This will be my final mock draft before tomorrow's MLB Draft takes place. Just a reminder, the draft starts at 7:00 PM EST on MLB Network. Things have definitely been wild the past few weeks with players dropping and others shooting up the draft boards. With the final mock draft, I got rid of the 3rd round and the Compensation Round at the end of the third because it is pretty much shooting in the dark by that point. The picks I have made for the Pirates don't reflect my personal preference but how I think the Bucs and other organizations in front of them will approach the draft. I hope everyone enjoys it and here's to hoping we make the right selections tomorrow.
1. Houston Astros - RHP Jonathan Gray (University of Oklahoma)
Player Overview: Gray is a power pitcher with a mid to high 90's fastball, plus slider, and above average changeup. While his control has been shaky in spots, overall, he is the most complete pitcher in the draft who projects as a future ace.
Concerns: Barring a recent positive test for a banned substance - Adderall - Gray has command issues, mostly resulting from mechanic flaws in his delivery.
Season Stats: 10-2, 1.59 ERA, 2.86 FIP, 119 IP, 0.188 OPPBA, 0.279 BABIP, 0.84 WHIP, 1.66 BB/9, 10.44 K/9
2. Chicago Cubs - RHP Mark Appel (Stanford University)
Player Overview: Appel is another power pitcher in the draft. Armed with the best repertoire in college baseball, Appel keeps hitters off balance with a plus fastball, plus changeup, and above average slider. Depending on hitters, he also works in an average curveball and two-seam fastball. Appel hasn't gotten the best results this year, dominating at times, and faltering at other times, but he could turn into a top-of-the-rotation arm down the road.
Concerns: Appel has not gotten the overpowering results many thought he would put up as a senior. His results have been great, but not what is expected of his pedigree. There are some concerns regarding potential injuries coming out of Stanford.
Season Stats: 10-4, 2.12 ERA, 2.98 FIP, 106.3 IP, 0.203 OPPBA, 0.297 BABIP, 0.97 WHIP, 1.95 BB/9, 11.00 K/9
3. Colorado Rockies - 3B Kris Bryant (University of San Diego)
Player Overview: Bryant has mammoth power and a good eye to go along with it. Bryant makes adjustments at the plate, has plus power to all fields, and maintains a level-swing. Defensively, Bryant's future is either RF or 1B. It is highly unlikely Bryant remains at 3B.
Concerns: There are question marks about his pure hitting ability. Bryant's swing has a tendency to become long at times.
Season Stats: 0.329/0.493/0.820, 31 HR, 62 RBI, 66 BB, 44 K
4. Minnesota Twins - RHP Kohl Stewart (St. Pius X High School, Texas)
Player Overview: Stewart is the top arm from the high school ranks. A two-sport athlete, Stewart is quite the athlete with a football commitment to Texas A&M. Stewart has a three-pitch mix: a mid to high 90's fastball, hard slider, and developing changeup. Stewart has ace upside.
Concerns: Major signability concerns due to a strong football commitment to Texas A&M. Boom or bust candidate due to uncertainty of development. Very raw.
Season Stats: 5-1, 40 IP, 0.18 ERA, 59 K, 16 BB, 0.99 OPPBA, 0.244 OBP
5. Cleveland Indians - 3B Colin Moran (University of North Carolina)
Player Overview: Moran is one of the purest bats in the draft. He hits for high average, above average power, has a tremendous eye, and a line drive swing. Defensively he is shaky and may need to be moved off the hot corner down the road, either to 2B or corner OF.
Concerns: Major defensive question marks at 3B. Mechanical fixes needed in swing. Questions regarding power potential.
Season Stats: 0.351/0.478/0.560, 13 HR, 85 RBI, 57 BB, 21 K
6. Miami Marlins - OF Clint Frazier (Loganville High School, Georgia)
Player Overview: Frazier is the top bat out of high school and arguably the best bat in the class. He has plus power to all fields and plus bat speed. Defensively, he will be a corner outfielder where he shows good range and a plus arm.
Concerns: Some injury concerns stemming from tendinitis and build.
Season Stats: 0.485/0.561/1.136, 17 HR, 45 RBI, 17 BB, 8 K
7. Boston Red Sox - RHP Braden Shipley (University of Nevada-Reno)
Player Overview: Shipley is a safe arm in the class, not having been overpitched in his collegiate career. Shipley relies on pinpoint control and a trio of above-average offerings. His changeup is considered the best in college baseball. He projects to be a solid #2-3 pitcher.
