Andrew McCutchen
I just read this nugget on MLB Skinny, and it got my ire up, b/c I have to agree with them. June 1st can't get here fast enough! If they pass on his promotion then, the PBC may be need to look for work, b/c this guy is more than ready, and we need him.
Prospecting
Andrew McCutchen(notes), Pit, OF – With more than 700 at bats, a .288 batting average and a 109:86 K-to-BB ratio at the Triple-A level, McCutchen has definitely proven himself deserving of finally getting a taste of major league pitching. In his past seven games for Indianapolis, McCutchen is 13-for-30 (.433), including his International League-high eighth triple. Speed’s the name of the game here, as he also paces the IL in Runs (32) and is seventh in stolen bases (9 SB in 10 attempts). It’s time to end the Brandon Moss(notes), Craig Monroe(notes), Delwyn Young(notes), Eric Hinske(notes) outfield shuffle. C’mon, Pirates, move Nate McLouth(notes) to right field and promote McCutchen already!
Thoughts?
This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the managing editor (Charlie) or SB Nation. FanPosts are written by Bucs Dugout readers.
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I would say that if anyone is gonna be replaced it will be Nyjer. There is no way we can give up on Moss and put him on the bench. I would be fine if Nyjer lost his starting job to McCutchen but I can already here the general public up in arms if he isn’t starting. The way I see it when Cutch comes up, Nate is in left and Moss stays in right.
Nyjer should definitely go...
His BABIP is starting to normalize and, as a result, his stats are dropping. He’s a career minor-leaguer!
This sounds crazy
I know Nyjer’s track record as well as anyone, but the fact is he’s 2nd on the team in OBP. Let’s wait until he slumps for, I don’t know, 6-7 games before we light the torches and say we knew it all along.
Oh, the voice of reason, eh?
There’s no place for you here.
I'd rather be dead than singing "Satisfaction" at forty-five. -- M. Jagger
by cocktailsfor2 on May 24, 2009 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions
McCutchen vs. RHP, 2009:
.260/.333/.400. It was cited as a concern in spring training, after he hit .275/.364/.379 against them last year, and it hasn’t really changed in his second tour in the league.
His season so far is encouraging on the whole, but he still has some work to do.
I should note:
The 1.07 split thing for RHB doesn’t necessarily apply here, in that the only research with which I’m familiar covers ML players, not minor league ones, and it’d be dangerous to assume a linear transfer across all levels of competition.
Give those guys a chance
Moss and Young have been on fire lately. In the last 10 games (granted many of which were against the Nationals and Rockies) Moss has raised his avg 80 points and his OPS is up about 200 points. Young filled in admirably for Nyjer and has looked great at the plate. Nyjer himself has been the breakout star of the season so far. I was among the Nyjer haters this spring but he’s really done about everything he can to prove he should be playing. I see no reason to clog things up even more when Cutch could have his service time delayed and go from a B+ to an A as far as polish. The thing this team needs most is power hitting and thats not his thing anyway. He’s a better version of Nyjer right now, which I don’t think is worth it. If he were say Laporta, Gamel, Bruce, Davis somebody who could come up and start hitting bombs I might feel differently.
McLouth is The Trouth
Well...
I’m not sure he is a better version of Nyjer right now. Nyjer’s major league numbers are better than Cutch’s minor league ones. I would love to see Cutch develop “some” power. I thought his floor would be a 10 – 15 HR per year guy but right now I’m not sure he’d outslug Morgan.
I feel we should be a little more patient
with Cutch. This article cites his batting average, K:BB ratio, runs, stolen bases and performance over the last seven games as proof of his readiness. Batting average: .288, doesn’t really blow me away frankly. Plus, there is no context: a guy hitting .288 and slugging .550 is very different from someone hitting .288 and slugging .350. K:BB ratio: very good, always has been and likely always will be. No problems here. Runs: great that he’s leading the league, but this is not a stat I want to base promotions/demotions on. SBs: this is one area he was supposed to be improving, his SB efficiency, and so far he has. Props. Finally, performance over the last seven games is meaningless to me. Jared Keel is batting .333/.472/.722 with 6R 2HR 9RBI and 5BB over his last ten games. Time to bring him up?
Jason
The Hanging Curve
Cutch is actually showing good power growth this year.
.187 ISO. Pretty good for a 22-year-old in AAA, particularly a CF.
duly noted
A week isn’t a good indicator.
