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John Grabow, Tom Gorzelanny Traded to Cubs

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More photos » Gene J. Puskar - ASSOCIATED PRESS

For pitchers Jose Ascanio and Kevin Hart and third baseman Josh Harrison. Harrison is a small guy who just turned 22 and has shown a bit of hitting ability in Class A, while Hart can start or relieve and has posted good strikeout numbers at Class AAA Iowa but has struggled in the big leagues. Ascanio is the key player here--I haven't seen him pitch recently, but he's supposed to have very good stuff, and he could probably be a good reliever or a passable starter right away.

I'm fine with this trade. Hart, for me, is probably AAAA cannon fodder, but at least he can start. Basically, he's a righthanded version of Gorzelanny. True, he hasn't had the success Gorzelanny once had, but I don't think Gorzelanny will ever have that sort of success going forward, either. 

Ascanio has posted solid numbers as a starter at Class AAA this year, and has struck out more than a batter an inning in 15 frames in the majors. Both those indicators bode well for him; there's really nothing to not like about his AAA line, and if he can be successful as a starter there, he can probably make it as a reliever in the majors. He appears to have tamed the gopheritis he struggled with last year--in 2008, he allowed 10 homers in 54.7 innings and induced just one out in the air for every one on the ground, while he's only allowed one homer in 51.3 innings this year and substantially bumped up his groundball rate in the process. I think he'll probably wind up a good reliever, but if he turns out to be a starter, all the better.

Harrison is a bit of a wild card here. He's hit .327 this year in the minors at a reasonably young age, and he can play second base. He doesn't have a ton of power and, since he's 5'8", I'm guessing he never will, so I think the key for him might be getting pitchers to respect his power. He drew a ton of walks in the lower minors last year, but only has 22 in 373 at bats against more advanced pitching this year. What that probably means is that he has a good eye, but pitchers still know that the worst that's going to happen is that he hits a double. If he sticks at second base and continues hitting for average, though, there's upside here. In fact, his minor league profile reminds me of that of... wait for it... Freddy Sanchez, who also hit well for average in the minors but didn't have much power. And, although I think Harrison's size will probably prevent him from hitting many homers, knee-jerk bias against short guys isn't totally fair. If Dustin Pedroia, who's about four foot nine in platform shoes, can win an MVP award, then the 5'8" Harrison can be a productive major leaguer. Obviously, Harrison is a long way from the majors, but he's still a good prospect, although he probably won't be the best athlete named J. Harrison in Pittsburgh history.

Grabow could have gotten the Pirates compensation picks, but if last year was any indication, teams have gotten wise to the fact that signing a free agent reliever can cost them draft choices. The Pirates would have had to offer him arbitration to have a chance at getting the picks, and I'd say it's fairly likely he would have taken it, which means he would've been on the trading block again next year. He's a good reliever, but not a great one, and he's shown signs of getting a little too walk-happy this year. I think the Pirates probably judged this situation correctly and picked the right time to move him.

And so, it seems like the dismantling of the Littlefield Pirates is pretty much complete. It's possible a few more players (Zach Duke? Paul Maholm? Ryan Doumit?) could be traded in the next year, but nearly all the players who led those awful 67-win teams are now gone. Of course it's not really any of their faults as individuals that the Pirates didn't do better, but I'm happy to see the team moving on, and I think what's in the farm system is finally strong enough that the Pirates can build a solidly competitive team in the next few years.

In other news, Lastings Milledge will join the Pirates tomorrow as a "regular" outfielder.

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MLB Network

Mocking the Bucs. “They are down to seven players.” Cubs “feasting on the carcass that is the Pirates.” Geez, I mean I try not to get worked up over the national media, but could they at least analyze the deal and give an informed opinion rather than taking pot shots?

by dtoddwin on Jul 30, 2009 6:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

They have some guys

that actually understand what’s going on, and they get guys like Rosenthal on the show to explain things which he did a good job of today. Better than ESPN

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hart is a starter. Makes you wonder if Duke is next to go.

When Captain America throws his mighty shield,
All those who chose to oppose his shield must yield.

by chodan11 on Jul 30, 2009 6:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Are we skipping....

VV tomorrow? Have we announced who is pitching?

by dtoddwin on Jul 30, 2009 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

5 days rest

could they just go back to the top of the rotation again?

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yahoo says

Ross tomorrow, V-Squared saturday. Maybe they just skip him for Maholm?

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

They were saying that before the trade

JR’s been cagey all week about VV’s next start.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i m a little disappointed

bit of a meh trade… dont really know what to expect… we wont know who got the better part in this one, and maybe we’ll never know… could turn out “meh” on both sides… but gorzo has very significant upside, enough to be #2-3 SP, and has shown it in the majors!

grabow will help the cubs immediately… maybe they had to throw in gorzo to get anything significant back!

NH hasnt been v high on gorzo, for the most part, not sure why. I realli liked Gorzo, though I have no talent evaluating ability (sort of liked him like the yinzers loved jack and freddy- he pitched the first ballgame i went to see ever, lost 2-1 to the astros in 07)

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 6:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

jim tracy toasted gorzos arm..

and will never be the same. i think he could turn out to be a decent lefty reliever, but i think his starting days are done. i know he has done great in AAA as of late, but his velocity never has been what it was in 06-07

by jsn4219 on Jul 30, 2009 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

this could be true

i read stuff about this before, too… toward the end of 2007 especially, it seems…

still, has the potential to be NH’s worst trade, if Gorzo gets back to that kind of form.

by BurgherKing on Jul 30, 2009 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Ascanio has more upside than Gorzy at this point.

by shayborg on Jul 30, 2009 6:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Cubs fuked us after reading this tweet from Keith Law

@kingclip After you tweeted that I was told Jackson was “untouchable.”

by BadAndy on Jul 30, 2009 6:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If Ascanio lives up

Then it’s a good trade.

I’ll buy that, at this point in time, Hart = Gorzo – I think their most likely paths (6 years as a 4-5 guy, 3 years as a 3-4 guy) are about equal in value.

Harrison is a warm body – I refuse to get excited about an A-ball player unless he’s got a serious pedigree.

So it hinges on Ascanio. Although if Gorzo comes around and becomes a #2 starter for the next 3 years (beating us 3X a year), I think it’s hard to call it a win regardless.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 6:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Harrison

the Cubs blog I was reading (http://thecubreporter.com/) seemed a bit upset at him getting used as a “throw in”.

Harrison just turned 22 at Daytona and has .836 OPS between Peoria and Daytona with 26 SBs. I am pretty sure I like his ceiling more than that of Fontenot (and perhaps Tony Thomas), so not sure I like adding him as a throw in.
Kovacevic is saying the Cubs threw in Josh Harrison. I loved the trade till I heard that.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

People need to get behind this kid

Harrison walks about as often as he strikes out. Hitting .337

by oc on Jul 30, 2009 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

harrison

sounds like a younger version of eric young jr that everyone one was clamouring for. less speed, but less skewed numbers bc EYJ plays in the pac league.

by jsn4219 on Jul 30, 2009 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here are some numbers from the PBC Blog

LINK

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 6:39 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Holy smoke. Hart looks like he’s playing along side Joe Tinker, John Evers and Frank Chance.

In fact, they look more modern than him, and these photos are from 1911.

by WstCstBucco on Jul 30, 2009 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do you guys realize we could've had Jay Jackson in this deal?

But the Cubs wouldn’t give him to us….I mean come on here.

by BadAndy on Jul 30, 2009 6:42 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

could've had? if they refused to give him up, then i don't think saying "we could've had" makes much sense.

we didn’t send them outstanding players. grabow is a good lefty, but not a shutdown one anymore. and gorzy hasn’t done anything in the big leagues since 07

by jsn4219 on Jul 30, 2009 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah.

That’s like saying “I could have gone out with that girl. If she just said yes.”

by IAPiratesFan on Jul 30, 2009 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't get this

No way were the Cubs going to give up a young arm that has had a solid season in AA (struggling of late) that shows some TOR (not ace, though) potential for these two guys.

by toonsterwu on Jul 30, 2009 10:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fantastic move

Huntington gets deeper at third.

Who knows what will happen with Alvarez, but having Harrison behind him at third is a luxury.

Ascanio profiles as a closer or a late inning specialist. Gets close to a strikeout an inning.

Holy moly, Neal Huntington is on a mutha-effin’ roll

by oc on Jul 30, 2009 6:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Harrison

also plays 2nd

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually NH said they view him as a second baseman.

by shayborg on Jul 30, 2009 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

even better then. If he can develop quickly and make the majors at around the same time everyone (e.g. Pedro, Tabata, Alderson, etc…) do, then we may have solved the issue with second base. Everyone was thinking of possible moving Andy to 2nd if Pedro comes up and Andy’s still here, but now if Harrison can develop quickly, we may have solved that already.

by Akshay R on Jul 30, 2009 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's nice to have options.

