FanPost

2011 Pirates WAR Projections v. 1.1 (fixed)

I've got some 2011 Wins Above Replacement projections for veteran Pirates players.  How these came about is that I considered the player's production over the past 3 seasons, and weighed it accordingly (with the most recent season carrying the most weight, and so on).  Then I adjusted some for players over 30 (Diaz, Overbay), and under 26 (McCutchen).  That gives me a rough projection for Wins Above Replacement (Fangraphs version) for 2011.  If you can do a much better projection than this, then obviously feel free, and let me know what you think here.

(Note: Some players are not included (in this first build at least), such as Tabata, Alvarez, Walker, and James McDonald.  I didn't feel there was enough major league data to make a projection, particularly with the defense.  McDonald bounced between starter and relief with the Dodgers, so I wasn't comfortable there, either, until he starts full-time for another season.  I did include some old friends at the end, though).

Here are the results for V1.1:

Player 11 Proj. WAR
Overbay 1.5
Diaz 0.8
Cedeno 0.4
Snyder 1.3
Doumit 0.9
Jones 0.9
McCutchen 3.7


Maholm 2.6
Ohlendorf 0.8
Correia 1.0
Morton 0.4
Olsen 0.0


Hanrahan 1.0
Meek 0.4


Duke 1.1
D Young 0.1
Milledge 0.5
An LaRoche 0.4

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the managing editor (Charlie) or SB Nation. FanPosts are written by Bucs Dugout readers.

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