Giolito, a 6'6" right-handed high school pitcher from California, had been regarded as the top high school pitcher in the 2012 MLB draft class. Giolito's coach Matt LaCour says that Giolito is not expected to need surgery - of course, LaCour admitted in the same statement that he had lied to a reporter about the nature of Giolito's injury after his last game in order to protect Giolito, characterizing it as a groin strain rather than an elbow problem, so who knows how trustworthy he is here?
If Giolito really is done for the year, it will be interesting to see how teams evaluate him during the pre-draft period. I liked him quite a lot before the injury, and even if he were known to be facing Tommy John surgery, I don't know that I'd rule him out as a possibility for our first-round pick. The recovery rate from TJ is very high these days, and most high school pitchers tend to be used fairly conservatively down the stretch in their signing year anyway, so he wouldn't lose much ground relative to his peers. The Angels made a similar gamble in 2004, signing an injured Nick Adenhart to a well-above-slot $710,000 after he injured his elbow and had TJ during his senior year, and that decision likely would have paid off handsomely if not for his untimely death in 2009.
What do you think?