We may not be hugely likely to have any particular one of our cluster of MIFs pay off, but with the overall amount of aggregate talent, it’s likely that we’ll get at least a few quality players out of it.

Like Branch Rickey says, quality through quantity.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Neal Huntington

is not Branch Rickey!!! ARG!!! – Mike Wilbon

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 6:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right now we have enough potential future starters in the minor leagues or already in the majors at OF, 1B, 3B, C, and maybe SS as well. If we can get a little more minor league depth at 2B, then our chances at contention in 2 or 3 seasons will only get better and better.

by Akshay R on Jul 30, 2009 6:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

All SS can play 2B...

…so our SS depth floats to cover there a bit.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good point

But at the least, at this point we’ve got more potential major leaguers at pretty much every position…a very pleasant change from just 2 seasons ago

by Akshay R on Jul 30, 2009 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

2 Seasons Ago

Pearce, Ford, Bixler, and Walker were all projected as average-or-better MLers.

In 2 more years, we’ll forget about a lot of these players as well.

Even keel, folks.

by JRoth95 on Jul 30, 2009 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vlad

Giving up on Walker? I’ve always enjoyed and respected your posts. I guess Pine-Richland falls back to John Falvo as the best athelete of all time.

I was hoping for about 19 hours that they would consider moving Walker to 2nd.

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 11:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In theory, Walker still could develop...

…but in practice, I’m very discouraged about his chances. At this point, he looks like an infield backup to me in the most likely scenario.

by Vlad on Jul 31, 2009 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yea....

if Harrison can turn into an everyday secondbaseman than I like the deal. Anyone think he could make our top ten prospects?

by joegonzo on Jul 30, 2009 6:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Not this year, I wouldn't think.

But down the road, if he keeps hitting? Sure, why not?

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, I don’t think he makes the top 10. IMO that looks like:

1) Alvarez
2) Tabata
3) Alderson
4) Lincoln
5) Owens
6) Hernandez
7) Grossman
8) Sanchez
9) D’Arnaud
10) Locke

There are a couple more guys after that — Marte, Miller, Uviedo maybe — who would clearly rank ahead of Harrison. But he’s certainly in the top 30.

by shayborg on Jul 30, 2009 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is D'Arnaud...

really all that better than Harrison. Judging by numbers and upside, it seems like Harrison is the better player offensively. The only reason D’Arnaud even comes up is because his ability to play short.

by joegonzo on Jul 30, 2009 7:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's always

more valuable to play shortstop than 3rd/2nd

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 7:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes...

but Harrison has better numbers. So which is more valuable? Someone who hits better, but plays second, or someone who is not as good of a hitter, but plays short? I think they are about even.

by joegonzo on Jul 30, 2009 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I never said they weren't

just that D’Arnaud plays a more valuable position so that may be where people are coming from with their idea that he is better

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 7:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

D’Arnaud has been a better hitter because he has better on-base ability, and of course he plays shortstop while Harrison doesn’t. They’re not too far apart but there is a clear gap.

by shayborg on Jul 30, 2009 7:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

D'Arnaud has better....

plate discipline, but Harrison is the better hitter by wide margin. He is also the better base runner and some people belive D’Arnaud may not be able to stick at short.

by joegonzo on Jul 30, 2009 8:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shame

What ever happened to Neil Walker? Is he now officially toast?

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He’s still young, but his OBPs in AAA the last two years have been .280 and .285. That is not going to cut it.

by shayborg on Jul 30, 2009 8:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Neal Walker

Walker 3 for 5; two home runs, three rbi’s today; (Bixler 3-5 w/ a triple, and Ford 5-5 w/ a home run. However, in Tuesday night’s game ( which I also saw) Walker looked lifeless, made an error @ third. Milledge didn’t play today; McCutchen didn’t look overpowering, 89 mph, but the Tides had trouble hitting him. Three hits in seven innings, one hit a scorer’s gift to the Tides. I had the thought maybe all this trading activity has awakened Indianapolis. Hope it does the same for the parent club. One more thought. Bozied, first base, terrible, awful. Maybe will lose his job to Pearce if Pearce fails at Pgh.

Lino Donoso

by Lino Donoso on Jul 30, 2009 10:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sad to hear about Bozied struggling.

Tagg was always a pretty strong hitter in San Diego’s system.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tagg

Is losing his job to Jeff Clement

by God Loves on Jul 31, 2009 7:34 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My top 10....

would probably look like:

1. Alvarez
2. Alderson
3. Lincoln
4. Tabata
5. Owens
6. Sanchez
7. Hernandez
8. Grossman
9. Locke
10. Harrison

by joegonzo on Jul 30, 2009 7:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Break Up the Bucs

It should be interesting to see who gets bumped from the organization to make room for all of the new guys. Maybe the Pirates should start another Single A and Double A farm team.
Anyone remeber the good old days when there were B,C and D level farm teams?

Seriously, someome ought to start a list of players released to make room for these dudes. Might be interesting to see if any get picked up by other teams. Revisit the list in a few years. That is the other side of the coin. Looks like State College will be stacked, and the Pirates haven’t even finished up the draft signings.

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 6:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wilbur's page...

…has a transaction log (

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 7:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks!

Looks interseting, lots of info there

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cubs fan here.

I like this deal from a Cubs standpoint. Gorzelanny won 14 games at the ML level two years ago. If he can get back to that level — and he has been good in AAA this year — that’s a major league starting pitcher.

Hart has a good arm, but has had control problems — 18 walks in 27.2 innings in the major leagues this year. Ascanio also has a good arm, but the Cubs had lots of them.

Josh Harrison is only 22 years old and playing high-A ball. If you expect him to produce in the major leagues before two years from now, you’re going to be waiting a while.

We’ll see you guys in two weeks. I expect lots of ex-Cubs on the field. (Good luck with Ronny Cedeno, incidentally.)

Al, visiting from Bleed Cubbie Blue

"You can observe a lot just by watching." ~ Yogi Berra

by Al on Jul 30, 2009 7:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Gorzo

has control problems and had his arm run into the ground by Jim Tracy, so good luck with that. And from what I’ve heard about your system, there really aren’t too many good arms over there.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 7:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's a bit flawed

or based on preseason info. Cubs system has improved this year. If you go by rankings, I’d guess we’re somewhere from 15-25. For me, the two things I go by, from a year to year basis, is whether or not the system is improving, and whether or not the system fits the organization? For me, the answer is yes on both accounts, as we’re finally starting to see some upside in the Cubs system. The thing is, the difference between 15 and 25 isn’t all that much. Cubs have a top shelf of 5 guys that can compete with most organizations (keyword is most there) top 5 (3 position guys – Vitters/Castro/Lee, and 2 arms in Cashner/Jackson). Problem is, Cubs don’t have many upper level guys, but both Vitters/Castro are in High A, and Jackson/Cashner are in AA. The Cubs arms outpaces the bats right now (although there’s more potential on the bat side). This is as close as we’ve been to 2003 arm depth, when our system was rated as one of the best in the minors in that regards.

by toonsterwu on Jul 30, 2009 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The deal will clearly be good for you

if Gorzo gets back to the form he showed earlier but the view here is generally that he won’t. You guy ought to know a lot about that sort of the as a team that had Dusty Baker as a manager for awhile.

by WestCoastBuc on Jul 30, 2009 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Re: Harrison

2 years, we can wait.
Not expecting much until about then anyways.

by UtesFan89 on Jul 30, 2009 7:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think this

Makes a nice trade for both teams, especially for the Cubs. As a Cubs fan, I know these players pretty well. Harrison has talent and can play several positions. He has the ability to hit 280+ and jack 10+ homers a year. Kinda like Mark Teahen of the Royals. Ascanio has looked great at the big league level. Good velocity on his pitches. Kevin Hart is also a good little pitcher. He won’t overpower you, but he has the stuff to get guys out. He has the ability to develop into a nice #2 starter if he can keep his walk totals down.

"That pitch wasn’t down and in, that pitch was down and up." Tim McCarver

by wrigleyrocker12 on Jul 30, 2009 7:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't understand this trade.

