How will Matt Morris fare in 2008? Let me know in the comments by predicting his 2008 innings pitched, strikeouts, walks, and ERA, preferably in that order.
Here are Morris' career stats.
Paul Maholm is still open. Tom Gorzelanny is now closed. Here are the results:
NAME | POS. | COMMUNITY | ZiPS |
Ronny Paulino | C | .260/.319/.395 | .263/.321/.366 |
Adam LaRoche | 1B | .280/.351/.509 | .272/.348/.492 |
Freddy Sanchez | 2B | .313/.355/.454 | .298/.340/.415 |
Jack Wilson | SS | .272/.324/.392 | .261/.313/.361 |
Jose Bautista | 3B | .261/.342/.433 | .249/.329/.415 |
Jason Bay | LF | .278/.368/.491 | .265/.361/.478 |
Xavier Nady | RF | .272/.331/.454 | .259/.319/.449 |
NAME | COMMUNITY | ZiPS |
Ian Snell | 200 IP, 173 K, 67 BB, 3.84 ERA | 191 IP, 157 K, 62 BB, 4.48 ERA |
Tom Gorzelanny | 141 IP, 103 K, 49 BB, 4.15 ERA | 184 IP, 128 K, 61 BB, 4.16 ERA |
You can't exactly tell from the projection, but a couple of you really think this isn't going to turn out well, predicting that Gorzelanny won't pitch at all this year. (And both people who said that said it before Gorzelanny missed a start with shoulder tenderness.) I factored in those projections by counting the zeros in innings pitched, strikeouts and walks, but not in ERA. Nobody took the next logical step, which is guessing that Gorzelanny will pitch hurt, deny that he's hurt, and stink up the joint, so the ERA and rate stats above probably don't reflect some of the pessimism here. ZiPS think Gorzelanny's going to be fine, but it doesn't know about what happened to him at the end of last season.