Basically I wanted to list the fWAR of all the #1 picks, minus the players drafted in the last few years. I was going to just post this as a reply in that thread, but the lack of formatting made it unreadable.
Career WAR is self-explanatory. WAR/150 is a batter's WAR per 150 games played, while WAR/200IP in the same, but per 200 innings pitched. They're not exactly comparable, and 180 IP might have been better, but I went with 200. Top 5 Peak WAR is the average of each player's 5 best WAR seasons. If they didn't play that many seasons, then the total was divided by however many seasons they did play.
| Career WAR | WAR/150G - WAR/200IP | Top 5 Peak WAR | ||||
| 2007 | David Price | 7.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | ||
| 2006 | Luke Hochevar | 5.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | ||
| 2005 | Justin Upton | 9.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 | ||
| 2004 | Matthew Bush | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| 2003 | Delmon Young | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | ||
| 2002 | Bryan Bullington | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| 2001 | Joe Mauer | 33.7 | 6.0 | 5.9 | ||
| 2000 | Adrian Gonzalez | 22.9 | 3.8 | 4.7 | ||
| 1999 | Josh Hamilton | 17.6 | 5.4 | 3.4 | ||
| 1998 | Pat Burrell | 21.6 | 2.0 | 3.0 | ||
| 1997 | Matt Anderson | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | ||
| 1996 | Kris Benson | 15.0 | 2.4 | 2.8 | ||
| 1995 | Darin Erstad | 29.6 | 2.7 | 4.0 | ||
| 1994 | Paul Wilson | 8.7 | 1.8 | 1.6 | ||
| 1993 | Alex Rodriguez | 110.4 | 7.0 | 9.7 | ||
| 1992 | Phil Nevin | 17.4 | 2.1 | 3.6 | ||
| 1991 | Brien Taylor | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| 1990 | Chipper Jones | 85.8 | 5.6 | 7.3 | ||
| 1989 | Ben McDonald | 21.8 | 3.4 | 3.5 | ||
| 1988 | Andy Benes | 35.7 | 2.9 | 4.2 | ||
| 1987 | Ken Griffey | 83.9 | 4.7 | 8.6 | ||
| 1986 | Jeff King | 17.8 | 2.2 | 3.1 | ||
| 1985 | B.J. Surhoff | 35.6 | 2.3 | 3.5 | ||
| 1984 | Shawn Abner | -0.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 | ||
| 1983 | Tim Belcher | 31.4 | 2.6 | 3.7 | ||
| 1982 | Shawon Dunston | 8.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | ||
| 1981 | Mike Moore | 35.7 | 2.5 | 4.4 | ||
| 1980 | Darryl Strawberry | 43.2 | 4.1 | 5.4 | ||
| 1979 | Al Chambers | -0.4 | -1.0 | -0.1 | ||
| 1978 | Bob Horner | 20.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||
| 1977 | Harold Baines | 45.3 | 2.4 | 3.7 | ||
| 1976 | Floyd Bannister | 33.9 | 2.8 | 4.1 | ||
| 1975 | Danny Goodwin | NA | NA | NA | ||
| 1974 | Bill Almon | 4.6 | 0.6 | 1.3 | ||
| 1973 | David Clyde | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | *No WAR data for 1973 | |
| 1972 | Dave Roberts | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | ||
| 1971 | Danny Goodwin | -0.9 | -0.5 | 0.1 | ||
| 1970 | Mike Ivie | 9.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | ||
| 1969 | Jeff Burroughs | 21.6 | 1.9 | 3.3 | ||
| 1968 | Tim Foli | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | ||
| 1967 | Ron Bloomberg | 9.3 | 3.0 | 1.9 | ||
| 1966 | Steve Chilcott | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| 1965 | Rick Monday | 38.0 | 2.9 | 4.0 | ||
| AVG | 21.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | |||
What to conclude from this? Well for one, every pick averages out to be at least an average performer for the length of their careers, and even better during their peak. Like SHOOTFOR2010 said, they are 3 fairly obvious HOFs in Griffey, Jones and Rodriguez, although there is fairly steep drop-off from them to the next player in terms of career WAR, Harold Baines with 45.3. Of course, a few players drafted since 2000 can still get to that level or above, though now Mauer has an injury history and might move off catcher, and Gonzalez plays 1st, which is no help when attempting to accumulate WAR, and might very well have to DH eventually. Hamilton has already missed so much, so he probably have the chance to accumulate as much as he might have. That's about all I have to say I guess.
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