I have liked everyone NH’s trades this season. It’s hard for me to choose the best one because I feel that we obtained high upside players while giving up players with little to know upside. It was a classic sell high buy low strategy. The only player we gave up with any upside was Snell and his situation was different because he pretty much destroyed any trade value with his request to AAA. I guess that, in my mind, is what makes the Seatle trade so good. We were able to obtain some upside talent for two players I expected to net little in return. All that being said, I hate this trade with the Cubs. NH sold so low on Gorzo it isn’t funny. He definitely had fallen out of favor and there must be more behind the scenes then we know because he was throwing well in AAA and had recently gained some of the velocity that made him so succesful two years ago. This trade, NH broke from his philosophy and I think he made a mistake. We would have been much better starting Gorzo instead of Vasquez for the remainder of the season. I don’t have a problem with trading Gorzo but I have a huge problem with the timing. This was definitiely a win for the Cubs.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 7:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You can't call a trade a win

for anyone until you find out if Gorzo can even be a capable starter in the majors

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 7:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He already was.

Yeas he had a bad year last year but had shown every indication this year that he was back on track to regaining what he had in 2007. This was a classic sell high buy low, but for the Cubs. It’s a win for them IMO. In the same respect I call the trades with SF and Seattle a wing for us without knowing if Clement or Alderson will ever do anything in the show. I’m basing it all on potential returns. I simply think we could have received more for Gorz had we given him another opportunity to start in the show. Yes he could have flopped again so maybe we received was the best we would have gotten. I’m just not that impressed with what we got. I would rather have rolled the dice and hoped for a better return next year. This was a bad trade.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 7:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Potentially

Gorzo is a 3 starter at best. Potentially, Hart is a 3 starter at best. I really don’t see your point on this is such an obvious lose.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is a 3 starter?

In Indy for sure. Not with the staff we now have assembled. The good news is maybe the Pirates decide to keep Duke now the Gorzo is gone. They are about the same age correct?

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 7:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And for the record...

Gorzo has more upsided then Ohlendorf, Vasquez and Karstens. I’d much rather have given him another shot then to have dealt while he was wasting away in AAA.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 8:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well…he has more upside than Vazquez, at least.

by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 30, 2009 8:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and Karstens

but don’t go saying that about Ohlendorf, he’ll probably invent some sort of laser beam to put sharks that will come to get you

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You may be 1/2 right

More upside than Ollie? strongly disagree, VV..agree. Karstens…perhaps a push as it stands now.

More than Duke? No…more than The Big Linc..No. More than Alderson? No way. Just off the top of may head, that makes him a 4 or 5 Starter. And he isn’t all that young anymore. Not to mention others (eg. MCcutchen) breathing down his neck.

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 8:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh and Morton Too!

ok that makes him a 5 starter….Way Way better than Virgil though.

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jesus guys...

he had one bad FN season. In 2007 Tracy butchered his arm. That and the fact that he came into 2008 out of shape were the reason he stunk. He came into this season in much better condition and it took him half the year to regain his strenght which he has. He’s been clocked at 92-93 on the gun and is dominating in AAA. He doesn’t belong in Indy. We had a guy at the young age of 25 getting 14 wins with a 3.88 ERA in the show and you don’t think that is worth something? He doesn’t have more upside than Karstens or Ohlie? Are you freaking kidding me? Lincoln and Alderson are very nice prospects and I’m happy to have them. If they get 14 wins for the Pirates with and ERA under 4 I would consider them successful pickups. We HAD that in Gorzo and we gave him away when his value was at it’s LOWEST point. In no way can that be considered a good thing! No way! And I would argue that he DOES have more upside than Duke…his stuff is better. If we would have given up on Duke last season like we did with Gorzo you wouldn’t be mentioning him in this conversation. Duke is a classic example of why we should not have trade Gorzo no!

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 9:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Jesus guys...

he had one bad good FN season. Fixed that for ya. at best Gorzo will be a number 3 and I stand by that even with his so called incredible stuff. at worse he will be another “dominating” AAA pitcher and that chances of that are much higher than the chances he becomes a number 3

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 9:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right exactly...

A LHP with 92-93 mph fastball had one good season and one bad season. So the obvious answer is to trade him after his one bad season instead of giving him another chance after he has regained his “stuff.” Brilliant. Last year was a lost year. He was out of shape and I believe his arm was dead thanks to what Tracy did to him on 2007. There was no reason not to let him start instead of Vasquez. He outperformed him in AAA and would have done no worse in Pittsburgh. Best case scenario is he would have performed well for a few weeks and would have gotten a much better return than we did. I’m just not that excited with what we got from the Cubs.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly

“best case” You can’t bank on best case. If best case scenarios always happened then there would have been no need to trade for so many starting pitchers. We would only need five with the best, best case scenarios. The scenario that was highly more likely to occur was that he was no good or mediocre and the Bucs have him at an even lower value.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 9:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And you are...

completely ignoring the fact that a large part of his decline was loss of velocity on his fastball which was likely a result of the Tracy abuse at the end of 2007. He had just recently started recovering some of that velocity which was recently reported by DK. I would say there was more indication that he would be a valuable big league starter than the contrary. Just a difference of opinion I guess but no matter how you look at it we sold low. I could understand if we was going to be a FA at the end of next year but that was not the case. No reason to make this deal now.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And for the record...

my scenarion that you responded to was not best case. It was what most likely would have happened. Best case would be that he would have performed like he did in 2007 in which case we would have had 29 other teams chomping at the bit to get him.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would still like some proof...

…that he’s “regained his stuff”.

He certainly wasn’t sitting at 93 when we had him up earlier this year.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he also had

similar numbers last year in AAA to this year and you see how that translated to the majors.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 9:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Look at his stats last year and this year in AAA and tell me how they are any different and how I’m supposed to take his dominating of AAA as anything more than him being a AAAA pitcher with the upside of a back-end guy (which is exactly what we got back for him plus a prospect for that potential to be a 3 starter)
The Baseball Cube

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 10:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because...

he already did at the major league level! He has had previous success and then had a down year. This is normally the type of guy that NH tades for, not the other way around.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I believe

the same exact thing would have happened to him as would have happened to Snell if he had gotten called up. Especially since Snell had better numbers in the majors and in AAA then Gorzo the pst two years. In which case, Gorzo’s stock goes even lower because his lack of success can’t be attributed to disagreeing with management and having depression issues

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And your link proves my point...

he had a 1.15 WHIP in his limited time in the majors. I’m convinced that if he had seen more innings that his ERA would have come down given that WHIP. WE SOLD LOW!

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He still walked

4 guys in 8 innings. And yes I am using his bullpen stats this year because of that specific reason. He has just as bad control problem as Snell did if not worse.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 10:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A 1.15 WHIP is still a 1.15 WHIP.

BB are not the only factor. And pitcing out of the pen is A LOT different than starting. How many of the walks were intentional? How many were unintentional intentional? It’s not apples to apples.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And how many

hits were bloopers and how many outs were liners right at fielders, that’s further away from apples to apples than walks are. And considering walks are always four balls and most are unintentional, I must say that they are very close to apples to apples.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not it's not at all...

bloop hits are as much a part of WHIP as BB. Come on now let’s stick to being logical. I don’t think you are stupid for liking the trade but I would much rather hear you talk about how good the players we received were instead of how you think Gorzo had no value.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i didn't say

that bloopers didn’t count. i was making a case that hits are an even worse thing to use in seeing how well a pitcher is doing than walks because a pitcher can be getting unlucky with bloopers and broken bat singles or getting lucky with liners right at people.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fair enough...

but a 1.13 WHIP is still a 1.13 WHIP. He deserved another shot.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kevin Hart 2009 WHIP in Iowa: 1.13

by maguro on Jul 30, 2009 11:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And Gorzo....

had a 1.13 WHIP in the show in addition to previous success in the majors. He also had a .91 WHIP in AAA in 2008 and .94 WHIP in 2006. Gorzo is a major league pitcher who had a bad season last year. We sold low.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he had a .91 WHIP

in AAA, the same season he had an above 6 ERA in the majors which is the perfect example as to why AAA numbers mean shit a lot of the time. And he had a 1.13 WHIP in less than 9 innings and in those 9 innings he had 4 WALKS!! which is less of a luck stat than hits are.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We Will See, Guys

We will see who is right in the not too distant future.

I think Gorzo did not buy into what Kerrigan was selling, which made him expendable…

by God Loves on Jul 31, 2009 7:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Do you know what AAAA means?

It does not mean 14 wins for a 67-win team with an ERA in the mid-3s.

AAAA guys are Brad Eldred types who dominate at AAA but never find extended ML success. If you don’t know what the term means, don’t use it.

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 9:54 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It’s also reserved for guys that have to be relegated back to AAA because they sucked it up in the majors for an extended period. Past success means shit after that and it’s basically like coming up through the system all over again when the person has an arm injury or tired arm. So yes, Gorzo could end being nothing more than a AAAA pitcher.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

"for an extended period"

3 months.

What do we say around here about small sample sizes?

I’m not saying – at all – that Gorz shouldn’t have been sent down last year. I’m saying that it’s silly to call last spring “an extended period” of sucking.

