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Five Questions: Milwaukee Brewers

Here's a brief interview with Brewers blogger Kyle Lobner of Brew Crew Ball in time for the Pirates/Brewers series that starts tomorrow. I did the same for him, and my answers to his questions will be up there shortly.

How do you think the Brewers stack up against the Reds, Cardinals and Cubs this season, and what are their chances of winning the NL Central?

I'm not sure this Brewer team is good enough to be considered a lock to win the Central, but I do think there's good reason to believe it's the most likely team to emerge at the top. Getting swept on Opening Weekend in Cincinnati was a pretty unfortunate setback, but this team bounced back pretty nicely, with a 5-2 homestand to put themselves back at .500.

It's possible April will be the Brewers' worst month. With Zack Greinke, Corey Hart and Jonathan Lucroy missing time, the Brewers have had to give a lot of playing time to guys like Marco Estrada, Mark Kotsay and Wil Nieves. As this team gets healthy (and Lucroy just rejoined the team today), it's possible they could phase out some of their weaker links and really become a strong team going forward.

The Brewers have sustained $80 million - $90 million payrolls for the past several years. How have they managed this in such a small market, and do you expect them to continue to do so?

When Mark Attanasio acquired the team from the Selig family in the mid 2000's, he took a somewhat calculated risk. The Brewers had a relatively new facility and a fair amount of young talent working their way up in the system, but their payrolls had consistently been very low and the results on the field had reflected it. Attanasio changed things by investing the money to build a winner around his young talent, and the results have been immediately apparent. $90 million is probably the most the Brewers can reasonably afford to spend on talent, but they've been rewarded with around three million tickets sold each of the last three seasons, and franchise value has nearly doubled during the Attanasio years.

In many ways, the current-era Brewers are a fair projection for the upcoming years for the Pirates. Like the early 2000's Brewers, the Pirates have a fair amount of talent coming up but a culture of losing and an owner with a reputation for being cheap. If they can generate some fan interest via regime change or some other method, things could snowball pretty quickly.

How is our old friend Nyjer Morgan working out for the Brewers so far, and what will his likely role with the team be for the year?

At the moment, everyone loves Tony Plush. Between his hot start (his OPS is currently over 1.200), his defensive abilities and his fascinating eccentricities, he's quickly become one of the fan favorites on this team. Obviously he's not going to hit .500 all year, but I think he's done a fair amount to earn a shot to play consistently, and he's proven he can help this team if used correctly.

It's going to be interesting to see what happens when Corey Hart gets back. A lot of people will probably want Morgan to replace Carlos Gomez as the regular center fielder at that point, but I'm not sure the organization is willing to give up on Gomez.

As random minor-league veterans go, Thursday starter Chris Narveson appears to be a very good one. What does he bring to the table, and why was he so successful in his first two starts?

Narveson's had a pretty fascinating career, as the road that's brought him here has twisted all over the place. He was a top prospect in the Cardinals organization for a number of years before suffering a torn labrum. He eventually resurfaced in the Brewer organization, but wasn't seen as much of a major league candidate: Scouts don't really like his stuff, and it's possible he's living the top of his upside at this point as a No. 5 starter.

With that said, it's hard to argue with his results. Narveson posted a 4.22 FIP last season and hasn't allowed a run yet this year. Early numbers would suggest he's throwing his changeup a little more and getting great results with it so far this season. He's also throwing a lot of strikes: He's only walked four batters in 13 innings.

After having traded a number of prospects this offseason, where do you see the Brewers heading after this year? How long can they sustain their current run of competitive baseball?

I think a lot of people have labeled this Brewer team as "going for it," and seem to imply that there's going to be a long stretch of rebuilding after this season is finished. That's really not the case, though. Both of the starting pitchers acquired this offseason (Zack Greinke and Shaun Marcum) are under team control through next season, and Marcum may be open to an extension beyond that. In fact, Prince Fielder is the only really significant contributor to this year's team who isn't under organizational control through at least 2012.

