Next up in our Community Projections series is Charlie Morton. This one could get weird. Let me know how you think he'll do by posting your guesses about his 2011 innings pitched, strikeouts, walks, and ERA, in that order.
The results of the Kevin Correia projection are in.
Player | Community | ZiPS |
Chris Snyder | .232/.324/.388, 25% caught stealing | .215/.324/.381 |
Lyle Overbay | .261/.346/.432 | .244/.336/.423 |
Neil Walker | .278/.337/.444 | .271/.321/.453 |
Ronny Cedeno | .247/.295/.365, 105 starts | .253/.295/.385 |
Pedro Alvarez | .267.352/.507, 33 homers | .262/.337/.479 |
Jose Tabata | .294/.365/.428, 30 stolen bases | .289/.343/.398 |
Andrew McCutchen | .295/.372/.480, -1.7 UZR/150 | .288/.365/.453 |
Garrett Jones | .263/.338/.459 | .262/.316/.444 |
Player | Community | ZiPS |
Paul Maholm | 171.1 IP, 94K, 54BB, 4.52 ERA | 190.1 IP, 117K, 61BB, 4.40 ERA |
James McDonald | 164.1 IP, 140K, 62BB, 4.16 ERA | 121.2 IP, 95K, 53BB, 4.14 ERA |
Kevin Correia | 169.2 IP, 125K, 64BB, 4.63 ERA | 153.3 IP, 115K, 60BB, 4.52 ERA* |
*That projection assumes that Correia would be pitching in the pitchers' paradise in San Diego, so obviously those numbers would be worse with the Pirates. This site lists a ZiPS projection for the Pirates that would be 153 IP, 104K, 55BB, 4.76 ERA, which looks plausible, but I can't vouch for it.