Bits From the Trades
Odds and ends from the trade bonanza this afternoon:
-P- Jeff Salazar will join the Pirates while they wait for Lastings Milledge to get himself sorted out. Salazar didn't hit all that well for Indianapolis, but I'm still pretty happy to have him on board. I wanted him to make the team out of Spring Training. He brings decent defense and has just enough of every offensive skill to get by. He deserves the shot at a bench job, and I'm glad he's going to get it.
-P- Nats acting GM Mike Rizzo on the Morgan/Burnett deal:
"We addressed two of our biggest needs, athleticism and defensive ability in center field and a bullpen guy
we'll have control over the next three years." He called called Burnett and Morgan "two cornerstones of the organization."
That's a laugher worthy of Lloyd McClendon's "This sends shock waves" quote about Derek Bell, frankly. Burnett and Morgan would be cornerstones of a Class AA team. Maybe.
-P- The Post-Gazette also has some details on the players acquired for Eric Hinske. Eric Fryer, who has played outfield for the Yankees, will be moved back behind the plate, while Casey Erickson (lots of "Eric"s in this trade) may get a shot as a starter. He didn't pitch well in three minor-league starts this year, but he has four pitches. The P-G also notes that he's a groundball guy, and... wow, they're not kidding. I just noticed that. He has 3.23 groundouts for every flyout this year, which looks pretty tasty, and he's allowed just four homers in the past two years combined. Maybe there's more upside here than I initially realized.
-P- USA Today calls the Morgan/Burnett deal a "potential heist" for the Bucs.
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Comments
I think I've figured out the Morgan/Burnett trade.
The Bucs are desperately hoping that Morgan + Burnett will cause Washington to stop sucking and win enough games to make the Pirates uncontested in their bid for Bryce Harper. Probably not going to work, but it doesn’t hurt to try, right?
Hey, an out is an out - unless you're Mario, in which case it's probably two outs. -UtesFan89
by wg1of5 on Jun 30, 2009 9:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
McCutchen, Alvarez, Tabata, Andy, Milledge, Sanchez, Sano (hopefully)…I’m starting to see the core of talent which could be a formidable lineup soon if we are lucky.
by Gorkys n' Beans on Jun 30, 2009 9:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You mean Tony Sanchez right?
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jun 30, 2009 9:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I share your optimism but Sano is 16 and IF we sign him he won't be part of this "core."
by Slick1 on Jul 1, 2009 12:03 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You are correct
But this is exactly what we need for the 2nd wave when we’ll be competing and have to make tough decisions about who to re-sign from the 1st core
"Everybody panic! If you have a small child, use it as a shield! They love tender meat."
by BattlinBucs on Jul 1, 2009 12:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If Sano Is The Next Ken Griffey Jr.
Or the next A-Rod, or Dale Murphy, he might be part of the team in 2011.
Some players are ready for the majors at age 19.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just Sayin'
Some players are in the majors by age 18. Not many, but some. And the ones who are are usually very talented and have been scouted while they were in their mid-teens. It’s not ridiculous to say that Sano might be in the majors by 18.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Love this trade!
I think this was a great trade for the bucco’s. They did not give up too much ( was just there sunday and saw NyMo picked off twice), and I think they got some prospects with quite a bit of upside to them. NH is putting together some good trades here.I know i’m only getting set up for some serious heartache, but i might actually be buying into what the bucs are doing.
by grambo119 on Jun 30, 2009 10:41 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Unpersuaded about this trade!!
And I have more exclamation points, so my logic is obviously sounder. This will be brief as my computer just ate my draft post….
MLB Trade Rumors notes that Hanrahan and Milledge will be under our control until 2013. But if they’re only fair-to-middlin’ player, so what?
Hanrahan spent 2000 to 2007 in the minors – it just feels like that’s too long. Of course, Burnett has been down there for awhile too, so what exactly did we do? Trade the left-handed Burnett for a right-handed Burnett-light?
There’s not enough beer to make me like obtaining LM (GTrain’s great post notwithstanding). I hope that someone from the Front Office got to talk to him and take a measure of whether he’s grown up.
Most of what I’ve seen describes Erick #1 and Erick #2 that we traded for Erick H as “nothing special” and “just bodies.” Which, give our short-term rental of Erick H, is about all we could expect. But at least we know it wasn’t a salary dump – the NY Post reports that we’re picking up about half of what Erick H is still owed.
by Trogluddite on Jun 30, 2009 10:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
But we're not picking up the other half
and We aren’t losing any production as Hinske saw almost no pt and his AB’s are better served for Young/ Pearce/ Jones/ Moss who can give us at least Hinske’s offensive production and have a chance to show us what they can do.
I know 350k doesn’t seem like a lot when guys are making 20 mill, but for a team like the Pirates its very real money. If we lose no value, give our young guys PT and save 350K that could go to Sano, one of our teen pitcher draft picks, or what the hell, fireworks at PNC, don’t you do that every time? Not that it’s a reason for a trade, but Hinske will be much happier in NY, getting more time, hitting to that homer porch on a championship contender. As I said in an earlier post, we all win. While it looks bad at first, don assume us sending money means we’re not saving $ on this. Just not as much as we’d like.
Also thanks for the love on the post.
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jun 30, 2009 11:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, I don't mind the Hinske trade
….actually sort of like that Neil H managed to trade a rental whose shown little of value to us for anything. I just don’t think that either of the guys we got will make big contributions other than w/the Altoona Curve.
Your post on LM was a good counter to my earlier post. Wonder which one will be accurate 3 years from now.
by Trogluddite on Jun 30, 2009 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks. Ya it could really go either way with him. I was never a huge fan of Milledge, but I think he definitely has the potential to be a 20-20 guy, he was close in 08. But the defense, batting eye and attitude are the x factors.
Apparently I was wrong about the money we saved on Hinske, per Dejan
“The two trades were a wash in terms of salary and rights: Milledge makes $452,000, Hanrahan $420,000, and, including the payoff on the Hinske trade, the Pirates lose an estimated total of $65,000 on that front. The Pirates control the rights to Milledge four years, Hanrahan five. The Nationals get four each with Morgan and Burnett.”
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jul 1, 2009 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A Greater Strategy
I think it’s important to look at these upside acquisitions as a part of a greater strategy. No single one of these trades will look like a brilliant move. But if you make enough of these same upside acquisitions, a few of them will work out well, and even fewer will work out great, and then you look like a genius.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jun 30, 2009 11:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fun night in the minors...
Altoona staff gas cans a 5-0 lead…State College gas cans a 4-0 lead. Looks like only team other than the big club that might win is WV…who is up 2-0 in the 8th.
by Thunder on Jun 30, 2009 10:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ironic, no?
People are off criticizing NH and who he got in return for a trade of a guy fans like (NyjMo), while someone he got in a similar situation last year (the X-Man trade, which caused equal uproar) goes out and dominates the Cubs.
True Blue Jazz
Bucco Ball
I'm on Twitter
RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09
by UtesFan89 on Jun 30, 2009 11:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
...and don't forget that....
…we got at least a competent 1B for a popular guy who just blew another save in Atlanta….
…we got not just one, but two, Major League ready arms in the Nady trade. Both of them are contributing more to the Bucs this year than anyone we would have readily plugged in. How happy would we be now w/Marte and Nady on the DL and Herr John Van Benschoten starting rather than Ohlie and (insert your favorite middle reliever from last year here) coming in rather than Karstens in long relief?
Having said that, having been offered Lastings Milledge now, my druthers would be that the front office held out to see if we could have gotten more than Lastings Milledge. Interestingly, the stats forum in FanNation (Beyond the Box Score) thinks that Hanrahan is the key piece of this trade and that because of him, we won hands down.
by Trogluddite on Jun 30, 2009 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed completely
most people just see bad trade after bad trade though.
I mean, we traded X-Man last year, and now Princeton 4-hits the Cubs for 7 innings.
Maybe they should give Milledge/Hanrahan more than -45 seconds to show themselves?
True Blue Jazz
Bucco Ball
I'm on Twitter
RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09
by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 12:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is our deadline best case scenario
For at least the past 9 seasons, we have cried and moaned about 3 GMs’ inability to take one of our average players and turn him into a prospect at the deadline. Shawn Chacon for Craig Wilson? We killed the trade. Kris Benson… for magic beans! We killed it. Kip Wells… we couldn’t get a prospect? We killed it.
Now we took a player who, while lovable in most un-quantifiable ways (and, for the first time this year, likeable in some) and flipped him into a guy who was one of the most promising propsects in baseball before he developed attitude problems…. We turned one of our mediocrities into a prospect.
That’s all we’ve wanted for a long time. I’m surprised there isn’t near-unanimous praise for this deal.
by KPatrick on Jun 30, 2009 11:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If there were near-unanimous praise,
it would mean we were all moving like lemmings, hopefully not over a cliff. The debate here has been robust and I think shades slightly to the “this could be a good trade, but you have to show me” side.
I suspect that the other problem for the Pirates is that casual fans in Pburgh (they’re the ones that count since they buy or don’t buy the tickets) see “the future of the franchise” being traded away for nuthin’ even though Nyjer was playing well above past performance and Nate is (heretic alert) a nice 3rd outfielder and a great human being, but not the second coming of Mickey Mantle. It’s not surprising that our fans have lost the ability to evaluate talent, given what the front office has been selling lo’ these many years, starting w/the draft picks of the past.
