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Should Pirates Try To Re-Sign Derrek Lee?

Have you ever met someone who you found so disagreeable that you find yourself arguing your way into a corner and saying things you don't even believe just because, on a visceral level, you want badly to disagree with them?

I'm not sure my response to what Clint Hurdle is saying about Derrek Lee in this article is quite like that, but it's close. It's about how Hurdle wants the Pirates to re-sign Lee, which it at first appears I shouldn't be that opposed to - after all, I was fine with the Pirates acquiring Lee in a trade just a few weeks ago. But when Hurdle is saying stuff like this, it's hard to get past the No no no no no in my head. It's not that I have any personal problem with Hurdle, it's that the reason he gives for what he wants is so bad.

"Have you seen many teams that have won a lot without having at least one five-year guy in their lineup? I haven't," Hurdle said. "You need somebody who's been tested by fire, who can lend some quiet confidence and a voice of reason to the clubhouse when times are challenging."

Yeah. Guys like Lyle Overbay. And Matt Diaz. And ... Maybe Hurdle would smile here and note that the Pirates have been massively unsuccessful since Overbay left. But if it's true that winning teams generally have five-year guys in their lineup, it's not because they need those types of players to win, but because there are a lot of five-year guys. Also, teams are trying to contend generally bring a player or two to help them, and free agents are almost always guys who have played for at least five years.

Beyond my revulsion at the silly pro-veteran talk, though, I think the circumstances surrounding the Pirates have changed enough in the month since Lee's acquisition that the Pirates probably shouldn't bring him back. (And this is even before considering Lee's less-than-enthusiastic reaction to being traded to the Pirates in the first place - he might not want to come back at all.) Lee will be 36 in three days. I liked him as a deadline acquisition when the Pirates are contending. But at this point, I'd rather not make the mistake of continuing to hold onto him for too long. He also wouldn't be especially helpful as a bench player, because he only plays one position. If he were even an outfielder who could play both corners, that might be a different story.

At this point, I'd rather the Bucs just went with Garrett Jones and Matt Hague, or looked elsewhere. Anything can happen, but there's no reason to expect Jones and Hague to hit worse than Lee at this point, and they'll probably also be healthier. I'm not even a fan of Hague's, really, and I think the chances that he'll be a successful major-leaguer are pretty small, but as an alternative to paying for an aging veteran like Lee or Xavier Nady (and make no mistake, this is the kind of player the Pirates will be getting if they decide they need a veteran at first. You can forget about Prince Fielder), I'm coming around to the idea of just using Hague instead. This is true particularly because if Hague does make it, the Pirates will have a decent, cheap starter for the next few years.

After the way the last six weeks have gone, there's no reason to think the Pirates will contend in 2012, so while I won't lose sleep if they don't take a look at a fringy guy like Hague, I think their incentive to check him out is greater than it would be if they were a contender. I honestly don't care much about Hague one way or the other, and I'm open to other solutions - Carlos Pena might be in the Pirates' price range, and could potentially be worth a look as someone who hits as well as Jones and plays much better defense. But given the types of free agents the Pirates usually pursue and who's available on the market, Jones and Hague seem fine to me.

(There's also the question here about Lee's Type B status. He's apparently still a Type B, but the idea of offering him arbitration is pretty worrisome, at this point - although if he truly isn't interested in coming back to Pittsburgh, that might actually help.)

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I'm trying to think of the last guy the Bucs acquired

for his veteran presence, who really worked out. Aren’t the coaches supposed to provide some of that? (See Arizona Diamondbacks staff). By the way, Lee was put out of business after being hit by a Cubs pitcher. Now McCutchen. What’s up with that?

Lino Donoso

by Lino Donoso on Sep 3, 2011 12:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Its not just the Bucs...

The so-called “veteran presence” is so vastly overrated to begin with.

by NastyNate82 on Sep 3, 2011 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry, never answered your question.

I’d give it a pass. If the overall strategy is draft and develop, Matt Hague should get a look. Let’s see what he’s got.

Lino Donoso

by Lino Donoso on Sep 3, 2011 12:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Hague can still be on the big league club

we don´t have to throw every rookie to the fire

we should have the luxury to ease them in because of depth

by bmcferren on Sep 3, 2011 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hague is already 26. It’s now or never for him.

by bolton on Sep 3, 2011 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'm not as over-the-moon as some are with Hague...

but even I can easily see that Matt Hague has spent exactly one year at each level of minor league baseball (actually only 7 games a low A and spent the rest of the year in A). Each year he moved up a step, never repeating one. A nice steady trajectory. It’s not like he’s been hovering in AAA for 3 years. C’mon, it won’t be the end of the world if he starts next year again in AAA, regardless of his age.

by impliedi on Sep 4, 2011 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

I`m for it

- Known Clubhouse leader

- Solid bet for 20+ homeruns

- Excellent in the field

- Pushes depth in OF

- Spokesman for the notion that playing in PGH is a good thing (no more Aram/Beltran type refusal to be traded here)

- Allstar Experience

- Playoff experience

- Mentor for Alvarez

by bmcferren on Sep 3, 2011 12:51 PM EDT reply actions  

Low on-base percentage.

by bolton on Sep 3, 2011 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

The elephant in the dugout..

…is why we have a manager who subscribes to this idea.

by sanny manguillen on Sep 3, 2011 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

95% of managers subscribe to this idea

This is the way that baseball lifers think.

by maguro on Sep 3, 2011 1:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

it's not just baseball

it pretty much applies to all teams in all professional sports… wonder why?

by Captain Easychord on Sep 3, 2011 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

well, who is coaching most professional sports teams ?

Usually a guy who had a long career in his professional sport, either by virtue of being very talented or good enough in one or two areas to prolong his career.

So they’re predisposed to favor veterans to add that “presence” — because that’s what most of THEM were not all that long ago.

by Garrett122 on Sep 3, 2011 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

The same reason that rich people don’t like taxing income.

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

to be fair

poor people aren’t huge fans of it either (the working poor anyway).

by BlindSquirrel on Sep 4, 2011 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Pirates might also want to look hard outside the org. for a young 1st baseman

like Yonder Alonso. The Reds might be determined to try him in left, but the Pirates do have some minor league talent that could be used to pry him away from Cincy.

We’ve talked a bunch about Jones and someone like Hague platooning for a year at 1B. This is better than signing some other goof that is just a waste of money.

The other thing we have to take into account is Alvarez’s ultimate destination in the IF.

