FanPost

Pedro Alvarez first in at-bats, Josh Harrison second in fWAR

As Tim Williams noted

As of the end of the 2011 season, only eight players from the entire 2008 draft class have produced a career 2.0 WAR or better, according to Baseball-Reference. That just shows that it’s too early to be expecting any team to have a player in the majors at this point, especially guys after the first round

Still, we keep expecting that our players will speed through the minors. Unlikely to happen. To make this a bit more concrete, here are the current outcomes for players drafted in the first ten rounds by NL Central teams. As the headline suggests, Pedro Alvarez has the most at-bats, and Josh Harrison (who was drafted by the Cubs) is second (to Brett Lawrie) in fWAR through 2011. Only 15 of the 67 draftees have had any playing time in the majors. There is also the interpretation question: Does ML playing time signal a good draft or a bad ML team? Based on fWAR, Milwaukee has had the best draft so far. Of course, with seven choices in the first three rounds, Milwaukee should have. Of course it's all due to Lawrie.

Here are the complete results

Round

#

Player

Position

School

IP/AB

fWAR

Level

Chicago

1

19

Andrew Cashner

RHP

Texas Christian

65

-0.2

MLB

1s

41

Ryan Flaherty

SS

Vanderbilt

0

NA

AAA

2

65

Aaron Shafer

RHP

Wichita State

0

NA

AA

3

97

Chris Carpenter

RHP

Kent State

9

-0.1

MLB

4

131

Matt Cerda

SS

HS

0

NA

A+

5

161

Justin Bristow

RHP

East Carolina

0

NA

A

6

191

Josh Harrison

2B

Cincinnati

195

0.9

MLB

7

221

Luis Flores

C

Oklahoma State

0

NA

AA

8

251

James Leverton

LHP

Texas Tech

0

NA

AA

9

281

Jay Jackson

RHP

Furman

0

NA

AAA

10

311

Alex Wilson

RHP

Texas A&M

0

NA

AAA

Cincinnati

1

7

Yonder Alonso

1B

Miami

117

0.5

MLB

3

84

Zach Stewart

RHP

Texas Tech

67

0.5

MLB

4

119

Tyler Cline

RHP

HS

0

NA

OOBB

5

149

Clayton Shunick

RHP

North Carolina State

0

NA

AA

6

179

Alex Buchholz

2B

Delaware

0

NA

A+

7

209

Pedro Villarreal

RHP

Howard JC

0

NA

AA

8

239

Cody Puckett

SS

Cal State

0

NA

AA

9

269

Dave Sappelt

OF

Coastal Carolina

118

0.3

MLB

10

299

Sean Conner

OF

Palm Beach CC

0

NA

OOBB

Houston

1

10

Jason Castro

C

Stanford

217

.2

MLB

1s

38

Jordan Lyles

RHP

HS

94

.3

MLB

2

56

Jay Austin

OF

HS

0

NA

A+

3

88

Chase Davidson

1B

HS

0

NA

A-

3s

109

Ross Seaton

RHP

HS

0

NA

AA

4

122

T.J. Steele

OF

Arizona

0

NA

AA

5

152

David Duncan

LHP

Georgia Tech

0

NA

OOBB

6

182

J.B. Shuck

OF

Ohio State

81

0.3

MLB

7

212

Jon Gaston

OF

Arizona

0

NA

AA

8

242

Brad Dydalewicz

LHP

HS

0

NA

A

9

272

Luis Cruz

LHP

HS

0

NA

A+

10

302

Jarred Holloway

LHP

JC

0

NA

OOBB

Milwaukee

1

16

Brett Lawrie

3B/C

HS

171

2.7

MLB

1s

32

Jake Odorizzi

RHP

HS

0

NA

AA

1s

35

Evan Frederickson

LHP

San Francisco

0

NA

A+

2

53

Seth Lintz

RHP

HS

0

NA

A

2

54

Cutter Dykstra

OF

HS

0

NA

A+

2

62

Cody Adams

RHP

Southern Illinois

0

NA

A

3

94

Logan Schafer

OF

Cal Poly

5

.1

MLB

4

128

Josh Romanski

LHP

San Diego

0

NA

AA

5

158

Maverick Lasker

RHP

HS

0

NA

A+

6

188

Jose Duran

SS

Texas A&M

0

NA

A

7

218

Trey Watten

RHP

Abilene Christian

0

NA

A+

8

248

Erik Komatsu

OF

Cal State Fullerton

0

NA

AA

9

278

Michael Bowman

RHP

VMI

0

NA

AA

10

308

Greg Miller

RHP

Seton Hall

0

NA

OOBB

Pittsburgh

1

2

Pedro Alvarez

3B

Vanderbilt

582

0.8

MLB

2

48

Tanner Scheppers

RHP

Fresno State

0

NA

AAA

3

79

Jordy Mercer

SS

Oklahoma State

0

NA

AAA

4

114

Chase d'Arnaud

SS

Pepperdine

143

-0.2

MLB

5

144

Justin Wilson

LHP

Fresno State

0

NA

AAA

6

174

Robbie Grossman

OF

HS

0

NA

A+

7

204

Benji Gonzalez

SS

HS

0

NA

A+

8

234

Jeremy Farrell

3B

Virginia

0

NA

AA

9

264

Matt Hague

3B

Oklahoma State

0

NA

AAA

10

294

Drew Gagnon

RHP

HS

0

NA

OOBB

St. Louis

1

13

Brett Wallace

1B

Arizona State

480

-0.3

MLB

1s

39

Lance Lynn

RHP

Mississippi

34

0.6

MLB

2

59

Shane Peterson

OF

Long Beach State

0

NA

AAA

3

91

Niko Vasquez

SS

HS

0

NA

AA

4

125

Scott Gorgen

RHP

UC Irvine

0

NA

AA

5

155

Jermaine Curtis

3B

UCLA

0

NA

AA

6

185

Eric Fornataro

RHP

CC

0

NA

A+

7

215

Anthony Ferrara

LHP

HS

0

NA

A

8

245

Ryan Kulik

LHP

Rowan

0

NA

AAA

9

275

Aaron Luna

OF

Rice

0

NA

AAA

10

305

Alex Castellanos

2B

Belmont Abbey

0

NA

AA

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the managing editor (Charlie) or SB Nation. FanPosts are written by Bucs Dugout readers.

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