The end of next season will present an interesting challenge, as three fifths of the starting rotation (Greinke, Marcum and Wolf) will all be eligible for free agency at the same time. But with Yovani Gallardo, Ryan Braun, Rickie Weeks and others locked up long term, this team shouldn't fall very far out of contention anytime in the near future.

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heh

if that last answers means they will be relying on gallardo, braun and weeks after the end of 2012 then me thinks the brew crew will be in for a rude awakening. though they should be able to sign at least one of those 3 pitchers long term.

We have to unify and watch our flag ascend!

by C Shint on Apr 11, 2011 3:19 PM EDT reply actions  

Why? They have all three signed through at least 2014.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Apr 11, 2011 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Signed thru 2014?

All three, meaning Weeks, Braun and Gallardo? Because they control Greinke only thru 2012 and Marcum thru either 2012 or 2013.

You're entitled to your own opinions. You're not entitled to your own facts.

by WTM on Apr 11, 2011 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah. I took CShint to mean that those three guys would potentially be gone after 2012, which doesn’t seem likely. Obviously that wasn’t what he meant.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Apr 11, 2011 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

gallardo doesnt strike me as anything special and i dont see braun and weeks carrying the offense. i mean im sure theyll find offense from other areas and be able to sign other pitchers, but i just dont like gallardo, braun and weeks as a core to continue building around

We have to unify and watch our flag ascend!

by C Shint on Apr 11, 2011 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I hafta disagree, amigo -

I think Gallardo is a monster.

Free your ass and your mind will follow.

by cocktailsfor2 on Apr 11, 2011 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

If he could face Pirates’ pitching often enough, Gallardo could replace Fielder.

You're entitled to your own opinions. You're not entitled to your own facts.

by WTM on Apr 11, 2011 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

im not saying Gallardo is not good or that he’s not a front of the rotation pitcher. idk i guess its just how i perceive him but i dont think the brewers should be relying on him to carry the rotation.

We have to unify and watch our flag ascend!

by C Shint on Apr 11, 2011 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

out of curiousity

what other teams have 3 top line established players signed for the 2014 season? Without looking up the info, I’d guess the Braves and the Rays in the NL. Royals have the non-established players, but without the current field or general management to make it work for them. The point is, there are 3 years to get the other pieces in place for the Brewers. But yes, our farm has been pilfered

by PagsBrewCrew on Apr 12, 2011 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Rays aren’t in the NL so not sure what your getting at

We have to unify and watch our flag ascend!

by C Shint on Apr 12, 2011 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah, brain fart

neither are, obviously, the royals.

my point was that very few teams have multiple core players that are doing well signed for 3 years in advance.

by PagsBrewCrew on Apr 12, 2011 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Man, I love Gallardo

Interestingly high number of flameouts and arm injuries on his similar players list however.

Does that signify anything other than that young pitchers get hurt? Probably not…its still something to note though.

http://bleedblackandgold.com/

by Say Hey Johnny Ray on Apr 11, 2011 6:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed.

I’d gladly take five Gallardo’s.

by Slick1 on Apr 11, 2011 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Weeks

I’m not so sure about. He had a really good 2010 and a hot start to 2011, but I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he fails to reach 100 games again. I also don’t think it’s a great idea for a guy who has had that many hand and wrist injuries to be using the HBP as an offensive weapon.

by ElDuce on Apr 12, 2011 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Your take on the Pirates was much less optimistic than Kyle’s on the brewers. Aside from National opinions about the Bucs, it sounded like you expect very little from this group? Is that true?

Also, even though he lives with his parents, I’d have said I’d spend a day with Neil. His being a hometown star, I’d expect it to be interesting to see the response he gets in where he grew up.

by Pensburgh Pirates on Apr 11, 2011 3:36 PM EDT reply actions  

I wouldn’t say very little. I think the Pirates are in a better place than they’ve been in at least a decade. I just feel like they’re in a tough spot no matter what, due to their financial constraints and the utter lack of talent that was in the organization three years ago.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Apr 11, 2011 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Don't want to make a new thread, but...

Rudy Owens dominated tonight. 7 IP, 0 R, 5 K, 0 BB, 7 H. Isn’t it time to get a little excited? I can’t wait for him to be here instead of Ohlendorf or Maholm.

