FanPost

An addition to: "The # 1 pick in historical perspective "

Basically I wanted to list the fWAR of all the #1 picks, minus the players drafted in the last few years. I was going to just post this as a reply in that thread, but the lack of formatting made it unreadable.

Career WAR is self-explanatory. WAR/150 is a batter's WAR per 150 games played, while WAR/200IP in the same, but per 200 innings pitched. They're not exactly comparable, and 180 IP might have been better, but I went with 200. Top 5 Peak WAR is the average of each player's 5 best WAR seasons. If they didn't play that many seasons, then the total was divided by however many seasons they did play.

 




Career WAR WAR/150G - WAR/200IP Top 5 Peak WAR
2007 David Price  7.8 3.7 2.0
2006 Luke Hochevar  5.3 2.3 1.0
2005 Justin Upton  9.8 3.1 2.0
2004 Matthew Bush  0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 Delmon Young  1.2 0.3 0.4
2002 Bryan Bullington  0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 Joe Mauer  33.7 6.0 5.9
2000 Adrian Gonzalez  22.9 3.8 4.7
1999 Josh Hamilton  17.6 5.4 3.4
1998 Pat Burrell  21.6 2.0 3.0
1997 Matt Anderson  0.8 0.6 0.4
1996 Kris Benson  15.0 2.4 2.8
1995 Darin Erstad  29.6 2.7 4.0
1994 Paul Wilson  8.7 1.8 1.6
1993 Alex Rodriguez  110.4 7.0 9.7
1992 Phil Nevin  17.4 2.1 3.6
1991 Brien Taylor  0.0 0.0 0.0
1990 Chipper Jones  85.8 5.6 7.3
1989 Ben McDonald  21.8 3.4 3.5
1988 Andy Benes  35.7 2.9 4.2
1987 Ken Griffey  83.9 4.7 8.6
1986 Jeff King 
17.8 2.2 3.1
1985 B.J. Surhoff  35.6 2.3 3.5
1984 Shawn Abner  -0.8 -0.3 0.1
1983 Tim Belcher  31.4 2.6 3.7
1982 Shawon Dunston  8.9 0.7 1.4
1981 Mike Moore  35.7 2.5 4.4
1980 Darryl Strawberry 43.2 4.1 5.4
1979 Al Chambers -0.4 -1.0 -0.1
1978 Bob Horner 20.9 3.0 3.0
1977 Harold Baines 45.3 2.4 3.7
1976 Floyd Bannister 33.9 2.8 4.1
1975 Danny Goodwin NA NA NA
1974 Bill Almon 4.6 0.6 1.3
1973 David Clyde 3.6 2.2 0.9 *No WAR data for 1973
1972 Dave Roberts 2.4 0.5 0.9
1971 Danny Goodwin -0.9 -0.5 0.1
1970 Mike Ivie
9.2 1.6 1.9
1969 Jeff Burroughs 21.6 1.9 3.3
1968 Tim Foli
11.0 1.0 1.8
1967 Ron Bloomberg 9.3 3.0 1.9
1966 Steve Chilcott 0.0 0.0 0.0
1965 Rick Monday 38.0 2.9 4.0







AVG

21.4 2.2 2.8

 

What to conclude from this? Well for one, every pick averages out to be at least an average performer for the length of their careers, and even better during their peak. Like SHOOTFOR2010 said, they are 3 fairly obvious HOFs in Griffey, Jones and Rodriguez, although there is fairly steep drop-off from them to the next player in terms of career WAR, Harold Baines with 45.3. Of course, a few players drafted since 2000 can still get to that level or above, though now Mauer has an injury history and might move off catcher, and Gonzalez plays 1st, which is no help when attempting to accumulate WAR, and might very well have to DH eventually. Hamilton has already missed so much, so he probably have the chance to accumulate as much as he might have. That's about all I have to say I guess.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the managing editor (Charlie) or SB Nation. FanPosts are written by Bucs Dugout readers.

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