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We still have Ross Ohlendorf to finish things up, but we can do that before his first start. In the meantime, here's the thread for Joel Hanrahan. Let me know how you think he'll do by predicting his 2011 innings pitched, strikeouts, walks and ERA, in that order.
The Charlie Morton projections are done. Here are all the results so far:
Player | Community | ZiPS |
Chris Snyder | .232/.324/.388, 25% caught stealing | .215/.324/.381 |
Lyle Overbay | .261/.346/.432* | .244/.336/.423 |
Neil Walker | .278/.337/.444 | .271/.321/.453 |
Ronny Cedeno | .247/.295/.365, 105 starts | .253/.295/.385 |
Pedro Alvarez | .267.352/.507, 33 homers | .262/.337/.479 |
Jose Tabata | .294/.365/.428, 30 stolen bases | .289/.343/.398 |
Andrew McCutchen | .295/.372/.480, -1.7 UZR/150 | .288/.365/.453 |
Garrett Jones | .263/.338/.459 | .262/.316/.444 |
Player | Community | ZiPS |
Paul Maholm | 171.1 IP, 94K, 54BB, 4.52 ERA | 190.1 IP, 117K, 61BB, 4.40 ERA |
James McDonald | 164.1 IP, 140K, 62BB, 4.16 ERA | 121.2 IP, 95K, 53BB, 4.14 ERA |
Kevin Correia | 169.2 IP, 125K, 64BB, 4.63 ERA | 153.3 IP, 115K, 60BB, 4.52 ERA** |
Charlie Morton | 150 IP, 114K, 59BB, 4.89 ERA | 154.2 IP, 100K, 64BB, 4.95 ERA |
Wow. The Morton projection is one where people really could have gone nuts in either direction, and instead it again came out looking almost exactly like ZiPS' computer projection. I'm consistently amazed at how little commentary there is to add to these - I think they've mostly been pretty dead-on. We're usually a hair more optimistic than ZiPS is, but only a hair.
*Assumes hitting in Toronto
**Assumes pitching in San Diego