Beimel also struck out two and gave up nothing in one inning so far.

by Suffering Buc on Apr 11, 2011 9:40 PM EDT reply actions  

diry, 0/5 BB:K ratio, sweet command rudy!

but 7Hs is a little troublesome, were they singles, doubles, triples? singles and doubles could very well be doubles or HRs when he makes it to the next level….im still very optimistic though!

We have to unify and watch our flag ascend!

by C Shint on Apr 11, 2011 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

dirty*

We have to unify and watch our flag ascend!

by C Shint on Apr 11, 2011 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

1 HR, 3 doubles. Despite this, still a pretty solid outing by Rudy.

by Jay32600 on Apr 11, 2011 10:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

1 HR

0 R?

how’s that work?

by PagsBrewCrew on Apr 12, 2011 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Apparantly you don't know just how good Rudy Owens is

Rudy Owens can give up a home run but still keep the run off the board.

by Garrett122 on Apr 12, 2011 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions   2 recs

i didnt watch

but 3 of the hits came in the 6th and 7th inning. One was a fly ball (presumably deep, since it was a double), argenis diaz had a line drive single, and there was another gb single. There was also a sharp lineout, according to gameday. This could be fatigue- I dunno, hard to tell without watching.

by BurgherKing on Apr 11, 2011 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

There were some hard hit balls....

He gave up a bomb of a HR in the 2nd; the double you mention was actually off of a good, low fastball that the batter put a good swing on; and a couple hard hit balls to the opposite field, as well.

With that being said, as I said in another thread, when Rudy worked in his CH – which he didn’t throw in the first 4 innings or so, he was dominant. He struck out 5 of 7 batters he faced after incorporating into his arsenal.

Seems to me that he was working off his fastball the first time and a half through the line-up, then got down to working his full repertoire in the 5-7th inning. When he did, they were getting defensive swings the majority of the time.

I liked what I saw, but could definitely see him getting hit hard if he doesn’t have his change-up working or if he gets too much of the plate – since his control and command is plus. Pretty impressed for a first start…..

Also, 88-90 was reported by the announcer. If true, that would put him right where he should be, getting up to 91-93 in a month or so when the weather gets good and he is fully stretched out.

by CabreraKilledMyChildhood on Apr 12, 2011 3:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gorkys Hernandez had an interesting day, too...

3-4 with 2 steals, a CS, and a pickoff.

Hard work always beats talent if talent doesn't work hard.

ARE YOU F#$%ING KIDDING ME!!!! ADAMS!!! JESUS TAPDANCING CHRIST YOU HAD 24 SQUARE FEET AND YOU MISSED IT ALL!! - OlenWhitaker

Certified Grabbo Lover, though only by accident.

by wg1of5 on Apr 11, 2011 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pick off and caught stealing were the same play. Took off early and the pitcher threw to first.

by ElDuce on Apr 11, 2011 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ah, gotcha.

That’s not so bad, then.

Hard work always beats talent if talent doesn't work hard.

ARE YOU F#$%ING KIDDING ME!!!! ADAMS!!! JESUS TAPDANCING CHRIST YOU HAD 24 SQUARE FEET AND YOU MISSED IT ALL!! - OlenWhitaker

Certified Grabbo Lover, though only by accident.

by wg1of5 on Apr 12, 2011 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Haha

This is like the one year anniversary of that guy banning me in two innocent comments during that extra innings game in Milwaukee early last year.

Adam
Black Shoe Diaries, SB Nation Pittsburgh, Daily Collegian Sports, BT Powerhouse, @fugimaster24
God Created the World Out Of Nothing, Paterno Built A National Superpower On Cow Fields...

by Adam Bittner on Apr 11, 2011 11:27 PM EDT reply actions  

I’m always surprised whenever I see members of one blog on other blog of their favorite teams. You threw me off for a second. Thought I was on BSD.

"When I put on my uniform, I feel I am the proudest man on earth."
-Roberto

by blackjackfishtaco on Apr 11, 2011 11:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

What were the comments?

by ol Pete on Apr 12, 2011 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

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