FanPost

Not a dime's worth of difference?

As you probably know, James Santelli has mined PECOTA and ZiPS to project that the Bucs will have a good bench next year. Mostly this is due to forecasts that Gaby Sanchez, Jose Tabata, and Mike McKenry will be decent.

Santelli uses MLB Depth Charts to forecast that Josh Harrison and Brandon Inge will round out the bench. To which you may respond No!!! Not fill in name here!

But does it matter? The various projection systems have trouble seeing major differences.

Harrison

wOBA

Fielding

BsR

WAR

Steamer

.302

0.2

0.2

0.5

Oliver

.302

0.1

0.1

1.7

ZiPS

.292

-3.0

-0.5

0.6

Harrison has the highest projected wOBA. Oddly, Steamer and Oliver think he can field.

Inge

wOBA

Fielding

BsR

WAR

Steamer

.289

1.3

-0.4

0.4

Oliver

.291

0.9

-0.7

0.9

ZiPS

.288

2.0

-1.0

0.8

Inge is not forecast to hit, but is forecast to field.

DeJesus

wOBA

Fielding

BsR

WAR

Steamer

.290

-0.1

0.0

0.2

Oliver

.285

-2.5

-0.4

0.5

ZiPS

.283

0.0

-0.1

0.5

DeJesus is forecast to hit and field badly.

Mercer

wOBA

Fielding

BsR

WAR

Steamer

.288

0.4

-0.1

0.3

Oliver

.295

2.2

-0.5

1.6

ZiPS

.282

-1.0

-1.1

0.7

Steamer and Oliver predict that Mercer can field; ZiPS does not.

What's your take on all this?

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of the managing editor (Charlie) or SB Nation. FanPosts are written by Bucs Dugout readers.

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