA, in particular, thinks he's just awful. Whatever. I've said my piece on this topic. I hope he proves me wrong.
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I'll be first up
210 IP, 150 K, 50 BB, 3.50 ERA and 14 wins.
by Thunder on Feb 26, 2009 10:31 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
but not starting opening day
to avoid the opening day starting pitcher jinx the Pirates seem to have going.
by Thunder on Feb 26, 2009 10:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Paulie was pretty efficient with his innings so I would imagine it would be easier for him to match his inning total. Cuts down on walks, but also Ks. Slightly improved D helps him out a bit.
205 innings pitched
135K/50BB/3.60 ERA
13 wins
by EndlessMike on Feb 26, 2009 11:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
ehhh, whatever
198 IP, 131 K, 56 BB, 4.47 ERA 11 wins
by Scranton on Feb 26, 2009 11:46 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Somehow missed Nyjer projections...
174 IP, 120 K, 63 BB, 3.85 ERA, 11 wins
by thegreatchris on Feb 27, 2009 1:17 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Paul....
178 IP 120 K 60 BB 4.50 ERA 11 wins
by Brakeman8 on Feb 27, 2009 2:23 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Pessimistic
189 IP, 128 K, 63 BB, 4.40 ERA. 9 wins again.
by shayborg on Feb 27, 2009 4:00 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
maholm
156 IP, 106 K, 56 BB, 4..22 ERA 9 wins
by bolton on Feb 27, 2009 5:00 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
167 IP, 88K, 56 BB, 4.19 ERA, 10 Wins
Maholm never finds his groove after the bullpen and some shoddy defense take away some early season success.
by ETNBuc on Feb 27, 2009 6:49 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
201 IP / 130 K / 60 BB / 3.97 ERA / 11 W
When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro. -- HST
by cocktailsfor2 on Feb 27, 2009 7:19 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I predict marginal improvement in 2009
in 32 starts: 215 IP, 145 K, 60 BB, 3.80 ERA, and 13 wins
FWIW, Maholm’s first/second half splits last year are an encouraging sign:
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/psplit.cgi?n1=maholpa01&year=2008
by humbucker on Feb 27, 2009 12:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
195 IP - 125 K - 52 BB - 4.10 ERA
Hopefully he’ll be more fortunate with the win total this season. I’ll go for 14.
by RDV across the sea on Feb 27, 2009 3:02 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
216 IP - 146 K's - 63 BB - 3.42 ERA
17 wins
by God Loves on Feb 27, 2009 4:49 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
195 IP/ 132 K / 61 BB / 4.25 ERA
10 wins
by Chad Bahamas on Feb 27, 2009 6:19 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Probably wishful thinking, but...
216 IP / 151 K / 57 BB / 3.79 ERA / 13 W
Also, this be my first post.
by wg1of5 on Mar 1, 2009 7:09 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
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