Concerns: Lack of an overpowering breaking ball. Limited ceiling.
Season Stats: 7-3, 2.77 ERA, 3.48 FIP, 107.3 IP, 0.218 OPPBA, 0.287 BABIP, 1.10 WHIP, 2.85 BB/9, 8.55 K/9
8. Kansas City Royals - OF Austin Meadows (Grayson High School, Georgia)
Player Overview: Meadows is a 5 tool talent with the ability to remain in centerfield. At the plate, Meadows projects for plus power to go along with a line-drive swing and strong plate discipline. Defensively, Meadow's is the top defensive OF in the draft with an above average arm.
Concerns: Meadows has the frame to hit for plus power but, to this point, has not. Arm is accurate but average.
Season Stats: 0.535/0.633/0.930, 4 HR, 28 RBI, 19 BB, 10 K
9. Pittsburgh Pirates - C Reese McGuire (Kentwood High School, Washington)
Player Review: After a back and forth battle this season, McGuire has emerged as the top catching prospect in the draft. McGuire has the tools to stay behind the plate with a plus arm, quick release, and exceptional blocking skills. At the plate, McGuire projects for above average power and a high average.
Concerns: Sacrifices arm strength for accuracy. Some mechanical adjustments needed in stance/swing.
Season Stats: 0.436/0.559/0.833, 4 HR, 20 RBI, 22 BB, 2 K
10. Toronto Blue Jays - LHP Trey Ball (New Castle Chrysler High School, Indiana)
Player Overview: Ball is the top left handed pitcher in the draft. He is a big, lanky kid whose body isn't nearly done filling out. Ball has a low-90's fastball, low-80's curveball, and mid-70's changeup. He holds his velocity throughout ball games and hasn't been overtaxed on the mound.
Concerns: Durability concerns due to lanky frame. Struggles to command his curve and changeup.
Season Stats: N/A
11. New York Mets - 1B D.J. Peterson (University of New Mexico)
Player Overview: Peterson is a pure hitter out of New Mexico. Peterson has a smooth swing with above average to plus power. Defensively he really doesn't have a position. His arm and range aren't good enough for 3B and it seems likely he will end up at 1B.
Concerns: Future depends entirely on his bat. Has no clear cut defensive position.
Season Stats: 0.408/0.520/0.807, 18 HR, 72 RBI, 46 BB, 35 K
12. Seattle Mariner - SS J.P. Crawford (Lakeview High School, California)
Player Overview: Crawford is the top available shortstop in a draft weak on shortstops. Crawford has plus speed to go along with a plus glove. At short, he moves well, has excellent range, and a strong arm. At the plate he has a level swing but does not get much loft under the ball. He could become a solid leadoff or 2 hitter down the road.
Concerns: Lacks upper body strength. Does not profile for much power.
Season Stats: 0.452/0.540/0.688, 2 HR, 14 RBI, 17 BB, 5 K
13. San Diego Padres - OF Hunter Renfroe (Mississippi State University)
Player Overview: Renfroe is the best example of a high floor/low ceiling player. Renfroe has a lot of power and squares up a lot of pitches but strikeouts may become a concern. Defensively, he is destined for a corner OF spot where his bat will play. He has an accurate, strong arm and moves well for his size.
Concerns: Has not performed at a high level until this season. Has some plate discipline concerns and pitch recognition is questionable.
Season Stats: 0.345/0.435/0.632, 15 HR, 56 RBI, 34 BB, 39 SO
14. Pittsburgh Pirates - RHP Ryne Stanek (University of Arkansas)
Player Overview: Stanek is a power pitcher who has the makings of an ace. The biggest concern, however, is control. Stanek has plus pitches throughout his arsenal: mid-90's fastball, hard slider, and above average changeup and curveball. When he is on, he is virtually unhittable.
Concerns: Mechanical flaws have led to a lack of command.
Season Stats: 10-2, 1.39 ERA, 4.13 FIP, 97.3 IP, 0.207 OPPBA, 0.254 BABIP, 1.16 WHIP, 3.79 BB/9, 7.30 K/9
15. Arizona Diamondbacks - RHP Phil Bickford (Oaks Christian Academy, California)
Player Overview: Bickford is one of the most projectable right handers out of high school. Bickford has a hard sinking fastball and a mid-80's changeup. Projects to add a lot of velocity as his body fills out.
Concerns: Relies almost entirely on heat to get batters out. Is more of a thrower then a pitcher. No breaking ball. Lack of command of changeup. Mechanical concerns in delivery.