The front office may have to make a move that adds competitiveness to the team for this year, even if it will be futile, just to burn off the image that we are once again trading away our best pieces for some vague future hope.
Not saying that anyone here is falling for that, but what about folks back home in the ’burgh?
by Trogluddite on Jun 30, 2009 11:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m surprised there isn’t near-unanimous praise for this deal.
Because 90% of the casual fanbase isn’t gonna like any deal, any management, or any owner until there is more W’s then L’s in the win column, period. That’s just the way it is after 16 years of losing. I find it odd though that fans couldn’t wait to dump Nyjer over the Clemente Bridge after his horrific showing in spring training this year. Now they all love him, and hate management for trading their ‘star’ player. Just a Pittsburgh mentality i guess.
by phil79 on Jul 1, 2009 12:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Simple fan equation
W>L management should be judged by results.
W<L management sucks.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A little on the Two Ericks (From WFAN's website)
The 23-year-old Erickson was 3-3 with a 2.25 ERA in three starts and 18 relief appearances at Class A Charleston this season. Fryer, also 23, hit .250 with 11 doubles, two homers, 24 RBIs and 11 steals for Class A Tampa after leading the South Atlantic League with a .335 average last year for West Virginia.
by Trogluddite on Jul 1, 2009 12:09 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I like the trades, too, as I note elsewhere, but let’s not go overboard on Sally League performances. Both were very old for the levels and Fryer’s been absolutely terrible at a level he’s still too old for. Fryer and Erickson are both extreme long shots to contribute at the Major League level and I don’t mean long shot in the way Gorkys is, either. You’re pretty much looking at a couple mid-level organizational players here.
--
Dan Szymborski
dan@baseballprimer.com
by D.Szymborski on Jul 1, 2009 12:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nats sell low and buy high
Just a few years ago, the Bucs always sold low and bought high (Morris for instance to name one) just like the Nats did today. Both pickups by the Bucs today were expected at the beginning of the season to be very good for the Nats I agree that this management team took 2 nothings-with all due respect (I liked Burnett’s guts to make this team in any fashion, though that wasn’t too difficult with this pitching staff) and got 1 potential player with upside and another to fill the huge gaping pitching hole that they inherited. So, I have no problem with taking a chance as long as this method is followed, whether it works or not. Good luck to the ex-Pirates, but this is icing on the cake for the Buccos getting anything for Nymo. The buy high method never works as the Nats, Braves, Yanks have discovered-thanks to the Bucs management. Keep the plan going for 2012.
by long4willie on Jul 1, 2009 1:10 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
As much as I like this deal I wish I hadn’t listened to ESPN radio today. I usually because it’s pretty awful but I was in the the car and there was some interesting news so why not. It was whatever the show is called with Paulsen, Crow and Logan.
Now, I knew before that I pretty much hate Crow, and what he was saying didn’t help that at all. From what I listened to, his basic gist on it was that the Pirates are going to be terrible forever, so why bother trying to make any trades to improve the team, but also this trade sucks because Milledge isn’t going to be around in 3 years anyway. Paulsen didn’t really like the trade either, suggesting this was just a trade for the sake of making a trade. Logan was fairly noncommittal, but he only really knows a lot about football so that’s to be expected.
The fans who emailed the show and called in didn’t help either, one going so far as to say that this was the straw, now he’s done with the Pirates forever! Come one, quitting the team over Nyger freaking Morgan? Give me a break. An emailer also voiced his opinion that this was just another example of the devil Pirates front office calling up other teams and asking them who they wanted, and they’ll give them whoever they wanted for nothing. Then there was the fellow who said how the Pirates were going to lose ticket sales because of this due to losing all the people who bought tickets to see Morgan play. Seriously? You actually believe that? Not one damn person bought one ticket specifically to see Nyger Morgan play.
Charlie has pretty much already said what I agree with, that this was a sell high, buy low trade. Morgan was never that good to begin with, and at 29 he’s not going to improve. Milledge is still only 24 and still has a ton of potential. Whether or not he’ll come close to that potential remains to be seen, but even if it doesn’t this was worth the risk. With McCutchen batting leadoff and playing center, Morgan was unnecessary, albeit still somewhat productive. For contending teams, corner outfielders need to produce a lot more than Morgan ever would, and Milledge has the potential to do just that.
by Schide on Jul 1, 2009 1:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I’m pretty certain those who called in are also pretty active in the Facebook Pirates page. Because that’s all I’ve been seeing are posts of “I quit this team, we traded our best player!” Honestly, I say good riddance.
by ryebr3ad on Jul 1, 2009 1:40 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
When we win again
I’ll be so excited for those people to announce how they’ve been fans the whole time. These people have no idea what it takes to have a winning team
"Everybody panic! If you have a small child, use it as a shield! They love tender meat."
by BattlinBucs on Jul 1, 2009 1:50 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reminds me
of the Indians fans in the movie “Major League.”
"The team that scores the most points wins."
John Madden
(Master of the obvious)
by PixburghArn on Jul 1, 2009 7:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The issue with the fans leaving is tricky though. I left. For about 4 years I “financially” boycotted the Buccos. I would always check the box scores in the paper and even watch an inning or two on the tube, but I refused to show my support for a crappy FO that refused to put a contender on the field and set .500 as their goal.
Then it happened. McClatchy stepped down and DL was fired shortly after that season ended. My interest was once again piqued. Then by some stroke of luck my company sent me to a luncheon where FC and NH were the speakers (and I got to sit at a table with Tony Beasley). NH said the next few years weren’t going make him a popular man but that his goal was to create a perrenial contender. At that point I decided I would give being a Pirates supporter another try. Next they drafted Alverez. I was sold. NH and FC were doing exactly what they said they would do and continue to do so.
Although it irks me to no end that people keep saying “same ol’ Buccos”, you have to have some patience with them. Some of them are to young to remember what good baseball is like.
by PensFan024 on Jul 1, 2009 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Being young has nothing to do with it
I was never a Pirates fan until Huntington took over and actually started to try, now I’m a huge one. And the Pirates haven’t had a winning season since I was one. It’s not young people just stupid people.
by thecheeseisblue on Jul 1, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I posted a comment on there as well, although it was in a different vein as this one.
But I just realized I kept spelling Nyjer as Nyger in my post here. How embarrassing.
by Schide on Jul 1, 2009 3:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"I quit this team, we traded our best player!"
Just as well. Sitting in the same ballpark with these people could cause your IQ to drop.
by WTM on Jul 1, 2009 7:09 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow!
Nyjer and Burnett are good players, but cornerstones of your franchise? That’s going too far. Nyjer isn’t the cornerstone of anything at the age of 29 and Burnett is a decent relief pitcher at best. I loved this trade. Is Milledge going to straighten himself out and grow up? I don’t know. I really hope he does, but the guy is just 24 years old. Hanrahan could also be very good. Give him some time with Kerrigan and he could be a great relief pitcher/closer. We are definitely headed in the right direction with these trades. I’m not saying that every single trade is going to work out the way NH envisioned them, but it will take 2-3 years to really make a judgement about the trades and the idea of getting younger and building for the future is the right way to do it. I know the Mets were ready to get rid of Milledge and he was very immature in New York, but don’t you think the Mets could use him right about now in their depleted outfield?
by mspirate on Jul 1, 2009 2:27 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
USA Today article
Although I agree with the premise, that article kind of sucked. I fail to understand this part:
Morgan has been a pleasant surprise so far — hitting .277 with 18 steals. However, the Nats are next-to-last in the majors in stolen bases (with the worse stolen base percentage), so don’t expect Morgan to thrive in that department.
So, stealing bases is a team activity now? That logic is really weird. In any case, I don’t consider Morgan’s 64% success rate a real positive. There were definitely times when his stolen bases helped produce runs, but on the other hand getting erased from the bases 10 times could not have helped. Does CS include the times that he was picked off? I’ve never been clear on that.
Another head scratcher:
Burnett started 13 games for the Pirates in 2004, but didn’t pitch in the majors again until last season. He’s put up decent numbers in Class AAA, but isn’t even worth a flier right now.
To be fair to Burnett, he isn’t worthless. Also, I believe he’s put up decent numbers in the majors, so I wonder why they’d even be talking about his AAA numbers and if it’s really that they don’t even realize that he wasn’t in AAA this year.
by Dignan on Jul 1, 2009 5:51 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
“Does CS include the times that he was picked off?”
Yep.
by matskralc on Jul 1, 2009 6:57 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not all of them.
If Morgan was tagged out at 2nd…they go as picked off/caught stealing (like the 2 last weekend). If he’s tagged out at first…they don’t go as caught stealing…just picked off. So…according to baseball-reference.com…he’s been picked off 4 times. Two of them were PO/CS…where he was tagged out trying to advance to 2nd…and 2 were PO…tagged out at 1st.
That would make his true numbers 18 of 30…or 60%. And remember that we know of at least one pickoff where he was called safe and there was indisputable photographic proof that he was out.
by Thunder on Jul 1, 2009 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for that explanation
I always though some pickoffs were counted as CS and some not, but I never understood how it worked.
by WestCoastBuc on Jul 1, 2009 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My God
I want to claw my eyes out listening to WDVE this morning.
by matskralc on Jul 1, 2009 6:51 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
what about the OF defense now?
