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More Thoughts on Tim Alderson

San Francisco Giants' new infielder Freddy Sanchez, right, answers questions as manager Bruce Bochy smiles during a news conference at AT&T Park in San Francisco, Wednesday, July 29, 2009. The San Francisco Giants acquired infielder Freddy Sanchez from the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday, and made it a convenient switch for the three-time All-Star. The teams announced the trade right after the Giants beat Pittsburgh 1-0 in 10 innings. Sanchez merely had to change clubhouses to join his new team, which is in the thick of the NL wild-card race. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg)

More photos » by Eric Risberg - AP

3 months ago: San Francisco Giants' new infielder Freddy Sanchez, right, answers questions as manager Bruce Bochy smiles during a news conference at AT&T Park in San Francisco, Wednesday, July 29, 2009. The San Francisco Giants acquired infielder Freddy Sanchez from the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday, and made it a convenient switch for the three-time All-Star. The teams announced the trade right after the Giants beat Pittsburgh 1-0 in 10 innings. Sanchez merely had to change clubhouses to join his new team, which is in the thick of the NL wild-card race. (AP Photo/Eric Risberg)

Pirates excited about landing Cedeno | pirates.com: News
Jenifer Langosch reports that Delwyn Young could get the bulk of the playing time at second base down the stretch. I'm not a huge Young fan, but at this point, hey, why not? He can certainly hit enough to stick at second. The issue is his fielding, which probably isn't nearly good enough, but I suppose it can't hurt to find that out for sure. Young comes out as one of the biggest winners in the Freddy Sanchez deal.

BP: Five Minutes with Tim Alderson
A brief interview with new acquisition Tim Alderson who, at the very least, sounds like an intelligent kid who knows who he is. If you have any questions about what kind of pitcher he is, this answers them--he's not going to blow hitters away with his fastball.

Alderson probably currently ranks as the Pirates' top pitching prospect, but again, I want to caution against getting too excited here. Baseball America ranked Alderson as the 45th-best prospect in all baseball before the season, and I think that's a mistake. I think of Will Inman, who has posted better strikeout rates than Alderson at similar ages throughout his minor league career, and still doesn't get much love as a prospect. Alderson's better--he probably throws a little bit harder, and he doesn't really have Inman's flyball tendencies. (Alderson is also taller, which scouts love. But as WTM is fond of pointing out, that probably doesn't mean a whole lot. I think I'm going to stop using the word "projectable" to describe young pitchers.) 

Like Alderson, Inman breezed through the low minors, posting impossibly low ERAs at Class A West Virginia (back when it was still a Brewers affiliate) and Class A+ Brevard County. When he got to Class AA, though, things started to go wrong--his strikeout numbers remained high, but his walks increased. This year he pitched very well for in eight starts at Class AA San Antonio, but has come apart upon being promoted to Class AAA Portland, as his strikeout rate has decreased and hitters have whacked 15 homers off him in 63 innings. He's now 22 and is rarely described as a top prospect anymore. He'll probably make it to the majors, but I wouldn't bet on him being particularly successful.

Alderson is a better prospect than Inman, and the parallel isn't perfect, but it still isn't totally clear to me why Alderson excites people, while no one could talk about Inman a couple years ago without pointing out his flaws. Alderson's very low strikeout rate since being promoted to Class AA is, to me, a huge red flag--pitchers like Inman who are crafty but lack great stuff can breeze through the low minors and then run smack into a brick wall when they reach Class AA or Class AAA. So the question is this: Why won't Alderson hit that wall? Of course I hope he doesn't, but I'm not really sure why he wouldn't.

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Heyman says Cubs/Pirates having “serious discussions” about Grabow.
Rosenthal/Morosi say Rangers aren’t in on Capps.

Via BA’s top-10 for the Cubs, their best MIs are Starlin Castro, Ryan Flaherty & Hak-Ju Lee (all are in lower levels right now). There’s also Tony Thomas, who’s in AA or AAA (don’t remember) who’s been playing well, but scouts question his defense.

Could Grabow land a top-10 guy in their system?

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 2:53 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Top 10?