Season Stats: N/A
16. Philadelphia Phillies - 1B Dominic Smith (Junipero Serra High School, California)
Player Overview: Smith is the top power hitter in the high school ranks. Smith squares up just about everything thrown at him. He hits for mammoth power and has a line drive swing with a small hole in it. Defensively, Smith is a top-notch 1B with soft hands, a strong arm, and excellent footwork.
Concerns: Swing is slightly loopy and has holes. Some pitch recognition issues but not major.
Season Stats: 0.493/0.635/1.015, 7 HR, 37 RBI, 24 BB, 8 K
17. Chicago White Sox - SS Tim Anderson (East Central Community College)
Player Overview: Anderson is the first player off the board from a JUCO. At the plate, Anderson hits the ball hard but without a lot of power due to his lack of using his lower body properly. Defensively, Anderson is at SS but will most likely end up at 2B due to his poor arm. He has plus speed and could become a legitimate leadoff hitter with some tweaking.
Concerns: Does not project to remain at SS. Weak arm. Level of competition is questionable. Very raw for a college player.
Season Stats: N/A
18. Los Angeles Dodgers - LHP Ian Clarkin (James Madison High School, California)
Player Overview: Clarkin is a projectable lefty who has a great feel for his pitches and a high baseball IQ. Clarkin has solid mechanics and great deception in his delivery. His fastball sits in the high 80's to low 90's. He also features a slow, loopy plus curveball and above average changeup. Clarkin could turn into a solid #2 starter if he develops.
Concerns: Minor mechanical flaws that need ironed out. Inconsistent with release point. Needs to work down in the zone more.
Season Stats: 9-2, 0.95 ERA, 73.3 IP, 133 K, 24 BB, 0.159 OPPBA, 0.236 OBP
19. St. Louis Cardinals - OF Austin Wilson (Stanford University)
Player Overview: Wilson is a player who has loads of talent but has had injuries derail his stock. Wilson has a lot of power and plus bat speed but several hitches in his swing that need fixing. Defensively, he is very athletic with a strong arm and profiles best in a corner OF spot.
Concerns: Major swing tweaking needed. Injury concerns.
Season Stats: 0.288/0.387/0.475, 5 HR, 26 RBI, 31 GP
20. Detroit Tigers - C Jon Denney (Yukon High School, Oklahoma)
Player Overview: Denney is another top catcher from high school. Denney has above average bat speed, nice lift in his swing, and plus power potential to go along with a good eye. Behind the plate, he is nearly major league ready with a plus, accurate arm, strong receiving skills, a great pop time, and an ability to block pitches in the dirt.
Concerns: Throwing motion could be improved.
Season Stats: 0.459/0.600/0.991, 11 HR, 46 RBI, 39 BB, 27 SO
21. Tampa Bay Rays - C Nick Ciuffo (Lexington High School, South Carolina)
Player Overview: Ciuffo is a gifted catcher who projects to be a very capable major league catcher. Ciuffo squares up consistently and has shown good power potential. He moves well behind the plate, blocking pitches and has a great pop time. He seems to fit right in with good tools and best player available for Tampa.
Concerns: Very strong commitment to South Carolina.
Season Stats: 0.507/0.600/0.795, 4 HR, 25 RBI, 17 BB, 3 K
22. Baltimore Orioles - LHP Sean Manaea (Indiana State University)
Player Overview: Manaea is another wildcard in the draft. Manaea showed electric stuff during the summer of 2012 but hasn't repeated it. He has a mid-90's fastball, above average slider and average changeup. He does not hold velocity well throughout games but does have a smooth, easy delivery. He could be destined for the bullpen when it's all said and done.
Concerns: Major injury risk. Command has been less than desirable. Outside the 2012 Cape Cod League, has not performed well.
Season Stats: 5-4, 1.47 ERA, 2.99 FIP, 73.3 IP, 0.190 OPPBA, 0.284 BABIP, 1.04 WHIP, 3.31 BB/9, 11.41 K/9.
23. Texas Rangers - 3B Eric Jagiello (University of Notre Dame)
Player Overview: Jagiello is a top hitter from the college ranks. He possess plus bat speed and power combined with a balanced approach at the plate. Defensively, he has been moved around quite a bit but projects best at a corner OF spot.
Concerns: Contact rate is less than desirable. Pitch recognition is questionable. Future position is uncertain.