But like MiLB states Cutch “Spent the entire season (2008) with Triple-A Indianapolis, hitting .283 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs and 34 stolen bases in 135 games.”
His avg is up slightly, as you noted his SB efficiency is up, and his SLG is .479, up from .398 a year ago.
I’m not advocating they promote him immediately, I just think waiting for the 40-man roster is too late. He can help this team win now and in the future.
by Pensburgh Pirates on May 21, 2009 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions
NO WAY SHOULD WE BRING HIM UP!!!!
Why would you start the clock on a kid who will just be starting to hit his stride when his turn for free agency comes along? The kid is only 22 and its not like his presence will make us a conteder anyway. He really doesnt add enough of a return in the outfield now (versus what we are putting out there) to start the clock. Give him a full year at AAA and allow him to grow into his body. There is no need to rush him.
Vanslyke
Your comment is correct and for several reasons: both starting his clock and because of the dividends that are now being paid on Andy LaRoche as a result of Russell’s willingness to stick with him and give him time to mature. Perhaps, Moss needs this same amount of time and since this is a throw-away season anyway, let’s give Moss a chance and wait on bringing up McCutchen. In addition, I think the same logic should be applied to Morgan who seems to be hitting his stride. Let’s see what these two can produce if given enough time before we make a judgement on them. Then, if they don’t work out this year we can move on to other options. Now is not the time to be in a hurry.
by Illinois Pirate Fan on May 21, 2009 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions
Keep Him Down on the Farm for the Year
I was for promoting him coming up mid-year but after how Nyjer has played, I am now for leaving Andrew down at AAA for the year. Unless Nyger or McLouth goes down for an extend stretch, let Andrew hone his game. Then next spring, let the competition begin!
Nyjer Trade Bait?
If Nyjer keeps playing so well, then we can be in an interesting position of trading from strength. We could trade Nyjer this year and play McCutchen OR we could wait until Spring Training.
If we trade Nyjer, it will be because we can-not because we need to. He is cheap, and he is not about to be a FA. All things for which he could get us a good prospect from a team that needs a CF. His age is his only drawback, but some teams might not care about that. When was the last time the Bucs were in such a postion? Not in many years!
I don’t think we would want to keep McCutchen down at AAA next year. I think that beginning next year he needs to start playing in the majors.
Nyjer Trade Bait!???
No way. There is no way we will ever get any type of decent return for Nyjer. There is zero track record and 28 is 28. One half of a season for a 28 year old trending way above his average numbers may net us a mid-level prospect at best. Nyjer fits a role on the team and IMHO is someone we can keep around at a reasonable cost until he hits FA. His speed is valuable, but his recklesness would reduce our return from other teams.
Ride Nyjer and Moss this year and open up the competition next year. Then we let McCutchen earn it before we anoint him with a position. The only way he plays in the bigs this year is prolonged injury to multiple OFs. We could cover if a McClouth/Moss/Morgan go down, but lose two and then maybe it would be time. I would not be averse to that.
Shhh, don't tell anybody!
This is Huntington’s chance to prove he can sell refrigerators to Eskimos. Trade Nyjer while he’s still hot, and make him someone else’s problem.
If the PBC brings up Cutch after the next week or so, he’s got too little time to qualify as a Super Two player, and essentially 2009 won’t count toward arbitration or free agency.
I’d much rather watch ACutch (or even Delwyn Young) than Morgan as a starter.
So get on the phone, Neal.
Can’t be any worse than what we got for Rajai Davis, right?
um, wait…
I'd rather be dead than singing "Satisfaction" at forty-five. -- M. Jagger
by cocktailsfor2 on May 21, 2009 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions
I think its time ...
Soe of you have said that he needs to play a full season in AAA to season, but he played 135 games in Indy last year. It’s true he needs to work on some things, but I see him as a potential Carl Crawford. I think if given the chance he’d make the most of it.
It’s true though that they have a real connundrum with all the good OF’s they have, especially since all have been producing, all are cheap, and years from FA. But, I think zogger is right, Morgan can be packaged to someone for something we need, like a SS/2B prospect. And since he himself may not draw that much interest, maybe as a package with a pitcher (or prospect) we can move Morgan for value, open up the OF logjam, and see what he can do.
