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Community Projection: Matt Capps

Per reader request, here's a community projection for Matt Capps. Will Capps' arm stay stuck on his body all year, or will it wind up in an operating room somewhere? If he stays healthy, will he be able to maintain his remarkable control?

Let me know in the comments by predicting Capps' 2007 ERA, innings pitched, strikeouts and walks.

The Salomon Torres projections are still open. Tony Armas is closed. Here are the results:

Ronny Paulino C .271/.334/.414 .272/.327/.378
Adam LaRoche 1B .281/.350/.539 .279/.345/.526
Freddy Sanchez 2B .314/.360/.436 .306/.348/.432
Jack Wilson SS .273/.314/.373 .270/.312/.377
Jose Bautista 3B/OF .255/.343/.436 .255/.338/.431
Jose Castillo 2B/3B .259/.307/.404 .256/.304/.388
Jason Bay LF .294/.398/.564 .278/.378/.521
Chris Duffy CF .285/.340/.387 .274/.326/.389
Xavier Nady RF .281/.338/.452 .280/.340/.467
Zach Duke 3.99 ERA, 209 IP, 126 K, 56 BB 3.92 ERA, 216 IP, 127 K, 59 BB
Ian Snell 4.28 ERA, 193 IP, 172 K, 71 BB 4.53 ERA, 169 IP, 140 K, 62 BB
Paul Maholm 4.48 ERA, 177 IP, 114 K, 72 BB 4.63 ERA, 177 IP, 115 K, 75 BB
Tom Gorzelanny 4.06 ERA, 162 IP, 124 K, 62 BB 4.11 ERA, 153 IP, 110 K, 58 BB
Tony Armas 4.92 ERA, 143 IP, 87 K, 60 BB 4.88 ERA, 131 IP, 80 K, 61 BB

Again, our guesses are very similar to ZiPS', except that I think ZiPS' projection assumes Armas will be playing in Washington. He'll be pitching in a tougher environment in Pittsburgh. Overall, I think most of the individual projections for Armas were reasonable. But I think the community projection is still too optimistic, because there really wasn't anyone who said, "He's terrible and will have a 6.50 ERA," which I think is a distinct possibility, even if it's not terribly likely.