He’s had 43 starts as a sub-4 ML starter; he’s had 21 as a 6+ ML starter, and we have very good external reasons to understand where that came from (tired arm, conditioning).

Incidentally, speaking of small sample sizes, his FIP in Pittsburgh this year was 2.8.

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And he can become a AAAA type player again after being relegated to the minors again. At that point, his past success means as much as a prospects “ceiling” does, in that he could reach that. The fact that he had doesn’t mean anything anymore because at this point he is nothing but a prospect again with potential. If he had the ability to reach that potential is up to the person. That’s all I’m saying.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey

Virgil had pretty darn good numbers in Indy this year too! C’mon he’s only had 1 bad year, and not even a full one at that!

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 11:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No he didn't

VV’s AAA numbers were mediocre at best. Every time DK mentioned him, he wrote something to the effect of “his numbers are unimpressive, and he doesn’t look like a good pitcher, but NH and the staff love him.”

Honestly, the revisionism around here….

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 9:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vazquez had something like 4 quality starts in 15 appearances in AAA. It’s good that we traded for Hart so he can be the eventual replacement next year at the least.

by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 31, 2009 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Point being

Gorzo could have been that replacement, just fine, and likely better.

I feel like Hart is part of NH’s program of acquiring lots of 4-5 pitchers so that 2008 never recurs, but he forgot that you need somebody at the top of the rotation (I guess he’d point to Alderson, but I share Charlie’s skepticism about him).

We’ll see.

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well...

At the end of his 2007 season his celing was a bit higher than a #2 starter. When I get some time I’ll dig into his minor league statistics and major league stats and compare them to Hart’s. I think you are being generous stating that Hart has a #3 ceiling. Most of the scouting reports I read see him as a back of the rotation starter. Gorzo had some problems last year no doubt but he sure seemed like he had regained some of that 2007 form recently. Maybe you have forgotten but he had 14 wins with a 3.88 ERA. He had nearly a 3.0 WAR that year. I hope I’m wrong and Hart turns out to be as good. Even if the Cubs don’t “win” this trade I still don’t like because we moved a player at his lowest value when we absolutely did not have to.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 8:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

To think that

Gorzo will regain that form is an error in evaluation in my opinion.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 8:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why? Duke dit it.

Cliff Lee did it too. There are a number of pitchers who have had one bad season and have come back to have successful careers. Gorzo is not Ian Snell. We just gave away a valuable asset at its lowest value. That is not something an organization our position has the luxury to do.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Duke's "improvement"...

…is almost entirely the function of better defensive support. Which is fine.

Gorzo tanked in 2008 in large part because of an inability to throw strikes, which remains an issue this year. He’s also had problems with RHB, which is a serious problem when you’re a starter.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 9:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Regardless...

If the plan was to trade Gorzellany than he should have been picting in Pittsburgh instead of Vasquez. Even with his control problems and trouble with RHB he still put up better overall numbers in Indy than Vasquez. I think he would have been better off working with Kerrigan than spending a season in Indy. We sold low and that’s not good.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 9:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he comes up

and sucks up the joint like last year (which was highly likely) then we sell even lower. This could very well have been his highest value.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 9:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And I doubt we would have got much less than we did today.

Grabow I understand dealing him but there was absolutelu no reason to move Gorzo. I really don’t understand why you can’t see that selling low on a player is not a good idea. Watching Gorzo pitch in Indy, there was not reason to believe he would not have performed better than he did last year.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He performance in Indy this year

is eerily similar to last year where he was terrible in the majors

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well...

Gorzo was excellent in his 7 starts in Indy last year and he was beyond terrible with the Pirates. Fairly clear, no?

by maguro on Jul 30, 2009 10:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely not.

You’re argument for trading him was that he as bad for the Pirates last year? If that’s the case than Duke would have been gone last year no? And Linclon last year? And Morris and Locke this year? Well, Lincoln has been getting bombed in AAA so I guess it is time to deal him too. Maholm as 4.5 + ERA probably time to sell low on him too right? Funny how we all look at him as one of our best starters and his best season wasn’t better than Gorzo’s 2007 season. Yep you’re right dump Maholm too.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Calm down

I didn’t offer an argument for trading him. You asked how his performance last year was similar to this year and I told you, that’s all.

I would’ve been fine keeping him, but if Neal thinks Hart is better, that’s fine too. Neither will amount to much IMO so it’s no big deal either way.

BTW, Hart’s AAA numbers this year are good too, if it makes you feel any better.

by maguro on Jul 30, 2009 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Fair enough...

I thought you were being condescending with the “failry bovious” comment.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In Indy

he has basically the same exact numbers as his numbers in Indy last year. and last year he sucked in the majors, so I’m predisposed to think he would of sucked this year in the majors. especially if you add that he wasn’t so great out of the pen this year even though it was only a few outings.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 10:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

OMG...

you can’t seriously look at his bullpen stint as an indicator of future performance? He was starting and then “thrown” into a bullpen roll with no preparation where he was used on consecutive days with no rest. We did this guy no favor this years at all. We are just gonna have to agree to disagree on this topice because there is nothing that anyone can say to convince me that we didn’t sell low.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If the plan was to trade Gorzelanny...

…then promoting him to the majors would run the risk of him getting curb-stomped the way he did last year, and dissipating any trade value.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 11:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Which

is the point I’m trying to make for the most part.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Guys

Even considering upside/potential yadda yadda yadda… I really think we can all agree that, as the pitching staff exists at this moment in time, Gorzo is currently looking like a #5 starter on this team.

Thats all that I was trying to point out. Boys, we’ve got a good bit of talent in the immediate furure on the pitching staff. It kinda feels good to be able to debate the input of a 28 yr old minor league pitcher. Imagine 2 or 3 years ago he was viewed as a savior. Its amazing what a little talent acquistion can do.

I’m really looking forward to all of the upcoming discussion on the very crowded prospects!

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 11:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In which case we would have got less than the return tonight?

I’m still waiting for people to tell me how excited they are about obtaining two relief pitchers and a 5’ 8" middle IF in A ball over a pitcher who has had 14 wins in the show with 3.88 ERA. I’m not thrilled with the return.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

One of those....

“relievers” started for the Cubs today, pitched six innings and got the win.

by dtoddwin on Jul 30, 2009 11:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Right...

and what was his line? 6 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4K, 2 HR and 2 HBP. Not exactly a recipe for success in the Burg.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's a

quality start right there. How the hell is a quality start not success in the Burg. You are just getting ridiculous now.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Are you Fucking kidding me?

He pitched 6 innings and put 10 people on base. That’s not a recipe for sucess.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Where the hell do you see 10 people, I see 8 in 6 IP
6 H + 2 BB=8 men on base

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wait

But theres the HBP too, didnt see that on the second line…he still had a quality start which is a recipe for success in my book

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not a good recipe...

and like Yotum said below, I like Hard as a pick up. I just think we could have done better next year had we just given Gorzo a spot in the rotation for the remainder of this year. I think we sold low. That is all.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And if Gorzo

performs better than back end well (if given the chance which may not happen with the Cubs) I will admit I was wrong. But at this point the only way I saw his stock going was down because of poorly I believed he would have performed in the majors. But if he does well I will say I was wrong about Tom Gorzelanny and that it wasn’t a good trade.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He hit two batters, also

But I still like Hart as a pick-up. Still, I’m staying out of this one…

by Yotum on Jul 31, 2009 12:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes there would have been less of a return. We got two prospects, one of which is a MI in low A that is hitting well, and another that can start or relieve, has seen time in the majors, and hits in the high 90s. Along with someone who is starting the Majors right now and doing so well. So yes. the return would have been lower to the point that Gorzo would have been getting the MI in return and a likely a low A pitcher.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

14 Wins

Yes, he was really great that year….Beneath it all i do agree that Tracy fried his arm. I further believe that once an arm is fried, it will never be the same. I hope Gorzo can have a “tommy john” recovery, and a Richard Simmons workout desire. But then again, I think I am getting tired of hoping. I also hopped Joe Randa had another year like two before. Honestly thought Sixto Lezcano would hit again. Not to mention Steve Kemp.

I do wish the best, but fear the worst.

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wrong

Duke’s FIP has gone from 4.95 and 4.4 to 3.96. So, independent of defense, he’s dropped his ERA by a full run from his worst, half a run from last season. ZiPS thinks that, even if his BABIP shoots to .342 the rest of the season, he still ends with a FIP below 4.

Meanwhile, he’s added a K/9 since 2007. Your analysis of Duke is simply wrong, and Slick1 is absolutely right that, if Duke had been banished to AAA as Gorzo had, you would all be saying the exact same things about him, that he would never have value again, etc.