Maybe. Probably in the lower end of the top 10, though.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's good then

the MI’s in their top 10 are all in the lower half…

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lee would be a pretty exciting return, for me. And I think that’s achievable in a one-for-one.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Of course Alderson might fail, no prospect is a sure thing, but he’s probably about as good a prospect as you could hope to get for Freddy Sanchez. And let’s face it, if he were a 20 year old averaging 9 Ks a game at AA, he wouldn’t have been traded for Freddy Sanchez.

by maguro on Jul 30, 2009 2:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Agree

I generally understand Charlie’s concerns about Alderson, but if you are looking objectively, what better return could you expect for Freddy in a deal where we don’t give cash?

by mak_DC on Jul 30, 2009 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Me too

Three weeks ago all indications were that a worthwhile baseball return was not to be had for Jack and/or Freddy but that the Bucs were going to move them in a salary dump. We still don’ t know if the team is cheap under the new administration (including Nutting), but the return was surprisingly positive in baseball terms.

Good day.

by Uncle Nate on Jul 30, 2009 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cash

I figured the only way we’d get a high upside guy would be to include cash; I’m mostly happy that we seem to have done so without paying $$.

That said, I appreciate Charlie’s caution; the exultation here about Alderson yesterday was kind of embarrassing. He’s a promising pitcher struggling at AA, which describes about 50 guys out there. Whatever you want to think about his specifics, you have to look at him as 1 of 50, and how many of those 50 will be frontline ML starters?

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think "struggling" is a little strong.

Not dominating, maybe. But that’s a very different thing.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're right

“Stepping backwards,” maybe?

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Compared to Will Inman, Alderson is younger and taller, has a better arsenal, is a ground ball pitcher, and has much better command since 2006. IMO it’s a lot harder to gather some similarities.

by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 30, 2009 2:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Alderson isn't that much of a groundballer.

Basically 1:1 this year.

Still a very good prospect, though.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He's working on his 2-seemer this year.

With his height and the downward plane on his pitches, he could develop a very good sinker.

Still the loving, adoptive father of Hector Sanchez. And who doesn't love switch-hitting catchers with power and patience?

by tedfordfan on Jul 31, 2009 8:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree about Alderson

His walk rate is amazingly low considering his age and level, but I see that strikeout rate as being extremely problematic going forward. Cutting down on walks is easier than increasing strikeouts.

by ILLZ on Jul 30, 2009 3:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

There’s risk for most young pitchers. There’s also risk in extending a gimpy club footed overachiever due a baloon payment.

The low Ks are the only red flag with Alderson, but it’s unfair to label him “crafty”. The scouts like his stuff and he probably has a lot of room to grow, but I think of crafty pitchers as ones who rely mostly on makeup over skill. By all accounts, he has excellent command of 3 pitches and impeccable control.

by chicos_pants on Jul 30, 2009 3:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

All scouts

except Keith Law. Who, as soon as a prospect becomes a member of the Pirates’ org, cannot say anything good about them. Link (second bullet point)

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno, he’s said good things about the McLouth deal. And the Milledge deal. But I agree it is a stunning about face by him on Alderson

by TravisDW on Jul 30, 2009 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Grabow going to the Cubs?

Heyman via Twitter says Grabow and another pitcher could be headed to Chicago

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 3:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If there's any kharmic justice in the world

It’ll be Grabow for Vitters. But I’m not counting on it

by TravisDW on Jul 30, 2009 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

To get Vitters the “other pitcher” would probably have to be Duke.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not that it is a big deal,

but I presume that any deal with the Cubs will include our acquisition of the Cubs rights to Veal. In that way, we could keep him and salvage part of the 2009 season for him.

Good day.

by Uncle Nate on Jul 30, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That makes sense

and we can send him down.

Though we don’t have anyone to call up and replace him…

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jackson

Not a lefty, but a more useful arm for the bigs right now.

Of course, if we trade Grabow, Jackson comes up regardless. Hmm.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Edes at Yahoo saying that Sherrill is going to LA for S.Elbert and J.bell. Nice haul there.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 3:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow.

That’s a ton and a half.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not confirmed yet.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

BA has both guys

in the Dodgers top 10 (#5, #8). Wow.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

MLB.com

says it’s Bell and S.Johnson for Sherrill.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 3:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

John Sickels has Johnson just outside his top-20, and Bell at #10

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thoughts on Alderson

At age 19, Alderson pretty much owned A+ ball, and while his K/9 didn’t blow you away, it was 7.7, which is respectable.

Once he got promoted to AA this year, he started great and has gotten worse each month:

May: 19 IP, 21 K’s, 1.89 ERA.
June: 30.2 IP, 16 K’s, 2.64 ERA
July: 23 IP, 9 K’s, 5.87 ERA

Not sure what all this means (could he be hurt or working on his changeup/delivery?), but it makes it hard to look at the average numbers as a good estimation of how good he could be.