That’s my only concern, and it’s certainly not likely to be a long-term issue. But, as (I think it was charlie) posted recently, there’s some value in protecting the psyches of young pitchers by not having should-have-been-caught fly balls falling harmfully into the gaps.
I saw McCutchen play one game in AA, and that was enough to convince me he could cover acres of ground. He was running down balls from gap to gap, and straight over his head to the fence. I’ve also seen Brandon Moss playing RF and he always looked like a lumbering lummox. Will the loss of Morgan and presumably the re-positioning of Cutch expose Moss as a substandard OF, at least in terms of range?
Will Milledge or whoever cover enough ground and or have the right instincts in LF? These are all just questions I that have occurred to me. Up here in New England, I don’t see the team play up so I don’t presume to have the answers.
I also realize that Duke, Maholm, Ohlie, et al may not be here if/when the team is ready to contend, so any “damage to their psyches” may be immaterial.
Any thoughts?
by mocasdad on Jul 1, 2009 7:12 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We covered this a bit yesterday
I think Moss will cost us a good number of runs relative to NyjMo if moved to LF, but he’s fundamentally sound. Lots of people have badmouthed Milledge’s D, but I don’t know how accurate that is. Arguably, you leave Moss and Cutch alone (shifting Cutch a bit leftward), and just let Milledge or whoever play LF like Bay did. It’d cost us 20+ runs/year, but it’s temporary. That OF won’t be part of a winning team*, so….
- Cutch in CF, sure, and maybe Milledge, but not in LF. Not Moss. Frankly, we need 2 out of Hernandez, Tabata, and Milledge (or Grossman or another longshot) to kick ass if this team’s going anywhere in 2011.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dibble and Neal on XM
Huntington was on XM radio, channel 75, at about 4:40 pm yesterday afternoon discussing the trade. When talking about Hanrahan, Dibble told Neal “just get Joel to quit trying to throw that slider. His stuff is good enough without it”.
Neal talked about 10 more minutes, but he thanked Dibble for the advice before leaving “The Show”.
For those of you who may not know, Dibble is the color man for the Nats and fancy’s himself as a pitching guru.
by God Loves on Jul 1, 2009 7:57 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ordinarily, I’d say the Bucs should do the opposite of whatever Drivel says, but in this case he’s more or less repeating what Manny Acta has been saying. Acta wanted Hanrahan to rely more on his FB.
by WTM on Jul 1, 2009 8:49 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and we should pay more attention to.......
you or the man who saved 89 MLB games and had ERA under3. LMAO
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pay attention to...
…WTM if you have to chose between WTM and Dibble.
Now, if the choice was WTM and a chimp that drank a fifth of tequila… That’d be tough.
Steve Z
by steve_z on Jul 1, 2009 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah not take the word of a man...
extremely close to Hanrahan in terms of stuff. Let WTM throw a 65mph fastball and I might listen to him on that subject.
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let Dibble...
…spell cat and then we’ll talk.
Steve Z
by steve_z on Jul 1, 2009 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
LOL
Go ask your construction workers to spell cat. Guess that means the one’s who can’t cannot do their jobs.
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 4:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What makes you think construction workers...
…cannot spell cat?
Steve Z
by steve_z on Jul 1, 2009 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You didn't answer my question (nm)
nm
Steve Z
by steve_z on Jul 1, 2009 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
reading comprehension
Said the ones who could not and I have worked with some who would struggle with it.
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry, but you said:
“Go ask your construction workers…” The phrase, when used in this context, implies that construction workers in general have a property that makes them likely to misspell cat.
After all, why pick on construction workers when you could have used literature professors, grammarians or linguists who cannot correctly spell cat?
Anyway, you seem to be a troll, so, Have a nice day.
Steve Z
by steve_z on Jul 1, 2009 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I guess playing in MLB and being highly successful......
even though a short time means he knows nothing about pitching? LMAO
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
buccoben
I support (perhaps silently) a lot of things you’ve said. I know you’re a coach and I respect that angle. But you’re off base here. By your logic, all ballplayers could be coaches, and that’s very, very far from the truth.
I don’t watch or read the WWL, but I’ve seen Dibble and know his reputation. He strikes me as a guy that would advocate throwing fastballs to Jamie Moyer and Tim Wakefield, because what they do now is just not manly.
by azibuck on Jul 1, 2009 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bah. English, proofreading, not good at
Dibble strikes me as a guy that would advocate to Moyer and Wakefield, throwing fastballs…
Or something like that.
by azibuck on Jul 1, 2009 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am not talking of coaching.
Hanrahan’s stuff closely resembles Dibble so he might have insight to that area. Dibble on hitting I think not.
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's kind of a sad comment
About how far the Pirates have fallen that people on the radio and other outlets are acting like we just traded Ricky Henderson for the black Hitler.
That people can’t see that Milledge had a better offensive season (in one of the worst hitters parks in MLB) at 23 than Morgan’s going to have at 28-29 shows they just have no faith the Pirates can make any right moves.
And I’m agreed with one of the previous posters, DVE is painful to listen to today. Apparently keeping Bay, Nady, and McLouth and adding quality starting pitchers through free agency bringing the payroll up to $85 million is as easy as speaking into a microphone. Even though keeping all those guys and adding starting pitching would have taken the payroll over $95 million more than likely, but someone may want to correct me on that
by TravisDW on Jul 1, 2009 9:30 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
One of the most discouraging things to me about Pirate fans is the number who believe unalterably that if the team just went out one winter and threw some money at a few free agents, it’d start winning again. If it’s so easy, why doesn’t every team in MLB have a winning record? But there’s really no chance of convincing most fans that spending money isn’t the answer unless you’re the Yankees.
The whole Morgan uproar makes me shake my head, too. Nobody, absolutely nobody regarded him as more than a stopgap when he took over the LF job, and he’s played about like he should have been expected to play. But because he made a couple diving catches in between getting picked off and oversliding bases, suddenly he’s the key to the whole team. Lord, standards are low in the ’burgh now.
by WTM on Jul 1, 2009 9:56 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fan Base
Correct…..and what is also interesting is how these same people will rip the team and individual players continually, but if you happen to trade one, you have just given up Babe Ruth and gotten nothing in return. “Prospects suck, they never amount to anything!”
by dtoddwin on Jul 1, 2009 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually....
If NH had stopped at the Nady trade and signed, say, Joe Crede to play 3B, the 2009 Pirates would almost certainly be 2-5 games over .500 and in first place.
A healthy Freddy/Jack + NyjMo in LF and Moss in RF, plus replacing Morris/Gorzo/AAA Hell with Ohlendorf/Karstens/Morton have taken the RA from 880 to a projected 715. Bay’s glove in RF costs you some runs relative to Moss’, but of course his bat gains you many, many more. The existing team should be at or above .500 (per Pythagorean record). That team, well within reach, would have been, as I say, several games above .500.
Oh, and the payroll would still be under $60M. With 20k coming to the park every night. Good thing that brilliant NH avoided such an outcome. But, hey, if every prospect in the system progresses without fail, then we might be above .500 in 2011, so there’s that.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wait
so are you saying they didn’t trade Bay? Or they did? (Sorry, can’t remember which one came first.)
If you didn’t, Bay’s in LF, not NyjMo. And you don’t have Moss.
And if you did trade Bay, then… isn’t that where we are?
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nady came first
No reason not to put Bay in RF and Morgan in LF. Or rather, I know what the reasons are, and they’re stupid ones.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Other than
again, that Bay leaves after the season and you get nothing.
For a small market team, that is the worst possible outcome. You need to get something for your good players if they’re leaving.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nothing except a trip to the playoffs
and 5000 more people at the ballpark every night, which equals tens of millions of dollars. Gosh, that would be awful.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So
If Bay were still here he would automatically make this team make the playoffs? I want some of what you are taking because as i see it, Nady, Bay, and McLouth had this team in the same exact spot last year as this year.
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No but see
when we trade X-Man & Marte for Ohlie & Karstens and put NyjMo in the OF, all of a sudden we’re a playoff team.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good God
Will you just read?
Last year’s pitching + D gave up 880 runs. This year’s pitching + D is on pace to give up 694 runs. We wouldn’t need the offense to match last year’s 800 run pre-trades pace.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, and have a winning season for one year.
That’s Huntington’s goal, alright. He said he wants a consistent winner, not a flash in the pan.
by ryebr3ad on Jul 1, 2009 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good Grief
And then win again 2 years later. I’ve said it a dozen times – my suggestion doesn’t compromise 2011! At worst, it opens a hole at 1B. Oh noes! There are never FA 1Bs!
If the kids are as awesome as you all think they are, then what’s wrong with winning in 2009, 2011, 2012, 2013…? Is that a flash in the pan?
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 7:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jason Bay
was not a very good defender.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Never said he was
I know you’ve read what I’ve said – Bay’s D is worse than Moss’, but he more than makes up for it with the bat. I’ve probably already said it twice on this post.
Do you think that Moss has been the linchpin of the Bucs’ defensive improvement? Really? Not NyjMo, the best defensive player in all of baseball for the first couple months of the season, or having Jack for most of the 1st half, as opposed to 6 games of it? It’s Moss? Really? You want to make that argument?
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Look at the date. It says July 1. Talk to us in September about how good the pitching is.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So we accidentally sneak into the playoffs somehow
and all of a sudden, we’re set?