If we sign D. Lee, we’ll probably get an injury-filled half season, culminating in a trade to a contender in July/Aug. when he’s healthy. It’s probably not worth the money.

パトリック

by patthatt on Sep 3, 2011 1:47 PM EDT reply actions  

I think I'm in favor of this

Hadn’t really thought of it before, but there’s no reason that we can’t get someone (potentially) useful in a strictly MiL exchange (or maybe including a fringey MLBer, conceivably GFJ himself).

It seems like people only ever talk about 3 modes of player acquisition: draft, FA, and MLB trade (usually of the vet-for-prospects model). I get that GMs can be reluctant to trade prospects for prospects – you know and like your guys, and are suspicious of why the other guy wants to ditch his guys – but that shouldn’t be a barrier to a win-win trade.

Between pitchers and OFs, we should have enough bodies to land a reasonable guy to provide depth at 1B (or 3B).

by JRoth95 on Sep 3, 2011 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks

for doing this, Charlie. I was livid when I read it. The one thing that will prevent it is that there is no chance Lee will stay. I’m on record as being a fan of Jones, and I believe he’s starting to figure it out. Yeah, he needs to be better in the field, but net-net a platoon of Jones and Hague is worth it just to avoid another idiot veteran signing. The other reason is that Pedro has to go somewhere, and that somewhere will be first. He can’t play third base.

"Throw strikes, but don't give him anything good to hit."

by RichieHebner on Sep 3, 2011 2:34 PM EDT reply actions  

I didnt want Lee at the deadline, nor next year.

2012 is already over. Play Hague, if he doesn’t work out, that’s expected, if he does, its a huge bonus.

Should the Pirates keep Neal Huntington?

http://www.bucsdugout.com/2011/5/16/2174135/poll-should-huntington-be-retained

by Kosstic518 on Sep 3, 2011 2:59 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

2012 is already over.

I KNEW you were a time traveler

"WHITESNAKE! DOKKEN! NIGHT RANGER!" -- Ronny Cedeño

by Superstar25 on Sep 4, 2011 12:07 AM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Wouldnt be the first time ive been accused of that

Should the Pirates keep Neal Huntington?

http://www.bucsdugout.com/2011/5/16/2174135/poll-should-huntington-be-retained

by Kosstic518 on Sep 4, 2011 12:21 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Why would you do something in the expectation that it won’t work?

by Vlad on Sep 4, 2011 4:16 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Bazinga!

The glare of the spotlight is harsh, and the pressure that success breeds immense. We revere our heroes, but expect much. And criticism can come as easily as praise.
Twitter: @shanecglass

by glass0941 on Sep 3, 2011 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Diamondbacks and Brewers have no key hitters older than 30. And the guys who are 30 — Ryan Roberts and Nyjer Morgan — don’t have that much experience.

by bolton on Sep 3, 2011 3:45 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, but

Craig Counsell is worth like 3 veterans.

by JRoth95 on Sep 3, 2011 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I won’t complain if the Pirates add a 40-year-old utilityman. Bring on Orlando Cabrera or Miguel Tejada. Let them provide a veteran presence and let someone else hit.

by bolton on Sep 3, 2011 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Prince Fielder

Eats as much as three veterans.

by Aphthakid on Sep 3, 2011 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Prince Fielder

Ate the three veterans they DID have

"WHITESNAKE! DOKKEN! NIGHT RANGER!" -- Ronny Cedeño

by Superstar25 on Sep 4, 2011 12:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Melvin insists on having old players on the team for all that blah, blah, veteran BS. This year it is Mark Kotsay. He did manage to have some key singles in late innings, but overall he’s just bad. Tonight he clanked an easy flyball off his glove and he hits lots of weak grounders to 2nd. What’s the point? Counsell at least can play 3 infield positions, but even he was decent offensively last year and now with irregular at bats and another year he’s pretty much toast.

Melvin gives away players in trades who are better than the ones he has on the team.

I could see signing D-Lee if its short and reasonable and there aren’t other options in the minors.

"Prince Fielder is too fat even for the Oakland A’s" - Billy Beane

by ol Pete on Sep 3, 2011 8:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Diamondbacks and Brewers have no key hitters older than 30.

And the Yankees, Cardinals, Red Sox, Rangers (line-up, not rotation), and Phillies all have most of their line-ups and rotations filled with 30+ year-old-guys.

Look at the Phillies….Cole Hamels is the baby on that team. He’s the only consistent starting pitcher/position player that’s under 30 on that team.

by impliedi on Sep 4, 2011 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well, Pence is 28. Aside from that, however, their key players aside from Ibanez and Polanco are still in their primes. And they won their lone WS when these guys were even more in their prime (and they didn’t have Ibanez).

by bolton on Sep 4, 2011 2:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Doesn't matter, can't really judge the big market teams on their decisons...

If they’re good for a period for 5-10 years…would you frown on that for the Buccos?

by NastyNate82 on Sep 4, 2011 2:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think we should wait until the 2010 Pirates

have won at least one game while Lee is on the 25-man roster before deciding that he will be the veteran presence that the 2011 club needs to be a winner.

by WestCoastBuc on Sep 3, 2011 4:13 PM EDT reply actions  

This is like that episode of the Office

where Dwight thinks it’s Friday when it’s only Thursday

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions   3 recs

Would it be unfair

to make money betting on this?

by mdsvbucs on Sep 4, 2011 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

What kind of money would he get in arbitration if he accepted?

This is the determining factor to me.

by MDBuc on Sep 3, 2011 4:25 PM EDT reply actions  

Good question

There’s a price where it’s worth a gamble for the Pirates to offer arb, because heads, we get a draft pick, and tails, we get a potentially solid 1B at an acceptable price.

But that price has to be pretty low. Arb deals don’t include incentives, do they? I’d be happy to pay DLee decent coin if he’s actually out there starting 100+ games (on merit). The fear is a duplication of the Overbay contract.

by JRoth95 on Sep 3, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

7.25 this year

and he can only get at max a 20% decrease through arbitration. So I’m guessing something in the 6.5-7 range to be likely

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Too much

I mean, he could very well earn that, and we have payroll space for it, but the odds of collapse are too high, IMO.

by JRoth95 on Sep 3, 2011 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

The max decrease rule does not apply to free agents offered arbitration.

by matskralc on Sep 3, 2011 7:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

My stance

I feel the lineup is terrible against lefties. We watched Diaz, Pearce, and Wood fail agaisnt lefties. Jones, Alvarez, and Paul are beyond bad against lefties. I would like to see Garrett Jones as the backup to a righty at 1B and the #1 backup OFer. Hague might be okay, but I don’t ever see him excelling.

