Community Projection: Andrew McCutchen
by Charlie on Mar 10, 2009 3:23 PM EDT
18 comments
It was johnnycuff's idea to do a McCutchen projection, which I think should be interesting while we wait for the rotation to sort itself out a bit. In the comments, predict McCutchen's 2009 batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage, in that order. As a bonus, guess the number of at bats (not plate appearances, at bats) McCutchen will have this year. If you've been lurking, community projections are an easy way to start getting involved.
Here are the results of the projections so far, including the one for Matt Capps, which is now closed:
| NAME | POS. | COMMUNITY | BONUS | ZiPS |
| Ryan Doumit | C | .289/.346/.477 | 115 games played | .287/.343/.463 |
| Adam LaRoche | 1B | .279/.350/.508 | 10th HR on June 11 | .268/.343/.485 |
| Freddy Sanchez | 2B | .300/.332/.419 | 548 PAs | .285/.324/.398 |
| Jack Wilson | SS | .271/.313/.360 | Last 2009 game w/Bucs: August 13 |
.267/.317/.358 |
| Andy LaRoche | 3B | .264/.361/.436 | 124 starts | .232/.325/.363 |
| Brandon Moss | OF | .260/.333/.460 | 48 extra-base hits | .251/.312/.403 |
| Nate McLouth | CF | .276/.355/.480 | First CS on May 21 | .261/.342/.459 |
| Nyjer Morgan | OF | .274/.318/.348 | 43 games at leadoff | .262/.315/.318 |
| NAME | POS. | COMMUNITY | BONUS | ZiPS |
| Paul Maholm | SP | 184.3 IP, 132K, 58BB, 4.00 ERA | 12 wins | 180.7 IP, 120K, 60BB, 4.53 ERA |
| Matt Capps | RP | 64.3 IP, 55K, 13BB, 3.13 ERA | 26 saves | 71.7 IP, 55K, 13BB, 3.25 ERA |
It doesn't look like the community and ZiPS have much to disagree about here. Capps has become one of the Pirates' more dependable players, which is funny given that he's a reliever who isn't in the best shape.
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a slow start, but not an embarrassment
I predict McCutcheon’s rookie year will somewhat reminiscent of Barry Bonds’ rookie year, but not as much power (and fewer plate appearances):
240/325/350, in 250 AB
by humbucker on Mar 10, 2009 6:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
McCutchen will be up early
due to injuries and ineffectiveness of some other OFs.
.250/.330/.430
350ABs and 15HRs
by patthatt on Mar 10, 2009 6:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Cutch
.270/.340/.390 in 95 AB…he stays at Indy until September.
by Thunder on Mar 10, 2009 9:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
.230/.300/.350
I think McCutchen will struggle in 150 at-bats some time after the All Star break.
by RDV across the sea on Mar 10, 2009 10:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
.357/.425/.600 -- 120 AB
Another in a long line of late season flashes from young CF. He’ll come up and crush fastballs for a month.
by azibuck on Mar 11, 2009 9:01 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
.240/.280/.320
in 155 AB.
rough start. i’d like to see him get off to a hot start at AAA, get a june call up and stick but i see him being up and down all season.
by johnnycuff on Mar 11, 2009 10:06 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Andy Phillips
I realize it’s Spring Training, he’s bounced around since then, but does anyone else think the Yankees wouldn’t mind having Andy Phillips around right now?
by GTrain on Mar 11, 2009 11:47 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
.265/.335/.390 in 55 AB
That’s if he plays at all.
Pittsburgh Black And Gold -- So new, it still smells like paint!
by JustinM on Mar 11, 2009 12:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If he does come up at all during the year, where will he play? will he be used as a forth outfielder and play when they give mclouth a day off, or will he shift to RF or LF. I would like to see him start at AAA, and come up a month into the season much like longoria, and play CF and moved McLouth over the LF
by PensRock1 on Mar 11, 2009 4:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
McCutch
265/335/385
in 300 at bats
I GOT MY STREET BUZZ BEFORE I GOT MY PEACH FUZZ
by omar moreno on Mar 12, 2009 11:30 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
.280/.340/.400
200 AB
Pittsburgh Lumber Co.
http://mvn.com/pittsburghlumberco
by MBandi on Mar 13, 2009 8:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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