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What part of 2 million fans
don’t you understand? This team’s revenues are static, except for 2 variables: attendance and merchandise. And the attendance increases and merchandise sales associated with a playoff run – especially this year, of all years – would be worth tens of millions. Especially with the promise of Lincoln, Alvarez, Hernandez, etc. right on the horizon.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hindsight
is 20-20. And what is there to say that Joe Crede would have come to Pittsburgh? And the goal isn’t to finish above .500 (at least it shouldn’t be but that seems to be case for most fans like you), it’s to win the WORLD SERIES. That’s why you need talent in every level of the organization and by not trading Bay for one above .500 season, you sacrifice the ability to acquire some of that talent
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But I was saying it at the time
And why are you talking about .500? I’m talking about first place. This year’s team, -Moss, -AnLaRoche, +Bay, +Crede = 3-5 games over .500 and first place in the NL Central.
I’m pretty sure that making the payoffs is a prerequisite to reaching the WORLD SERIES, isn’t it?
As for Crede, there’s no guarantee. Jerry Hairston was also available, and he’s about a wash with AnLaRoche (Crede would be a step up).
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Little LaRoche
has way more upside than the other 2.
He’s getting better, they’re getting worse.
And that team is way to dependent on starting pitching, and has a mediocre bullpen.
No way they stick in 1st place. Plus, no farm so you can’t really target someone on the market to fill a weakness, like other teams do (see… Cards & DeRosa)
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Way too dependent?
On what pitching, though? I’m talking about the same pitching we have now, which, Duke aside, hasn’t been playing over its head at all. And Vazquez looks to be a decent 6th starter, as does Gorzo. And I would have no problem trading McLouth in the context of a winning 2009 team – Cutch is obviously a fine substitute. Looks to me like a team with 2 good starters and about 5 4-5 starters. Not heroic, but better than quite a few playoff teams.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
but then you’re assuming that they can keep it up all season (whatever it is).
I’m not sure if they can.
I don’t think the staff we have now can keep up how well they’ve been pitching.
I hope I’m wrong, but I see them getting hit. Especially the guys later in the rotation
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
As I say
Not a single one of them has pitched over his head – Duke, maybe, but I think it’s unduly pessimistic to say that a guy who once rocked the league must inherently suck because he’s got a P on his chest.
Shit, we’ve gotten this far with Snell sucking – this isn’t a Freakshow pitching staff. It’s a bunch of professional pitchers pitching professionally, plus one guy having a good, but not improbably, year.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He "rocked the league"
when no one had seen any of his pitches. It happens. They adjusted, he didn’t, he struggled.
It’s a bunch of professional pitchers pitching professionally, plus one guy having a good, but not improbably, year.
Fine, let’s go with that. What happens when they’re facing a very talented line-up (for fun, let’s say Youkilis/Ortiz/Bay/Drew/Pedroia/etc.) for 5 or 7 straight high pressure games? They’re gonna get hammered.
This staff, while nice, is not playoff worthy.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So we don't win the WS
Let me be clear – you’re saying that, unless we feel 100% certain that our club can beat the Yankees or Sox in the WS, we shouldn’t make any effort to win?
My point is simply that we could have made the playoffs (or made a pretty good run) this year without compromising 2011 and later, plus gaining benefits from the run.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
it would be
compromising 2011 because we get nothing for Bay and whoever else you didn’t want to trade which is what a small market team needs to do like the Twins and Santana.
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bay's the only non-trade
Yeah, I said “stop after Nady,” but really just meant “don’t trade Bay.”
Tell me in concrete terms what compromise you see in 2011? Because I’m hearing shibboleths about “small market” and “smart teams,” but I’m not actually hearing players.
Moss – should be a 4th OF in 2011; if he’s not, then we don’t have a playoff team
Hansen – completely replaceable bullpen guy
LaRoche – nice piece; if we have him in 2011, Pedro can play 1B. That’s a compromise
Morris- will not see the bigs in 2011. If he works out, we would be sad not to have him in 2012 and beyond. IF.
So yes, we do give up some things. But not much. and, again, winning (and not just 82-80) in 2009 brings real benefits, including cash flow prior to 2011 – wouldn’t it be nice to be able to afford a real SS or 2B for that season?
LaRoche -
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
With hindsight
that may all be true, But morris was supposed to be a very good prospect but he has had some arm problems and he still may be a good prospect even with those problems. Lil’ LaRoche is supposed to develop power much like the 30 plus HRs he had in the minors. I’ll take that over one more year of Bay and the outside shot at the playoffs and a first round exit
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Crede and LaRoche is about even, and Bay is probably worth 2-3 wins over Moss. That does not put us in to the playoffs. And it is worth it to get nothing instead of LaRoche, Moss, and Morris for 4-5 years?
by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 1, 2009 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget
that the Pirates have underperformed their RA/RS this year. We should already be a game or two above .500. Add in Bay, and our RA/RS is the best in the division.
As I’ve said, a playoff run is worth at least $30M in 2009/2010. That’s not “nothing.”
Look, if Morris turns into a world-beater, then the Bay trade is worth it, even compared to my best case scenario. But if Morris tops out as, say, an Ohlendorf (middle projection), or a Kerry Wood/Mark Prior (25% projection), or, obviously, a bust (0% projection), then we gave away too much.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, you brought that up in another thread.
RA/RS and the fact that we should be over .500.
But we’re not.
So, what does that tell us?
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That regression is real
and we should think about this as an already-.500 team.
For this year it doesn’t much matter – as I’ve made clear, without Bay, the 2009 Bucs can’t put up enough offense to win – but it bugs the hell out of me to see people who claim to respect advanced statistical analysis revert to dumb W-L when it suits their rhetorical purposes (that last bit isn’t specifically directed at you; it’s pervasive).
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
we should think about this as an already-.500 team.
If I think that I’ve won this week’s lottery, that’s half the battle?
;-)
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Advanced statistical analysis is nice and fun. But it doesn’t affect standings or playoff seeding.
It’s useful, but it never trumps good old wins and losses.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 6:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We gave away too much?
It was that or lose Bay for nothing.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Morris already had an injury history
and I don’t think anyone is still saying 30 HR for Andy. I mean, his brother is a more natural HR hitter, and can’t do that on a regular basis. Personally, I think his ceiling is 20-25 HR, and 15 much more likely. He’s a nice player – I wouldn’t trade a playoff run for him.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would
A 3B with potential for one possible short playoff run plus a SP with very high upside potential. But I have a differing view and I guess we have to agree to disagree
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Playoff run?
I’d trade 1 good season and 10 more bad ones for him if it meant many good seasons after that.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What are you saying?
Andy LaRoche is worth 10 losing seasons? Huh?
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No
I’m saying if we don’t make trades to restock the farm system so we can make random playoff runs, the team will end up in the same predicament that DL had us in.
Trading players happens. You trade bad players, you get nothing. You trade good players, you get good players.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm talking about 1 specific trade
None of the other trades NH has made would compromise the team I’ve proposed – I’ve specifically endorsed the McLouth trade. And, obviously, the very premise of my claim is the Nady trade.
I’m not trying to handcuff NH because I’m in love with the current 25 guys wearing P in their chests. I wish he had recognized that the 2008 team was much better than it appeared.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And if it wasn't
then how has essentially the same team cut its RA by over 20%?
2 mediocre pitchers, healthy Jack & Freddy, NyjMo and Moss. And the only thing I’d change from that equation is Bay for Moss.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think you are expecting a lot of Bay to be putting up great numbers again. He was playing for a trade. He got it.
I love Bay, but I think the losing wore him down. The trade was the best thing that happened to him.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No
My point is that unless we think we can make a run at it, there is no point in keeping around vets that we won’t be able to resign and will lose for nothing.
NH didn’t think that we were ready to compete every year when the trade offer came (and he was on the mark), so he made the trade. As he should have.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But he wasn't on the mark
Which is my whole point. He dismissed the existing team (by Aug 1 the Bucs should be down to about 5 players acquired by DL or CB). And cost his team a good chance to make a playoff run in 2009.
Look, he had to make a judgement – a guess. I’m saying that he guessed wrong – he was too dismissive of the players he had in Pittsburgh.
I guess I’d like you to pick a claim and stick with it. Is it that:
1. Any team that can’t be 100% certain that it will win the WS should hold a fire sale.
2. Winning the NL Central but losing in the playoffs has no value (or less value than Andy LaRoche).
3. The team I’ve suggested would not, in fact, be in the race to win the NL Central.
I suppose you can argue all 3, but I feel like you’re jumping around a bit.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A good chance at a playoff run? We’ll see about that. The Pirates have been close on July 1 quite a few times. When the playoff push gets going they fall back. That’s what they do, with or without Jason Bay.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Like I said
hindsight is 20-20. if you want to spend spend spend on a team to have an average shot at the postseason in one season then be an astros fan or a Cubs fan. You are taking the same approach as Littlefield, fill in holes at the Major league level but completely blow off getting talent in the minors to replace those who will leave
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What spend spend spend?
There’s a real unwillingness to engage with the terms of my argument here. I’m talking about keeping Bay on a very affordable contract and signing Joe Crede (or whoever) for $2.5. That’s not spending a lot of money.
