With his rotation spot now a virtual lock, how do you think Ian Snell will do this year? Guess in the comments by predicting his 2009 innings pitched, strikeouts, walks and ERA, in that order. As a bonus, you can predict the percentage of Snell's 2009 pitches that will be fastballs. (Data on that for prior seasons can be found here.)
Here are the results of the projections so far, including the one for Zach Duke, which is now closed:
NAME | POS. | COMMUNITY | BONUS | ZiPS |
Ryan Doumit | C | .289/.346/.477 | 115 games played | .287/.343/.463 |
Adam LaRoche | 1B | .279/.350/.508 | 10th HR on June 11 | .268/.343/.485 |
Freddy Sanchez | 2B | .300/.332/.419 | 548 PAs | .285/.324/.398 |
Jack Wilson | SS | .271/.313/.360 | Last 2009 game w/Bucs: August 13 |
.267/.317/.358 |
Andy LaRoche | 3B | .264/.361/.436 | 124 starts | .232/.325/.363 |
Brandon Moss | OF | .260/.333/.460 | 48 extra-base hits | .251/.312/.403 |
Nate McLouth | CF | .276/.355/.480 | First CS on May 21 | .261/.342/.459 |
Nyjer Morgan | OF | .274/.318/.348 | 43 games at leadoff | .262/.315/.318 |
Andrew McCutchen | OF | .264/.334/.392 | 169 at bats | .261/.337/.362 |
NAME | POS. | COMMUNITY | BONUS | ZiPS |
Paul Maholm | SP | 184.3 IP, 132K, 58BB, 4.00 ERA | 12 wins | 180.7 IP, 120K, 60BB, 4.53 ERA |
Zach Duke | SP | 189 IP, 98 K, 50 BB, 4.77 ERA | .331 OBP against | 148.7 IP, 75 K, 42 BB, 5.27 ERA |
Matt Capps | RP | 64.3 IP, 55K, 13BB, 3.13 ERA | 26 saves | 71.7 IP, 55K, 13BB, 3.25 ERA |
Obviously, ZiPS doesn't like Duke very much. Given a good defense behind him, I think he could still have a solid career, but the Pirates don't have one of those. My guess is that he falls between ZiPS and the community projection.