My idea would be to offer Lee arbitration. I’d also offer it to Doumit. I really think that both would look elsewhere and we would receive draft picks. But if they took our offer, they would be 1-year commitments at a price that doesn’t break the team. To me the reward of the draft picks outweighs the risk of them accepting.

by ballparkfranks on Sep 3, 2011 4:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Weird. I remember all those lefty lineup games and everyone saying that, then we would surprisingly score 5 or 6 runs so I ahve to disagree with you. Also, Tabata and Cutch hit LHP much better.

As for arbitration, unfortunately those guys can look around for a week before deciding. After getting a couple $2m offers they would quickly accept our offer. The only way I’d offer it is with a handshake deal that they decline

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wow.

Charlie, I’ve disagreed with a lot of what you written this year, but I never thought you’d stoop to that generic sports columnist and/or barroom sports fan level of trying to analyze and psychoanalyze a quotation that a sports guy makes to the media.

These guys live to talk in cliches and people try to break apart their sentences looking for some kind of meaning or believing there is some kind of unbreakable truth behind what they say.

This is the kind of stuff we’ve come to expect out of Smizik, but I thought you were more elevated in your thinking than that.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 5:05 PM EDT reply actions  

Hurdle's comments

seem more like something Smizik would whole-heartedly endorse.

I know that wasn’t the point of your post, just saying.

by jlk9697 on Sep 3, 2011 5:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Actually, I'm trying to think of a WS champ in the last couple of decades...

that didn’t have a least of handful of veterans that contributed pretty heavily during the year.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 5:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

We are going to be young regardless

How many small-market teams succeed with veterans? Well there’s the Littlefield Bucs… o wait they sucked. Well there’s the Royals and Orioles of the past couple years… o wait they suck…. hmm maybe your theory doesn’t work when put in the proper context.

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can’t think of many World Series champs who had a lot of guys older than 32. Most champs have a lot of players between 26 and 31.

by bolton on Sep 3, 2011 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can think of the 2001 Diamondbacks.

by bolton on Sep 3, 2011 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can’t think of many World Series champs who had a lot of guys older than 32. Most champs have a lot of players between 26 and 31.

Depends on your definition of “a lot”. I don’t think Hurdle is asking to throw away his whole team to fill it up with a bunch of Derrek Lee’s. But adding a few vets sprinkled in amongst the young guys is surely a good idea.

Here’s the last 10 WS champs, with guys over 32 that had over 100 ABs over the season or pitched more than 50 innings:
2010: Giants – Moto (36), Molina (35), DeRosa (34), Huff (33), Burrell (33), Renteria (33)
2009: Yankees – Rivera (39), Pettite (37), Posada (37), Jeter (35), Damon (35), Matsui (35), Molina (34), Rodriguez (33)
2008: Phillies – Moyer (45), Coste (35), Feliz (33), Jenkins (33)
2007: Red Sox – Timlin (41), Wakefield (40), Schilling (40), Varitek (35), Ramirez (35), Tavarez (34), Lowell (33)
2006: Cardinals – Tagucho (36), Edmonds (36), Bennett (34), Spiezio (33), Isringhausen (33)
2005: White Sox – Hernandez (39), Thomas (37), Everett (34), Widger (34), Contreras (33)
2004: Red Sox – Timlin (38), Schilling (37), Wakefield (37), McCarty (34), Embree (34), Mueller (33), Mirabelli (33)
2003: Marlins – none
2002: Angels – Appier (34), Levine (34), Salmon (33), Palmeiro (33)
2001: Diamondbacks – Johnson (37), Grace (37), Finley (36), Swindell (36), Bell (35), Williams (35), Schilling (34), Gonzalez (33), Sanders (33)

So can it be done? The 2003 Marlins were able to pull it off. But that’s the rare exception, not the rule. Perhaps there’s something to this “veteran” thing after all.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Somehow the qualifier changed from 600 PA bat to part-time player or relief pitcher.

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 8:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

600 PAs????

Geez, the Pirates only had 2 players last year with 600 PAs.

There were only like 40 guys in all of MLB last year with 600 PA’s

But not that you mention it, let’s look at all of last year’s guys with over 600 PA’s…how many vets do you see??:
D. Jeter (37)
I. Suzuki (36)
M. Tejada (36)
B. Abreu (36)
V. Guerrero (35)
M. Scutaro (34)
C. Lee (34)
D. Ortiz (34)
A. Huff (33)
M. Young (33)
A. Gonzalez (33)
C. Figgins (32)
J. Pierre (32)
T. Wigginton (32)
M. Byrd (32)
M. Cuddyer (31)
V. Wells (31)
J. Werth (31)
A. Beltre (31)
M. Teixeira (30)
M. Holliday (30)
D. Uggla (30)
A. Pujols (30)
R. Theriot (30)

Just about every good team had at least one vet out in their line-up everyday…hmmm, isn’t that what Hurdle just said??

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

And the reason they won

was because of Lincecum, Cain, Sanchez, Bumgardner, and Posey. None of whom were 5 year vets. NOT the crappy vets they had, although Aubrey Huff was pretty good

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

"Pretty good"?

5.8 WAR. They won the division by 2 games. You could replace Huff with a solidly above-average starter, and they lose the division. He was worth more than Cain or Lincecum, and the only position player who was worth more was Torres.

Now, it was a lucky fluke that he had one last season in him, but WS teams generally get lucky, even when they’re loaded with talent (also: sign 5 vets, it’s not actually “luck” to have 1 be productive while the others crap out; that’s pretty much the expected outcome).

by JRoth95 on Sep 3, 2011 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

They were average offensively

while the ERA was no.1 in all of MLB. They won because of the arms.

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 8:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

And weirdly enough, one of the crappy vets was named WS MVP...

(not that I’m saying that the award really means much when proving a point, but I think Renteria played a role in the Giants getting that championship.)

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, they all played a ton so of course they provided something, they still weren’t the reason that team went anywhere.

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 8:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

“Psychoanalyze”? What are you talking about? And I look at what the manager / owner / GM say all the time. This is very standard stuff.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 3, 2011 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Psychoanalyze. To attempt to construct another person’s whole value structure based on things they do or say.