Furthermore, it’s not hindsight, because I was saying it last year. We had a team with an outstanding offense, 1 excellent starter, 2 middling starters, and literally no other ML-quality starters. I said – at the time, including on this forum – that the Bucs were 2 mediocre pitchers away from contending. NH got us 2 mediocre pitchers plus a nice cheap OF prospect without giving up much. But he was convinced that the team was hopeless, and turned it into a self-fulfilling prophecy. But last year’s team, plus Ohlie and Karstens, is already a .500-quality team. Wouldn’t have taken much to get above .500, and yes, make a playoff run.
I’m not suggesting – at all – that they should have spent on FAs last winter. Once Bay was gone, it was a full-on commitment to 2011 or bust. But I think that trade was an overreaction.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And how
was he supposed to know that Ohlie and Karstens would be decent to good. I’m sure he thought they would be but being a GM, he can’t afford to hinge all hopes of contending on one trade. Plus Ohlie and Karstens do not equal push for the playoffs last year at all. We had one good starter and the rest would have been young guys trying to find their ways. Basically, I doubt they would have sustained anything near .500
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Last year or this?
You know I’ve only been talking about 2009, right? The Bucs wasted too many runs in the first half of 2008 to have any chance whatsoever.
I do take your point about Ohlie and Karstens, but NH also picked up VV, and Gorzo had to be considered as at least a plausible 6th starter. And, even in the context of a 1st place team, I think the McLouth trade would have made great sense, adding yet another solid starter.
That was the point I kept trying to make last year and last winter – the Bucs didn’t need Santana and Sabathia, they just needed pitchers who wouldn’t give up 5 runs in 4 2/3 start after start.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bay's
his affordable contract is only affordable for 1.5 seasons.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And what's the plan for 2010?
No Bay — he’s a free agent and gone!!
No Luigi. No Ohlendorf. No Moss. No Morris or Hansen. McLouth but no Morton. NyMo but no Milledge, because NH stopped after Nady. And NyMo didn’t start in 2009 (unless he’s the RF?), so he’s got no trade value.
And why would Joe Crede sign with PBC? Don’t you have to say Jose Bautista at 3B in 2009 to be fair to your vision?
by WstCstBucco on Jul 1, 2009 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't care about McLouth or Bautista
Once Nady was gone, 2008 was foregone (it was before then, thanks to the pitching), so no real reason to hang on to Bautista if NH really like Diaz. And I have no problem with the McLouth trade in the context of a team where Brandon Moss isn’t your starting RF (or, for that matter, if management is 100% committed to sucking in 2009 and 2010).
Last I checked, Hansen isn’t exactly contributing at the moment. And he’s a scrub. Morris is a maybe for 2012; I’m not willing to trade a playoff appearance in 2009 for a maybe starting pitcher 3 years away.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We make the playoffs in 2009
and then suck again for 7 or 8 years since the 1st playoff race has everyone excited and has resulted in trading prospects for vets (because that would happen), emptying our far system at a rate that would make DL proud.
What’s the problem with Moss? He just needed to get his head in the game, he’ll be fine.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who the hell said that?
What a stupid counterfactual. No reason to believe any of that would happen, except that you’re feeling petulant at the idea that NH fucked up.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There is a plan, they are sticking to it, they won’t cut the plan to have a better shot at the playoffs for one season. This team is playing well with the trades, so obviously they would be playing better without right? That’s not a great argument, and this team is not a playoff team, would not be with the lineup you suggest, they might be #1 now, but teams are in the stretch right now, wait till the playoff hunt gets going and see where we would need to be for the playoffs.
No way they make the playoffs, and even less that you would think that last year when they had to decide whether or not to trade. They made the best move they could, and stuck to their plan.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
this team is not a playoff team, would not be with the lineup you suggest
See that’s actually an assertion, not an argument. Care to actually make an argument?
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This team is not a playoff team. The evidence backing that is performance. They do well in the stretch, keeping in the pack, near the .500 mark, then they fall back when the playoff push begins. With Jason Bay, they did the same. Also I believe Jason Bay without the trade would have fallen back into his previous years numbers instead of continuing to play at the level he should.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And I suppose this year he's playing for FA?
At least it’s an argument, I guess. But it seems to take the form of “JBay improves his performance when he wants to be traded, or when he’s in a pennant race in New England, or when he’s going to be a FA, but not when he’s in a pennant race in SW PA.” I’m not sure I’m convinced.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It’s just an impression, but the numbers and seeing Jason’s attitude now, he is a professional, and he didn’t talk about it, but man it just seemed like it wore on him being here through all the crap. Then he picked it up and had a great year, I think it was the knowledge that they were going to try to trade him to a contender.
Look at his interviews after going to Boston, he was excited. With the culture of the team what it was you can’t win, everyone waits for the bottom to fall out, expecting failure isn’t good for success.
I’m a huge Bay fan, have been for years, and I think he really needed that change of scenery. Because of that, yeah I think he would not be doing great here. I also am not convinced they’ve changed the culture and that we aren’t going to collapse in the upcoming 2 months.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 11:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So
we make the playoffs.
We then lose Bay and whoever the 3rd baseman that willingly comes to Pittsburgh is.
And the Pirates are fine after that?
No after effects of losing Bay?
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
After effects?
Like what, cramping and some nausea?
2010 is a step back year. Fans are sad that Bay leaves, some grumble that Nuttings are cheap, but even Pittsburghers recognize that expensive FAs have to leave. The rest of the team is in place, so we shouldn’t go back to 70-92. Lincoln probably arrives, which generates buzz. And the 2011 crop will get lots of press.
After ‘97, attendance dipped only 5%, and remained 18% above ’96. Pirates revenues in my 2010 are $10-20M higher than they’ll see IRL.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So the logic is that we do the Nady and McLouth trades but not the Bay/Morgan trades, then sign Joe Crede? Why would we want Joe Crede? He stinks. The idea is to build a team which can compete for several years in a row, not just take one stab at the playoffs or .500 or whatever.
by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 1, 2009 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Uh, we kind of have a 3B for the future
Perhaps you’ve heard of him. I believe his father is some sort of limo driver for a living.
Crede is outperforming AnLaRoche this year. Long term, obviously Andy is more valuable. But long term, we have another 3B, plus (possibly) Neil Walker.
And, again, reaching the playoffs this year without mortgaging the future has very tangible benefits, both in terms of direct income (tickets, merch) and ability to sign FAs.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But he won't be up for like 2 seasons
and by then, we’d have had a similar debate to this one about MIke Lowell or Pedro Feliz or Jose Bautista or someone.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Plugging a hole
With a short term FA while a prospect works his way through the minors is exactly the kind of thing that winning clubs do.
Look, I have no problem with Andy – I just think we missed a real opportunity, and LaRoche + Morris doesn’t make up for it.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
One hole is not the same thing as sixteen holes.
by matskralc on Jul 1, 2009 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Uh...
What 16 holes? The team I’m describing for 2009 is identical to this one, but with Bay for Moss and a short-term FA for 3B. One hole. 2010 is a backstep – doesn’t matter what they do. And if Pedro’s not here in 2011, we’re not a competitive team anyway (I actually think he could knock on the door in 2010 and play all year in Pgh in 2011, but who knows?).
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Further
So what I’m suggesting is a playoff run in 2009, which charges up fan interest, raises revenues, and buries the streak.
In 2010, assuming we can’t resign Bay, we take a step back, but there’s no reason to think we’d be awful (OK, there’s a hole at 1B).
And in 2011, the year we’re all looking forward to, you have a team that has earned an additional 30-50 million and has experience as a winning club – plus all the prospects that we’re currently counting on.
What, exactly, is the downside? No Moss? He won’t be starter in 2011. No Morris? That’s 1 guy. I wouldn’t trade $20M for him; would you?
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
assuming we can’t sign Bay there is no assuming about it, we would not have been able to.
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Now I see why people here mock the PBC Blog
The level of argumentation, the subtlety of logic is just overwhelming.
Seriously, rebut or STFU.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 7:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A coupla deep breaths, dude.
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 8:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sorry
I’ve been arguing this point here for 3 1/2 hours, and this clown comes in with a thought-free “you’re joking,” it’s pretty goddamn annoying.
Look, I’m enjoying this. I like the back and forth, and I’d be happy to be convinced I’m wrong. But “you’re joking” isn’t going to do it. The presumption of correctness from someone who apparently can’t marshal even a passing argument (even a weak-ass one like “Bay would rather tank than win in Pgh”) in his own favor….
Anyway, I’m done for the night. Let’s go Bucs.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 8:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am very, very cautiously
Going to say I get your argument. I think you perhaps overstate the revenue potential, but possibly not. However, it would have been very hard to predict the Cubs’ swoon and that the rest of the division would pretty much suck (for now), so that we could think about making a run for a cheap pennant with, like, an 85-77 record, which I’d suggest would be wildly optimistic even with Bay and Crede or whoever in the lineup. Also we haven’t been able to beat the Cubs and Brewers for like two years even with or without Bay and Nady and Nyjer and anyone else you’d care to name in the lineup. Why would we start now?
(BTW, how much of Bay’s surge this year might be attributable to having the Green Monster to aim at vs. Death Valley?)
by bucdaddy on Jul 1, 2009 11:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Now those are the counterarguments
I was looking for.
Thread’s dead, so I won’t bother responding in detail, but yes, those are good points. The one that would bother me most, from the 2008 perspective, would be the inability to beat those divisional opponents; the record vs. the Brewers was less egregious last July, obvs., but it was still a problem (remember when we had the Brewers’ number? Ah, good times…).
