FanPost

What can 16 games (10% of the season) tell us?

With 10% of the season over, what can 16 games really tell us about how the team is going to do? Honestly, looking at the history of the Pirates, it tells us almost nothing. Here’s how the Pirates were doing after 16 games every year since the expanding of the schedule to 162 games in 1962. Along with it is the final record and "WSC" for World Series Champs, "PO" for playoff loss and "WC" for Wild Card Loss:

2022: 8-8

2021: 7-9 (61-101)

2020: 3-13 (19-41)

2019: 10-6 (69-93)

2018: 11-5 (82-79)

2017: 7-9 (75-87)

2016: 8-8 (78-83)

2015: 8-8 (98-64 WC)

2014: 8-8 (88-74 WC)

2013: 8-8 (94-68 PO)

2012: 7-9 (79-83)

2011: 8-8 (72-90)

2010 7-9 (57-105)

2009: 9-7 (62-99)

2008: 7-9 (67-95)

2007: 6-10 (68-94)

2006: 5-11 (67-95)

2005: 5-11 (67-95)

2004: 7-9 (72-89)

2003: 8-8 (75-87)

2002: 11-5 (72-89)

2001: 6-10 (62-100)

2000: 6-10 (69-93)

1999: 8-8 (78-83)

1998: 7-9 (69-93)

1997: 8-8 (79-83)

1996: 8-8 (73-89)

1995: 4-12 (58-86)

1994: 8-8 (53-61)

1993: 8-8 (75-87)

1992: 13-3 (96-66 PO)

1991: 11-5 (98-64 PO)

1990: 10-6 (95-67 PO)

1989: 6-10 (74-88)

1988: 12-4 (85-75)

1987: 6-10 (80-82)

1986: 7-9 (64-98)

1985: 5-11 (57-104)

1984: 6-10 (75-87)

1983: 7-9 (84-78)

1982: 7-9 (84-78)

1981: 8-8 (46-56)

1980: 11-5 (83-79)

1979: 6-10 (98-64 WSC)

1978: 9-7 (88-73)

1977: 9-7 (96-66)

1976: 8-8 (92-70)

1975: 9-7 (92-69 PO)

1974: 5-11 (88-74 PO)

1973: 8-8 (80-82)

1972: 6-10 (96-59 PO)

1971: 9-7 (97-65 WSC)

1970: 10-6 (89-73 PO)

1969: 11-5 (88-74)

1968: 8-8 (80-82)

1967: 10-6 (81-81)

1966: 11-5 (92-70)

1965: 6-10 (90-72)

1964: 9-7 (80-82)

1963: 11-5 (74-88)

1962: 12-4 (93-68)

The worst start was the 2020 Pirates with a 3-13 start. They were really awful, I think they’d lose 115 games at least if they played a full 162 game season that year, in fact the previous 3-13 start was in 1952 and we all know how that season turned out. Second worse was 1995 with a 4-12 record, coming back from the strike. Nothing brings the fans back to the stadium like work stoppages, starting 4-12 and threatening to relocate the team…

The best start was 1992. Obviously they peaked at the wrong time. The 1988 Pirates got off to a hot start with a 12-4 record, but they couldn’t keep up with the Mucking Fets in the old NL East that year. The 1962 Pirates also started 12-4 but finished with just 93 wins, 10 short of the NL Champion SF Giants.

The Pirates of the 70’s seemed to get off to a slow start and then make the playoffs, especially in 1972, 74 and 79. The Pirates of the early 90’s got off to good starts all 3 playoff years. The 2013-15 teams all started 8-8, which might have cost them 3 division titles.

I’d say 16 games tells us very little about the other 90% of the season they’ll play. The fact that the 100+ loss 2021 and 2010 teams started off better than the 1979 World Series winning team says it all. 10% of the season isn’t enough to gauge how good a team really is.

For those of you looking forward to my black out rant, it’ll be coming soon. I might post it during a game that I’m blacked out from against the Brewers.


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