Community Projection: Andrew McCutchen

by Charlie Wilmoth on Mar 10, 2009 3:23 PM EDT

It was johnnycuff's idea to do a McCutchen projection, which I think should be interesting while we wait for the rotation to sort itself out a bit. In the comments, predict McCutchen's 2009 batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage, in that order. As a bonus, guess the number of at bats (not plate appearances, at bats) McCutchen will have this year. If you've been lurking, community projections are an easy way to start getting involved.

Here are the results of the projections so far, including the one for Matt Capps, which is now closed:

NAME	POS.	COMMUNITY	BONUS	ZiPS
Ryan Doumit	C	.289/.346/.477	115 games played	.287/.343/.463
Adam LaRoche	1B	.279/.350/.508	10th HR on June 11	.268/.343/.485
Freddy Sanchez	2B	.300/.332/.419	548 PAs	.285/.324/.398
Jack Wilson	SS	.271/.313/.360	Last 2009 game w/Bucs: August 13	.267/.317/.358
Andy LaRoche	3B	.264/.361/.436	124 starts	.232/.325/.363
Brandon Moss	OF	.260/.333/.460	48 extra-base hits	.251/.312/.403
Nate McLouth	CF	.276/.355/.480	First CS on May 21	.261/.342/.459
Nyjer Morgan	OF	.274/.318/.348	43 games at leadoff	.262/.315/.318

NAME	POS.	COMMUNITY	BONUS	ZiPS
Paul Maholm	SP	184.3 IP, 132K, 58BB, 4.00 ERA	12 wins	180.7 IP, 120K, 60BB, 4.53 ERA
Matt Capps	RP	64.3 IP, 55K, 13BB, 3.13 ERA	26 saves	71.7 IP, 55K, 13BB, 3.25 ERA

It doesn't look like the community and ZiPS have much to disagree about here. Capps has become one of the Pirates' more dependable players, which is funny given that he's a reliever who isn't in the best shape.

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Comments

mccutchen

.230/.325/.322 87 ABs

by bolton on Mar 10, 2009 3:30 PM EDT reply actions

.275/.345/.380

150 ABs

by Chad Bahamas on Mar 10, 2009 5:23 PM EDT reply actions

McCutchen

.260/.330/.420 in 120 AB

by kjcity520 on Mar 10, 2009 5:24 PM EDT reply actions

.251/.330/.363

284 ABs

by Scranton on Mar 10, 2009 6:05 PM EDT reply actions

a slow start, but not an embarrassment

I predict McCutcheon’s rookie year will somewhat reminiscent of Barry Bonds’ rookie year, but not as much power (and fewer plate appearances):

240/325/350, in 250 AB

by gonfalon on Mar 10, 2009 6:07 PM EDT reply actions

McCutchen will be up early

due to injuries and ineffectiveness of some other OFs.

.250/.330/.430

350ABs and 15HRs

by patthatt on Mar 10, 2009 6:08 PM EDT reply actions

The rook

.280/.340/.415

125 ABs

by Brakeman8 on Mar 10, 2009 7:58 PM EDT reply actions

Cutch

.270/.340/.390 in 95 AB…he stays at Indy until September.

by Thunder on Mar 10, 2009 9:09 PM EDT reply actions

.230/.300/.350

I think McCutchen will struggle in 150 at-bats some time after the All Star break.

by RDV across the sea on Mar 10, 2009 10:28 PM EDT reply actions

Not too bad ...

.255/.320/.380

110 ABs

by woobie on Mar 11, 2009 4:32 AM EDT reply actions

.357/.425/.600 -- 120 AB

Another in a long line of late season flashes from young CF. He’ll come up and crush fastballs for a month.

by azibuck on Mar 11, 2009 9:01 AM EDT reply actions

.240/.280/.320

in 155 AB.

rough start. i’d like to see him get off to a hot start at AAA, get a june call up and stick but i see him being up and down all season.

by johnnycuff on Mar 11, 2009 10:06 AM EDT reply actions

Andy Phillips

I realize it’s Spring Training, he’s bounced around since then, but does anyone else think the Yankees wouldn’t mind having Andy Phillips around right now?

by GTrain on Mar 11, 2009 11:47 AM EDT reply actions

.265/.335/.390 in 55 AB

That’s if he plays at all.

Pittsburgh Black And Gold -- So new, it still smells like paint!

by JustinM on Mar 11, 2009 12:55 PM EDT reply actions

If he does come up at all during the year, where will he play? will he be used as a forth outfielder and play when they give mclouth a day off, or will he shift to RF or LF. I would like to see him start at AAA, and come up a month into the season much like longoria, and play CF and moved McLouth over the LF

by PensRock1 on Mar 11, 2009 4:28 PM EDT reply actions