I don’t understand holding him back another year. It’s not like he’ll be leaving if he’s good. I seriously doubt PBC will just let him walk, especially after how coveted he’s been.
by Pensburgh Pirates on May 21, 2009 5:13 PM EDT reply actions
Worth remembering here:
Carl Crawford wasn’t actually any good until his third season in the bigs, because Tampa promoted him too soon.
not true
He hit .281 with 55 SB in his first full year (630 AB). That at 21. After they brought him up midseason the year before at 20.
Cutch is 21, and has shown no knack for striking out as much as Crawford did.
The main difference between them is that Cutch is smaller 5’11" to Crawford’s 6’2". Weight is relative since at his age he can still bulk up. And lots of prospects get to do that in the bigs, so why not Cutch?
by Pensburgh Pirates on May 21, 2009 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions
He hit .281 with 55 SB in his first full year (630 AB).
He had a .671 OPS that year, which isn’t good at all for an outfielder.
McCutchen is 22, by the way.
by Charlie Wilmoth on May 21, 2009 8:49 PM EDT up reply actions
BA and SBs are nice...
…but in the complete and total absence of anything else, they don’t win ball games.
In 2003, Crawford had a .281 BA and 55 SB, as you note. He also had 26 walks, and 32 extra-base hits. In 630 at-bats. While playing left field, when the league’s average of all LFs that season was .286/.344/.462.
Maybe the Brewers would look favorably on Nyjer?
The Chris Duffy experiment is pretty much over (.125 BA in ‘09). They just traded for another ex-Buc, Jody Gerut, who’s batting .221 this year and has to play CF. Nyjer is a natural in Milwaukee, if you ask me.
P.S. Nice, totally cynical move by the Padres to get Tony Gwynn, Jr. while they’re giving up Jake Peavy. Do they really think the “Tony Gwynn” name is going to save them with the season ticket holders? His .190 BA this year (lifetime .248) says he’s a Gwynn in name only.
Remember Willie Mays Hayes?
“I hit like Mays, and I run like Hayes.”
“You may run like Hayes. but you hit like s**t.”
Sounds like a fit
He can hangout with Kendall and Suppan, too!
LOL!
by Pensburgh Pirates on May 21, 2009 7:15 PM EDT up reply actions
What about Nyjer to the Nats?
He’d add to their lineup, where everyone could move back one in the lineup. I don’t know just a thought.
They’re SS prospect, Bynum, would be a nice addition. Not maybe big league ready, but someone other than Bixler, and hits with power (.500+ SLG).
by Pensburgh Pirates on May 21, 2009 7:32 PM EDT up reply actions
The Nats are carrying too many OF right now as is.
And while Seth Bynum may have a .500+ SLG, he’s not a prospect. He’s a 28-year-old they’re using as an organizational player.
Another Carl Crawford?
The Pirate front office would take that in a heartbeat.
If that were so, he’d be in Pittsburgh right now.
If not for new management
You can bet he’d have made it by now. DL would have done it in a heartbeat (see A. Ramirez).
by Pensburgh Pirates on May 21, 2009 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions
Down the Road...
I don’t mean to sound negative, but I keep reading about how 2012 is our year. Unfortunately, I disagree. If you look at our potential roster and rotation, it seems to me we may be able to play winning ball but still have no real chance at winning the division or a wild card in 2012.
C – Doumit – If he stays healthy he is a fringe top 5 offensive catcher with mediocre defensive skills
1B – Adam Laroche – If he is still around he is a solid offensive 1b, but no where in the league of the Pujols, Tex, or A. Gonzo.
2B – Andy Laroche – Assuming he moves to 2b to clear space for Pedro but doesn’t explode as far as potential, he could be an above average offensive 2b but would certainly not be a defensive wizard.
SS – No clue – Bixler or whoever.. who knows. If we find someone who isn’t terrible offensively but excellent defensively it would be far from the worst thing in the world.
3B – Pedro Alvarez – Lets hope he explodes into a .290 – 35 – 120 type of guy.. great
LF – Brandon Moss – Although I’d love to see Tabata break out and become an all-star quality corner outfielder the chances have been seeming to slim.. at least by 2012. This leaves us with Moss, and barring a huge breakout, a servicable corner outfielder who won’t be terrible as our 3rd best offensive outfielder. (I’m assuming he can reach a .280 – 10-15 – 80ish range.)
