FanPost

More SP Analysis


As a follow up to my previous posts on HQS/QS/../BlowUp numbers for SP, I compiled stats for all NL SP with ~26 or more starts (see the list below the Jump). The average % HQS/QS/Avg was 74%. The only Pirate SP who was at least average was Ohlendorf at 74%. All other Buc SP were lower than this.

Mahlom, McDonald, Karstens, and Burris had 66%, 64%, 63%, 62% respectively.

Duke had 52% which was the lowest for all NL SP with 26 or more starts.

Here is the Buc SP Figures:

Pitcher Starts HQS QS Avg Poor BlowUp %HQS/QS/Avg
Eveland 1 0% 0% 100% 0% 0% 100%
Ohlendorf 19 32% 26% 16% 0% 26% 74%
Maholm 32 16% 31% 19% 13% 22% 66%
McDonald, J 11 45% 9% 9% 9% 27% 64%
Karstens 19 11% 42% 11% 0% 37% 63%
Burres 13 38% 8% 15% 0% 38% 62%
Morton 17 0% 29% 24% 6% 41% 53%
Duke 29 17% 28% 7% 3% 45% 52%
Lincoln 9 11% 0% 33% 0% 56% 44%
McCutchen, D 9 22% 11% 11% 22% 33% 44%
Totals 159 19% 25% 16% 6% 35% 60%


OK, so what do I see in this data? The SP was no where near the league average in giving the Bucs even a chance to win the game. Only 60% of the time did a SP at least give the team an average start or better. Only 1 SP (Ohlendorf) was at least league average. Duke was espeically bad, roughly half the time (48%) he had a Poor or BlowUp start.

My conclusion? We need to get some SP who at least give us a chance 75% to win the game. Right now, we have only 1 SP who does this. The rest are awful!

Look at some of the names above Maholm, do they pop out to you as great SP? Well they all give their teams a much better chance of winning games than the guys we have!

So we don't need All Star SP, just league average to get better.

 

Pitcher Starts HQS QS Avg Poor BlowUp %HQS/QS/Avg
Josh Johnson 28 54% 25% 11% 0% 11% 89%
Tim Hudson 34 41% 32% 15% 3% 9% 88%
Jaime Garcia 28 46% 29% 11% 0% 14% 86%
Matt Cain 33 30% 36% 18% 0% 15% 85%
Adam Wainwright 33 48% 27% 9% 6% 9% 85%
Roy Halladay 33 48% 24% 12% 6% 9% 85%
Brett Myers 33 36% 33% 15% 6% 9% 85%
Roy Oswalt 32 41% 34% 9% 3% 13% 84%
Mat Latos 31 45% 32% 6% 6% 10% 84%
Johan Santana 29 55% 7% 21% 3% 14% 83%
Clayton Kershaw 32 38% 41% 3% 3% 16% 81%
R.A. Dickey 26 42% 27% 12% 8% 12% 81%
Hiroki Kuroda 31 32% 23% 26% 0% 19% 81%
Chris Carpenter 35 34% 29% 17% 9% 11% 80%
Ubaldo Jimenez 33 48% 21% 9% 6% 15% 79%
Cole Hamels 33 42% 27% 9% 6% 15% 79%
Wandy Rodriguez 32 47% 16% 16% 3% 19% 78%
Ian Kennedy 32 28% 22% 28% 3% 19% 78%
Chad Billingsley 31 39% 19% 19% 3% 19% 77%
Ted Lilly 30 43% 23% 10% 3% 20% 77%
Tommy Hanson 34 44% 26% 6% 9% 15% 76%
Jon Garland 33 33% 18% 24% 6% 18% 76%
Clayton Richard 33 39% 18% 18% 3% 21% 76%
Cliff Lee 28 39% 25% 11% 4% 21% 75%
Dave Bush 31 26% 32% 16% 3% 23% 74%
Ohlendorf 19 32% 26% 16% 0% 26% 74%
Ryan Dempster 34 26% 38% 9% 9% 18% 74%
Jonathan Sanchez 33 48% 12% 12% 9% 18% 73%
Tim Lincecum 33 33% 30% 9% 6% 21% 73%
Livan Hernandez 33 39% 21% 12% 3% 24% 73%
Bronson Arroyo 33 30% 33% 9% 3% 24% 73%
Derek Lowe 33 33% 24% 15% 6% 21% 73%
Johnny Cueto 31 45% 13% 13% 3% 26% 71%
Barry Zito 33 24% 27% 18% 0% 30% 70%
Anibal Sanchez 32 34% 22% 13% 9% 22% 69%
Yovani Gallardo 31 42% 16% 10% 13% 19% 68%
Randy Wolf 34 29% 26% 12% 6% 26% 68%
Chris Volstad 33 21% 24% 21% 6% 27% 67%
Mike Pelfrey 33 36% 27% 3% 12% 21% 67%
Randy Wells 32 34% 25% 6% 6% 25% 66%
Paul Maholm 32 16% 31% 19% 13% 22% 66%
Jason Hammel 31 13% 29% 23% 10% 26% 65%
Chris Narveson 28 21% 18% 25% 7% 29% 64%
Rodrigo Lopez 33 12% 33% 18% 6% 30% 64%
McDonald, J 11 45% 9% 9% 9% 27% 64%
Jonathon Niese 30 47% 10% 7% 7% 30% 63%
Joe Blanton 28 14% 36% 11% 18% 21% 61%
Kyle Kendrick 33 33% 18% 3% 6% 39% 55%
Z Duke 29 17% 28% 7% 3% 45% 52%

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the managing editor (Charlie) or SB Nation. FanPosts are written by Bucs Dugout readers.

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