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 3:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It means...

…that you can’t tell anything significant from three months’ worth of data.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don’t know how much variance there is with K rates, and I’ll admit that ~20 IP isn’t a lot, but I have a hard time believing that 5 starts in a row with a significantly worse K/9, H/9, ERA, WHIP than previously shown is just statistical noise.

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Happens all the time.

Could be what’s going on here, could be not. We need more info before we can say.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It may just be

A 20 year old struggling a bit in AA. It happens.

Plus his K per 9 isn’t even one less per 9 than this Bumgarner kid everyone’s ape over. Is it really that big a difference? The ERA’s alot lower though, so I guess that’s the difference

by TravisDW on Jul 30, 2009 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Changeup

The Giants have reportedly been putting a lot of emphasis on the development of Alderson’s changeup this year, which could be a big reason why his K’s are down, especially as the season has progressed. A developed changeup can lead to more strikeouts, but a developmental changeup (inconsistent results, strategic inexperience) can lead to fewer strikeouts and more contact. I haven’t seen Alderson throw this year, but that might be an explanation for the dip in K numbers. It’s a trend that may continue in Altoona, because the Pirates player development personnel also lean toward developing a changeup in young pitchers.

by Alleghenys on Jul 30, 2009 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Develop

Apparently my word for the day is “develop”.

by Alleghenys on Jul 30, 2009 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Coming from someone who has seen Alderson pitch a few times – but not since May – I think you’re dead on.

Alderson has basically two ways to the majors. He either puts some life on the fastball, or he gets a really good changeup going. If he gets both he’ll not just make the majors but be a very, very dangerous pitcher. (The curve is pretty much already there, and was probably the best in the Giants system. The control is among the best in the minors period.) Part A of above argument was very definitely behind schedule for right now, so I strongly suspect they’ve been emphasizing development of Part B.

One thing that the vast majority of Giants fans (and unfortunately Giants management – their GM has never been to the stadium, and they keep asking kids to hit 20 HR there and screw up their strokes) aren’t aware of is that the home stadium for the AA team may have played a role in this too. The outfield is absurdly deep, with wind often blowing in from dead center. If you have the outfield back (as they often do, since if you miss with a fastball it just ends up being a long out) and you’re a control pitcher getting your change hit a bunch, those are going to fall in ahead of the outfielders. Same goes for the curve, which is very good but unlike A hitters, at least a few AA hitters can make contact on it. This may also explain the lower strikeout rate.

If you look at Alderson’s K/IP rate this kind of backs this theory up: 39/31 IP at home, 37/41.2 IP away. It’s a small sample size, but more importantly his walk rate was actually better than last year in both stadiums despite the hits (6/31, 8/41.2). He’s not missing, just getting hit more, and it’s why I’m not sure I buy the ‘control’ isn’t there anymore.

I don’t know what to make of the last month, and Sabean has a very good reputation of dumping young pitchers who end up flaming out. (It’s also worth noting that he didn’t mention Alderson being a major league pitcher, which he did with the other A level prospect he gave up.) True control pitchers are an odd bunch though; they never quite have great numbers in the minors but seem to be pretty much consistent in translating them to success in the majors. Look at what happened to Kevin Slowey – never struck out much of anyone in the minors, but he looked to be a very serviceable pitcher before that wrist injury.

It’s a very worthwhile risk for the Pirates, and a lot more than they should have gotten for what basically was a salary dump. He may not pan out, and the risk of it is a lot higher now than it was at the beginning of the year, but while I’m a Giants fan I’ll still be rooting for the kid. Along with the Bucs a bit, since the fact there are still fans after what you guys have been through is impressive.

by HaroldS on Jul 30, 2009 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And sorry, that’s hits/IP rate, not K/IP rate.

by HaroldS on Jul 30, 2009 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

DK via Twitter

Cubs/Bucs talking Grabow and Gorzo but no deal in place.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 3:50 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Gorzo

Am I the only one who thinks that we may be giving up on him a bit too quickly? He was pedigreed prospect who has had some success in the bigs. Since when can we afford to give up on young, cheap, lefty SPs after just one failure.

Good day.

by Uncle Nate on Jul 30, 2009 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right there with you

We need to get B+ or A- prospect for both of these guys. Less than that, and it’s foolish.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

problem is

the cubbies don’t really have any

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't get your hopes up too high

the Cubs don’t have many B+/A- prospects.