In other words, jumping on Hurdle for saying he wants a proven veteran hitter in his line-up, acting as if he’d almost play a Derrek Lee over an Andrew McCutchen simply because he’s a veteran. First of all, I don’t see anything wrong with what Hurdle is saying (and I haven’t been one to defend much of Hurdle this year, even during the huge Hurdle Lovefest that went on the first few months of the season.)

And to be honest, if I’m Hurdle and my 1st base options were Derrek Lee, Garrett Jones and Matt Hague….and I had any interest in winning at all…I think Derrek Lee is pretty much a no-brainer.

I don’t understand why you’re down on this “Veteran” concept.

Hanrahan and Meek credited Dotel for helping them out.

The good Pirates bullpens of the last few years have a good number of vets in them.

Kevin Correia is credited to setting the tone on the rotation and getting the Pirates off to their very good start this year.

The bullpen gets a little shaky, adds a vet like Grilli and seems to have settled a bit.

What’s interesting is that the Pirates have/had a decent amount of 5+ years guys on the team this year:
Derrek Lee – 15
Lyle Overbay – 11
Joe Beimel – 11
Jason Grilli – 9
Matt Diaz – 9
Ryan Ludwick – 9
Kevin Correia – 9
Chris Snyder – 8
Paul Maholm – 7
Ryan Doumit – 7
Ronny Cedeno – 7
Brian Burres – 6
Jose Veras – 6
Jeff Karstens – 6
Chris Resop – 6

and, officially, this is the 5th year for Joel Hanrahan, Steve Pearce, Ross Ohlendorf, Garrett Olson , and Brandon Wood.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 7:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Psychoanalyze. To attempt to construct another person’s whole value structure based on things they do or say.

In other words, jumping on Hurdle for saying he wants a proven veteran hitter in his line-up, acting as if he’d almost play a Derrek Lee over an Andrew McCutchen simply because he’s a veteran.

This bears no resemblance whatsoever to anything I’ve said. Absolutely none. This is a waste of time.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 3, 2011 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Naturally, your writing has no flaws. I stand corrected.

And here I thought you were trying to say (analyzing Hurdle’s thoughts based on a one-sentence statement) that Hurdle has fallen under the flawed belief that teams need to have at least one vet on their team.

That is the very nature of psychoanalysis. You’re trying to make a determination of Hurdle’s beliefs based on ONE statement to the media. It’s a sad, sad jump for you to make.

But apparently, you’re the only one who’s allowed to make those kinds of leaps.

If it were me, I’d just see it as Hurdle wanting badly to have a power bat in his line-up and he’s coming up with everything he can as an excuse for WHY the Pirates should get him. It’d be one thing if Lee sucked. You may have a gripe. But, I can’t imagine Hurdle’s actually going to wipe out a talented young superstar in order to play a terrible vet.

Your story leads me to believe that you think Hurdle only wants Lee to satisfy his desire to have a vet presence in the line-up. I think that your thinking is faulty on this.

I think Hurdle wants Derrek Lee to be in his line-up, because Hurdle realizes that Lee is the best 1st base option the Pirates would have at this point going into 2012. If he pulls out the “he’s a vet” card to try and prove it to the media, who cares?

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 9:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

And here I thought you were trying to say (analyzing Hurdle’s thoughts based on a one-sentence statement) that Hurdle has fallen under the flawed belief that teams need to have at least one vet on their team.

That is the very nature of psychoanalysis.

“Have you seen many teams that have won a lot without having at least one five-year guy in their lineup? I haven’t,” Hurdle said.

Yeah, it takes some pretty serious psychoanalysis to read that quote and reach the conclusion that Hurdle thinks that veterans are important. I had to really reach deep into the recesses of Hurdle’s brain to pull that one out.

If it were me, I’d just see it as Hurdle wanting badly to have a power bat in his line-up and he’s coming up with everything he can as an excuse for WHY the Pirates should get him.

Okay. So, to recap, I take Hurdle at his word and write a post about it. You take issue on the grounds that he is probably lying and has a different set of motivations (as if ‘We really need a power hitter’ would be insufficient justification for re-signing a player). And yet I’m the one doing “psychoanalysis.” Okey-doke.

But, I can’t imagine Hurdle’s actually going to wipe out a talented young superstar in order to play a terrible vet.

This is, again, a complete non-sequitur.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 3, 2011 10:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wow, Charlie you're really missing my point....

You wrote a post acting like the ONLY reason Hurdle wants Lee back is because he’s a veteran, irregardless of his talent.

You went into this long “I hate it when people have these pro-veteran beliefs” rant, as if Hurdle is just some stupid manager who’s belief system is completely structured on cliches.

Excuse me if I’m misinterpreting something, but I would think Clint Hurdle wants the best team he can possibly have at his discretion. If he wants Derrek Lee back and he has 1,000 reasons for it, and when he tells the media why, he gives reason number 42 out of his 1,000, without giving the other 999 because that’s what he was thinking about at the moment, doesn’t mean that is his end/all be/all reason for wanting Derrek Lee.

It’s frustrating to me as a reader when you connect two dots out of a million dots that are out there and say “Hurdle is frustrating because he only wants Lee because he’s a vet.” If Hurdle said “Well, Lee sucks, but we need to have some veteran leadership on this team”, your gripe has merit.

But you’re trying to pin a manager’s motivations on ONE statement. Next time you see Hurdle, ask him for a full list of why he would want Derrek Lee on his team next year. I’ll bet you’ll find some non-veteran reasons in there, as well.

This was a disappointing read and a disappointing discussion.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 10:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s frustrating to me as a reader when you connect two dots out of a million dots that are out there and say "Hurdle is frustrating because he only wants Lee because he’s a vet."

Only I’ve never said this. Ever. This would be a demonstrably insane belief. I focused on Hurdle’s interest in having Lee as a veteran hitter because, well, that’s what Hurdle said. I don’t think that’s a good reason for wanting to bring Lee back. Obviously, this does not mean that Lee’s on-field abilities play no role in Hurdle’s interest in having him back. I don’t know why you would think I think this. It’s ridiculous.

This was … a disappointing discussion.

Agreed.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 3, 2011 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's because you did say it yourself.

You said that Hurdle’s reasoning for bringing Lee back was because he is a veteran.

Then you make that terrible mistake of trying to hoist Overbay’s and Diaz’s failures onto Lee like somehow, because Overbay and Diaz didn’t perform as expected, teams don’t need veterans.

But, even that being said, the whole notion of a veteran is that they also bring much more to the table than the on-field stats. I wasn’t in the clubhouse, but I’d be curious to those who were to ask, do the young guys hang around the vets, ask a lot of questions. Every young relief pitcher talks about how great it is to have a veteran in the bullpen to talk with during the game.

