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Community Projection: Garrett Jones

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BRADENTON FL - FEBRUARY 20:  Outfielder Garrett Jones #46 of the Pittsburgh Pirates poses for a photo during photo day at Pirate City on February 20 2011 in Bradenton Florida.  (Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images)
BRADENTON FL - FEBRUARY 20: Outfielder Garrett Jones #46 of the Pittsburgh Pirates poses for a photo during photo day at Pirate City on February 20 2011 in Bradenton Florida. (Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images)
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Next up in our community projection series is Garrett Jones. I'll go with Jones here instead of Matt Diaz because Jones, being the guy who hits against righties, should get the bulk of the plate appearances. Guess Jones' 2011 batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the comments. Here are Jones' career numbers.

The results of the Andrew McCutchen projection are in:

Player Community ZiPS
Chris Snyder .232/.324/.388, 25% caught stealing .215/.324/.381
Lyle Overbay .261/.346/.432 .244/.336/.423
Neil Walker .278/.337/.444 .271/.321/.453
Ronny Cedeno .247/.295/.365, 105 starts .253/.295/.385
Pedro Alvarez .267.352/.507, 33 homers .262/.337/.479
Jose Tabata .294/.365/.428, 30 stolen bases .289/.343/.398
Andrew McCutchen .295/.372/.480, -1.7 UZR/150 .288/.365/.453

Bucs Dugout predicts a breakout year for McCutchen, and why not? Every possible indicator of a breakout is there - the well-rounded offensive game, the athleticism, the pedigree, the fact that this will be his third year in the bigs.