CF – Cutch – The topic of this post. By 2012 we can help hes hitting leadoff (or maybe 3rd if his power develops). If its leadoff I think .280 (with good OBP) – 8 – 60 – 40sb is reasonable to hope for.
RF – McLouth – Putting up the numbers he put up last year and this year. Nuff said
Although I know the bench is important part of any team, I am excluding thoughts about what it will be like in 2012 cause I have no idea.
WHICH LEAVES
OUR PITCHING STAFF… which (lets be honest) will never be better than average with the arms we seemingly have in Pittsburgh and our system. Of course a miracle could always happen.
Ultimately, this leaves us with a good, but not great playoff caliber team in 2012, at least in my humble opinion.
Therefore, I think that we will be looking playoffs around 2015, if we make the right moves. We should wait on starting the clock on Cutch and others. We will probably have to trade Adam, Moss.. maybe McLouth and even Andy Laroche in order to put together a team with a shot at winning it will. The pieces we get out of those trades will be the foundations, along with our upcoming drafts and Cutch, Tabata (I still have high hopes) and Alvarez. This also is why I think we have to take a chance on guys like Sano and sign him if all possible. Even with his huge price tag, if so many other teams are interested him and hes willing to sign is Pittsburgh, we shouldnt pass that up.
Let’s hope for the playoffs in 2012, but I know its gonna happen in 2015.
Feel free to flame me! :D
by McCutchenIsTheTruth on May 22, 2009 9:38 AM EDT reply actions
I think that a lot of people are using 2012...
…as the eariliest possible (realistic) year of contention for the team, not as a baseline expectation.
At least, I hope that’s what they’re doing.
Actually
Shortstop is looking pretty decent right now. I mean, behind Bixler who appears to be AAAA so far. Brian Friday is tearing the cover off the ball right now. Behind him D’arnaud and Mercer. These guys are probably in line to be promoted lock step through the system (even though Mercer has been in a swoon of late, he has a lot of talent). It is not unthinkable to imagine one of these guys making it to PBC by 2012. Not to mention that about three quarters of teams have a terrible hitting shortstop, so the description you provided is kind of par for the course.
Jason
The Hanging Curve
by poorboywilly on May 22, 2009 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions
No, no...
I think that’s a pretty fair evaluation based on what we have now. Even if a couple of guys reach their ceilings we won’t be a championship caliber club. We obvsiously are going to have to keep drafting the best players available and hope that all of our prosepects develop at an efficient rate (Grossman, Mercer, Hague, etc.). We are also going to have to acquire some impact prospects via trades in order to be competetive by 2012. I think you may see guys like Doumit, Snell, Freddy, Capps, etc., dealt over the next couple of years. This is why it is so importatnt for NH to stick with the process and not give in to the temptation of ending the losing streak.
Realistically,
2011-2012 is a fairly reasonable time frame for contention (not necessarily winning). That assumes that Pedro is ready in that time frame…Cutch develops as expected…we get something out of Tabata by 2012…and we draft/develop at least 2 pitchers and 1 SS.
Starting to see signs that Lincoln could be a piece of the puzzle. Friday/D’Arnaud/Mercer should see at least 1 of those develop at SS.
Right now…I think our staff for 2010-2011 could be Maholm, Ohlendorf, Duke, Lincoln and Gorzo. Snell goes to the bullpen (closer??) or traded.
I think Snell gets dealt...
Thabata’s starting to lose some of his shine. I’m hopeful but I think his chances of being a productive starter, let alone an impact player, are rapidly diminising. The SS do look promising so far, D’Arnaud is having a fine season and I believe Mercer is starting to heat up. Friday is having a nice year as well. Lincoln is starting to look good and man I would love for Morris to stay on the field to see what we have there. Isn’t 2012 a contract year for McClouth and Maholm? If so, it’s a possibility they may not be around too long.
What?
Tabata is starting to lose some of his shine?? He just got here! And he’s 20 (maybe 21) years old! I think Tabata is a major piece of our future. As long as he can stay healthy, Tabata will be a good major league player, in my opinion. The problem is: What happens with our outfield depth? Somebody is going to be the odd man out with McLouth, McCutchen, Moss and Tabata all in the majors by 2012.
easily moss
If all three of those guys do whats expected of them, moss will easily be expendable or the 4th outfielder which i wouldn’t mind
well...
frankly he needs to hit at the A level before he’s going to get to the bigs.