Perhaps I should have listened more closely to your first couple of sentences where you said you might write stuff that you actually didn’t believe in order to argue against something you disagree with. It’s makes everything make a lot more sense.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 11:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

You said that Hurdle’s reasoning for bringing Lee back was because he is a veteran.

Well … Hurdle did actually give this reason for wanting to bring Lee back. What I did not say was that this was Hurdle’s only reason, as you charged two posts ago. I don’t know if you honestly can’t tell what you’re saying is absurd, or if this is all just a poor attempt at sophistry on your part.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 3, 2011 11:53 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

Reading this back and forth reminded me of this
Have you ever met someone who you found so disagreeable that you find yourself arguing your way into a corner and saying things you don’t even believe just because, on a visceral level, you want badly to disagree with them?

by mdsvbucs on Sep 4, 2011 8:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

I understand what you're saying, impliedi. I don't necessarily agree with it, but I understand.

However, I think you are really dragging the bottom of the well with your breakdown of some of the players with “5+ years” here…

Grilli: out of the 9 years you’re crediting him for, he’s only appeared in 20 games 4 of them (his next game for the Pirates will be his 20th appearance). And going by the numbers you post above (50 IP), that drops it down to three. (He’s not going to get 50 IP for us this season)(Yes, I know that’s what you were using for 32-Y.O. + players)

Resop: (6 yrs) Has appeared in 20 games 3 of them, and this is the first year he’s gone over 21.1 IP, much less 50 IP.

Burres: (6 years) Has appeared in 20 games 3 times, 50 IP 3 times.

Karstens: (6 years) See Burres.

Veras: (6 yrs) 20 games, 4 times. 50 IP 3 times (nearly only 2 times)

How much service time have these guys accrued?

Free your ass and your mind will follow.

by cocktailsfor2 on Sep 3, 2011 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thanks for the breakdown cf2....

I was just doing a quick look at their seasons’ listings, though I knew many of them have well below 5 years of service time.

I was merely pointing out (in one of the few things that I agreed with in Charlie’s post) that if you throw a pebble, you’re going to hit a veteran in this game we call Major League Baseball. I find it funny that so many people think this is a young man’s game, but even a baby-faced team like the Buccos has a lot of “vets” on it.

Trying to put myself into Clint Hurdle’s shoes (which everybody seems to be trying to do today) and I see:
…terrible things out of Garrett Jones, then flashes of greatness….
…my franchise bat can’t make contact with anything….
…my starting shortstop bunts with the bases loaded….
…my offense can’t put any runs on the board when my starting pitching is going well….
…my offense can’t put any runs on the board when my starting pitching is going poorly…

I’m tired of the inconsistency. I’m tired of the young mistakes. Things are falling apart.

And then a great hitter like Derrek Lee comes along. Homers twice in his first game in my team’s uniform. Quickly goes on the DL.

Somebody asks me about Lee on his return to the line-up.

I would say just what Hurdle said….“we need a guy like this in our line-up. A guy who’s been through the fire.”

I’m just as happy as can be that I finally have a consistent power threat in my line-up. I want him there for as long as I can have him. So, when the media asks about him being there next year…I could say a million things. I could say, “well maybe if our Franchise Player could start hitting those 30+ HRs, like he’s supposed to we might not need him.” Or “holy cow, it’s nice not to have to worry about who’s going to bat clean-up today”. So I pull out one of the many cliches: Veteran players are important.

I just can’t believe, and this is what just totally boggles my mind, that someone that is as intelligent as Charlie, can’t see that.

by impliedi on Sep 4, 2011 12:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Good players are important

it just so happens that most good players are veterans, because you’ve got the age range of 25-40 instead of 20-25. Veterans are not important. If the league allowed trading of draft picks you’d see an even greater discrepancy in age range of teams.

It’s completely one of those correlation/causation things. A team of lincecum, Weaver, Cutch, Elsbury, Felix, etc etc would not be bad simply because they are young. It’s simply near impossible for that team to exist in the current realm of major league baseball.

by Mr. E on Sep 4, 2011 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wait a minute, listen to what you're saying....

and then see how it’s not hard to make the leap.

This is why the “anti-veteran” thing is just so stupid.

To become a “veteran” in this league you have to be good-ish for an extended period of time. To still be playing at 32, you must be at least a decent player.

If you’re not a good player (or you get injured), at some point, you won’t ever make it to veteran status. Therefore, baseball has a tendency to weed out most of its bad baseball players in the first few years before they ever become veterans.

So, let’s add some numbers to that. Let’s say that for every 50 24 or 25-year-old players who make it to the major leagues for at least 1 game, 5 of those players is still playing at the age of 30 (and I think that’s being really kind) and becomes a “veteran”. That means by putting a 24 year-old out there, there is a 10% chance he’ll have a moderately long career.

Now let’s say for each of those 5 players that has a veteran career, 1 out of those 5 is kind of a fluke (just happens to keep latching on to teams, people keep believing he’ll finally fulfill his potential, etc.) That means that 80% of the veterans became veterans (lasted so long) because they are good players.

Sooo, doesn’t it make sense that given the choice of adding a 24-year-old or a 31-year-old to your team, the odds are typically going to favor that the 31 year-old is more likely to give you a successful season that the 24-year-old?

In my made-up numbers, you pretty much have an 80% chance you’re getting a good player in the 31-year-old and only a 10% chance in the 24-year-old?

Because the game has already weeded out the “bad” 31-year-olds all that’s left are mostly the good ones. Whereas, the AAAA guys and the high draft picks who won’t amount to anything are still in that 24-year-old group.

I’m not saying that you always choose the vet over the rookie. The good rookie or young player, if you make the correct choice, will probably have a huge ceiling over the veteran. But, your chance of failure is also much, much greater.

I don’t think this is some kind of fallacy. I think this is all about attrition and the fact that not too many bad players are still collecting major league paychecks 6 years into their careers if they aren’t decent players.

by impliedi on Sep 4, 2011 1:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't think it's anti-vet

it’s just that being pro-vet makes no sense. Pro-good player should be the only rule.

by Mr. E on Sep 4, 2011 4:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

And what I was getting at is

that if you remove the (what I will call) “marginal vets” as I’ve described above, you’re left with:

DLee -15 …Who hasn’t played but 5 games for us
Ryan Ludwick – 9 …Who hasn’t played but about 20 games for us
Lyle Overbay – 11 …Stinky – released
Joe Beimel – 11 …Stinky – released
Matt Diaz – 9 …Mostly Stinky – traded
Kevin Correia – 9 …Very good 1st half – would’ve liked to have seen a good full season from him
Chris Snyder – 8 …34 games, out for the season
Paul Maholm – 7 …Not a good record, but I like Pauly
Ryan Doumit – 7 …57 games, mostly injured
Ronny Cedeno – 7 …I like Ronny, but his “veteranosity” factor as a leader is pretty much nil.