I think the step back for the Brewers was extremely predictable (no Sheets or Sabathia), and I’ve thought the Cards were flimsy for years, so you’re left with the Cubs, who were due for a step back, but no one could have predicted such a drastic one.
by JRoth95 on Jul 2, 2009 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cornerstones......
I had no idea that we traded away two cornerstones. Seriously, I was laughing my a** of reading that, then I laughed some more and had to pee! Cornerstones! HAHAHAHAHA!
by vanslyke on Jul 1, 2009 9:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I got cold chills reading Mike Rizzo’s blathering praise of Nyjer as a character player and Burnett being a starter and saying that the Nats filled critical needs in the trade. It sounded horrifyingly like listening to/reading Dave Littlefield’s praise of Matt Morris (or any one of a number of the dolts he acquired in trades and then tried to get us excited about). When he first took over this sinking ship, NH said that the moves he would make would be pure baseball moves, not salary dumps, popularity contests, or silly efforts to placate the fans or the Pgh. media. He seems to be sticking to his word and I have definitely bought into his plan. Good luck to Nyjer and Sean (except when they play the Bucs), but we definitely made out on this deal.
by GeneUbriaco on Jul 1, 2009 9:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I hated the way ESPN chose to describe the trade. They listed only positives about Morgan and Burnett and the worst about Milledge and Hanrahan to make it seem like the Pirates got killed. No need to mention that Nyjer got caught every 3rd steal attempt right guys?
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jul 1, 2009 10:04 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Well, he didn’t really get caught all those times, about half of those times he was soooo fast that gravity and friction couldn’t keep him from oversliding the stupid bag.
by Brakeman8 on Jul 1, 2009 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ugh
jperrotto: Locke tagged for eight runs in three innings
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jul 1, 2009 10:12 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Olney writes about what the Hinske trade reflects about baseball’s economic state and the trade market. May go insider later.
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jul 1, 2009 10:47 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Another change from Littlefield
And it’s possible that some general managers who have contracts they want to unload will start to move quickly, because as in a game of musical chairs, opportunity is going to shrink quickly
Olney is speaking about salaries, but regardless of reason, remember how Littlefield held all his cards until the last minute on July 31? And he and everyone else knew he WAS going to trade, for example, Benson. So DL would get offered leftovers, scraps, and he’d take them because he’d already committed himself to trading.
by azibuck on Jul 1, 2009 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
And thinking he was going to get Chase Utley or David Wright for Benson.
Passing on Howard.
And taking Wiggy.
by Bernie6666 on Jul 1, 2009 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
fortunately
if the trades work, and NH improves the club, it doesn’t matter how many casual fans or even diehard fans spew fireballs
because the wins will come
Even surethings don’t pan out, so it is tough to say what will happen to all these moving parts in 1-3 years
But this has been one of the most enjoyable losing seasons I’ve followed, if not the most enjoyable since the streak started. Can’t wait for the turnaround on the horizon, and that moment when talking heads are “shocked” at how the pirates “suddenly” became competitive.
by vherub on Jul 1, 2009 11:22 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
what I love about NH's approach
Diversify. When the Pirates reacquired Jose Bautista in a terrible deadline deal in 2004, Bonifay justified targeting Bautista as filling a void as the ‘3rd baseman of the future’. Forget that he passed on much better prospects like Huber or Kazmir who were dealt by NYM for marginal return. Never annoint a developing player as a sure bet, let alone someone with as marginal an upside as Bautista. Bautista should have been viewed soley as another player in the mix, but instead was poorly sold as a salve to fans wounded over the Ramirez giveaway.
Which brings me back to Milledge. Milledge doesn’t have to be the answer in OF. He certainly doesn’t need to replace Morgan’s game (he could learn from his positive attitude and hustle though). Neither does Tabata or Hernandez. They need to develop at a reasonable trajectory in relation to their talent and hopefully the rest plays out. You can never acquire too many high upside young players. NH understands the risk that some flame out or don’t meet expectations, but you can overcome this risk by stockpiling legitimate talent.
by chicos_pants on Jul 1, 2009 11:52 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
DL
It was DL who reacquired Bautista. Of course, it was also DL who left him unprotected in the Rule 5 draft.
by Bernie6666 on Jul 1, 2009 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What's the deal with the ....
Sano situation? How many teams are going after him? Is there a good chance he’ll be a Bucco?
I believe the first day we can sign him is tomorrow, correct?
by jtads14 on Jul 1, 2009 12:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Twins and Pirates are front runners
with a couple other teams being dark horses or sorts. A majority of “experts” say the Pirates have the inside track. And tomorrow is the first day anything can happen.
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Experts Rock
A majority of experts also said that Pedro Alvarez was a can’t-miss prospect.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You’re awfully quick to label him a miss.
by TravisDW on Jul 1, 2009 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Serously
He has played all of three months. I’d wait before calling him a bust.
by Bernie6666 on Jul 1, 2009 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Morgan > Lastings
this town will eat up Lastings and spit him out by the end of this season.
Who’s next? Jack or Freddie for whos AA set up man?
by rocket25 on Jul 1, 2009 12:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I say we deal Jack
and the Indians have a crappy pen, so let’s go with their AA set-up guy.
/sarcasm
Man, everyone seems to think NH is dealing All-Stars (he’s not) for already-done guys (they’re not).
You know… if the ‘fans’ hadn’t supported every single move DL made, maybe he gets fired earlier and we’re not here right now. But instead, DL stuck, and now we’re trying to rebuild a farm system that 2 years ago had 2 prospects.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'll edit that for you
Morgan < Lastings
There ya go. No thanks necessary
"Everybody panic! If you have a small child, use it as a shield! They love tender meat."
by BattlinBucs on Jul 1, 2009 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you fail math 101...
Lastings is a punk, thug who will never reach close to his potential.
I hope I am wrong, but I highly doubt it. Remember, he basically drove himself out of NYC and DC, places far more liberal when it comes to the actions of the cities players. Morgan was no all star, never said he was, I think in 2-4 more weeks, we could have traded him for someout without 6 years of baggage however.
by rocket25 on Jul 1, 2009 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Then the guy we COULD get “without 6 years of baggage” has no upside, and you say, “We COULD have had Millege… stupid FO.”
by Isotopes on Jul 1, 2009 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Punk, thug?
He high-fived fans after a HR (the first in his career).
His numbers fell off a bit after he was moved to CF and asked to bat lead-off.
Maybe a team should just let him play. He was young and excited about the homer. Nothing wrong with that. Maybe he’s not a CF? Why force it on him? Let him play a corner spot (which’ll happen in the ’Burgh) and see how it ends up.
And if he can develop a bit, I’m perfectly fine with him “being a thug” and high-five-ing fans.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget
he also punched a unicorn once…
I'm droppin' flava, my behavior is hereditary--but my technique is very necessary.
by phillybucco on Jul 1, 2009 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ah
That would explain the thug part.
See, you just don’t see things like that on your normal Lastings Milledge fansite Pirates blog
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What, exactly, is the evidence that he’s a “thug”?
by Charlie on Jul 1, 2009 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He’s black and likes rap music, what other evidence do you need?
(heavy sarcasm)
by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 1, 2009 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who but a thug
would celebrate his first career HR by high-five-ing fans?
If he wasn’t a thug, he would’ve just pretended like it never happened.
/sarcasm
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
obviously you all love him
but just google him and read some articles on his ways, his rap career with ‘N’ word lyrics, his wanting to wear #85 in “honor” of Chad Johnson when he gave his # to Adam Dunn in DC. The fact politicians in NYC called him on his actions, and then showing up late for meetings, acting unprofessional, etc.
I ack NH is trying, and I for the most part appreciate his efforts, but this in one deal I dont like, sorry to madden all the yinz yinzers out there.
by rocket25 on Jul 1, 2009 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So basically, what UtesFan said. Except you aren’t kidding, it really is because he’s black and likes rap. Way to go.
by matskralc on Jul 1, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How dare these rap-loving black people play baseball! It’s supposed to be a rich white country club boys’ game! Next thing you know, they’ll want to use the drinking fountains…
by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 1, 2009 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Care to elaborate on the “baggage”? He was late for a meeting and didn’t take to being a leadoff hitter. Why are they trying to make him a leadoff guy anyway?
by TravisDW on Jul 1, 2009 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Charlie
Anytime anyone ever says “quite frankly” or even just “frankly”, I think of Bucs Dugout.
by azibuck on Jul 1, 2009 1:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Raise your hand
If you said during Spring Training that playing Nyjer Morgan was silly/stupid/pointless, and/or that no one would ever trade anything for him.
by azibuck on Jul 1, 2009 1:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
oh yea
Also he wasn’t dumped by the Mets. They got Ryan Church and Brian Schneider for him, then signed Schneider to an extension as their starting catcher.
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jul 1, 2009 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
In NY it was considered a dump
I follow the Mets. Here’s an example of the contemporary coverage of that trade:
Not long ago, the Mets considered Lastings Milledge their top positional prospect and untouchable in trade talks. Friday they dealt him to the Washington Nationals for two veterans GM Omar Minaya called “not known names,” but who he said would be everyday players.Now it’s true that these guys have been everyday players (or would be if either could stay healthy), but, make no mistake, this was viewed as trading away a player the club had soured on, and being happy to get useful players for him. In December 2006, this trade would have gotten Minaya fired.
http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/mets/2007/12/01/2007-12-01_mets_trade_lastings_milledge_for_brian_s.html#ixzz0K2LcrSXX&D
Also, of course, the Mets haven’t been especially successful in the Church-Schneider era.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough
I live in NYC. The way they use the farm systems is ridiculous. Trade everyone but a few top prospects that they hype to the point of almost guaranteed failure, then throw them away when they don’t thrive immediately. I still can’t believe they got Santana for what they did. Twins blew that one big time.