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends on if Duke was still walking over three batters per nine innings and how well he was doing at AAA. But considering that he never has had a walk rate in the majors above three then I doubt that would have happened. Simply put, when a pitcher doesn’t have dominating stuff, they need control. Duke has control and Gorzo doesn’t.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 10:57 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ratios don't matter?

Duke’s career K/BB before this year (we’re talking about how we would have looked if he hadn’t pitched in the bigs this season) was 1.84; Gorzo’s is 1.43 (1.75 w/o 2008).

Point being that it’s silly to compare raw BB numbers when you’re comparing a contact pitcher against a strikeout pitcher. Gorzo’s worst year with Ks is 1.5/9 higher than all but Duke’s miracle 2005 (unless you think Duke will be striking out 6/9 again), and he’s generally about 40% higher in Ks. Clemens* was over 3 BB/9 for half of his ML seasons – oh noes!

  • Needless to say, Gorzo is no Clemens

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's why I said "almost entirely"...

…rather than “entirely”.

Duke’s raw ERA this year is 1.5 runs lower than his raw ERA last year, and his FIP is a little less than half a run lower. Thus, the vast majority of his “improvement” this year is a function of lower hit rate (attributable to luck and/or defense… mostly the latter). Just as I said.

Also, look at his peripherals. K/9 went from 4.23 to 4.61. BB/9 went from 2.29 to 2.15. HR/9 went from 0.92 to 0.80. Together, they add up to half a run of ERA for the season thus far, but none are really out of the range of expected variance, based on his rates from last year. They might be improvement, but they might also just be a few coin flips going heads instead of tails.

I should also note that at this time last year, I was one of the few guys on the site saying that Duke should stay in the rotation and be brought back for 2009. You can look it up, if you don’t believe me.

by Vlad on Jul 31, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just not how I'd characterize it

I don’t call 2/3 of anything “almost entirely.”

Also, you’re saying that the fact that all of his peripherals have improved is possibly just luck, which, sure, anything’s possible, but when all the evidence points in one direction (better pitching by Duke), that’s the way you bet.

That said, if you in particular were a faithful Duke believer the last 2 years, then I was wrong to say that you’d be calling him washed up in AAA. You’re not the only one I was talking about, of course, but sorry anyway.

Obviously the answer on Duke is that he looked worse than he was in 2007 and 2008 and better than he is in 2009. Yet he’s clearly gotten better even without the defensive improvements (his K/BB has improved by 0.5 since 2007). Without seeing his 2009, it would be hard to say anything other than that 2008 looked less awful than 2007.

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Love what NH is doing...

I’m not even so worried about being in contention this yr or that. I’m just looking at getting better from game to game from this point on. I think Neil finally has this organization (at least in terms of solid depth w/ upside) where it needs to be…now its up to the players from Low-A to the big league club to play like they seem capable of and prove all the naysayers wrong and NH’s plan right!!! The next person I hear say “They’ll just trade McCutchen when he gets good too…” I’m seriously gonna throttle.

by Rennie on Jul 30, 2009 7:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Checked your profile and saw that you’re really new here. Believe me, there’s been at least 3 people in the last 2 days who’ve made stupid posts detailing how Huntington’s just going to trade away all these prospects when they become good. You’ll have to throttle a lot of people if you keep going after that next person you refer to, lol.

by Akshay R on Jul 30, 2009 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

but admittedly

there are fewer of them here than other sites

by thecheeseisblue on Jul 30, 2009 9:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Throttle Away;

I’ve got your back!

"Never mistake motion for action." - Ernest Hemingway

by SubLime on Jul 30, 2009 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ascanio

Odds he is our closer two years from now? I gotta assume they are about 30% from here.

by dtoddwin on Jul 30, 2009 7:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hopefully...

we convert back to a starter. That would make this deal a little easier to swallow. And I stress a “little.”

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 7:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cubs an here

Enjoy Harrison. I was hoping he wouldn’t be included, but there was obviously going to be a middle infielder. He should hit for you. I hope he is productive for you.

Hart should do well getting the ball every fifth day. Ascanio is a good enough reliever. I will miss Harrison, though.

by tim815 on Jul 30, 2009 7:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Way back...2 trades ago...

we needed another position player.

Indy’s announcer reports that Milledge is definitely on his way to Pittsburgh. Clement expected to report to Indy tomorrow.

http://indyindians.mlblogs.com/archives/2009/07/good_morningmore_moves_coming.html

by Thunder on Jul 30, 2009 7:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Not Duke

C’mon lets keep him around. He’ll be the cagey Vet in 3 years.

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Harrison

Here’s a write-up on Harrison after the Cubs drafted him last year….

- Josh Harrison is not necessarily a late round pick or a tough signing in all likelihood, but undoubtedly a smart pick. The college second baseman was impressive in the Cape Cod League, showing the ability to hit with the wood bat and play stellar defense, drawing comparisons to Eric Young along the way.

by dtoddwin on Jul 30, 2009 7:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Joe Sheehan has a write-up

on the moves Huntington has made over at Baseball Prospectus (subscription required):

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=9315#30601

Money quote:

Neal Huntington has executed a tear-down of a condemned franchise and started over at the bottom, making the kind of bloodless transactions that his predecessors never did. As all GMs are, Huntington will be judge by what goes up in its place, but make no mistake about this: He did his job. Huntington was hired to do exactly what he’s done, reboot a baseball team that had been in fail mode since the winter of 1992. Whatever you think of the plan, you can’t argue that he executed it wholeheartedly, and that alone puts the Pirates ahead of a third of MLB teams.

by dtoddwin on Jul 30, 2009 8:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yep

Why all the wailing over the demolition of a 68-win baseball team? That said, it’s a lot easier to tear apart a bad team than to build a good one in its place. It will be interesting if nothing else.

by maguro on Jul 30, 2009 8:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's the money quote

The pirates had to be blown up, maybe NH could have gotten a better return on player x, maybe not. There’s plenty of risk in rebuilding. There is no risk in the Littlefield way, failure was a certainty.

by vherub on Jul 30, 2009 8:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

funny

i love the uproar coming from some of the pirates blogs about trading gorzo. on even likened it to the A-ram deal in ’03.

by jsn4219 on Jul 30, 2009 8:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Cub fan's take

I think you guys are getting a solid position player down the road in Harrison. I, for one, think he will be a solid 2B in maybe 2 years with you. Hart has good stuff but, like many pitchers, his strike zone moves all over and he isn’t someone who can overcome wildness with his stuff. Ascenio can bring it. He has had a tough time in the Cubs pen this first time moving between AAA and Chicago. Next year he should be a solid reliever with the added maturity of experience.

Can anyone tell me about the current velocity of both Grabow and Gorzelanny? I hear Gorz speed is picking up at Indy, but haven’t heard any real numbers. What does he top out at? What about Grabow? His WHIP is too high but do your people think he’ll be a quality loogy. Thanks for any input.

If you like Selig's handling of the steroid issue, you'll love his choice for next Cub owner.

by tharr on Jul 30, 2009 8:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I've read reports...

that Gorzo is hitting 92 mph on the gun again. He was around 92-93 in 2007 when he had his best season. Grabow I think is pretty much always been in the 91-93 range. Unfortunately, Grabow is not your typical LOOGY. He does better against RH than LH. His value though has always been preventing inherited runners from scoring. He’s always had a knack for that. I personally think you guys will love Gorzellany if he gets the opportunity. He really looks like he has reagained the 07 stuff that made him so successful. Who knows with Pinella though if he’ll get a shot.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 8:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gorzo's FB...

…has been right around 90 for the last two years. There are unconfirmed reports of him throwing a little better over the last few weeks, but they weren’t published anywhere reputable.

His velocity drop may be related to conditioning, or mechanics, or both.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 9:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

DK reported...

but I don’t remeber if he witnessed or was just reporting stadium guns. I would consider DK at this point reputable though.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

was velocity his real issue anyway..

i mean of course an extra mph or two would be beneficial. but in gorzo’s case, his command deserted him. i am not willing to assume since he did well in AAA as of late that he is going to be “back.” there is quite a difference between the bigs and AAA.

by jsn4219 on Jul 30, 2009 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's a big deal.

When you can’t blow your best pitch by hitters you lose confidence and start nibbling. I think that is exactly what happened to him. The very good pitchers adjust to this. Gorzo wasn’t given the chance to adjust. Or in his case he might not have had to since it looks like he is regaining his velocity.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You

think he wouldn’t have had to adjust because he added a couple mph to his fastball to make it 92-93? that’s laughable. And the place to adjust would have been AAA to show that he had adjusted and not working on the fly to adjust.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's not laughable at all!!!