Sickels rated Vitters a B+. No one else is higher than a B.
http://www.minorleagueball.com/2008/11/29/675375/chicago-cubs-top-20-prospe

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't do it NH!

Seriously, if the Cubs don’t have the horses….

I swear to god, if this is another trade for A-ball pitchers, I’m quitting on this rebuilding….

The Pirates are going to have to sign another A-level club for all the A pitchers they’re accumulating.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

B+ or A-...

…for a guy who profiles at this point as a #4 and a situational lefty.

The Alderson trade spoiled you guys rotten.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Also says it might not happen

b/c other teams are interested in Grabow

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sounds a lot like “no deal in place fo Sanchez and other teams remain interested.” We know how that ended up. lol

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 3:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well

the return for Sanchez was nice.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

it would have to be a pretty good haul to give up grabow and gorzo. grabow could be a type A at the end of the year and the cubbies (unlike us) shouldn’t be afraid to offer him arbitration and we all know about gorzo.

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

my thoughts exactly

grabow is proven at ML level
ditto gorzo, though his stock isnt the highest. At his best, he can be a front end starter! And he is doing good things at AAA, and has shown (in 2007) that he can do it in the majors

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The front end...

…of a AAA rotation, maybe.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 5:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

With Sherrill off the market, Grabow’s price just went up a little.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 3:55 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Shouldn't affect the deal, but from Dejan...
If such a deal were to take place, unless a left-hander or two comes in return, the Pirates would be all but depleted of left-handed relievers at the top three levels of the organization. Donnie Veal is all that remains in Pittsburgh, and there is no one of note in Indianapolis or Altoona, save for rehabilitating Phil Dumatrait.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

the only lefty pitchers in altoona are kyle bloom and tony watson, neither of which you’d probably want to see in the bullpen though bloom did get a rule 5 pick from detroit. if gorzo goes, there’s not even a lefty of any kind at indy starter or otherwise.

without a lefty return it could just be veal.

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gorzo would be included...

According to Heyman
http://twitter.com/SI_JonHeyman/status/2936874775

gorzelanny would go with grabow to cubs.

by Mick Kraut on Jul 30, 2009 4:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hm

You’d think the return would be respectable if it’s both of them.

by ILLZ on Jul 30, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"anyone left on the Pirates"

is he bashing the pirates as well?

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

this is a opretty large give-up

both grabow and gorzo- the return better be pretty good!

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hells Bells

if the Chronicle of Higher Education is getting in on the act, I imagine everyone will pile on…

by Mick Kraut on Jul 30, 2009 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We don’t have anyone left, but we keep trading them for decent prospects.

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually,

he has the Bucs as one of his early “trade deadline winners” in an earlier tweet.

"Never mistake motion for action." - Ernest Hemingway

by SubLime on Jul 30, 2009 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"bash" is too strong

I mean, literally, the Pirates are down to their last 5 tradeable ML players (not counting trades of young guys like Andy or Moss or whoever): Doumit, 2 starters, 2 relievers, plus Gorzo in AAA.

This morning I thought to myself, “well, that should do it for this year,” then I remembered that Grabow’s still here.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would think

the downgrade overall on the bucs’ defense will have the consequence of making pitching look worse for the remainder of the season. So it would make sense to unload most anybody with an arm now, rather than after the season ends.

by vherub on Jul 30, 2009 4:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

true, but gorzo has been pitching in indy for most of the year.

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not a big fan, but....

Let’s say the Bucs do land Vitters. What’s teh chance of LaRoche playing second base. i know he has not played there much at all and I have not been a fan of moving him, but we certainly would have a need there. A little competition between him and Delwyn Young.

Thoughts?

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

if they land vitters i’ll eat my hat. same with laroche playing second this year. why do people keep proposing that?

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not proposing…just asking. I’m with you. I keep hearing it from fans, but never seem to get that feeling from DK or anyone with the Pirates that it’s even an option.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LaRoche’s best asset is his arm, which seems like a waste at 2B.

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Probably because (and I'm just speculating b/c I don't really know)

we have Pedro at 3rd. Pearce/Clement at 1st. Add Vitters, you have another 3rd baseman. 2nd base is all that’s left

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

And Vitters would be a ways away from the majors.. no point in trying to move LaRoche now. Besides, we’re not getting Vitters for John Grabow and Gorzo. Good lord guys.

by ILLZ on Jul 30, 2009 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

like you, not a big fan

i really really liked Gorzo, and would like to see him get a shot at putting it together in pitt… this guy is a very legit SP, or can be!

