Community Projection: Andrew McCutchen
by Charlie Wilmoth on Jan 23, 2010 5:45 PM EST
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PrintIt's that time of year again. Here's how it works: paste your guesses about Andrew McCutchen's 2010 average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the comments below. As a bonus, you can guess the number of triples McCutchen will hit in 2010. Any registered user can join in, so if you aren't registered, feel free to sign up. We'll compile the results into an overall community projection once we're done.
I'll post these on slow days between now and the beginning of the season. After we do the first two, I'll start closing projections and compiling them in the order in which they were posted. Here are McCutchen's stats.
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he usually slumps in cold weather months (April and May) so....
BA .288
OB .375
SLG .495
14 Triples
As my bonus I think he will get 200 plus hits.
by BadAndy on Jan 23, 2010 5:57 PM EST via mobile reply actions
293/363/445
13 triples
His numbers in his senior year of HS were ridiculous, even for a future major league star. 16 HR in 55 AB?
starting off with the big dog
avg. - 277
obp. - .353
slg. - 428
bonus – 14
.279/.340/.420
And I’m gonna go high, 20 triples.
God Created the World Out Of Nothing, Paterno Built A National Superpower On Cow Fields...
A little regression before stardom
.277/.359/.444
11 triples
Wow, I’m surprised at how reasonable these are. I thought people would go straight to crazytown with this one.
by Charlie Wilmoth on Jan 23, 2010 6:29 PM EST reply actions
Not to nit-pick, but .429 SLG is probably impossible given the other numbers you’ve given.
by MarkInDallas on Jan 23, 2010 7:03 PM EST up reply actions
good point
charlie please to note, i hereby refine my expectations (more mathematically instead of pulling them outta my ass):
0.290/.358/0.472
11 triples
19HR
.290/.371/.493 ... 15 triples.
I’m taking Cutch’s AAA numbers from 2009, adding a few walks and strikeouts, and turning a few doubles/triples into HRs.
.265/.340/.450 if theres regression
.300/.370/.500 if theres improvement
probably an OPS of ~.800-.850 and ill say 10 triples, with 45 SB and 20 HR
It really depends
on how his defense turns out, because I believe he was about average to slightly below average for centerfield, which is still valuable, and if he can hold up for a whole year. But I could definitely see him finishing in the 6-10 range
by DialedtoGiles on Jan 23, 2010 8:24 PM EST up reply actions
Alright I've been waiting for this!!!
.288/.370/.480
17 3b!
McCutchen will also be an All-star!! I’m also going to call 42 SB!
first time with the predictions, so here we go
.290/.372/.475 with 20 HR, 40 SB, 80 RBI, and 13 Triples
Players who should be in the Hall of Fame: DIck Lebeau, Pat TIllman, Dwight White, Donnie Shell, L.C. Greenwood, Ray Guy, Steve Tasker, Greg Llyod, Andy Russel, Cris Carter, Kevin Greene and Jerry Kramer
"If you give Arians a fullback, he won’t use one. Instead, he insists on using Matt Spaeth, who probably doesn’t cast a shadow because it would require blocking sunlight." steelin with some very true words
Based on my baseless speculation...
.291/.363/.473 with 12 SB. It will be interesting to see if his power develops this season and next into a middle-of-the-order hitter.
17 triples is alot, but I think cutch can pull it off
Players who should be in the Hall of Fame: DIck Lebeau, Pat TIllman, Dwight White, Donnie Shell, L.C. Greenwood, Ray Guy, Steve Tasker, Greg Llyod, Andy Russel, Cris Carter, Kevin Greene and Jerry Kramer
"If you give Arians a fullback, he won’t use one. Instead, he insists on using Matt Spaeth, who probably doesn’t cast a shadow because it would require blocking sunlight." steelin with some very true words
by WVPiratesfan on Jan 23, 2010 11:01 PM EST up reply actions
I'm feelin optimistic
because his minors to majors jump makes me think of Hanley Ramirez. I can’t decide whether these power numbers are close to his peak, or just the tip of the iceberg…he had ~70 XBHs last year, most of those in the majors, so I’m optimistic.
.294/.377/.501
13 trips, 21 homers
The difference....
..is that Hanley Ramirez is 6’3" and McCutchen is 5’11". And in general taller players hit more homeruns. So I don’t think Hanley is a very good comparison.
point taken
though to be fair I wasn’t making a direct comparison (for one thing, I’m not projecting 30 plus homers like hanley hits), just saying that his season last year made me think of the way Hanley quickly had better numbers in the majors than in the upper minors, and based on Cutch’s career thus far, it’s not an unreasonable possibility. Like I said, optimistic :D
I do not look forward to facing him
BA-.285
OBP-.350
SLG-.430
17 triples
Kevin Frandsen: The best SS on the Giants roster
Hoping for BowkerMania to hit AT&T Park in 2010
starting CF in 2010 all star game?
AVG – .282
OBP- .370
SLG- .471
triples- 12
I think, 40 stolen bases for him this year as well…..
by FusilliJerry88 on Jan 24, 2010 12:17 AM EST reply actions
Stats
.303/.377/.488
I think he will improve in every category. I also think he will break out and hit between 20-25 HR’s over a full season and steal 40 bases like other people have noted.
For my bonus, I’m gonna guess 14, which I’d say low for his speed, BUT I think less balls will fall deep in gaps and rather go over the fence.
by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Jan 24, 2010 12:17 AM EST reply actions
I'm surprised with the low OPB guesses
I think he’ll get better at drawing walks.
Here’s mine:
.283
.375
.465
12 triples
18 homers
Hopefully, no sophomore slump.
.290
.360
.440
14 triples.
by RDV across the sea on Jan 24, 2010 2:56 AM EST reply actions
.283/.366/.476
16 triples
+11 UZR
boom!
by Maxwell.C on Jan 24, 2010 3:25 AM EST via mobile reply actions
Yes Virginia, there IS a sophomore slump
Time for some others to step up
.278/.330/.430
but because his frustration will only fuel that 4-barrel of his:
18 trip, trip (Brown annoys me) triples!
Paul
Morgantown, WV
clutch
ave. 309
obp. 368
slug. 525
triples-17
hr-26
2b’s-37
sb-38
'position flex-ability, yea baby' austin powers
avg. - 282
obp. - .359
slg. - 434
bonus – 10
by KevinPolcovich on Jan 24, 2010 11:29 AM EST reply actions
DITO-
Where you been?
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jan 24, 2010 11:46 AM EST up reply actions
i read everyday
There are so many great people on here I can rarely add much value to any thread through a post of my own. Plus October through March is really busy for me at work.
by DITO on Jan 24, 2010 4:24 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
Well,
good to see you posting, on any count.
;-)
Free your ass and your mind will follow.
by cocktailsfor2 on Jan 31, 2010 8:52 PM EST up reply actions
.307 avg.
365 obp.
.469 slg.
13 triples
28 homers
by 2010 will be the year on Jan 24, 2010 1:37 PM EST reply actions
.277 average
.370 obp
.477 slg
15 triples
I always get these so wrong anyways.
I made most of my life decisions at a Foghat concert... I stand by them.
by Chester J Lampwick on Jan 24, 2010 1:55 PM EST reply actions
Foor what it's worth
.287/.368/.489 with a league leading 17 triples.
.287/.369/.438
Triples: 8
This is my second pot, I forgot to alert you guys on my first…
I’ve been lurking in this site for a while, and finally decided to come and post.
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