3 mph is what often separates good players form great players. Someone who for his entire career had been able to rely on his fastball as an out pitch was not able to do it any more. All of the sudden he was trying to use average secondary pitches that used to be set up pitches or show me pitches, Then that pitcher loses confidence and stops challenging hitters. That’s when the BB rate increases. It happens all the time. I have spent many years playing and coachin and I have seen this happen to a lot of people. For you to consider that laughable shows your ignorance. And for what it’s worth, he would have benefitted more working with an experienced pitching coach such as Kerrigan. And if you don’t think that is true, well, that is just laughable.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ok

he was still hitting 90. and as a lefty that is good enough to still win games, that is if you are able to command the pitch. its not like he was thowing in the mid 80’s. Also, i guess i am tired of people pointing to his AAA stats this year, as the sign that he has “found it” again.

by jsn4219 on Jul 30, 2009 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is a HUGE difference.

A 93 mph fastball from a lefty is an out pitch. A 90 mph fastball is not. He has to completely rework his game plan which he failed to do which probably says more about Andrews than it does Gorzellany. It is amazing to me the number of people who are ok with dumping this guy after one bad season. How many of you were calling for Duke’s head after the last couple of years? Come on, be honest!

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And

the peripherals on Duke say that his ERA is way better than it should be. He is having a lucky season due to a good defense and luck. I’ve been saying that he should be dealt for a good return now before his lines regress.
Ian Snell only had a couple bad seasons. But look at that one great season plus he has better stuff than Gorzelanny and a better fastball. Yet you loved that trade. And a 93 mph fastball isn’t an out pitch from a lefty unless it has a lot of movement or is on the inside corner to another lefty. and considering that most MLB hitter are righties, I would say that a 93 mph from a lefty isn’t an out pitch.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well you'd be wrong...

anf Gorzo’s did have movement. I’m not a fan of moving Snell when we did either but his situation is completely different from Gorzo’s given his mental breakdown. There is no way Snell was going to pitch for the Pirates again and everyone knew it. That is why I am impressed with the return. However, Jack Z has there wherewithall to realize that sometimes a pitcher who has lost his way just needs another opportunity. I love that trade for the Bucs but Seattle didn’t exactly get burned either.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Please

explain how a 93 mph fastball is an out pitch?, especially when the thrower of said pitch has documented control problems. I’m all ears

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Becuase....

when he was throwing 93 he DIDN"T have control problems. His control problems developed AFTER he lost his velocity. He had 3 BB/9 innings in 2007 with a WHIP of 1.4 in over 200 IP. His walk rate jumped to 6 per 9 innings in 200. You don’t think that has something to do with the loss of velocity? He never had a walk rate higher than 3.2/9 at any level of his minor leagure career. You think he all of the sudden just forgot how to throw strikes? His highest WHIP was 1.31 at A+ ball. We sold low!

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pitchers forget how to throw strikes all the time. One big example would be Rick Ankiel. And there is still no proof he gained mph back besides one beat writer saying that he did. And you still didn’t answer my question of how a 93 mph is an out pitch when is not located properly (a 90 mph fastball is an out pitch when located properly as well)

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:05 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I did answer your question.

With his velocity at 93 and movement he was able to blow that pitch by people. At 88- 90 he as not. BIG Difference. You are correct about location but Gorzo’s BB/9 innings improvved this year back to his normal numbers. He still walks more than you would like from a starter but his numbers were back in line with his 2007 performance in which he won 14 games and had an ERA of 3.88.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You can't

blow 93 mph by major league hitters unless there name is Brain Bixler.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Alright.

“Blow by” is a poor choice of words but it is fast enough to keep hitters off balance or keep them honest. You can’t sit on a breaking ball as easy when someone is throwing 93 (especially a leftly) as you can when someone is throwing 88-90. You have to admit that is a big difference if you can’t then we can stop replying to each other.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ya, it’s a difference. But you have been saying it’s a strike out pitch when no fastball is a strike out pitch unless it cuts like a bitch, is located well (but that’s the case of any pitch), or is in the upper 90s

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:22 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Thank God Snell is Gone

The pain that he inflicted with watching him pitch tested even diehard baseball fans.

Good luck with that, Seattle

by God Loves on Jul 31, 2009 7:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's laughable

because he would still have to adjust with a 92-93 mph fastball because that is average in the majors. To suggest that he wouldn’t have to adjust because he got his fastball up to average is laughable. Plus, in his last four starts (where he supposedly got that velo back which automatically equals fewer walks according to you) he has 9 walks in 18.1 innings.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It is not average for a lefty.

Are you seriously going to suggest that his AAA numbers don’t suggest that he deserves another shot? Are you seriously going to suggest that he shouldn’t have been in the rotation instead of Vasquez? Really? Until I hear you say that I’m not going to respond to anymore of your replies. This whole thing has become ridiculuous. This was a dumb trade end of story.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hate the whole Lefty starter thing give him more value. It’s complete BS especially with more people being Right handed hitters, which should mean that being a lefty is worse than being a righty. the only thing that it provides is a change in the rotation so it’s not righty heavy.

 I’ll give you that he is better VV and he probably should have been in the rotation instead of him but you can say that about a 99% of pitchers in the majors and likely a whole lot of people in AAA. I never said he shouldn’t have been in the rotation instead of VV and if you keep putting words in my mouth I don’t see the point in arguing this.

And I didn’t say he didn’t deserve another shot as well. All I’m saying is that his value would have only gotten lower because more than likely, he would have performed poorly in the majors when called up. He even had worse numbers than Snell with equal control problems with less ability to strike out people. And look at what Snell did in the Majors. To simply state that he would have performed like he did in 07 because of his magnificent numbers isn’t smart. It’s a safer bet that he would’ve sucked and lowered his value further.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Here's a serious fact

When Indy came through Rochester, I saw VV and Gorz. VV had a faster fastball and WAY better curve. Are you seriously going to suggest promotions should be made on AAA numbers, and not actual talent evaluation? If Gorz was hitting 92 again (which I don’t believe for a second), I think he would have gotten another chance.

by azibuck on Jul 30, 2009 11:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's what the latest reports say.

And yes, AAA numbers in addition to talent evaluation are a reason for promotion. Are you suggesting that Vasquez is a more valuable major league starter than Gorzo? Are you throwing out Gorzo’s 2007 accomplishments? I’m not understanding the argument you are making.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You

are basing everything on AAA stats which are the same to a large number and worse than a large number of people who can’t cut it in the majors and his ONE GOOD YEAR, which was two freaking years ago. That’s all you have to go on.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

So...

in your infenite wisdom, is Vasquez a more valuable starter than Gorzo? I’m not sure what other evidence you need from Gorzo given that he did not have the opportunity to start in the majors this year. Why exaclty are you so damn sure he couldn’t come close to his 2007 performance given his 2009 perofmance?

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m going to say this one last time…his 2009 performance is exactly the same as his 2008 performance in AAA. According to you he would have pitched great in 2008 when he obviously did not.
I’m not sure what evidence you are using to say that he is as good as he was in 2007 when his AAA numbers have him as a number 2 because of his walk rate. If he is a number 2 in a AAA rotation, then sure as hell isn’t going to go back to being a number 2 in a major league rotation.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm going to say this one more time...

he regained velocity on his fastball that he didn’t have in 2008. This was a big part of his success in 2007. I’m not sure what other evidence you need outside of his 2009 numbers in AAA and MLB to prove he deserved another shot. I hope I’m worng but I think this is one trade we will regret.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:14 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I never said he didn’t deserve a shot. My whole argument is that that shot would have shown him to be nothing but a back end and thus that chance of him being his 2007 self is gone and the return is lower considering that what the Bucs got back was a back end guy plus two prospects.
you have no proof that he gained back this velo. And even he did the pat couple starts, where’s the proof that it stays forever with him. And what numbers in MLB am I supposed to use to show that he is going to be great once again..his 4 walks in less than 9 innings maybe? Or how about I use his over 3 walks per 9 innings in triple freaking A and his 9 walks in 18.1 innings in his past four starts where he supposedly gained those mph back

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:19 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

A back end starter coupled with Grabow would have netted us more...

than what we got IMO. Again, I’m just not that thrilled with the return. We didn’t have to move Gorzo now and should have waited. I much rather would have liked to see us deal Duke now that his value is so high.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:22 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gorzo=Hart when both are back end starters. and I don’t see how a couple months of a LOOGY is worth two prospects that have performing well, especially one that has seen major league action.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's where we disagree...

I don’t think Gorzo = Hart. I think Gorzo > Hart. But if you don’t I understand your position.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And I understand yours. Can we just agree to disagree at this point? It’s been hours and nothing has changed or will change

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep...