Like I said, imp, I understand what you’re saying, but I don’t necessarily agree with it.

Yes, a team needs veterans. But this year’s team (over)achieved with very few 5+ guys being of any consequence (injured, not here or stinky).

I think you’re taking Charlie to task for something you’re perceiving, rather than what he’s said. Note he said “won’t contend,” not “won’t be competitive.”

Free your ass and your mind will follow.

by cocktailsfor2 on Sep 4, 2011 8:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

“What’s interesting is that the Pirates have/had a decent amount of 5+ years guys on the team this year.”

And the team is bad once again. I’ll take talent over age and veteran presence any day of the week.

by bolton on Sep 4, 2011 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

Are you defending Hurdle’s strategy or saying Hurdle doesn’t actually believe what he said?

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hey Mr. E, is that question for me??

Sometimes it’s hard for me to figure out who’s responding to whom (even when the comments are tabbed out)….

If it was directed towards me, here’s my answer: sort of and sort of.

Based solely on what I’ve read, I imagine something like this (time for me to psychoanalyze a bit!!)

1. Hurdle badly, badly wants a proven bat like Derrek Lee in his line-up for the future.
2. Media asks him about Lee (or he even brings it up himself) and he has to come up with reasons to explain wanting Derrek Lee.
3. Well, what’s the first thing that anybody in his position is going to say? “Derrek Lee is a proven veteran hitter, If you look at every good team, they have a veteran hitter in their line-up.”

Naturally, Hurdle wants a guy and he’s voicing one of the most easily understandable reasons why he wants the guy.

My problem is that Charlie then takes this bizarre leap into assuming that Hurdle’s thinking is that he obsessively MUST have a veteran, and the ONLY reason he want Lee is because he is a veteran.

I think Charlie is connecting two dots that aren’t there. I imagine if you asked Hurdle for a full list of reasons why he wants DLee on his team, he’d get a fuller picture than he is a vet. If Garrett Jones had proven that he was a worthwhile everyday first baseman, Hurdle never makes that comment. If the Pirates had ANYBODY to play 1st base regularly, he doesn’t make that statement. This is about Lee being the best option at 1st, not because he’s a vet, but that makes a good soundbite.

There are a lot of times that I disagree with Charlie’s statements, but that is the joy of reading a blog. But, there are a few times (which is bound to happen over the course of a very long season) where he has made some leaps like this or generalized against a large group of players which I have found hard to digest, and I will often make a comment about it. This is one of those times that I think Charlie’s comments are absolutely absurd. But, everyone’s entitled to their opinions.

So to answer your questions:.

Am I defending Hurdle’s strategy? I agree that just about every winning professional team that I’ve ever seen seems to have at least a few vets. I would think over a 162-game season, there are times when talent isn’t enough, and vets know how to get out of slumps a little quicker, not get so down when bad things happen, take better approaches late in games, etc. We all saw how Jack Wilson became a tremendous defensive shortstop the more experienced he became. Did his talent increase? No, his understanding of the game did. He positioned himself better since he knew the tendencies of the batters he’d seen over and over again. So, yeah, I think a few vets is probably a good thing.

2. Hurdle doesn’t actually believe what he said: Sure, I’d imagine Hurdle would like to have a few vets on his team (this Pirates team actually has a good number of vets.) But, I don’t think that’s the only reason why he wants Lee. The Pirates have a gaping hole at first. He wants Derrek Lee there next year, I don’t blame him.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 10:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah it was for you

and damn this is a lot of reading. haha it sounded like the second one but then your other comments you were defending vets, that’s why I asked for clarification. (oh and hitting the “up” button down by the reply button sends you to the post that post is replying to).

Hmm ok for the rest… I think Hurdle wants bats, whether they are veteran bats or no. Even you admit Hurdle wouldn’t play a mediocre vet like DLee over a stud prospect/young player. So I’m psychoanalyzing this to mean he thinks the other options that are unproven (Hague/Pearce) are comparable in talent to Lee. Hurdle is saying given two equal options he’d take the vet, and I guess that’s ok.

The next part is where I think it is YOU who is making the leap.
“You need somebody who’s been tested by fire” – direct quote from Hurdle. So Charlie isn’t really making any assumptions, Hurdle directly said he DOES NEED a vet. I don’t see any part where Charlie or Hurdle say that’s the only reason, it’s just the only one Hurdle gave in this instance.
Charlie also said that Hurdles quote made no sense as a reason to keep Lee. I agree with this. As he notes, it’s just really hard to NOT have at least 1 5 year guy. You’d have to have an amazing farm system in the very early stages of a breakout for it to happen and your team would also have to be risk averse and against spending any money on FA.

Oh and yes I agree with the next bit that Hurdle thinks Lee is the best option (and certainly could be). I also think Charlie acknowledges Lee may be a good/best option for us and that’s why he is surprised at Hurdle’s statement in the first place, since Clint could have given several that actually make sense. He’s a power hitter, he plays D, not many other options, high character, and so on.

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 10:41 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I also think Charlie acknowledges Lee may be a good/best option for us and that’s why he is surprised at Hurdle’s statement in the first plac

If that was Charlie’s intent, he didn’t say as much in the original posting. He said that because the Pirates have tanked the last 6 weeks, they have no chance in 2012. And because they have no chance in 2012, they might as well go with Jones/Hague and that there is no sense in bringing Lee back.

If Charlie had written what you said, I would have had no beef with it.

If Charlie had written “I hate it when managers act like having a veteran is a necessity. When asked about DLee’s possible return in 2012, Hurdle played the veteran card. How about the fact that Lee is the only viable solution at first base next year? How about that he still has a lot of great baseball left in him? The last thing I want to hear about is how it’s important to have a veteran on the team. Give me a team with the 25 best guys you can get.”