Unless, relations have soured to the point of Snell behind the scenes, I’ll not be happy if he isnt moved for a pretty solid prospect (or set of prospects)

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wasn’t a fan of trading Snell until I saw the return. Just sayin…

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

agree with you

i want better than we got for snell though…

remember, gorzo is ML ready, cheap, and most likely to step into the rotation and not look out of place at all… having seen VV, dont you dream of getting the 07 Gorzo back? Who had 14 wins and could hav had 20 if the Bucs had given him offense?

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Snell has more upside, though, and even if you look at their numbers in Indy this year, Gorzo has been good, but Snell has been dominant. He’s a little more risky, but I’d take a chance on Snell if I had the choice.

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't move Gorzo

OK, he’s not “untouchable,” but he’s our only “veteran” starter who will (thanks to NH’s roster shenanigans) still be here after 2011. Which means, by definition, he’s the only one of Maholm, Duke, and himself who could ever see the postseason* in Pittsburgh. He’s looked pretty solid at both AAA and in relief here; if he falters, I don’t see where his value would be much less than it is now – why not keep him? Assuming he’s got his shit back together, he’s extremely valuable to us for 3 years, and his trade value only goes up.

All of this, of course, is predicated on not getting a Pedro-grade prospect in return. But, IMO, anything less would be dumb.

  • I think we all agree that postseason for 2011 is a slim chance, yes?

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Gorzo's already burned two of his pre-arb years.

For a guy with a fairly low ceiling (which is what he is, at this point), the clock is not your friend. They quickly become more expensive through arb than their abilities warrant.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Some more "low" K/9 rates

These guys had comparable if not lower K/9 rates in the minors to Alderson

Halladay 5.9
Buehrle 6.6
Zach Duke 7.1
Aaron Cook 6.1
John Lannan 6.3
Gavin Floyd 7.1
Nick Blackburn 5.6
Ricky Romero 7.0
John Lackey 7.1

I’m sure there are more that have low K/9 rates, but relying on that stat alone to say a pitcher isn’t going to be good is a little irrational in my opinion

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

He also doesn’t have great stuff, which I also pointed out in the post.

A lot of these examples are apples and oranges. A few of the guys above are groundball pitchers. Alderson really is not. If he were, it would be different.

by Charlie on Jul 30, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wasn't trying to argue against your points

but most of the comments I’ve seen at different sites and what-not have complained solely about his K/9 rates. I was just saying that a low K/9 isn’t the end of the world. I agree that he has work to do, especially on his change up.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If not Vitters

Maybe the go for quanity in the middle INF and send Grabow and Gorzo for Castro, Flaherty and Lee.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Has Dejan's blog

hit the dumps for anyone else?

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yep. Just like it does during every other freakin trade

by scully0505 on Jul 30, 2009 4:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes it isnt loading

by PensRock1 on Jul 30, 2009 4:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yesterday’s activity must have put the little hamsters into cardiac arrest right in their little wheels…

by Mick Kraut on Jul 30, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

All the yinzers

posting “that’s it, I’m done with the Pirates” and “I told you so” posts! lol

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rocco via Twitter

Saying several people are saying the Pirates/Cubs are finalizing a deal. Sound like we should all know something soon.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

DK says it’s just about done

by scully0505 on Jul 30, 2009 4:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Told ya

In 29 minutes DK went from warning that it might noit even happen to…it’s just about done. lol

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha yeah. I’m pretty sure he said something like there is no chance any starter gets traded

by scully0505 on Jul 30, 2009 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Surely he meant from the ML roster

That’s how I took it, anyway.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Funny

just below his last two twitter updates is one saying the Pirates aren’t likely to do anything

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

would we have any chance of getting vitters?

by PensRock1 on Jul 30, 2009 4:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

only if hendry let DL do the negotiations

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Cubs Owe us

for the the Ramirez trade, and i’m sure they feel really guilty about it. they probably want to make it up to us so we can be friends again. Maybe they’ll even throw in Castro or Flrherty b/c they know we need a little MIF help.

by los angeles bucco of anaheim on Jul 30, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

FWIW

via twitter, Ed Price says a friend of Grabow says Grabow to Cubs is almost done.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:20 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ugh.

Dejan on Twitter links to his blog saying Gorzo/Grabow almost done.

Obviously, his blog is down, so you can’t read anything.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The complete silence on the possible return is amazing

Makes me think it could be very good, or….well, I don’t want to think about or. lol

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don’t think NH would dump Gorzo unless he got a good return.

