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Around SBN: Carmelo Anthony, Amar'e Stoudemire Vow To Fit In With Lin

Community Projection: Ronny Paulino

UPDATE: The Paulino projections are now closed.

I started last year's Community Projections in late January, and they were one of Bucs Dugout's most popular features. I hope we'll have fun with them again this year.

For the unititiated, here's what Community Projections are: every day or two I open a new thread where you can predict how you think a certain player will do next year. After a couple days, I close the thread and average all the predictions and compare them to at least one computer projection (we used ZiPS last year). Then at the end of the year, I'll compare the average prediction to the player's actual statistics and name the individuals who came closest to guessing each player's actual line.

We start today with Ronny Paulino. Unlike with last year, I suspect there will be widespread disagreements about how a number of Pirates hitters will do. Paulino is probably one of the ones we'll disagree about. Will he continue to hit for a high average? Will he add power?

Let me know in the comments by projecting at least his 2007 batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

Here is WTM's profile of Paulino, which includes his major- and minor-league stats.

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ronny
OK, I'll go first: .260/.320/.390

by bolton on Jan 20, 2007 6:34 PM EST reply actions  

I'll say ...
A little less average, a little more pop.

.290/.350/.410

Here's another guy who mashes LPHs (.845 OPS), like Bautisa (.944), Nady (.969), Sanchez (1.041), Bay (1.014) ... well, not EXACTLY like those guys, but you get my drift. Randy Johnson, be afraid! Be verrrrry afraid!

by bucdaddy on Jan 20, 2007 7:48 PM EST reply actions  

I agree with bucaddy.
.296/.345/.440

by Slick @ Bucs Dugout on Jan 20, 2007 9:04 PM EST reply actions  

explination
a signifigant increase in power, less contact...

by bryanzane on Jan 20, 2007 11:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Ronny P
.302 .370 .415

There isn't as much power here as some would like to believe.  But there is more than he showed last year. Eventually he is a 25 2B 15 HR type of guy

Look for even better plate discipline and more doubles.  

by BSpar on Jan 21, 2007 12:26 AM EST reply actions  

Paulino
I'd say 290/.340/.410 for Paulino

by WTNY on Jan 21, 2007 12:31 AM EST reply actions  

RP
hell...285/320/400.  I think I'm comfortable with that OPS

by psk984 on Jan 21, 2007 1:56 AM EST reply actions  

.295/.340/.400
If they don't tinker with his swing to get him to generate more power.

by steve_z on Jan 21, 2007 7:43 AM EST reply actions  

.265/.320/.450
Think he'll try hitting for power this year.

by Dignan on Jan 21, 2007 8:57 AM EST reply actions  

.285/.335/.405
lower average will hurt his obp but he should hit say 11 hrs

by johnnycuff on Jan 21, 2007 12:53 PM EST reply actions  

.285/.350/.400
Paulino will get better at judging balls and strikes, leading to a few more walks.

by Willton on Jan 21, 2007 9:33 PM EST reply actions  

.278/.325/.410
I'm thinking he might lose playing time to Doumit and won't get in a rhythm. Conversely I think Doumit will upgrade his offense (I know, that's not too hard considering his 2006).

by JimBibbySweat on Jan 21, 2007 11:02 PM EST reply actions  

.308/.353/.404
I predict another year comprised mainly of singles and some doubles -- with about 8 HR.  

He knows the best way to stay in the lineup is to keep the average up.  Down the line, once established and comfortable, I'd predict 18-20 HR a year.

by OmarMoreno18 on Jan 22, 2007 1:18 PM EST reply actions  

Paulino
I don't expect the average to be what it was last year but I think he'll still have a solid year.

.291/.337/.427

by joncarlos on Jan 22, 2007 1:41 PM EST reply actions  

Ron. Paul.
.283/.332/.460  23 2B, 1 3B, 12 HR, 68 RBI

by Geeves28 on Jan 22, 2007 3:33 PM EST reply actions  

Triple
How's he going to get the triple? Two outfielders suffer heart attacks while chasing a gap shot?

LOL.

by sisyphus on Jan 22, 2007 7:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Guess
250/310/400

He'll press and the league will have scouting reports and actually read them this season.

by Greg Schuler on Jan 22, 2007 3:51 PM EST reply actions  

Paulie
Were lookin at a solid .240/.350/.420

If he does have the potential to be more of a power hitter I hope he is using his time wisely and bulkin up.

by TheGuyFromPgh on Jan 22, 2007 5:42 PM EST reply actions  

Uh
.240/.350? You expect him to suddenly draw like 100 walks this year?

by matskralc on Jan 23, 2007 1:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Ronnie
270/320/460
http://bucstradewinds.blogspot.com/

by dharr18 on Jan 22, 2007 5:55 PM EST reply actions  

.280/.340/.415
I was too optimistic on the slugging percentage for just about everyone last year. Still, I think he's going to show at least a little more power than he did last year.

by Pat on Jan 22, 2007 7:22 PM EST reply actions  

Paulino
280/325/390

by Dave @ Bucs Dugout on Jan 22, 2007 11:20 PM EST reply actions  

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