Next up in our community projection series is Andrew McCutchen. Here are McCutchen's career numbers. In the comments, predict his 2011 batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. As a bonus, you can predict McCutchen's UZR/150 (which is a measure of his defense, and which you can find here. If you don't know what that is, don't worry about it).
The results for Jose Tabata are in:
Player | Community | ZiPS |
Chris Snyder | .232/.324/.388, 25% caught stealing | .215/.324/.381 |
Lyle Overbay | .261/.346/.432 | .244/.336/.423 |
Neil Walker | .278/.337/.444 | .271/.321/.453 |
Ronny Cedeno | .247/.295/.365, 105 starts | .253/.295/.385 |
Pedro Alvarez | .267.352/.507, 33 homers | .262/.337/.479 |
Jose Tabata | .294/.365/.428, 30 stolen bases | .289/.343/.398 |
The line the community has projected for Tabata would be a big step forward for him - he hit .299/.346/.400 last year. It's not impossible, certainly, for him to improve to that degree, but I can't fault ZiPS for being a bit more conservative. With his defense, he should be a valuable player in either case.