Jason
The Hanging Curve
by poorboywilly on May 24, 2009 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions
If he is...
…then we’re in a hell of a lot of trouble. Right now, he’s not even hitting like a guy who should be starting in AA.
Pedro Alvarez will not be the starting first baseman
in Pittsburgh in April 2010. He will be playing third base at Altoona, making a lot of errors, hitting a good number of HRs, and realizing how hard he has to work to make it to the majors-let alone be successful there.
Not unless he makes great strides at the plate and in the field.
The team is not going to start his MLB service clock til he proves he is reasonably ready for the daily grind of the majors. He has a lot to prove first at A+, AA, and AAA.
Can he hit consistently? What position is he going to play? Most of us think it will be first base. If so, then he will need to get time at that position too before he is brought up. It makes no sense to start playing Alvarez at first when he debuts in Pittsburgh.
Alvarez didn’t play so much last year in college coming off the injury, and then didn’t play in the pros last summer because of the contract situation. He followed that up with showing up out of shape early this year in Florida. It may very well take him til 2011 before he is ready to contribute offensively and defensively on a consistent basis in Pittsburgh.
Time will tell. I think Pedro Alvarez has the POTENTIAL to be a good power-hitting corner infielder for the PBC for many years.
But then again, I seem to remember Bonds, Bonilla, and Van Slyke struggling at times for a number of years honing their games….
We don’t really have a choice. Pierce isn’t the answer at 1B. Alvarez has the power to hit 30+ HR at PNC with the short porch in RF for left-handed hitters. I think he needs to be promoted to Double-A. I just think he would do better there. This kid just got into the system, and he’s hands down the best prospect in the system (he rivals McCutchen for the top spot anyway). Now he does have to get more patient at the plate, but let’s remember: He’s carrying the weight of an entire organization on his shoulders. That’s A LOT of pressure for a 21-year-old kid. He’s pressing a little bit right now. He wants to prove why he was the 2nd overall pick in last year’s draft, but he’s not necessarily getting strikes thrown to him and he’s chasing. I would be more concerned though if he wasn’t hitting for any power, especially coming off that wrist injury. But his injury seems to be a thing of the past as he is blasting homeruns at Lynchburg, and his average will come. With the Adam LaRoche experiment failing miserably, we HAVE to have some power and production from 1B. We can’t go another three years with no production from our first baseman. I think Pedro will turn it around the second half of the year, end this season in Double-A Altoona, and be our opening day 1B next year.
You're too quick to rule out Pearce.
And I don’t see how you can say that Adam LaRoche is “failing miserably”, when he’s started significantly less slowly this year than in any other season of his career.
Right now, Pedro would get eaten alive by ML pitching. He has a lot of work to do.
I think the general wisdom
is to hit for average and the power will come. We really don’t need another Brad Eldred on or hands.
Jason
The Hanging Curve
by poorboywilly on May 26, 2009 7:49 PM EDT up reply actions
mspirate
1) He’s not a 21 y/o kid. He’s a 22 y/o man(birthday was in Feb.) and he had 3 years’ baseball experience in the SEC.
2) Alvarez has proven so far NOT to be ready for the upper levels of the minors, let alone MLB. Yes, he was recovering from injury, but he certainly didn’t do himself any favors by getting fatter than hell during his off time. He needs to keep his fat ass under control before trying to take the “weight of an entire organization on his shoulders.” ( A recent pic I saw of him looks like he’s got a little less junk in the trunk. The organization has reportedly gotten it through his head how hard he will have to work to make it and stick in the big leagues.)
3) We could do worse than Adam LaRoche at the plate and definitely in the field, and may very well do so next season. (Just like we find out how much worse things can get when Jack and Freddy get hurt.)
4) At this point, Alvarez is clueless at third base and hasn’t even tried to play first. And noooo…, making the move across the diamond is not as simple as a short walk across the field.
5) Pedro Alvarez may finish this season in AA, but he will not be our starter at first base in April 2010.
6) We all want the Pittsburgh Pirates to get better as soon as possible, after suffering through so much disappointment from that day of hell in October 1992. But we still have to be patient for a few more years, unfortunately.
Yeah...
Richie Hebner…who is very familiar with Carolina league baseball…has already stated that there’s no way Alvarez plays 3B in the majors. And if Alvarez has no experience at 1B…he’s in for some work…because the footwork…and throwing…are entirely different at 3B and 1B.

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