I would have rec’d that. Perhaps that was his intent, but I didn’t read it that way. And then to top that off with writing off 2012 because of what’s happened in the last 6 weeks, was inexcusable. Often, when I disagree with Charlie, I laugh and mutter to myself and don’t post anything. On a few occasions, I go into a tirade because I don’t like a particular part of Charlie’s post. Usually, it’s when he generalizes something, which I feel he did again today.

Luckily, it’s all speculation on our part. The Buccos FO will do what they think is best this off-season.

The moves they make will certainly let’s us know if the Pirates brass feels as Charlie does, that there’s no reason to expect to compete in 2012.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 11:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, I think Charlie kind of implied that with his first bit, where he said he’s more upset about Hurdle’s reasoning than his final conclusion (that we should re-sign Lee).

Just like how Hurdle would prefer the vet when it’s even, Charlie is saying he’d prefer the rook. Given that Hurdle’s job is to win now and Charlie thinks we have no chance of winning in 2012, I think both points of view are sane arguments.

If you disagree with him that we can win next year, that’s cool and I mostly agree, but you can admit too these particular options are pretty close so they shouldn’t rule out either rebuilding or winning in 2012.

Also, usually I’d agree with that last paragraph but I think this FA class is exceptionally top heavy and that we will focus more on the trade market. I’m sure NH believes in the current players but I still doubt he will go “all-in” just for the sake of it. If there is close to fair value I think we make a big move, otherwise we will be stuck with more Diaz/Olsen/Correia acquisitions and sit on our hands for next fall when there is an awesome FA class.

by Mr. E on Sep 4, 2011 12:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

(I’m not saying the Pirates have no chance of winning in 2012, just that the unlikelihood of them doing so tips the balance in favor of younger players, especially when, as in the case of Hague/Jones vs. Lee, the difference in performance isn’t likely to be large. But you’ve basically got it right.)

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 4, 2011 12:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

The next part is where I think it is YOU who is making the leap.
"You need somebody who’s been tested by fire" – direct quote from Hurdle. So Charlie isn’t really making any assumptions, Hurdle directly said he DOES NEED a vet. I don’t see any part where Charlie or Hurdle say that’s the only reason, it’s just the only one Hurdle gave in this instance.
Charlie also said that Hurdles quote made no sense as a reason to keep Lee. I agree with this. As he notes, it’s just really hard to NOT have at least 1 5 year guy. You’d have to have an amazing farm system in the very early stages of a breakout for it to happen and your team would also have to be risk averse and against spending any money on FA.

This. Thank you.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 3, 2011 11:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Grand Slammie

I think he offers more than just leadership.

Bwa-ha-ha-ha-ha.

by Mario Mendoza on Sep 3, 2011 5:56 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

I know it isn’t really his fault, but the absolutely god-awful way this team has played since Lee and Ludwick arrived is enough for me to not want to keep either one of them. Offer arbitration, take picks, go home.

by Aphthakid on Sep 3, 2011 5:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Lee has played very well

The few games he played. I’d be open to resigning him depending on the cost.

by Deadstar on Sep 3, 2011 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

DLee just called

to tell you to SHUT UP.

Sorry, I know that AB doesn’t mean anything wrt his value in 2012. But it’s pretty funny timing.

by JRoth95 on Sep 3, 2011 6:11 PM EDT reply actions  

Haha yeah. Makes me want to talk trash on the whole team for the rest of the month.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 3, 2011 6:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lee hits the Brewers, Cards, Reds, and Cubs well?

I thought that was another reason folks liked the acquisition. Cubs may want him back now.

by Central*Scrutinizer on Sep 3, 2011 6:34 PM EDT reply actions  

Well, he used to be awesome

so I’m sure he has good career numbers against most teams. That still tells you nothing about his chances of being good in 2012

by Mr. E on Sep 3, 2011 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

yup this. he also hits well in PNC park. Ludwick also hits the Cards and Brewers well

Thats what she said! - Michael Gary Scott

by C Shint on Sep 4, 2011 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

After the way the last six weeks have gone, there’s no reason to think the Pirates will contend in 2012,

Woah, woah, woah…why is the last 6 weeks more of an indicator of the Pirates’ chance of success NEXT year than the first 4 months??

I think the first 4 months proved that, when the right pieces fall together at the right time, ANY ONE can compete. And that’s the point. You don’t give up on 2012 because of a bad 6 weeks in 2011. That’s just an over-emotionalized response to the recent play of the Pirates. Take a step back and think what it will take for the Pirates to repeat the success of the first 4 months and do much better than these last 6 weeks next year. I certainly, under all accounts, think that Derrek Lee provides top-to-bottom better everything than you’re going to get out of Jones/Hague (I can’t believe how many people keep penciling Hague in here…let’s not get ahead of ourselves.)

I prefer to think that McCutchen continues to get better just from another year in the bigs, Walker gets better at fielding, Presley gets a full look, the Pirates settle down their SS position, Alvarez figures it out or they get someone else in there for the time being, most of the rotation that carried the team through the first half of the season returns. These are not dreary times for the Bucs. Lee is not the guy that will single-handedly carry this team to a WS. As I (and many others) have said countless times…it’s all about McCutchen, Tabata, Walker and Alvarez….but putting a good hitter like Lee into the mix of all of that, seems like a no-brainer to me. Especially when you’re likely to lose a solid professional veteran hitter like Doumit from the team.

I certainly hope the Pirates don’t say, “Boy, we’ve stunk for the last 6 weeks…let’s just play all the young guys next year…”

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 6:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Woah, woah, woah…why is the last 6 weeks more of an indicator of the Pirates’ chance of success NEXT year than the first 4 months??

Didn’t say they were. Add them together, and the Pirates are 18 games out of first.

You don’t give up on 2012 because of a bad 6 weeks in 2011.

There is a great distance between making a conditional case for playing Jones and Hague instead of Derrek Lee and “giving up on 2012.” I’m not at all certain Jones and Hague will even be worse than Lee.

by Charlie Wilmoth on Sep 3, 2011 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Aren't you a little concerned about Lee's first four months with Baltimore though?

Especially if you are going to base your opinion that we can contend in 2012 because the first three-and-a-half months of the Bucs season was not a fluke.

Lee has looked good with us so far (6 games) but he actually has a lower OBP and a lower slugging percentage than Jones has had this season. It seems like we need more evidence that the first four months of Lee’s season was some kind of fluke besides just asserting that he is better than Jones. It doesn’t seem obvious that spending $8 to $10 mil on Lee is a smart move when we may get essentially the same or even better production from Jones.

by WestCoastBuc on Sep 3, 2011 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's a legit concern, WestCoast,

that’s why it’s lucky that none of us are the GM!!! I’ll leave it to NH to determine it Lee is worth it.

