As Tim Williams noted
As of the end of the 2011 season, only eight players from the entire 2008 draft class have produced a career 2.0 WAR or better, according to Baseball-Reference. That just shows that it’s too early to be expecting any team to have a player in the majors at this point, especially guys after the first round
Still, we keep expecting that our players will speed through the minors. Unlikely to happen. To make this a bit more concrete, here are the current outcomes for players drafted in the first ten rounds by NL Central teams. As the headline suggests, Pedro Alvarez has the most at-bats, and Josh Harrison (who was drafted by the Cubs) is second (to Brett Lawrie) in fWAR through 2011. Only 15 of the 67 draftees have had any playing time in the majors. There is also the interpretation question: Does ML playing time signal a good draft or a bad ML team? Based on fWAR, Milwaukee has had the best draft so far. Of course, with seven choices in the first three rounds, Milwaukee should have. Of course it's all due to Lawrie.
Here are the complete results
|
Round |
# |
Player |
Position |
School |
IP/AB |
fWAR |
Level |
|
Chicago |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
19 |
RHP |
Texas Christian |
65 |
-0.2 |
MLB |
|
|
1s |
41 |
SS |
Vanderbilt |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
2 |
65 |
Aaron Shafer |
RHP |
Wichita State |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
3 |
97 |
Chris Carpenter |
RHP |
Kent State |
9 |
-0.1 |
MLB |
|
4 |
131 |
Matt Cerda |
SS |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
5 |
161 |
Justin Bristow |
RHP |
East Carolina |
0 |
NA |
A |
|
6 |
191 |
Josh Harrison |
2B |
Cincinnati |
195 |
0.9 |
MLB |
|
7 |
221 |
Luis Flores |
C |
Oklahoma State |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
8 |
251 |
James Leverton |
LHP |
Texas Tech |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
9 |
281 |
RHP |
Furman |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
10 |
311 |
RHP |
Texas A&M |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
Cincinnati |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
7 |
1B |
Miami |
117 |
0.5 |
MLB |
|
|
3 |
84 |
RHP |
Texas Tech |
67 |
0.5 |
MLB |
|
|
4 |
119 |
Tyler Cline |
RHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
OOBB |
|
5 |
149 |
Clayton Shunick |
RHP |
North Carolina State |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
6 |
179 |
2B |
Delaware |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
|
7 |
209 |
RHP |
Howard JC |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
|
8 |
239 |
SS |
Cal State |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
|
9 |
269 |
OF |
Coastal Carolina |
118 |
0.3 |
MLB |
|
|
10 |
299 |
Sean Conner |
OF |
Palm Beach CC |
0 |
NA |
OOBB |
|
Houston |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
10 |
C |
Stanford |
217 |
.2 |
MLB |
|
|
1s |
38 |
RHP |
HS |
94 |
.3 |
MLB |
|
|
2 |
56 |
OF |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
|
3 |
88 |
Chase Davidson |
1B |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A- |
|
3s |
109 |
Ross Seaton |
RHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
4 |
122 |
OF |
Arizona |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
|
5 |
152 |
David Duncan |
LHP |
Georgia Tech |
0 |
NA |
OOBB |
|
6 |
182 |
OF |
Ohio State |
81 |
0.3 |
MLB |
|
|
7 |
212 |
OF |
Arizona |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
|
8 |
242 |
Brad Dydalewicz |
LHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A |
|
9 |
272 |
LHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
|
10 |
302 |
Jarred Holloway |
LHP |
JC |
0 |
NA |
OOBB |
|
Milwaukee |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
16 |
Brett Lawrie |
3B/C |
HS |
171 |
2.7 |
MLB |
|
1s |
32 |
Jake Odorizzi |
RHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
1s |
35 |
Evan Frederickson |
LHP |
San Francisco |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
2 |
53 |
Seth Lintz |
RHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A |
|
2 |
54 |
OF |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
|
2 |
62 |
Cody Adams |
RHP |
Southern Illinois |
0 |
NA |
A |
|
3 |
94 |
OF |
Cal Poly |
5 |
.1 |
MLB |
|
|
4 |
128 |
Josh Romanski |
LHP |
San Diego |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
5 |
158 |
Maverick Lasker |
RHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
6 |
188 |
Jose Duran |
SS |
Texas A&M |
0 |
NA |
A |
|
7 |
218 |
Trey Watten |
RHP |
Abilene Christian |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
8 |
248 |
OF |
Cal State Fullerton |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
|
9 |
278 |
Michael Bowman |
RHP |
VMI |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
10 |
308 |
RHP |
Seton Hall |
0 |
NA |
OOBB |
|
|
Pittsburgh |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
2 |
Pedro Alvarez |
3B |
Vanderbilt |
582 |
0.8 |
MLB |
|
2 |
48 |
RHP |
Fresno State |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
3 |
79 |
SS |
Oklahoma State |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
4 |
114 |
Chase d'Arnaud |
SS |
Pepperdine |
143 |
-0.2 |
MLB |
|
5 |
144 |
LHP |
Fresno State |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
6 |
174 |
OF |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
|
7 |
204 |
Benji Gonzalez |
SS |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
8 |
234 |
3B |
Virginia |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
|
9 |
264 |
3B |
Oklahoma State |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
10 |
294 |
Drew Gagnon |
RHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
OOBB |
|
St. Louis |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
13 |
1B |
Arizona State |
480 |
-0.3 |
MLB |
|
|
1s |
39 |
RHP |
Mississippi |
34 |
0.6 |
MLB |
|
|
2 |
59 |
OF |
Long Beach State |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
3 |
91 |
Niko Vasquez |
SS |
HS |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
4 |
125 |
RHP |
UC Irvine |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
|
5 |
155 |
Jermaine Curtis |
3B |
UCLA |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
6 |
185 |
RHP |
CC |
0 |
NA |
A+ |
|
|
7 |
215 |
LHP |
HS |
0 |
NA |
A |
|
|
8 |
245 |
Ryan Kulik |
LHP |
Rowan |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
9 |
275 |
OF |
Rice |
0 |
NA |
AAA |
|
|
10 |
305 |
2B |
Belmont Abbey |
0 |
NA |
AA |
|
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