I respect your opinion I just felt we sold low when we didn’t have to…that’s all.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

4 man rotation

This would solve the Gorzo, VV debate. At least now it seems that we all agree on what his likely value at best would have been on the Pirates at this time.

by GeneClines on Jul 31, 2009 12:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

this is just kind of a push at this point. nothing special either way. i dont think grozo will do much other than a middle reliever so we didnt give up much but didnt get much.

by guns dont kill people pittsburgh does on Jul 30, 2009 8:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That’s before the All-Star break.

by maguro on Jul 30, 2009 8:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

At least there is one prospect in the deal, in Harrison. I’d think that two of our only bullpen lefties could garner a bit more in the way of prospects, but it doesn’t seem too bad overall.

by Gorkys n' Beans on Jul 30, 2009 8:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

sounds solid

grabow? why do we need him right now? he was the set-up to capps, but guess what! you have to actually be ahead in a game to have a set-up man and a closer! and gorzo hasnt been good since 07 and probablly wont be again. i like hart he should take VV’s spot in the rotation next time he is scheduled to start. i think harrison is the best prospect we got. those numbers seem solid. i haveto say another trade that makes sense i just cant believe it .

anyone hear that Dave Littlefield is a special advisor to cub’s GM. i think that is a pretty good indication that this is a good deal for the pirates and a bad one for us. I mean its almost a proven fact that any trade littlefield thinks is good for his team is always better for the other team involve.

by buccosfan on Jul 30, 2009 9:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Gorzo has the Littlefield stamp of approval

From the Chicago Tribune website

Now a Cub scout, Dave Littlefield was Pittsburgh GM when Gorzelanny was at his best and “feels he’s headed that way again,” according to Hendry.

Anyone still think Gorzo will regain his old form?

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 9:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yay...

it’s a good thing Neal was smart enough to get rid of him.

by joegonzo on Jul 30, 2009 9:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why is that hillarious?

What exactly has Gorzo done this year to make you think he couldn’t recover is 2007 form with some good instruction. If Kerrigan is such a miracle worker than wouldn’t it make sense for Gorzo to have been in Pittsbugh learning from him? We just wasted a valuable asset on a so-so return.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 9:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

littlefield

eye for talent is hilarious. but i also think your obession with gorzo is as well. apparently this is a franchise killing move…

by jsn4219 on Jul 30, 2009 10:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree with the DL comment...

and I’m not by any means “obsessed” with Gorzo. I’m just amazed by the number of people that see this as a good deal. Gorzo clearly had upside based on past performance. We sold while his value was low and i think that was a mistake. Simple as that. IF we were planning to deal him all along it would have made sense for him to be pitching in Pittsburgh instead of Vasquez in order to increase his trade value. The fact that everyone here accepts this as a great deal for the Pirates simply because NH made the deal makes me think that people here are as blinded by his moves as much as the naysayers are on the PB Blog. I am one of NHs biggest fans and I have loved what he has done so far. The fact that I think he made a shitty deal here does not mean that I don’t think he is doing a good job overall and it certainly does not mean I am obessed with Gorzo. It only means that I remain objective and am not a sheep.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not blinded by this deal

simply because NH made it. I don’t like the Seattle deal very much at this point and think it can very well end up being terrible. Gorzo has little upside left at this point and certainly not to the extent of being as good as his 2007 stats.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That is where we disagree.

I feel he does have upside, you don’t. That’s the end of it. We simply have different opinions. My whole point was that we had plenyt of time to find out if he had upside left. There was no reason to make this trade now without getting a significant return and I don’t think that is what we got IMHO.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Based on past performance...

…Shooty Babitt also has clear upside.

I don’t want to get into a big argument here, but I think you’re greatly overstating the chances of Gorzelanny returning to his past success. Going forward, I see him as a back-of-the-rotation starter or a Dumatrait-style long man, and while that has some value, it’s not anything worth crying over.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, shit.

That would’ve been a lot funnier with the guy I actually meant (Lyman Bostock).

To find an encouraging performance for Shooty Babitt, you’d probably have to go back to grade school.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 11:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bostock

Lyman Bostock was a tragedy in its truest form. Brings a tear when I think about it.

Believe it or not, I’ve got a signed Shooty Babitt baseball card from ’82.

by Blyleven Curve Ball on Jul 31, 2009 10:08 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bostock was a stand-up guy.

How many players try to give salary back after a disappointing season?

by Vlad on Jul 31, 2009 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's not worth crying over...

but a back end starter has much more value than a AAA starter projected to be a bullpen guy in the majors. My whole argumen is that we had no reason to move him now and the fact that we did means we sold low and that was a mistake.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But that description...

…is no less applicable for Gorz at this point than it is for Hart. They’re both guys who could be back-of-the-rotation starters, relievers, or AAAA arms.

I’m at least half-expecting the Cubs to convert Gorz into a LOOGY in the near future.

by Vlad on Jul 31, 2009 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you missed the punchline

Not about Gorzo recovering to form, about Littlefield. The guy that tanked the Pirates farm system is now a scout/special assistant to the GM. That, and the irony attached to it, is funny as hell.

by silencerdu on Jul 30, 2009 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think he will.

However, I think he had a bette chance of doing it in Pittsburgh, I’m not sure Sweet Lou will give him the chance.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I love

how you guys have never seen any of these prospects we’ve received this year play and yet seem to be experts as to where they rank. It amuses me to no end.

by slick720 on Jul 30, 2009 9:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Some of us have seen them. Been to at least one game of each Pirate team except WV Power (going next Thursday) and the short season State College and Bradenton teams. I may get to Sate College…Bradenton is a bit of a reach.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

rankings are freely available

It isn’t difficult to find a number of rankings by people who have seen these guys play and make their living analysing talent. It is not unreasonable to quote these ratings as evidence of the players ability. Frankly, I would trust the eyes of numerous trained observers far more than I would trust my own in this case. Perhaps you are an amazing scout, slick720, and can analyse talent better than anyone else, but most of us don’t have that ability.

by uneasy rider on Jul 30, 2009 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cubs fan here

I love the deal for the Cubs, but it’s not bad for you guys, IMO. Decent. I’ve been a NH fan so far (I don’t think he’s had the best chips to work with and he’s made solid deals with what he’s had … perhaps not home runs, but solid). That said, for you guys, I think this is the iffiest deal so far.

What you probably got was two pen arms, a decent middle relief/long man/spot starter type (rubber arm guy) in Kevin Hart. He’s had problems finding his stuff the last couple of seasons, needing to be stretched out as a starter in the minors before finding a rhythm. He needs innings.

Ascanio has good raw stuff and the report has been quite good this year. Some control problems in the past crept up while in the bigs, but that said, he didn’t get that much work in the bigs. He’s done well as a starter in the minors this year, and he has a starter’s arsenal (fast/change, coupled with a curve that’s gotten better and a slider). I’m not sure he’s anything more than a mid-end of the rotation guy as a starter, and he has to iron out his control and improve the curve a bit more. As a pen arm, he has the potential to be a 7th/8th inning type, borderline closer type if things go right for him.

Harrison is a bit like … well … a better Jim Negrych perhaps. From a Cubs perspective, I always say, a dash of Mike Fontenot (little guy with some pop), with a bit of Sam Fuld’s speed (good speed, not great), and some Mark DeRosa versatility. Harrison had good reports on his baseball IQ. Problem is … what position? Cubs were basically grooming him as a utility guy, and we were grooming other guys similar to him, so it was no loss to us. Best case is Harrison sticks at 2nd and develops into a solid 2 hole hitter, a guy who moves the runner over, gets on base, can steal a couple bags, and has enough pop to make sure teams don’t get lazy.

Is it an awesome package? No. That said … Huntington hasn’t exactly had great chips to play with. In this case, Grabow wasn’t exactly dominating lefties, and Gorzelanny was in the minors. Not a bad return for the value, although out of all of NH’s trades so far, I think I don’t like this one because I wonder if he could’ve moved them later.

by toonsterwu on Jul 30, 2009 9:41 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Is Harrison as bad a fielder as Negrych?

If so, that’d be very disappointing.

by Vlad on Jul 30, 2009 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well

he’s a decent enough fielder at most of the spots he plays, but the arm strength won’t really last at 3rd, and in the OF, it’s sort of, bleh. If he can stick at 2nd, then that’s a much better fit, but he hasn’t gotten that much time at 2nd with the Cubs, and I don’t think the reports suggest that Josh H would be a quality fielder at 2nd either. Decent enough, perhaps.

by toonsterwu on Jul 31, 2009 12:11 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

maybe old news

hard to tell with all the trade posts, but Millege is making trip to Pittsburgh for tomorrows game. Millege, Cutch, Jones….aka Snap, Crackle, Pop

by rocket25 on Jul 30, 2009 9:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yep

18 EBHs out of his first 31 hits. Sounds like fizzle to me.

Even in his last 7 games (when he came “crashing back to Earth”) he’s hitting .345/.367/.517. Still an impressive .884 OPS.

by Brakeman8 on Jul 30, 2009 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Keep trying….an 884 OPS isn’t what I would call soggy either…..If an 884 OPS is a watered down version of Jones, I’ll take it!

by Brakeman8 on Jul 31, 2009 12:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Baseball America marked Hart as the Cubs #6 prospect, which isn’t too bad.

by Pirates4Life on Jul 30, 2009 10:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yup

entering the season, our farm was quite weak, but filled with upside. A lot of guys have done well this year, so the system’s ranking should be higher than 27, by a decent amount, this year.