But just on the surface, if you ask me would I rather have Lee AND Jones on the team or just Jones, I’d take both.

I’m a big believer in building up as many good, quality players on the team as you can and letting it all sort itself out (line-ups, playing time, etc.) during the year.

The great thing about Neal Huntington is that he has shown that he doesn’t let the money play a factor in how playing time is divided up. So if you have Lee AND Jones in your line-up and Lee stinks it up, then Jones becomes your starter.

I want to see the Pirates get to the point of having very good, multiple options at every position. It may never happen, but I would always strive for it. I was probably one of the few people who was excited to have both Snyder and Doumit on the roster. When healthy, I don’t think there’s a better catching combination in baseball. Wouldn’t it be great to have 2 solid major leaguers at every position??

So, my thought is: I would never want to go into 2012, just assuming that GJones is going to be there and that’s it. And Matt Hague certainly doesn’t make me feel better if/when a Jones injury/slump would occur.

The Pirates are going to sign a first baseman in the off-season, whether everybody likes it or not. I mean, look at the last off-season, Lyle Overbay and Matt Diaz were signed because the Pirates didn’t feel that Garrett Jones could be an everyday 1B or RF. Has that changed after this year??

So the question becomes: after Pujols and Fielder get their tens of millions of dollars annually, what’s the market going to be for the other 1B? Is Lee a good value? The Pirates are certainly going to sign somebody. It doesn’t have to be Lee, but it will be somebody. They will not just hand the job over to Jones. It won’t happen.

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 9:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

We'll see how it goes

I have liked what I have seen from Lee so far, not only on the HRs, but it’s looked to me that he has had some good cuts on balls that he didn’t quite get all of. I’d certainly feel more comfortable with Lee and Jones at 1B next season than Jones and Hague. Against that though I feel pretty snake bit with all of the money this team has shoveled away on veterans whose last decent season had already happened.

by WestCoastBuc on Sep 3, 2011 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed about Lee...

Though I’ve got to disagree with you about spending money. I never want to see this team get snake bit (to borrow your term) because of what’s happened in the past. Unfortunately, a lot of people bring up past Pirate failings to try to prove that the Pirates shouldn’t keep trying (not saying that you were saying that.)

That was part of my beef with Charlie’s post. To bring up Overbay and Diaz (even in the joking manner that he did) to try and discredit a future signing of Lee is just plain wrong.

If the Pirates ever get to the point where they are afraid to take a chance signing a free agent veteran because they’ve have bad luck in the past, we might as well pack up the ball club!!

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 11:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

So if I may add your A and B together to get your C

A = great four months
B = bad six weeks
C = they’ll never be able to rectify those last 6 weeks should it occur next year, so they’re hopelessly out of contention.

Wow, what turned you into such a cynic? This team is likely to have a 15-20 game win increase over last year when it’s all said and done. And that’s with almost NO production from 1st base and 3rd base this year. That means they’ll only need to make about a 10-15 game increase over that for serious playoff contention. Are you saying that’s cause for a statement like “there’s no reason to think that the Pirates will contend in 2012”

I think this team is closer to contention than any Pirates team has been in a long time. Next year could certainly be the year. And I wouldn’t want to just leave it Jones/Hague. Is there any harm in trying to bring in a Derrek Lee?

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 7:26 PM EDT reply actions  

I think this team is closer to contention than any Pirates team has been in a long time.

Today in “Damning With Faint Praise”…

by matskralc on Sep 3, 2011 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

What's funny is that Derrek Lee has been historically bad against the Cubs)...

but guess who’s been a Cub Killer (sorry, that sounds terrible…don’t worry, it’s not really baby bears!!)….

Garrett Jones!

by impliedi on Sep 3, 2011 11:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

And speaking of Lee's splits...

Derrek Lee has played against all 30 teams…

He has an OPS under .700 against just 3 of them (Orioles, Yankees, Mariners)
And an OPS under .800 against 7 of them (those 3 plus Dodger, Cubs, Rays, Diamondbacks).

To put that into Garrett Jones context:
Jones has played against 26 teams.
Career OPS under .700 against 7 teams
and under .800 against 16 teams.

Obviously small sample sizes are in play here, but it does show you just how consistently good Derrek Lee has been for a long while now!!

by impliedi on Sep 4, 2011 12:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

but he is like 35 or 36

you have to wonder when he is going to start to slip.

by bbautista24 on Sep 4, 2011 3:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

It all depends on your view of the Pirates' contention possibilities.

If you think the Pirates have as much chance as anybody in the NL Central next year (imagine that Fielder AND Pujols may both be gone…things could get ugly), I don’t worry so much about Lee’s age. Which is where I am.

But, if you think the Pirates have ZERO chance (or less than good) next year, then, of course, re-signing a Lee is a useless exercise.

by impliedi on Sep 4, 2011 11:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Re-signing Lee is a useless exercise...

because he isn’t good. Garrett Jones wRC+ this year is 110, Lee is at 98, which puts him in the same category as James Loney, Brett Wallace and Juan Rivera. Matt Hague is at 128 in AAA. His MLEs are not great, but the point is, we have two much cheaper alternatives available. Lee has declined in each of the past two seasons, but at 36 he is suddenly going to revert to his 2009 form? This is the kind of thinking that brought Lyle Overbay on board.

by nycbucsfan on Sep 4, 2011 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

Raise ticket prices and bring up some "fringe" guy to start at 1B?

Is this fringe guy any different than Jeff Clement?

Garret Jones can’t play 1b in the field. He’s awful. If the FO thought that Hague could play he’d be up by now. Obviously the Pirates FO knows he can’t play a lick.

If its a reasonable price I rather bring back Lee.

And comparing Overbay and Diaz to Lee is really a frickin joke. Those guys wish they had the career of Derrick Lee. Embarrassing ’Charlie. Embarrassing.

by JCBucs on Sep 4, 2011 8:12 PM EDT reply actions  

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Who'd of "Plunked" it? Shades of Jason Kendall
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Runs . . . Any way you can get them
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gamethread vs cubs 5/26/12
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A little background on the offense
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Guess the Score Game 47: Cubs @ Pirates
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Guess the Score Game 46: Cubs @ Pirates
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A cheerful look at our offseason additions
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Pedro's Defensive Contributions
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A couple guys that could help the Buccos offense
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The Pirates Pitchers Have Adopted Their Own Sign: The FU!

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