Community Projection: Tom Gorzelanny

by Charlie Wilmoth on Feb 14, 2007 4:54 PM EST in News

UPDATE: The Gorzelanny projections are now closed.

How will Tom Gorzelanny fare next year? Will he make it through the year without an injury? How will his excellent performances in the minors translate in a full year against major league pitching?

Let me know in the comment by predicting Gorzelanny's 2007 innings pitched, ERA, strikeouts and walks.

The Paul Maholm projection is still open. Ian Snell is closed. Here are the results:

NAME	POS.	COMMUNITY	ZiPS
Ronny Paulino	C	.271/.334/.414	.272/.327/.378
Adam LaRoche	1B	.281/.350/.539	.279/.345/.526
Freddy Sanchez	2B	.314/.360/.436	.306/.348/.432
Jack Wilson	SS	.273/.314/.373	.270/.312/.377
Jose Bautista	3B/OF	.255/.343/.436	.255/.338/.431
Jose Castillo	2B/3B	.259/.307/.404	.256/.304/.388
Jason Bay	LF	.294/.398/.564	.278/.378/.521
Chris Duffy	CF	.285/.340/.387	.274/.326/.389
Xavier Nady	RF	.281/.338/.452	.280/.340/.467

PITCHER	COMMUNITY	ZiPS
Zach Duke	3.99 ERA, 209 IP, 126 K, 56 BB	3.92 ERA, 216 IP, 127 K, 59 BB
Ian Snell	4.28 ERA, 193 IP, 172 K, 71 BB	4.53 ERA, 169 IP, 140 K, 62 BB

Our projection seems a bit optimistic, but reasonable. I love Snell's chances of breaking out this year. His strikeout rate is high and his K/BB rate is decent, and I think both are likely to remain that way. So much of what ailed him last year seemed to have to do with concentration issues, which I hope will resolve themselves somewhat with experience and age.

Tweet Comment 15 comments | 0 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

Fine, I'll go first...

I predict that Tom Gorzelanny is the second best pitcher for the Pirates this season. Ian Snell is going to be the ace of the staff, in my opinion.

3.39ERA/188IP/137K/46BB

by bryanzane on Feb 14, 2007 11:31 PM EST reply actions

Gorzy

150/4.00/112/60

by The New Guy on Feb 15, 2007 1:34 AM EST reply actions

Gorzo

3.85/170/140/50

Next year, nasty.

by psk984 on Feb 15, 2007 1:45 AM EST reply actions

TG

4.58/161/118/66

by bolton on Feb 15, 2007 2:27 PM EST reply actions

T-Gor

4.12/160/110/44

by Willton on Feb 15, 2007 3:28 PM EST reply actions

We really need...

to settle on a nickname. :)

by Charlie Wilmoth on Feb 15, 2007 3:37 PM EST up reply actions

Can we put it to a vote? :-)

by Willton on Feb 15, 2007 5:57 PM EST up reply actions

Tommy Gun

4.23/88/74/44

TJ surgery tentatively scheduled for May 29.

The other scenario I see is that the walks get to him and he melts down, gets sent to Indy before June 1, works it out, and is back in August. Wins five straight, then blows his arm out. They won't admit it's blown out until November, but he'll be shut down in mid-September.

azibuck

by azibuck on Feb 15, 2007 4:34 PM EST reply actions

Gorzoro

Z marks the spot. A work horse

4.20/205/150/55

by BSpar on Feb 16, 2007 1:20 AM EST reply actions

Gorzelanny

4.30/150/115/50

by matskralc on Feb 16, 2007 2:27 AM EST reply actions

Gorzelanny

ready... get set.... Kool-aid! Actually, I think he's going to get it half-together; BB's will still be a struggle, inflating his ERA, but he's going to bring his K's around to what he's capable of.

3.91/173.2/171/68

by escroll on Feb 16, 2007 9:21 AM EST reply actions

EDIT

actually, just looking at things again, I need to modify that; despite a .5 BB/IP in the NL, he still had a 3.79 ERA and a .552 opponent's OPS.... so, even if hitters figure him out a bit, I revise that to:

3.45/173.2/171/68

by escroll on Feb 16, 2007 9:26 AM EST up reply actions