Season Stats: 0.388/0.500/0.633, 9 HR, 53 RBI, 35 BB, 33 SO
24. Oakland Athletics - RHP Hunter Harvey (Bandys High School, South Carolina)
Player Overview: Harvey is a pitcher who flew completely under the radar until about a month ago. Harvey has a low 90's fastball and hard curveball. He lacks a consistent changeup which could hurt him but he has the frame to easily project as a starter who could add velocity to his fastball.
Concerns: Relies heavily on heat to get outs. Lacks proper command of his changeup. Little exposure outside of South Carolina leaves questions as to what he is capable of.
Season Stats: 8-0, 0.38 ERA, 54.6 IP, 116 K, 17 BB, 0.120 OPPBA, 0.210 OBP
25. San Francisco Giants - OF Phil Ervin (Samford University)
Player Overview: Ervin is the top player from the small college ranks. Ervin has tremendous hitting tools: plus bat speed, explosive hands, patience, and a good eye. Defensively, Ervin is a strong in the outfield, taking good routes and possessing a strong arm.
Concerns: Level of competition is questionable. Not very projectable due to small stature. May not stick in CF.
Season Stats: 0.337/0.459/0.597, 11 HR, 40 RBI, 39 BB, 21 SO
26. New York Yankees - LHP Rob Kaminsky (St. Joseph's Regional High School, New Jersey)
Player Overview: Kaminsky is a control pitcher and one of the best lefties in the draft. Kaminsky uses pinpoint control to induce outs with his three above-average offerings: a low 90's fastball, hammer curve, and changeup. Kaminsky works throughout the strikezone with a tendency to attack the inside half of the plate. He could turn into a solid #2-3 down the road.
Concerns: Does not throw on a downward plane. Durability concerns. Inconsistent velocity.
Season Stats: 8-0, 0.14 ERA, 51 IP, 107 K, 4 BB, 21 H, 1 ER
27. Cincinnati Reds - RHP Connor Jones (Great Bridge High School, Virginia)
Player Overview: Jones knows how to pitch. His 3 pitch mix - low 90's sinking fastball, above average curve and solid curve - along with solid control have been lethal to hitters this year. He favors keeping the ball low to induce groundball outs but has an arsenal that could easily strikeout loads of hitters.
Concerns: Slightly hunched over when pitching. Unorthodox delivery (but does repeat it). Needs to repeat delivery/arm speed better on changeup.
Season Stats: N/A
28. St. Louis Cardinals - RHP Alex Gonzalez (Oral Roberts University)
Player Overview: Gonzalez is a safe and quick to the majors pick but has limited upside. Gonzalez throws a low-90's fastball with a lot of sinking action on it as well as an above average slider and average changeup. Gonzalez maintains velocity well and has solid control. He projects as a #3-4 starter.
Concerns: Heavily regressed K-rate his previous season before spiking this season.
Season Stats: 9-5, 1.83 ERA, 3.39 FIP, 113.3 IP, 0.204 OPPBA, 0.283 BABIP, 0.97 WHIP, 2.14 BB/9, 10.01 K/9
29. Tampa Bay Rays - OF Aaron Judge (Fresno State University)
Player Overview: Judge is a towering outfielder who could become the best power hitter in the class. At the moment, Judge has a strong, muscular build that produces adequate power but could put out so much more. Defensively, he should handle right field without a hitch.
Concerns: Minor injury concerns. Does not generate a lot of loft on hit balls. Swing is long. Pitch recognition is questionable at best.
Season Stats: 0.369/0.461/0.655, 12 HR, 36 RBI, 35 BB, 53 SO
30. Texas Rangers - OF Billy McKinney (Plano West High School, Texas)
Player Overview: McKinney is an athletic outfielder who has a very projectable bat. McKinney makes consistent, hard contact at the plate with a swing that generates some lift. His arm strength is unquestionable and could stay in CF with a move to a corner being more likely.
Concerns: Slight uppercut in swing. Has a tendency to become pull happy.
Season Stats: 0.372/0.585/0.663, 4 HR, 17 RBI, 36 BB, 6 K
31. Atlanta Braves - RHP Aaron Blair (Marshall University)
Player Overview: Blair is one of the top arms to come out of Marshall in a long time. With excellent command of three offerings, Blair works in and out of the zone to get swing-and-miss results. He has a low, 3/4 arm slot and good deception in his delivery. His fastball is clocked in the low 90's, with his curve sitting around change both sitting in the high 70's.
