Michael Lewis, Moneyball author and current Bloomberg columnist just appeared on Bloomberg's midday interview show with Tom Keene. Keene asked Lewis about the book. Lewis replied that, when written, the impact of the book derived from the idea that statistical analysis could be applied to an activity like baseball to assign responsibility and uncover inefficiencies to be exploited. No news so far.
Lewis went on to say that, insofar as baseball is concerned, this particular field has been plowed and that the Moneyball approach was now moving on to sports like soccer and basketball (didn't we recently read via link about a pioneer stat-head who was doing just that?).
Since, as we all know, markets are efficient, every team in baseball must be working the statistics to death, albeit in their own way and with different levels of competence. To me, this implies that inefficiencies are harder and harder to find. Not news to the sophisticated participants of Bucs Dugout.
I just wonder, if every team is doing roughly the same level of statistical analysis, and if, as currently seems probable, the next CBA imposes hard slotting, removing the Bucs' ability to overpay for what they consider promising talent, what "inefficiency" or tactic can the Pirates use to offset the competitive advantage (cash) of the high-income/high-attendance teams? Based on results to date, I'm a little skeptical about it being found in talent evaluation, scouting or player development. So, where do we find a competitive niche to exploit? Just wondering.