FanPost

Bucs vs. Reds SP

 

As promised in my other two postings, here is a comparison of the Bucs (50-98) vs. Reds (84-65) SP.

First traditional stats:

Stat Pirates Reds
Games 145 149
Innings Pitched 5.4 5.9
Hits Allowed Per 9 11.0 9.1
Runs Allowed Per 9 6.0 4.4
ER Per 9 5.5 4.1
BB Per 9 3.2 3.1
SO Per 9 5.6 6.6
HR Per 9 1.2 1.1
ERA Per 9 5.46 4.13

Note that the stats are adjusted to be per 9 innings (except for Games and Innings Pitched). Also Bucs have 4 less games due to the Jakubauskas and Ohlendorf injury starts plus the Reds have played 1 more game.

Comparison based on my HQS/QS/Avg/Poor/BlowUp:

Start Type Pirates Reds Pirates Reds
HQS 28 50 19% 34%
QS 34 29 23% 19%
Avg 23 24 16% 16%
Poor 7 10 5% 7%
BlowUp 53 36 37% 24%
Total 145 149 100% 100%

Below the jump is the comparison of the two SP staffs.

Some observations:

  • Reds SP averaged a half inning more per start, 2 hits less (per 9 innings), 1 KO more, and 1.3 ER (per 9 innings) less.
  • The Reds overall Sp allowed 1.6 runs per 9 innings less that the Bucs!
  • Reds have 31% Poor/Blowup to the Pirates 42%
  • Reds have 53% HQS/QS to the Pirates 43%
  • The Reds defense added .3 runs per 9 innings while the Bucs added .5 runs.

Aside from the 1.6 runs per game less, on the surface, the Reds SP dpes not look that much better than the Bucs, but the Bucs trail the Reds by 33.5 games! The table below may give a clue:

Bucs Reds
Start Type W% W%
HQS 54% 58%
QS 32% 62%
Avg 0% 21%
Poor 14% 10%
BlowUp 4% 3%
Totals 20% 36%

The Reds starters got wins in 62% of their QS and 21% of their average starts. The difference is probably the Bucs poor offense.

Comments?

 

Bucs:

Pitcher Starts HQS QS Avg Poor BlowUp
Maholm 30 13% 30% 20% 13% 23%
Duke 26 19% 27% 4% 4% 46%
Ohlendorf 19 32% 26% 16% 0% 26%
Karstens 19 11% 42% 11% 0% 37%
Morton 14 0% 21% 29% 0% 50%
Burres 10 40% 10% 10% 0% 40%
Lincoln 9 11% 0% 33% 0% 56%
McCutchen, D 8 25% 0% 13% 25% 38%
McDonald, J 9 44% 11% 11% 0% 33%
Eveland 1 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%
145 19% 23% 16% 5% 37%

 

Reds:

Pitcher Starts HQS QS Avg Poor BlowUp
Arroyo 30 30% 33% 7% 3% 27%
Cueto 29 45% 14% 14% 3% 24%
Leake 22 45% 14% 18% 5% 18%
Harang 19 11% 32% 26% 11% 21%
Bailey, H 16 19% 13% 6% 19% 38%
Wood, T 14 36% 14% 29% 14% 7%
Volquez 10 50% 0% 10% 0% 40%
LeCure 6 17% 17% 33% 0% 33%
Maloney 2 50% 0% 50% 0% 0%
Dempster 1 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%
149 34% 19% 16% 7% 24%

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the managing editor (Charlie) or SB Nation. FanPosts are written by Bucs Dugout readers.

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