I also think Hart got the high ranking based on “readiness”.

by toonsterwu on Jul 30, 2009 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Eh

I more indifferent to Keith Law mainly because he is just one scout and one scout tends to be wrong a lot and right a lot. Though he does have a propensity to not like anything Pittsburgh does outside the Nyjer Morgan-Lastings Milledge trade.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He graduated from Carnefie Mellon with his Masters Degree...

and is a Pittsburgh fan. The fact that he tells it like it is makes me respect his opinion more.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's Carnegie Mellon...

I’m a bad speller apparently and even worse typer.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He certainly tells like it is

he says there’s a “chance to figure it out as a starter”. And that it’s a risk. Which says to me that there was more of a chance that he performs poorly and had lower trade value because that “chance” is no longer there.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It is less of a risk than to think that Hart will be more sucessful than Gorzo was.

Every move is a risk. And that is why we cannot afford to sell low on players when we do not have to. If Gorzo was entering a FA year than fine. But he wasn’t!!! There was absolutely no reason to move him now. NONE!

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hart

has made more success in the Majors recently than Gorzo has had in the past two years.
Not to mention His AAA stats (in 3 different stints) are about equal to Gorzelanny’s AAA stats excluding walks which Hart has a lower number of and Cubs fans have been saying how that his main issue. It seems to me that Gorzo has a bigger issue with control than Hart does.
There are three reasons to move Gorzo now. 1) He could get injured next year and any value is gone 2) He would have come up and more than likely performed poorly thus, his value goes even lower. 3) Deal him now while some people still think he regain that 2007 form when he has shown nothing indicating he can

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh...

you mean all 3 of the games Hart has started in this year. Well, you win. That’s definitley a large enough sample size for me. If Gorzo had been given the chance to start this year I’ll be he would have performed better than you are giving him credit for which would have increased his trade value…which is the point of my whole FN argument!

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:04 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And I bet that Gorzo would have walked too many people and performed horribly which is the whole of my damn argument. THose three starts are THIS FUCKING YEAR and not from 2007 and not after having a tired arm so they are more valuable than your b..b..but 2007 was so good argument.

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:13 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Really...

do you even do any research before you make your point? In 2009, Hart has walked 6.6/9 innings for a WHIP of 1.52. Yeah, you’re right, no way Gorzo comes close to that! NEXT!

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:26 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

And in 2008 Gorzelanny had a 6 BB/9 IP rate and a 1.8 WHIP. And had exactly the same numbers in the minors that year as this year. Do you even research before making points?

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 31, 2009 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No...

he had 3.1 BB/9 that year in AAA. I’m not dispting the 6/9 whish he obviously had I’m just saying I believe that was the result of overuse in 2007 and poor conditioning. I don’t thinkg he would have come close to that this year had he been given a job in the rotation, especially as of late since he has been regaining velocity.

by Slick1 on Jul 31, 2009 12:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Plus

The key word in your comment is “was” as in how successful Gorzo was and not how successful he will be

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Gorzo/Hart

It seems to me that they’re about the same…certainly their AAA numbers are very similar. Maybe they can both benefit from a change of scenery.

by maguro on Jul 30, 2009 11:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

law went to school at carnegie mellon...

but he is not a pirates fan. he wasnt born here. he went to school here. he has been upfront many times in his chat that he does not have a favorite baseball team. if you follow his stuff, he alot of the times, is more interested in talking food/books. he is not a pirates fan.

by jsn4219 on Jul 30, 2009 11:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I've read a chat where he is pulling for the Pirates to turn things around.

To call him a fan was probably a stretch but he clearly he does not have an ageda to criticize every move the Pirates make.

by Slick1 on Jul 30, 2009 11:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Follow him on Twitter

I’m pretty sure his only agenda is to criticize every Pirate move.

True Blue Jazz
I'm on Twitter
RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09

by UtesFan89 on Jul 31, 2009 9:36 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ahh CMU!

Is it some kind of Masters in Baseball Scouting? I think Branch Rickey hade a Masters from Stanford. Now if I needed advice on voting for this years Emmy’s…or even the likelyhood of nuclear fission in the next 10 years….but baseball?? I don’t think that Masters makes his OPINION any more worthy than Mike Tomlin’s

by GeneClines on Jul 30, 2009 11:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Branch Rickey

Went to Ohio Wesleyan; he’s my fraternity brother, only about 60 years before me. Not that you care,but what the hell.

Good day.

by Uncle Nate on Jul 31, 2009 7:26 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is he really a Pittsburgh fan?

He seems to enjoy bashing Pittsburgh every chance he gets…

True Blue Jazz
I'm on Twitter
RIP Nick Adenhart. 4/9/09

by UtesFan89 on Jul 31, 2009 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tabata promoted

Link

Show me a guy whos afraid to look bad, and I'll show you a guy you can beat every time. -Lou Brock

by Green_Wave on Jul 30, 2009 11:53 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

finally

he’s been putting up some solid numbers at Altoona, let’s see if he can keep it up in Indy

by Akshay R on Jul 31, 2009 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Poor Pedro

No more good 3-hole hitter in front of him.

by Slizeezyc on Jul 31, 2009 12:11 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Prediction...

Gorzo is in the Cubs rotation in 2 weeks…when becoming a “Super Two” is no longer an issue.

by Thunder on Jul 31, 2009 7:47 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm not sure . . .

Trading Gorzo was the smartest move Neil has made.

by Scranton on Jul 31, 2009 8:43 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yep...

I fear that this is the one trade that if we had to do again…I wouldn’t.

by Thunder on Jul 31, 2009 9:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I really don’t like this trade I feel like we was jus dealing to be dealing on this one, I don’t see how we benifited from this one, I’d rather have gorzo and the comp picks but I still like all of nh moves so far and I hope he proves me wrong on this one

by pirates88 on Jul 31, 2009 10:58 AM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

Comp Picks

If Charlie is right about comp picks, then this seems like a better move. But I’m not sure exactly how it works – if Grabow declares FA, does he have to go completely unsigned for us to get no picks? Because I’m having trouble seeing a world in which Grabow is forced into retirement in 2010.

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 11:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know that there is some kind of time limit on it

I think it is a full season but I am not sure.

by WestCoastBuc on Jul 31, 2009 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I believe

the deadline for comp picks is June 15. If a FA signs after that date, no compensation picks.

by maguro on Jul 31, 2009 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I believe that you also get no comp picks...

…if the player in question signs a minor-league deal.

Relievers of equivalent quality have gone unsigned before, due to concern about draft comp. Look at Manzanillo, who I’ve mentioned before.

by Vlad on Jul 31, 2009 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure he's a good comparison

I suppose I could look, but my impression was that most people thought Josias was doing it with smoke and mirrors; he certainly had less of a track record than Grabow (fewer bone chips, too).

As I say, it seems to me that if this is becoming common, MLBPA needs to step up.

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

10 weeks

Not that Grabow’s the hottest pitcher in the world or anything, but it just seems crazy to me that he could sit idle (and the Pirates would be vigilant about any wink-wink MiL contracts) for almost half the season just to protect future draft picks.

I mean, I understand the logic of protecting the picks, but, whatever value you place on Grabow, you’re giving up half a season of him for some pretty far down the road considerations (that aren’t free anyway).

That said, if this becomes a trend, expect a change in the bargaining agreement ASAP. MLBPA is not going to stand for its members sitting unemployed to protect management.

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 11:59 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Mind blowing post about the Tigers from Joel Sherman via twitter

Think about this:

nyp_joelsherman #Tigers amazingly in 1st and buying with nothing from Ordonez, Sheffield, Bonderman, Guillen, Willis, Robertson total in ’09 $71M

More than twice the current bucs payroll, and 20 mill above our opening day payroll, just on the guys who are doing nothing.

RIP NATE. RIP TONY PLUSH.

"I'D BE A CHEF"

-TONY PLUSH

by GTrain on Jul 31, 2009 12:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Gary Sheffield?

Isn’t he getting paid (very little) by the Mets? Or is that some deferred money?

Or some other Sheffield?

by JRoth95 on Jul 31, 2009 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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