Pirates Defeat Braves on Ryan Doumit's Walkoff Homer
The Bucs beat Atlanta today on Ryan Doumit's walkoff homer to right off Takashi Saito. The Pirates took a 2-1 lead into the eighth, thanks in part to a second consecutive great start by Zach Duke, but Evan Meek allowed a solo homer to Eric Hinske to tie the score. It was the first homer--and only the third earned run--Meek has allowed all year. Octavio Dotel picked up the win despite allowing two walks in the ninth.
Steve Pearce had another nice game, with a single, a walk and a sacrifice fly. (Which isn't a huge game, I admit, but the single and walk stood out because they game in the first several innings of the game, when the rest of the Pirates' offense wasn't doing much of anything.) So far he's walked in about 20% of his plate appearances, and he has a .405 OBP after his first handful of games. Even though his best skill as a batter is hitting lefties, John Russell had him out there against Kris Medlen, a righty. Some of that is surely Russell not really understanding (or caring about?) how platoon advantages work, but I think we're also going to see a lot of Pearce (and even less of Jeff Clement) in the coming weeks.
Oh, and Akinori Iwamura somehow got two hits in this one. And one of them was a double!
In the minors, Indianapolis lost to Gwinnett 6-3. Donnie Veal pitched brilliantly for a while, then ran into trouble in the middle innings and finished with five innings pitched, three runs, six strikeouts and four walks. Altoona won 2-1 on yet another excellent start by Justin Wilson, who has quietly been terrific the last few weeks. Bradenton beat Clearwater 2-0 on six innings of shutout ball by Nathan Adcock, who might be the talk of Pirates prospect hounds if Bryan Morris hadn't upstaged him. In any case, Adcock is dominating the Florida State League and should probably be moved up soon. Also in the Bradenton game, Tony Sanchez went 2-for-4 with a double. West Virginia lost to Lakewood 3-0.
There's been a pretty clear pattern in the minors these last few weeks--the pitching prospects have continued to post excellent, or even brilliant, numbers, with Adcock, Wilson, Morris, Rudy Owens, Jeff Locke and Diego Moreno leading the way. Many of the hitters, though, have descended into oblivion. Robbie Grossman got off to a hot start but hasn't done anything at all this month; Starling Marte is out with a hand injury; Quincy Latimore turned out to be a mirage; Chase D'Arnaud has been in a funk all year; and no one at West Virginia is really hitting much. There have been some bright spots, like Sanchez, Neil Walker and Brock Holt, but overall the Pirates' young hitters have been disappointing.
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Minor League Pitching
Justin Wilson and Nate Adcock were outstanding today, combining for 12IP, 3H, 5BB, 18K, 1R, 0ER. They haven’t wowed as much as Owens and Morris this year, but they’re right there. Both have 9+ K/9 and low ERA’s. I don’t know what they’re giving these pitchers, but I like it.
charity standing orders
Awesome win today...
Nice to see Duke put a couple of solid starts together. I was ripping on JR before the game for hitting Aki at leadoff but Aki came through. Let’s hope this is the beginning of a long anticipated hot streak leading to him being dealt. No matter how good his bat is it won’t make up for his glove which is terrible. He couldn’t time a line drive that went under his glove (or appeared that way) and couldn’t catch up to a bloop single that I swear Cecil Fielder could have gotten to. No way he hits enough to make up for his defficiencies in the field.
He made a really nice double play today. But overall yeah, I agree obviously.
by Charlie Wilmoth on May 23, 2010 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions
As I've pointed out
Pearce has done extremely well against RHPs this year in AAA. He absolutely deserves a chance to show whether he can translate that success to MLB.
JR and the FO have shown that when they are evaluating 2 players for one position, they like to give 2/3 and 1/3 playing time, depending on who has the inside track.
It looks like Pearce may have pushed himself into the inside track. Since there are only about 33% of starts against LHPs available, I’d guess we start seeing Pearce against half of the RHPs.
I second you evaluation of the situation at first.
I too get tired of hearing that Pearce is nothing more than a platoon player because of his “splits” agains lefties (that wasn’t a shot at you Charlie).
(Well I DO think that he’ll probably be little more than a platoon guy in the long run, but I see no problem with using the playing time available now to make sure that’s the case.)
by Charlie Wilmoth on May 23, 2010 10:00 PM EDT up reply actions
I know...
that’s why I threw the disclaimer in there. I’m not sure what he is all I know is he didn’t show platoon splits at all in the minors which means he probably won’t in the majors either. Now whether or not his overall production will be enough to claim an every day job is a different scenario altogether. I just think he has earned the opportunity for a real extended look.
I think the secret to Pearce's success
Is going to be keeping a fairly high average and fairly low Ks.
He isn’t going to hit a ton of HRs. But if he can keep his plate discipline how it has been, keep K/AB at around 16% and hit near 50% XBH like he has done in both MiLB and MLB, then he can be very valuable.
I can see why the FO would want Clement to win this battle because Clement has a lot more raw power than Pearce does. But…he just doesn’t put good wood on the ball all that often.
by MarkInDallas on May 24, 2010 12:04 AM EDT up reply actions
Who had the highest XBH% last year?
62-50%: Carlos Pena, Nick Swisher, Raul Ibanez, Mark Reynolds, Albert Pujols, David Ortiz, Ryan Howard
49-46%: Russell Branyan, Josh Willingham, Mark Teixeira, Brad Hawpe, Prince Fielder, Jason Bay, Evan Longoria, Ian Kinsler, Andre Ethier, Kendry Morales, Adam Dunn, J.D. Drew, Nelson Cruz. The rest here.
It seems like there are very few hitters at best who will have a high extra base percent despite not being heavy on the home runs.
Also, unsurprisingly, a lower batting average generally leads to a higher percent of extra base hits, with the exceptions being freaks like Albert.
by Adam Reynolds on May 24, 2010 1:06 AM EDT up reply actions
Yes, that certainly is a question whether Pearce could sustain a high percentage of XBH without hitting at least a third or so as HRs. I really don’t have a good read on him yet. Previously, I looked at his ceiling as a right handed Nate McLouth. That would be about the .355 wOBA minimum you would want from your 1B.
If he can keep his Ks down around 16%, then he should be able to give you that.
by MarkInDallas on May 24, 2010 1:32 AM EDT up reply actions
Minor League Hitting
I know it hasn’t been the greatest this year thus far, but I think there are a number of guys with a lot of upside that haven’t played their best, Alvarez being one of them.
The main point is that where this system was before Neal got here and where it is now is such a big difference it isn’t even funny. Even though it hasn’t shown at the major league level, the trades are working out and the draft strategy and execution has been very good to excellent. As Pirate fans we should be very excited for this years draft and the fact that the franchise actually does have real hope for the first time in many years. I don’t believe in jinxes so I’ll even go as far as to say we are starting on the same path that Rays took many years ago to get to where they are today.
Seems to me
that the success (so far) of NH’s pitching depth strategy is the most significant validation of his work as GM. To me the win/loss record in trades is less important, since a system with lots of extra talent is going to almost inevitably lead to major league success.

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