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jul 1, 2009 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Time Will Tell If They Blew It
But they had to trade Santana because he wasn’t going to sign with the Twins. They got four players for Santana. We’ll see how they all turn out in a few years.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
See, why can't people think like that
when discussing the Bay trade?
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mets farm system
FWIW, they also traded Scott Kazmir for Victor Zambrano.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
#1 reason Phillips got fired
Should’ve been, if it wasn’t.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Phillips didn’t do that. That was the guy after him. (Duquette?) One of the few things Phillips actually did right was to resist the temptation to make those sorts of trades.
by Charlie on Jul 1, 2009 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Guilty as charged
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
In my best Arnold Horshack
Ooo, Ooo, pick me, pick me. Mr. Cotter! Mr. Cotter!
by Brakeman8 on Jul 1, 2009 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That Would Be Me
I was happy to have been wrong.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I did
I didn’t see why he made the roster. Getting a guy with LM’s upside was a steal.
by Bernie6666 on Jul 1, 2009 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was a Nyjer fan, loved his hustle and energy so I wanted him to play and succeed. The trade though, never would have thought that.
I hope the pitcher we got can be a good ground ball guy, I would love that.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 11:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I love these peple who get on here and think they....
know more than someone who played in MLB. They think that because they can read statistical analysis that they could teach the game. Those who think Joe Morgan, Rob Dibble or any other commentator that they dislike doesn’t know what they speak of is laughable. I love to listen to their stories and opinions. Quite often I will learn things from listening to guys on the MLB Network nightly show that I pass on to the young men I coach.
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 2:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Babe Ruth Was An Awful Coach
Oftentimes, players who are great have no idea what it was that made them great. Just because a player was good doesn’t mean he actually knows what it takes to be good.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How do you know Ruth was a terrible coach?
A coach or manager’s record may not reflect what they actually know. If their players are not coachable or not talented enough to be able to duplicate their method may mean they cannot adapt their particular talent into teaching but does not mean they know not what they speak of.
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about Ted Williams for a hitting coach.
OK kids, I want you to look at the ball.
Now I want you to hit it.
Some great players just have ridiculous talent that doesn’t allow them to relate to lesser athletes.
On the other side, players with great vision or knack for reading the plays and the game can be incredible coaches.
That’s why so often it’s the gritty smart players who make great coaches. They made it without as much talent.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or To Put It Another Way
Most soldiers would make really bad generals.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You think Joe Morgan understands baseball? Go to FireJoeMorgan.com. Search for “joe morgan.” Come back in a few hours and tell me if you still think he’s a genius.
Great player. God-awful analyst.
by CptnAwesome on Jul 1, 2009 6:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is Joe arrogant-YES,Does Joe butcher the english language-Yes
Does Joe know baseball-Yes. That sight mostly made fun of his inability to speak in coherent thoughts. That is what you get with players drafted at 18 and forego formal education. His knowledge of hitting or turning a double play are beyond reproach. There are other former players who would be better.
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 9:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just an update for everyone
Nyjer didnt start today for the Nationals, Willie Harris did
And Sean Burnett came in in the 7th with a one run lead and gave up a HR on his first batter
by Jett on Jul 1, 2009 2:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I was just about to give that update on Burnett. Like I said, he’s a decent reliever at best. This was a great trade for the Buccos!
by mspirate on Jul 1, 2009 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Glad to see I wasn’t the only one peeking at the nat’s boxscore. So much for being “cornerstones” of the franchise.
by Brakeman8 on Jul 1, 2009 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Amazing
Sometimes it sucks to be a Bucs fan but we should all be greatful we don’t root for the Nats.
by WestCoastBuc on Jul 1, 2009 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tasty?
. He has 3.23 groundouts for every flyout this year, which looks pretty tasty
Who, exactly, is supposed to be fielding these grounders? There is not a single good-glove middle infielder in the organization, and the 1B of the future appears to be Alvarez, who figures to be an adequate defender at best. Andy L. seems to be decent, maybe even plus. But, honestly, I have no idea* who’s supposed to be playing second and SS on this allegedly good 2011 team.
Does anyone know?
- Maybe there’s a 2B or SS down in A ball? I can’t recall.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 3:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That Is A Good Question
Neil seems to be stockpiling catchers and pitchers, but middle infielders are pretty important too.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
All reports are that they are looking for MI, but other teams value them as much as we do. In the chat today Dejan referenced that the Rays wouldn’t give up Reid Brignac for bay last year and it amy have cost them the Title. That last part is obviously speculation, but you get the idea about MI value.
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jul 1, 2009 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They'll find someone
via trade or FA.
If they’re ready to compete in 2011, they can go with the core they have now and sign a FA SS or something if need be.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Chase D'Arnaud
is in A ball and actually a very good defender at both SS and 2B, Brian Friday can still figure things outs, and Brock Holt who we just drafted has a chance. Not to mention Mercer who needs to work on some things but is also at high A with D’Arnaud but still has potential
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Arnaud
That’s right, I thought there was one guy with upside. Still, that’s not much of a pool.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
don’t forget jarek cunningham, who was looking great until he tore his ACL prior to this season.
by johnnycuff on Jul 1, 2009 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mercer coming around?
I looked last night or the night before and he was hitting .364 over his last 10 games with decent plate discipline.
by azibuck on Jul 1, 2009 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
He’s been a lot better at the plate (which I think was kind of expected). Kind of a spotty glove at SS though — maybe he’ll be better at 2B.
D’Arnaud, Cunningham, (sup, Sano?), Mercer, Friday, Hague (drafted as a 3B not sure if they just are going to stick with him at 1st now though), Farrell, Holt are probably the main 3rd-2nd-SS prospects right now.
by Slizeezyc on Jul 1, 2009 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
I mean, I get that, if we have 3 good ML OFs and 3 ML-ready prospects in AAA, we could trade for middle infielders, but we’d either overpay or get someone a couple years away. I genuinely don’t know where we will get “contention”-quality MIs for 2011. Internally? Not there. Draft? Too late. FA? Don’t make me laugh.
I suppose that we still have at least 3 trades to make this year, and I could see use getting a AA 2B or SS out of that.
I repeat my position that NH should bite the bullet and trade Doumit and/or Duke to get some serious talent for 2011 and beyond. Both players are gone in 2012, so let’s get a player who will contribute on all the (hopefully) good post-2010 teams.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 3:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
FA
Why would you laugh?
If the team is ready to compete, the Bucs will go find a SS (if that’s all they’re missing), even if it might cost some money. He’s already said (if I remember correctly) that he’s willing to spend money when he has a winning team.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's Still The Hard Way To Get One
It’s easy to find a decent free agent right fielder. It’s not so easy to find a decent free agent shortstop.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Adam Everett can give you roughly what Jack does in the field and at the plate. The Tigers signed him as a cheap FA rather than trading for Jack. Omar Vizquel was available as a cheap SS this year and could do the same. Orlando Cabrera was a FA this year as well. Would we sign Furcal probably not, but the other guys were all in our price range, and if the team was a SS away from contending we could get one.
RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH
by GTrain on Jul 1, 2009 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Vizquel?
The guy hasn’t played more than 90 games since 2007. And when he did, his wRAA was -20.
Meanwhile, Adam Everett is 7 runs worse with the bat (ZIPS) and 16 runs worse in the field (UZR-150). Cabrera is a breathtaking 17 runs worse at the plate and 31 (!!!!) runs worse in the field. Per Fangraphs, swapping Wilson for Cabrera is worth 6 wins over the season. That’s one hell of a lot when you’re comparing two players who are neither stars nor scrubs.
Seamheads love to mock Pirates fans for overvaluing Wilson, and yet I’ve never seen a seamhead fail to undervalue him, even when advanced stats lay it out clearly.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But it's not just SS
If it were only SS or 2B, I’d believe that NH would do that. But I can’t imagine him, in the winter of 2010-2011, dropping $10M/year to get 2 actual, good MIs. He has said that he’ll spend when we have a winning team. Well, in 2010, we won’t have a winner. In 2011, with MIs that we can’t identify, we should have a .510 team. I’m really dubious about NH dropping big money speculatively.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 3:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
There's players in the system
and there’ll be more coming via trade. He knows he needs MIs, and he’s looking.
Again, if that’s all the team is missing from being serious contenders, he’ll go get them in FA if that’s what it comes too. For now though, that’s irrelevant. Let’s see what he can do/who he can get the rest of this season.
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Has this been linked?
Sorry if it has. Fangraphs, pointing out that Dunn and Morgan are pretty much a wash when you combine hitting, baserunning, and fielding, and noting that seamheads have been united in lauding the Nats for signing Dunn and bashing them for acquiring Morgan.
Without comment….
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 3:52 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That's
because Dunn is downright awful defensively, atrocious really. Did you see him try to throw a ball back in and he actually threw it behind him? that’s why they are equal. i wouldn’t want Dunn either, he strikes out a lot and can only hit home runs.
by Green_Wave on Jul 1, 2009 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So
Morgan = Dunn.