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Damnit

Can we hurry this hting up I have to fold laundry and shave before my girlfriend gets home in 20 minutes.

by ILLZ on Jul 30, 2009 4:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

via MLBTR

Kovacevic says Grabow and Gorzelanny to the Cubs is almost done, while Chris De Luca of the Chicago Sun-Times says they closed the deal.

No links

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

They need an OF

Maybe we traded Moss or Salazero.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I doubt it

Yankees missed out on some of their OF targets (Anderson to KC from Detroit). Maybe we can send them Salazero?

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If we give them Salazar

then we’ll have to take a lesser return.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Utes is the man with the updates.

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

looks like tomorrow

is gonna be boring. I love, by the way, that we aren’t waiting until the last second to do these deals. I’ve said it before, but it suggests a level of strategy and preparation that should be expected but which was so lacking for years.

Good day.

by Uncle Nate on Jul 30, 2009 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We made up....

…for Morris yesterday by getting Alderson.

dare we make up for the ARam fiasco today by getting Vitters?

It sure would be nice!

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

same here

and i can’t help but fear, we might sell lower on gorzo than snell!

i want really really good players if we give up gorzo- he’s major league material!

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and wow...

i d hate to see him go more than anyone else we ve traded away!

the guy can be pure gold, if he puts it together!

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jake Fox anyone? lol he would fit nicely in the mix of Clement, Pearce and Jones as a future 1B. lol

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

we do seem to be acquiring guys that kind kind-of play catcher

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting thought

Anyone who trades for Gorzo will want to use him in the bigs right away, which would cost that team an entire year of control for about 4 starts.

Gorzo should be hoping for a trade, get to FA an entire year earlier.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:31 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

they’re probably looking at him as a reliever

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He would still be in the same boat

as service time is determined by days on the major league roster

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right

But at least they’d get more use out of him than just 4-5 starts.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

OK, they don't need a starter

Their weakest guy, Randy Wells, is doing fine, if not great – can’t imagine them plugging Gorzo in.

They must not like their long reliever/swingman.

Or they’re buying low on Gorzo, in which case ARGH.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm guessing

something along the lines of it better not be Vitters and we are going to rape them like in the a-ram trade

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

BleedCubbieBlue

is silent. Like literally… their game thread hasn’t even updates in a while.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shameful

Cubs fans….sigh

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They’re too scared to type

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And they're in the 6th inning of the game right now.

Hasn’t updated in almost an hour though, it seems.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And

their fanshot on the trade comes with “Who’s Tom Gorzelanny”

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They jump

to an overflow thread using a link somewhere near the bottom of the original normally.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay

had a feeling it was something like that. I was looking for an overflow thread on the main page, but didn’t see one.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i can’t find one this time though, maybe the person in charge is at work

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The links

are actually at the top of the post, between the picture in the original post and before the comments start

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i see

The only times I’ve followed one of their threads in when we’ve played them and normally someone posts a comment with a link. But it makes more sense I’m guessing to have a link in a more stable place

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

Never followed there, so I had to search for “overflow”…

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They've imposed radio silence

"Never mistake motion for action." - Ernest Hemingway

by SubLime on Jul 30, 2009 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

here's some reaction to the wilson/snell deal
As for the Pirates – it’s a disgrace that a major league organization can just surrender like this, despite being only a few years removed from opening a new ballpark. They should be contracted. Actually I take that back. They should be kept around just so the Cubs can pound the tar out of them every year. And occasionally steal their power-hitting third basemen.

link

come on NH, let’s get something good here.

by johnnycuff on Jul 30, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

surrender?

what did we surrender this year?, 75 wins?

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just keep talking…

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No A Ram in the Cubs line up today. lol

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

YES!!!! WE WILL RETURN TO GLORY!!!

charity standing orders

by BadMaafala on Jul 30, 2009 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In other news...

Indy an 11-3 winner today.

Shelby Ford 5-for-5

Neil Walker 3 hits (2 HRs)

Bixler 3 hits

Milledge did not play. Must be on a plane to the Burg.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:40 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

30 mins since DK's last tweet

Makes me believe a deal is now done, but they are waiting until the Cubs game ends to make it public.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ugh.

Too far away. It’s already pretty much over… just announce it.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm with you...

…I have a softball game to go play. lol

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

boy, i admit i m scared

hope NH doesnt screw up an awesome trade deadline now

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 4:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

primarily because

i cant imagine how it gets better!

cubs prospects are all somewhat average… vitters wont be dealt, surely

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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