Concerns: Performance has not matched stuff. Control leaves a lot to be desired.
Season Stats: 5-5, 2.85 ERA, 3.18 FIP, 0.198 OPPBA, 0.272 BABIP, 1.16 WHIP, 3.95 BB/9, 9.22 K/9
32. New York Yankees - RHP Chris Anderson (Jacksonville University)
Player Overview: Anderson is a workhorse pitcher who hasn't gotten the best results. Regardless of results, Anderson has the size, stuff, and command to become a top of the rotation starter. He has a hard fastball and potential plus slider in addition to an improved changeup. With better coaching, it is possible Anderson could become a solid starter.
Concerns: Attempts to rely entirely on overpowering hitters. Level of competition is questionable.
Season Stats: 7-5, 2.49 ERA, 3.68 FIP, 104.7 IP, 0.231 OPPBA, 0.299 BABIP, 1.12 WHIP, 2.32 BB/9, 8.68 K/9
33. New York Yankees - 3B Travis Demeritte (Winder-Barrow High School, Georgia)
Player Overview: Demeritte is one of the top athletes in the draft class. He is a strongly built kid with plus bat speed, average to above average power potential, and but some questionable mechanics in his swing. Defensively, he has plus marks across: arm, range, glove, and footwork. In a pinch, he could handle SS with relative ease.
Concerns: Very raw. If power does not develop, bat may not play at 3B.
Season Stats: N/A
Competitive Balance Round A
34. Kansas City Royals - LHP Matt Krook (HS, CA)
35. Miami Marlins - RHP Alex Balog (San Francisco)
36. Arizona Diamondbacks - RHP Kyle Serrano (HS, TN)
37. Baltimore Orioles - RHP Devin Williams (HS, MO)
38. Cincinnati Reds - 3B Chad Pinder (Virginia Tech)
39. Detroit Tigers - RHP Jonathan Crawford (Florida)
40. Houston Astros - 3B Dustin Peterson (HS, AZ)
41. Chicago Cubs - SS Andy McGuire (HS, VA)
42. Colorado Rockies - RHP Jason Hursh (Oklahoma State)
43. Minnesota Twins - RHP Bobby Wahl (Mississippi)
44. Miami Marlins - SS Riley Unroe (HS, AZ)
45. Boston Red Sox - RHP Ryan Eades (Louisiana State)
46. Kansas City Royals - OF Josh Hart (HS, GA)
47. Toronto Blue Jays - RHP Andrew Thurman (California-Irvine)
48. New York Mets - LHP Jacob Brentz (HS, MO)
49. Seattle Mariners - LHP Marco Gonzales (Gonzaga)
50. San Diego Padres - OF Mike Lorenzon (California State-Fullerton)
51. Pittsburgh Pirates - SS Oscar Mercado (HS, FL)
52. Arizona Diamondbacks - LHP Hunter Green (HS, KY)
53. Philadelphia Phillies - RHP Trey Masek (Texas Tech)
54. Milwaukee Brewers - OF Ryan Boldt (HS, MN)
55. Chicago White Sox - LHP Kevin Ziomek (Vanderbilt)
56. Los Angeles Dodgers - C Andrew Knapp (California)
57. St. Louis Cardinals - RHP Andrew Mitchell (Texas Christian)
58. Detroit Tigers - SS Garrett Hampson (HS, NV)
59. Los Angeles Angels - LHP Tom Windle (Minnesota)
60. Tampa Bay Rays - 2B Cavan Biggio (HS, TX)
61. Baltimore Orioles - LHP Dillon Overton (Oklahoma)
62. Texas Rangers - 1B Matt Oberste (Oklahoma)
63. Oakland Athletics - OF Jared King (Kansas State)
64. San Francisco Giants - RHP Chandler Eden (HS, CA)
65. Atlanta Braves - 2B JaCoby Jones (Louisiana State)
66. New York Yankees - RHP Corey Knebel (Texas)
67. Cincinnati Reds - SS Hunter Dozier (Stephen A. Austin State)
68. Washington Nationals - 1B Rowdy Tellez (HS, CA)
Competitive Balance Round B
69. San Diego Padres - RHP Trevor Williams (Arizona State)
70. Colorado Rockies - LHP Kent Emmanuel (North Carolina)
71. Oakland Athletics - RHP Tyler Skulina (Kent State)
72. Milwaukee Brewers - RHP Teddy Stankiewicz (Seminole State)
73. Miami Marlins - OF Justin Williams (HS, LA)