Which means what? We should’ve traded for Dunn instead of Milledge?
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So Adam Dunn is playing the wrong position. Nobody here is arguing that the Nats know how to run a team.
by matskralc on Jul 1, 2009 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He only has one position
But they’re not allowed to DH him.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
By the way
I hate you (Green_Wave).
That link you posted is making me regret ever clicking on it.
“do they even care about their fans”. No. Stupid. The point is to win. If you win, the fans will come. He’s trying to win.
“should’ve had an OF of McLouth, ’Cutch!, Bay”. Yeah, and what about after Bay leaves because we’re not the Yankees?
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh yeah
I don’t really hate you.
Just FYI… in case you cared
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by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
god
if people want to give up on them, why don’t they?
Stop with the complaining and go root for the Astros. They refuse to rebuild, and constantly trade for vets, even when they’re out of it. If that’ll make them happy, go root for them.
NH is working with nothing here, and trying to make it something.
To hate on him after 2 seasons of improving (yeah, I said it) the team is just stupid
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RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09
by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heck, look at the standings, we aren’t any worse than we were, and we have young kids in the system now. It’s not like we were a playoff team or had, you know a winning season anytime recently.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 11:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly!
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RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09
by UtesFan89 on Jul 2, 2009 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My favorite aspect of the trade...
“The Yankees also get some cash to help pay Hinske’s $1.5 million salary.”
The Pirates helping the Yankees pay salary. I think I’m going to wet myself.
by No.21 on Jul 1, 2009 4:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The Yinzer poll at the PBC blog is encouraging, 46% see Milledge as an upgrade, 39% not an upgrade. It’s a very small sample size but still nice to see almost half of fans get it.
by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 1, 2009 4:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
No one knows what Milledge and Hanrahan
will do for the PBC the next few years.
Obviously we should all hope we get quite a lot of positives from them.
But I do know that Nyj and Burnett weren’t going to be part of any move to the Promised Land for us.
I like much of what Frank Coonelly and Neal Huntington have done since they came on board in 2007.
We’ve just got to be patient.
by patthatt on Jul 1, 2009 4:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Look at this bull
Coming off their first winning June in 13 years, the Pittsburgh Pirates are very much within striking distance of first place in the NL Central. That apparently isn’t enough to prevent their front office from trading away more talented players.
A day after making two trades, the Pirates look to win their third straight series in the conclusion a three-game set with the reeling Chicago Cubs on Wednesday night at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh (36-41) avoided a third straight loss with a 3-0 win on Tuesday. It came hours after the Pirates traded veteran reserve Eric Hinske to the New York Yankees for a pair of minor leaguers. They also sent talented outfielder Nyjer Morgan and reliever Sean Burnett to Washington for oft-injured minor league-outfielder Lastings Milledge and relief pitcher Joel Hanrahan.
Apparently Nyjer was the piece that was gonna send us to the World Series. At least that’s how the Associated Press makes it sound.
by thecheeseisblue on Jul 1, 2009 5:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The AP
The Associated Press also made it sound like Saddam Hussein had Weapons of Mass Destruction.
Just sayin’. The AP can’t be trusted to know a small pile of horse shit from a really big pile of horse shit.
by Androgen Jar Jimmy on Jul 1, 2009 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And they were reporting what the United Nations
had been saying since 1983.
by buccoben on Jul 1, 2009 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Take it easy, boys
Pretty sure this is a no-politics room.
If it’s not, however, I have some things to say.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Please No politics
for the love of all that is holy.
by Slizeezyc on Jul 1, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What I still don't get
Is all this bull about “5 games out.”
Does no one realize that FIVE TEAMS need to be passed? Does anyone REALLY think the Cards are gonna fold? Or Milwaukee?
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 5:05 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Well we could have passed them
if we would have kept the off the field talents of Nyjmo…. now with all the OMG HORRIBLE ATTITUDE PROBLEMS we have, I guess we’ll never know!
NYJMO FOR ALL-STAR WRITE IN BALLOT 2009
I'm droppin' flava, my behavior is hereditary--but my technique is very necessary.
by phillybucco on Jul 1, 2009 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or should I say
we could have overslid them like Nyjmo overslid bases…
I'm droppin' flava, my behavior is hereditary--but my technique is very necessary.
by phillybucco on Jul 1, 2009 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

I'm droppin' flava, my behavior is hereditary--but my technique is very necessary.
by phillybucco on Jul 1, 2009 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just for the record
The current team, per the Pythagorean Theorem, should be in 3rd place, 2.5 behind Milwaukee and 0.5 behind the Cards.
That doesn’t change their actual position, but I feel certain that if this team actually were 39-38 and just out of first place, but had an Expected Record of 36-41, you all would be screaming that this team isn’t really good, and no one should treat them as such.
Advanced Statistics: Tools for Supporting Your Preexisting Position.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
if this team actually were 39-38 and just out of first place, but had an Expected Record of 36-41, you all would be screaming that this team isn’t really good, and no one should treat them as such.
well yes… yes i would. if you need some illustration look at seattle in 2007. then go see what they did in 2008.
by johnnycuff on Jul 1, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Royals in 2003, and what they did in 2004.
by Charlie on Jul 1, 2009 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To take the Pythag a step further, though, adjusting for equivalent runs and strength of schedule, the Pirates should be 36-41, five games behind the Cardinals.
by Charlie on Jul 1, 2009 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ah, interesting
I haven’t looked at that page. Interesting to note that it still has us in second place.
But yeah, the Bucs-we-have would need luck (like a healthy Doumit) to compete, and I would never advocate them adding at the deadline. Indeed, I’m completely serious when I say that NH should show the courage of his convictions and trade from among Duke, Doumit, and Capps to get some serious return. Capps, in particular, is replaceable, and the other 2 are at or near peak value (not Doumit at this second, due to injury, but in general; if he has a strong second half, I’d love to see him traded this winter).
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t see us trading any pitching this year. We are still stocking pitching. But I’d love to see a hot hitting Doumit get traded, although I don’t know how other teams view him.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rumors are
we’re listening on Capps/Grabow. Which is what we should be doing.
Power pitching arms in return?
True Blue Jazz
Bucco Ball
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RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09
by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I should have put starting in there. I agree Capps or Grabow getting us value would rock.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But Duke's at peak value
I mean, I suppose if he does it again next year. But, especially given that he’s lefty, I think you’d get better value for 2.5 years of control than 1.5 years.
I certainly don’t want any of these to be giveaways. But I don’t think the bar should be unrealistically high – all these guys are gone after 2011. Doumit especially the clock is ticking.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
Duke is at his peak. I just don’t see us getting enough in return for him with the FO’s focus on pitching. I don’t know Duke’s contract, but if he has another year I expect he plays out this season.
If we can get good value for him I expect they will take it, but I don’t think we will, so I’d expect him to be traded in his final year.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 11:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But to be clear
The team as constituted is/was not in a position to compete, and certainly had no pieces to trade that would help them appreciably in 2009. I’m just saying that underrating the current team seems to be a baseline assumption around here.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 5:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
So,
are you simply playing Devil’s Advocate here with all this?
Sincerely.
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Some of this
But not all of it. I’m quite serious about the Bay thing, and quite serious that I think NH misjudged the actual in-Pittsburgh talent (not because I think it is/was so great, but because he thinks it is/was so awful).
But some of it is definitely devil’s advocacy, in that I see a surprising amount of lazy argumentation, like the absurd suggestion above that Everett, Vizquel, or Cabrera would be even-up swaps for Jack. I don’t care as such, but it annoys the hell out of me to see a forum that likes to think of itself as better informed than PBC Blog containing such foolishness.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with this
I keep pointing out the Pirates record to people bashing the trades we’ve been doing, we aren’t worse, and with the old guys we weren’t better.
We have some good pieces on the team, some of them are too old to build around, others aren’t good enough to build around. That’s why we trade them at their best to get players with upside. We’re trying to get those players that we can build around.
by Phantaskippy on Jul 1, 2009 11:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jack apologizes
linked on the “Is Jack Wilson Paying Attention?” thread.
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 5:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Jumpin' Jehosephat
216 comments? I missed where we traded Ted Williams for Mario Mendoza. How come nobody ever tells me these things?
by bucdaddy on Jul 1, 2009 5:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Dude, I took a nap
and it mushroomed from 58 comments to this.
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's what you get
for taking a nap mid-day.
True Blue Jazz
Bucco Ball
I'm on Twitter
RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09
by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 6:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Seriously. How do I get that job?
I’m stuck with a job that forces me to work look like I’m working.
by JRoth95 on Jul 1, 2009 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I get
a day off once in a great while.
I try to take advantage of it.
Now, to start the laundry before the game starts.
See? It’s not all fun ‘n’ games …
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well
as long as you have laundry machines and don’t have to do it all by hand, you should be fine.
True Blue Jazz
Bucco Ball
I'm on Twitter
RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09
by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, I
take it down to Lake Michigan and pound it with a rock.
You’d can’t beat that good ol’ tried & true method!
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jul 1, 2009 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ah, in that case
good luck finishing before the game.
True Blue Jazz
Bucco Ball
I'm on Twitter
RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09
by UtesFan89 on Jul 1, 2009 7:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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