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Community Projection: Matt Morris

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How will Matt Morris fare in 2008? Let me know in the comments by predicting his 2008 innings pitched, strikeouts, walks, and ERA, preferably in that order.

Here are Morris' career stats.

Paul Maholm is still open. Tom Gorzelanny is now closed. Here are the results:

NAME POS. COMMUNITY ZiPS
Ronny Paulino C .260/.319/.395 .263/.321/.366
Adam LaRoche 1B .280/.351/.509 .272/.348/.492
Freddy Sanchez 2B .313/.355/.454 .298/.340/.415
Jack Wilson SS .272/.324/.392 .261/.313/.361
Jose Bautista 3B .261/.342/.433 .249/.329/.415
Jason Bay LF .278/.368/.491 .265/.361/.478
Xavier Nady RF .272/.331/.454 .259/.319/.449
NAME COMMUNITY ZiPS
Ian Snell 200 IP, 173 K, 67 BB, 3.84 ERA 191 IP, 157 K, 62 BB, 4.48 ERA
Tom Gorzelanny 141 IP, 103 K, 49 BB, 4.15 ERA 184 IP, 128 K, 61 BB, 4.16 ERA

You can't exactly tell from the projection, but a couple of you really think this isn't going to turn out well, predicting that Gorzelanny won't pitch at all this year. (And both people who said that said it before Gorzelanny missed a start with shoulder tenderness.) I factored in those projections by counting the zeros in innings pitched, strikeouts and walks, but not in ERA. Nobody took the next logical step, which is guessing that Gorzelanny will pitch hurt, deny that he's hurt, and stink up the joint, so the ERA and rate stats above probably don't reflect some of the pessimism here. ZiPS think Gorzelanny's going to be fine, but it doesn't know about what happened to him at the end of last season.